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SPX500 trade ideas

US500 Is Bullish! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for US500. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 5,568.9. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 5,791.3 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by SignalProvider
2
Trading Psychology or Technical Analysis—When Mind Meets MatterThere’s an age-old battle in trading that makes the bull vs. bear debate look like a game of pickleball (no offense, finance bros). It’s the clash between the traders who swear by their charts and the ones who insist it’s all about mindset. The technicals versus the psychologicals. Fibonacci retracements versus fear and greed. RSI versus your racing heart. TLDR? Both matter—a lot. But knowing when to trust your indicators, when to trust yourself, and when to blend both is the fine line that separates those who thrive from those who rage-quit. ⚔️ The Cold, Hard Numbers vs. the Soft, Messy Brain Think of technical analysis as your sometimes inaccurate GPS in trading. It’s structured, predictable, and gives you clear entry and exit points—until it doesn’t. Because markets, much like a GPS in a tunnel, don’t always cooperate. That’s where psychology creeps in. Your mind is the ultimate trading algorithm, but it’s often running outdated software. Fear of missing out? That’s just your brain throwing a tantrum. Revenge trading? A glitch in emotional processing. Overconfidence after three wins in a row? Well done, you genius. Technical analysis gives you signals, but trading psychology determines how you act on them. 🤷‍♂️ When the Chart Says One Thing, and Your Brain Says Another Picture this: You’ve mapped out the perfect setup. The moving averages align, volume confirms the breakout, and everything screams BUY . But then your brain whispers, What if it reverses? What if this is a trap? What if I’m about to donate my account balance to the market gods? You hesitate. The price moves without you. Now, frustration kicks in, and suddenly, you’re clicking BUY at the worst possible moment—just in time for a pullback. Sometimes, the best trade is the one you don’t take. And sometimes, trusting the chart over your overthinking brain is the only way forward. 🔥 The Big Guys and Their Choices Legendary investors have picked their sides in this debate. Howard Marks, the co-founder of Oaktree Capital, has long been a big believer in market psychology. He argues that understanding investor sentiment is more valuable than any chart pattern because markets are driven by cycles of greed and fear. On the other hand, Paul Tudor Jones—one of the greatest traders of all time—leans on technicals, famously saying, “The whole trick in investing is: ‘How do I keep from losing everything?’ If you use the 200-day moving average rule, you get out. You play defense.” Both approaches work. The question is: Are you the type who deciphers market mood swings, or do you trust that a well-placed moving average will tell you when to cut and run? 🌀 Overtrading: The Technical Trap and the Psychological Spiral Overtrading usually starts with a good trade, a small win, and a rush of dopamine that convinces you you’ve cracked the code. So, you take another trade. Then another. And before you know it, you’re firing off entries like a caffeinated gamer, except your PnL is the one taking the damage. Technical traders fall into this trap because they see too many setups. Every candlestick pattern, every little bounce, every “potential” breakout becomes a reason to trade. Psychological traders, on the other hand, may overtrade out of boredom, frustration, or the need to “make back” losses. The result? An emotional rollercoaster that ends with an account balance you don’t want to check the next morning. The fix? Trade selectively. The best setups don’t come every five minutes, and forcing trades is like forcing a bad joke—it just doesn’t land. 💪 Fear, Greed, and the Art of Holding Your Ground Every trader knows the feeling: You’re in profit, but instead of letting the trade play out, you close early because profit is profit, right? Wrong. Fear of losing profits is what keeps traders from maximizing their wins. And greed—the evil twin of fear—is what makes traders hold losing trades, hoping for a miracle. It’s the classic “let winners run, cut losers short” rule in reverse. Technical traders know where their stops and targets are. The problem? They often ignore them when emotions take over. Psychological traders “feel” the market but get crushed when that gut feeling betrays them. The best traders find the balance—using technicals to set logical targets and psychology to actually stick to the plan. 🤝 The Solution? A System That Checks Both Boxes So, what’s the verdict? Do you put matter over mind or mind over matter? The truth is, great traders do both. They develop strategies based on technicals but manage execution with discipline. They respect risk management rules not just because the chart says so, but because they know how destructive emotions can be. Here’s what the best do differently: ✅ They journal trades —not just the setups but how they felt during the trade. ✅ They stick to a trading plan so they can trust their system over impulse. ✅ They set rules that help them to properly bounce back from losses . ✅ They know the value of knowledge and never stop learning. (We’ve got you covered here, too. Go check the Top Trading Books if you’re a trader and stop by the Top Books on Investing if you’re an investor). 💚 Final Thoughts: Mind and Market in Harmony In the end, trading is never just one or the other. It’s not pure math, and it’s not pure mindset. It’s a dance between structure and instinct, strategy and psychology. The ones who get it right aren’t just great at reading charts—they’re great at reading themselves.
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
20
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 5915.Colleagues, I was waiting for the price to reach the support area of 5656, because the big corrective wave “IV” should end soon. I am still looking for a long entry point. I expect that wave “IV” has either ended or will soon end its downward movement in the 5656 area and we will see the beginning of an upward wave. I expect that the first target is the resistance area of 5915. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
9
Understanding Trump: chapter 3 - WAR and Waste of Defense BudgetWAR and Waste of Defense Budget The United States operates more than 750 military bases worldwide and spends $886 billion annually on defense. It is the world's largest military spender. Over the past 50 years, the U.S. has engaged in numerous wars around the world, pouring an enormous amount of money into conflicts. War is not just a military operation; it requires an overwhelming amount of financial resources. Looking at history, the biggest reason for the downfall of past empires was territorial expansion, endless wars, and the increasing cost of warfare. The Roman Empire, Spain, and Britain all followed the same pattern. They continuously fought wars, drained their national resources, and eventually collapsed. When looking at America's recent wars, it seems to be heading in a similar direction. U.S. War Spending Over the Last 50 Years Gulf War (1990–1991): $61 billion Somalia Civil War Intervention (1992–1994): $1.4 billion Bosnian War Intervention (1995): $3 billion Kosovo War Intervention (1999): $5 billion Afghanistan War (2001–2021): $2.3 trillion Iraq War (2003–2011): $1.9 trillion Libya Military Intervention (2011): $1 billion Syria Civil War Intervention (2014–present): $54 billion Yemen Civil War Support (2015–present): $5 billion Ukraine War Support (2022–present): $113 billion (as of 2024) This is all the money the U.S. has spent on wars in recent years. Considering that the Soviet Union collapsed after just one war in Afghanistan, it's quite remarkable that the U.S. has been able to engage in multiple wars and still sustain itself. In the past, the U.S. was considered the world's police force. However, when looking at the wars listed above, not many of them resulted in positive outcomes. Of course, if the U.S. had not actively intervened, there would have been far more ethnic conflicts, ideological wars, and massacres around the world. In fact, the free trade system that emerged after World War II was only possible because of U.S. naval dominance. Just like how we take the air we breathe for granted, if the U.S. had not been a dominant global power, international trade would have faced numerous problems and economic inefficiencies. However, over the past 50 years, has the U.S's war campaigns wasn't successfully Looking at wars like Vietnam, Afghanistan, and Iraq, the U.S. spent enormous amounts of money, but the results were far from satisfactory. They justified these wars by claiming to spread democracy and overthrow dictatorships, yet despite the sacrifices of many American soldiers, the post-war situations in these countries remained chaotic. What’s Next for the U.S.? Trump’s main goal seems to be reducing war spending. This is an unfortunate news for Ukraine, but for the U.S., it is a strategic move to prevent itself from collapsing like Britain or the Roman Empire due to excessive military spending. From my perspective, Trump is not aiming to not really reduce U.S. military presence around the world, but rather to maintain influence while making other countries pay more. And eventually, the U.S. may choose not to engage in future wars. His push for increased defense spending from NATO and Asian allies is part of this strategy.
SP:SPX
by hcinteractivegames
SPX to dump 30% - 50% for Inflated Expectations in 2026I like to say the narrative follows the price . This was bound to happen after such an overheated year, couple years. Blame whomever you want, in the end its your wallet if you aren't ready to have your expectations met. Best case scenario, the breakout of macro is confirmed after the retest (blue arrows). Worst, more likely case, it smashes down to confirm a double bottom with a strong foundation to form a macro support. The sawtooth can provide opportunities for volatile scalps, but its gonna get gnarly I can already tell.
SP:SPXShort
by D4NKM4CH1N3
Is 5,400 Points the Bottom for the S&P 500? Key Levels You Need The S&P 500 Index has been experiencing a sharp downturn, heavily influenced by broader macroeconomic factors such as President Trump’s tariff policies. This has had a ripple effect across risk assets, including the cryptocurrency market, which has been closely correlated with traditional markets. In this update, we analyze whether 5400 points could serve as a key bottoming level for the S&P 500 and what that means for broader market conditions. Technical Points to Consider: 5400 as a Key Support Zone – The index is approaching a major technical confluence zone, which includes a 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, a VWAP SR level from the October 2023 lows, and an open swing low. These factors suggest an oversold bounce may be imminent. Market Structure Breakdown – The S&P 500 has shifted from higher highs and higher lows to now potentially forming a lower low. A relief rally could lead to a lower high before continuation downward. Impact on Crypto Markets – If a short-term bottom forms in equities, we could see a correlated bounce in the cryptocurrency market, offering long trade opportunities in altcoins. The extreme oversold conditions in the market suggest that a relief bounce is highly probable. Markets often react to key technical levels, and the presence of multiple confluence factors at 5400 makes it a critical zone to watch. While a temporary bounce is expected, it is essential to consider whether this move will lead to a sustained recovery or merely a short-lived retracement before further downside. The structure of the bounce, volume inflows, and broader market sentiment will be key factors in determining the next trend. For cryptocurrency traders, the correlation between the S&P 500 and Bitcoin means that any shift in equities could impact crypto price action. If the S&P 500 finds support and initiates a bounce, risk-on assets like altcoins may also experience relief rallies. However, these moves must be evaluated carefully—altcoins are often more volatile than equities, and chasing a bounce without confirmation could lead to unnecessary risk exposure. Identifying the right setups in this environment requires patience and a strategic approach. Ultimately, market timing and discipline will be crucial in navigating this potential bottoming process. If 5400 holds as support and a bullish structure begins forming, traders may find strong long opportunities in both traditional markets and crypto. However, if price fails to hold, a continuation lower could present an entirely new set of trading conditions. Waiting for market alignment, confirmed reversals, and volume support will be key before taking decisive action.
SP:SPX
by AzizKhanZamani
BUY SIGNAL into spiral turn 3/10 to 3/13 panic cycle see dec 8thThe Market has fallen right into the cycle the Panic cycle see dec 8th forecast for 2025 . put/call and most every model is set for a min 3 week sharp rally that rally if it is a 3 wave rally then the cycle degree wave 5 of 3 is ended .. BUT I see the decline into the dates and near the call for 9.8 to 11.3 % decline and worst case as stated in the forecast is 16.3 But the cycles is VERY BULLISH from this week On . I am 125 % longs in dec 2026 in the money and at the money calls . best of trades WAVETIMER
SP:SPX
by wavetimer
13
Don't Miss Out We Predicted S&P 500 Drop to 5740 It Happened📉 Don't Miss Out – We Predicted S&P 500 Drop to 5740 , and It Happened! 🔥 In our previous recommendation, we clearly stated that S&P 500 would drop to 5740 , and it happened exactly as predicted, reaching the 61% Fibonacci level! ✅ 🚨 Will You Wait Until You Fall with Losing Stocks? 🚨 The market doesn’t wait, and opportunities don’t last forever! If you’ve been following our recommendations, you’ve avoided the collapsing stocks we warned about. ⚠️ Don’t let the market get ahead of you – Follow our recommendations to stay on the winning side! 🔥💰 #SPX500 #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestmentOpportunities
SP:SPX
by stocksfox
2
S&P INTRADAY reaction to US Inflation figuresUS equity indices reacted positively to the latest US inflation figures released earlier today, as the data pointed to a moderation in price pressures. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased to 2.8% year-over-year in February, down from 3.0% in January. This reading not only marked a decline but also came in below market expectations of 2.9%, signaling that inflationary pressures may be easing. On a monthly basis, the CPI increased by 0.2%, following a 0.5% rise recorded in January. Similarly, the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose by 3.1% year-over-year in February, down from 3.3% in the previous month. This print also fell short of analysts' forecasts of 3.2%, further supporting the view of moderating inflation. On a month-to-month basis, the core CPI edged up by 0.2%. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5713 Resistance Level 2: 5770 Resistance Level 3: 5807 Support Level 1: 5523 Support Level 2: 5480 Support Level 3: 5300 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
SPX morning analysisTechnical analysis of SPX. Bearish count/analysis presented, cleaned up to present important points. Parallel channels frame price action since March 2020 low nearly perfectly, with key pivots pointed out. With count presented, ((B)) is 200% of ((A)). End of ((B)) counted with impulse ending with ending diagonal wedge. Impulsive price action broke through pitchfork support, looking to see if support now becomes resistance. If pitchfork median line (red line) cannot be tagged, should be taken as bearish sign, and return to October 2022 price as likely. If that idea plays out, looking for channels to provide support/resistance for price down towards March 2020 low.
TVC:SPXShort
by discobiscuit
Stocks May Be OversoldThe S&P 500 has been falling swiftly, but it may be considered oversold. The first pattern on today’s chart is Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the lower study. RSI slipped below 30 for the first time since October 2023. That could make some traders think it’s due for a potential bounce. Next, the middle study includes our MA Distance custom script. It shows price dropped the furthest below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) since October 2022. That may also suggest it’s experienced a healthy pullback. Third is July 5’s last price of 5567, which was the first weekly close in the second half of 2024. It became resistance in early August and support in two subsequent weeks. SPX held that level again yesterday, so it may be reemerging as a meaningful area. If the index manages to stabilize here and rebound, how high might the bounce go? Traders could potentially look to the price zone between January 13's low of 5773 and the March 4 low of 5733. It’s also near the 200-day SMA. Investors with a longer-term view may expect further volatility given the sharpness of the recent drop and the uncertainty caused by tariffs. That may prompt them to eye a deeper low around 5402, where SPX held in early September before breaking out to new highs. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
SP:SPX
by TradeStation
How to Trade Trend ReversalsThey say, “the trend is your friend”—until it bends at the end. Every strong move eventually runs out of steam, but spotting the turn and trading it effectively is no easy task. Some traders try to anticipate the reversal, positioning ahead of time, while others wait for confirmation, entering once the trend has already shifted. Both methods have their strengths and weaknesses, and the best approach depends on your risk tolerance and trading style. Anticipating the Turn: Catching the Reversal Early This approach focuses on momentum shifts and false breakouts before the price fully confirms a new trend. The goal is to enter before the crowd, capturing a reversal at the best possible price. Key Tools: Momentum Divergence – If price makes a new high or low, but RSI fails to follow, it suggests the trend is weakening. False Breakouts – If price breaks a key level but immediately reverses, it signals a trap set for traders expecting continuation. Benefits: • Better risk-reward – Entering before the confirmation means stops can be tighter, allowing for a larger potential profit. • First-mover advantage – Catching a trend change early means getting in at a great price before the majority of traders react. Drawbacks: • Higher failure rate – Many trends look weak before resuming, leading to premature entries and false starts. • Requires precision – Entry and stop placement must be exact to avoid being caught in noise. Waiting for Confirmation: Trading the Break Rather than trying to predict the turn, this method waits for price to confirm the reversal by breaking key levels or forming a clear new trend structure. Key Tools: Trend Structure Shift – A series of lower highs in an uptrend, or higher lows in a downtrend, signals exhaustion. Break of Key Support/Resistance – Once price decisively moves beyond a critical level, it confirms the trend change. Benefits: • Higher probability trades – Waiting for confirmation reduces the risk of being faked out by temporary pullbacks. • Less stressful – Entering after the break avoids the uncertainty of catching tops and bottoms. Drawbacks: • Worse risk-reward – Entry is later, meaning stops tend to be wider and potential profits smaller. • Missed moves – Sometimes, a reversal happens too quickly, leaving conservative traders behind. Applying Both Methods: Two Live Market Examples 1. EUR/USD – A Potential Trend Reversal in Progress Recently, EUR/USD had been stuck in a long-term downtrend, with lower lows forming consistently. But the latest attempt to break support failed spectacularly. Anticipatory Approach: Traders watching for a false breakout could have entered after price dipped below support and immediately reversed. RSI also showed bullish divergence—momentum was no longer confirming the downtrend. Entry would be placed just above the reclaimed support, with a tight stop below the false breakdown. Momentum-Based Approach: Traders waiting for confirmation would have looked for a strong breakout above the first major resistance. After the false breakdown, price surged above prior swing highs, confirming buyers had taken control. The break of horizontal resistance provided a clearer entry signal, with stops below the breakout level. EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 2. S&P 500 – The Start of a Breakdown? The S&P 500 had been in a strong uptrend, but multiple failed attempts to break through resistance suggested buyers were losing momentum. Eventually, price broke below key support, triggering a sharp decline. Anticipatory Approach: Traders looking for early signs of weakness could have entered short after noticing a series of failed breakouts. RSI divergence signalled that momentum was waning, and the repeated failures at resistance suggested a sell-off was brewing. The entry would have been placed near resistance, with stops just above the recent highs. Momentum-Based Approach: A more patient trader would have waited for a confirmed break of support. Once the S&P sliced through a major level, a short trade could be initiated on the retest of the broken support, with stops just above the previous swing low. S&P Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Final Thoughts: Choosing the Right Approach Both methods have their advantages. Anticipating reversals can offer an early entry with strong risk-reward potential, but it also comes with a higher chance of false signals. Waiting for confirmation provides greater clarity and reduces the likelihood of premature entries, though it often means entering later in the move. Neither approach is inherently better—it depends on your trading style, risk tolerance, and strategy. The key is consistency: whichever method you use, having a clear plan and following it with discipline is what separates successful traders from those who get caught on the wrong side of a trend change. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:US500Education
by Capitalcom
S&P500 Strong Support cluster on the 2-year Channel Up.S&P500 (SPX) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up that has made the market recover from the 2022 Inflation Crisis, taking it to a new All Time High (ATH). The recent 4-week decline however has been an aggressive one and rightly so has sparked heightened fear to investors, especially considering the trade war fundamentals. Technically, the index just broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and is approaching the bottom of this long-term Channel Up, a development that in the eyes of short-term traders is disastrous. On the long-term though, this is a very strong Support level as the market seems to be repeating the Secondary Channel Up (blue) of February - October 2023. The end of this was also an aggressive correction which broke below both the 1W MA50 and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level temporarily before starting a massive Bullish Leg. Even the 1W RSI sequences among the two fractals are similar, despite the current price action being more aggressive. Interestingly enough, they both declined by at least -10%, so if we see the current week closing in green and by the next starting to recover, it is likely to see a similar Bullish Leg to test the -0.5 Fibonacci extension as the April 01 2024 Top did. That would give us a 6900 long-term Target, which would be a +24.75% rise from the current low, exactly identical with the rise from the April 19 2024 to February 19 2025. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TradingShot
6