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US500 May Continue the Decline to 5200US500 May Continue the Decline to 5200 The US500 index has reached the targets we set in our last analysis. However, the market remains highly volatile, with future movements shrouded in uncertainty. This instability can largely be attributed to President Trump's policies, which have introduced a significant level of unpredictability. According to the New York Times, economic fears have sent world markets into a dive. Stock markets around the globe plummeted yesterday after President Trump refused to rule out the possibility that his trade policies might trigger a recession. Additionally, several retaliatory tariffs against the United States have come into effect. You may Watch the analysis for more details! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by KlejdiCuni
2
US500 Is Bullish! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for US500. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 5,568.9. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 5,791.3 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by SignalProvider
2
S&P 500 Elliott Wave Update – Is Wave IV Nearing Completion?📊 S&P 500 – Is Wave IV Nearing Completion? According to Elliott Wave Theory, the S&P 500 is currently in an impulsive structure, and it seems to be completing Wave (IV) in a larger degree. Typically, Wave IV retraces near the Wave IV of Wave III, which aligns with the corrective zone in this analysis. 🔹 Two Possible Scenarios: 1️⃣ Conservative Approach: If price remains within the 23.6%–50% Fibonacci retracement zone, we can expect Wave IV to complete soon, leading to the start of Wave V in the impulsive structure. 2️⃣ Aggressive Scenario: If the price breaks above 6147.43, this wave count might no longer be valid, and an alternative structure (such as an ending diagonal) could be forming instead. 📌 Key Level to Watch: The invalidation level for this scenario is 5122.40. As long as price stays above this zone, there is a strong possibility of an extended Wave V, with Wave 1 already completed and Wave 2 correcting within the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci retracement range before a potential bullish continuation. ⚠️ Alternative Possibility – Complex Correction? While this count follows Elliott Wave principles, we should also consider the possibility of a complex correction (WXY or a triangle formation) before confirming a bullish move. 📊 Final Thought: With the equality of Waves I & III respected, the impulsive structure remains valid unless price enters Wave I territory. Otherwise, we might be looking at a different formation. 💡 What’s your view? Do you agree with this analysis, or do you see an alternative setup? Drop your thoughts below! 👇📈
SP:SPXShort
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
3
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 7, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 successfully retested the Mean Resistance level of 5967; however, it subsequently experienced a significant decline. This decline brought the index back to the Mean Support level of 5860 and further down to the next major Key Support level of 5710. After this downturn, the index established a new critical support level at 5683. It is now positioned to target the Mean Resistance level of 5840. Should the index initiate an upward movement from its current position and successfully surpass this key resistance, it may continue to ascend toward the subsequent Mean Resistance level of 5955. Conversely, suppose the index experiences a decline from the retested level of 5840. In that case, it will likely target the Mean Support level of 5683, with a further descent to an Outer Index Dip of 5576.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
3
NEW BULL MOVE IS NEAR Wave 4 cycle low SETUPI am coming into the major and minor spiral cycle Low is has been due into 3/8 3/13 focus on the 10th for sometime . But the Crash cycle is in day 10 today and over the last 112 years data back to 1902 the crash cycle has been from 8 to 12 days long we are in day 10 Now .I have taken up a 75 % long deep in the money Calls into this morning drop I this give the market a chance of 30 % to drop to the lower target of 5644 But Put Call models are bell ringing now .I will move to 100 % long calls at 5723/5713 and move to 110 % long at 5644 MIT . after the low print and we break above 5909 on a close I have a confirmed LOW and we short see a major 5th wave blow off it should take 26 TD and the target min is 6183 and max to 6430 with 6235 being focus in the math In the QQQ 552 is a focus with 545 as the min max based on the Math 564 Tight range for the QQQ as it should be The DJI will see a minor new new above 45040 best of trades WAVETIMER
SP:SPX
by wavetimer
6
SPX500 is heading to a major correction.Just reading the charts—and if history repeats itself, we’ve entered a weekly MACD and RSI downtrend. I called this for Bitcoin a month ago, and some argued it could be invalidated. Now, we can see that’s nearly impossible. Macro Outlook The economy is in bad shape—you see the news. Trump’s tariffs are scaring investors for a good reason. He wants to avoid money printing and tighten supply, but how will companies and institutions get cash? By selling their stocks. No more free money—profits will have to come from selling assets, which will intentionally crash the market under Trump’s policy. Cycles & Recession We’re at the end of a cycle—everything is overbought and needs a reset before moving higher. We’re in a recession, even if no one wants to admit it. Conclusion 📉 Target price: 4850 📅 Estimated bottom: September 15, 2025 Expect volatility, occasional pumps, but on a weekly scale, the trend is down—unless something drastic happens. Q3 and Q4 will be bullish. 🚨 DYOR!
BLACKBULL:US500.FShort
by CryptoNikkoid
29
Index Investing: A Practical Approach to Market ParticipationIndex Investing: A Practical Approach to Market Participation Index investing has become a popular way for traders and investors to access the broader market. By tracking the performance of financial indices like the S&P 500 or FTSE 100, index investing offers diversification, lower costs, and steady exposure to market trends. This article explores how index investing works, its advantages, potential risks, and strategies to suit different goals. Index Investing Definition Index investing is a strategy where traders and investors focus on tracking the performance of a specific financial market index, such as the FTSE 100 or S&P 500. These indices represent a collection of stocks or other assets, grouped to reflect a segment of the market. Instead of picking individual assets, index investors aim to match the returns of the entire index by investing in a fund that mirrors its composition. For example, if an investor puts money in a fund tracking the Nasdaq-100, it’s effectively spread across all companies in that index, including tech giants like Apple or Microsoft. This approach provides instant diversification, as the investor is not reliant on the performance of a single stock. This style of investing is often seen as a straightforward way to gain exposure to broad market trends without the need for active stock picking. Many investors choose exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for this purpose, as they trade on stock exchanges like individual shares and often come with lower fees compared to actively managed funds. How Index Investing Works Indices are constructed by grouping a selection of assets—usually stocks—to represent a specific market or sector. For instance, the S&P 500 includes 500 large-cap US companies, weighted by their market capitalisation. This means larger companies like Apple and Amazon have a greater impact on the index performance than smaller firms. The same principle applies to indices like the FTSE 100, which represents the 100 largest companies listed on the London Stock Exchange. Index funds aim to mirror the performance of these indices. Fund managers have two primary methods for this: direct replication and synthetic replication. With direct replication, the fund buys and holds every asset in the market, matching their exact proportions. For example, a fund tracking the Nasdaq-100 would hold shares of all 100 companies in that index. Synthetic replication, on the other hand, uses derivatives like swaps to mimic the index's returns without directly holding the assets. This method can reduce costs but introduces counterparty risk, as it relies on financial agreements with third parties. Because index investing doesn’t involve constant buying and selling of assets, funds typically have lower management fees compared to actively managed portfolios. Fund managers don’t need to research individual stocks or adjust holdings frequently, making this a cost-efficient option for gaining exposure to broad market trends. Advantages and Disadvantages of Index Investing Index investing has become a popular choice for those looking for a straightforward way to align their portfolios with market performance. However, while it offers some clear advantages, there are also limitations worth considering. Let’s break it down: Advantages - Diversification: By investing in an index fund, investors gain exposure to a broad range of assets, reducing the impact of poor performance from any single stock. For instance, tracking the S&P 500 spreads investments across 500 companies. - Cost-Efficiency: Index funds often have lower fees compared to actively managed funds because they require less trading and oversight. Passive management keeps costs low, which can lead to higher net returns over time. - Transparency: Indices are publicly listed, so investors always know which assets they are invested in and how those assets are weighted. - Consistent Market Exposure: These funds aim to match the performance of the market segment they track, providing reliable exposure to its overall trends. - Accessibility: As exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are traded on stock exchanges, this allows investors to buy into large markets with the same simplicity as purchasing a single stock. Disadvantages - Limited Flexibility: Index funds strictly follow the composition of the underlying assets, meaning they can’t respond to other market opportunities or avoid underperforming sectors. - Market Risk: Since these funds mirror the broader market, they’re fully exposed to downturns. If the market drops, so will the fund’s value. - Tracking Errors: Some funds may not perfectly replicate an index due to fees or slight differences in holdings, which can cause performance to deviate. - Lack of Customisation: Broad-based investing doesn’t allow for personalisation based on individual preferences or ethical considerations. Index Investing Strategies Index investing isn’t just about buying a fund and waiting—an index investment strategy can be tailored to suit different goals and market conditions. Here are some of the most common strategies investors use: Buy-and-Hold This long-term index investing strategy involves purchasing an index fund and holding it for years, potentially decades. The aim is to capture overall market growth over time, which has historically trended upwards. This strategy works well for those who value simplicity and are focused on building wealth gradually. Sector Rotation Some investors focus on specific sectors within indices, such as technology or healthcare, depending on economic trends. This strategy can help take advantage of sectors expected to outperform while avoiding less promising areas. For instance, in periods of economic downturn, investors might allocate funds to the MSCI Consumer Staples Index, given consumer staples’ defensive nature. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Rather than investing a lump sum, this index fund investing strategy involves putting money away regularly—say monthly—into indices, regardless of market performance. DCA reduces the impact of market volatility by spreading purchases over time. The Boglehead Three-Fund Index Portfolio Inspired by Vanguard founder John Bogle, this strategy is a popular approach for simplicity and diversification. It involves splitting index investments across three areas: a domestic stock fund, an international stock fund, and a bond fund. This mix provides broad market exposure and balances growth with risk. According to theory, the strategy is cost-efficient and adaptable to individual risk tolerance, making it a favourite among long-term index investors. Hedging with Index CFDs Traders looking for potential shorter-term opportunities might use index CFDs to hedge against broader market movements or amplify their exposure to a specific trend. With CFDs, traders can go long or short, depending on their analysis, without owning the underlying funds or shares. Who Usually Considers Investing in Indices? Index investing isn’t a one-size-fits-all approach, but it can suit a variety of investors depending on their goals and preferences. Here’s a look at who might find this strategy appealing: Long-Term Investors For those with a long investment horizon, such as individuals saving for retirement, this style of investing offers a practical way to grow wealth over time. By capturing the overall market performance, investors can build a portfolio that aligns with steady, long-term trends. Passive Investors If investors prefer a hands-off approach, index funds can be an option. They require minimal effort to maintain, as they simply track the performance of the market. This makes them appealing to those who want exposure to the markets without constantly managing their investments. Cost-Conscious Investors These passive funds typically have lower management fees than actively managed funds, making them attractive to those who want to minimise costs. Over time, this cost-efficiency might enhance overall returns. Diversification Seekers Investors who value broad exposure will appreciate the inherent diversification of index funds. By investing in an index, they’re spreading risks across dozens—or even hundreds—of assets, reducing reliance on any single stock. CFD Index Trading However, not everyone wants and can invest in funds. Index investing may be very complicated and require substantial funds. It’s where CFD trading may offer an alternative way to engage with index investing, giving traders access to markets without needing to directly own the underlying assets. With CFDs, or Contracts for Difference, traders can speculate on the price movements of an index—such as the S&P 500, FTSE 100, or DAX—whether the market is rising or falling. This flexibility makes CFDs particularly appealing to those who want to take a more active role in the markets. One key advantage of CFDs is the ability to trade with leverage. Leverage allows traders to control a larger position than their initial capital, amplifying potential returns. For instance, with 10:1 leverage, a $1,000 deposit can control a $10,000 position on an index. However, it’s crucial to remember that leverage also increases risk, magnifying losses as well as potential returns. CFDs also enable short selling, allowing traders to take advantage of bearish market conditions. If a trader analyses that a specific index may decline, they can open a short position and potentially generate returns from the downturn—a feature not easily accessible with traditional funds. CFDs can also be used to trade stocks and ETFs. For example, stock CFDs let traders focus on individual companies within an index, such as Apple or Tesla, without needing to buy the shares outright. ETF CFDs, on the other hand, allow for diversification across sectors or themes, mirroring the performance of specific industries or broader markets. One notable feature of CFD trading is its accessibility to global markets. From the Nikkei 225 in Japan to the Dow Jones in the US, traders can access indices from around the world, opening up potential opportunities in different time zones and economies. In short, for active traders looking to amplify their exposure to indices or explore potential short-term opportunities, CFD trading can be more suitable than traditional indices investing. The Bottom Line Index investing offers a practical way to gain market exposure, while trading index CFDs adds flexibility for active traders. With CFDs, you can get exposure to indices, ETFs and stocks. Moreover, you can take advantage of both rising and falling prices without the need to wait for upward trends. Whether you're aiming for long-term growth or potential short-term opportunities, combining these approaches can diversify your strategy. With FXOpen, you can trade index, stock, and ETF CFDs from global markets, alongside hundreds of other assets. Open an FXOpen account today to explore trading with low costs and tools designed for traders of all levels. Good luck! FAQ What Is Index Investing? Index investing involves tracking the performance of a specific financial market index, such as the S&P 500 or FTSE 100, by investing in funds that mirror the index. It provides broad market exposure and is often seen as a straightforward, passive investment strategy. What Are Index Funds? Index funds are financial instruments created to mirror the performance of a particular market index. They’re commonly structured as mutual funds or ETFs. At FXOpen, you can trade CFDs on a wide range of ETFs, including the one that tracks the performance of the S&P 500 index. What Makes Indices Useful? Indices offer a benchmark for understanding market performance and provide a way to diversify investments. By representing a segment of the market, they allow investors and traders to gain exposure to multiple assets in one investment. Is It Better to Invest in Indices or Stocks? It depends on your goals. According to theory, indices provide diversification and potentially lower risk compared to picking individual stocks, but stocks might offer higher potential returns. Many traders and investors combine both approaches for a balanced portfolio. Does Index Investing Really Work? As with any financial asset, the effectiveness of investing depends on an investor’s or trader’s trading skills and strategy. According to theory, the S&P 500 has averaged annual returns of about 10% over several decades, making index investments potentially effective. However, this doesn’t mean index investing will work for everyone. What Are the Big 3 Index Funds? The "Big 3" index funds often refer to those from Vanguard, BlackRock (iShares), and State Street (SPDR), which collectively manage a significant portion of global fund assets. For example, at FXOpen, you can trade CFDs on SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) tracking the S&P 500 stock market index and Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) which reflects the performance of the FTSE High Dividend Yield Index. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXMEducation
by FXOpen
1
Market Snapshotwww.saferbankingresearch.com In light of Jerome Powell speaking Friday thought this was a great article The below quote is from the FED as referenced in the article and Avi Gilburt rightfully asks why they would make stress tests LESS STRINGENT....hmmnnn "The current severely adverse scenario features a slightly smaller increase in the unemployment rate in the United States compared to the 2024 severely adverse scenario. The current severely adverse scenario also features slightly smaller declines in house prices, which reflects the Scenario Design Framework’s response to the slightly lower ratio of nominal house prices to per capita disposable income at the end of 2024. The current severely adverse scenario reflects a decline in commercial real estate prices that is 10 percentage points smaller compared to the previous year’s severely adverse scenario, recognizing that those prices have already declined by a little more than 10% relative to their most recent peaks and limiting the procyclicality in the stress tests. The potential for spillover effects in asset markets and sharp changes in investor sentiment are captured by a decline in equity prices and an increase in corporate bond spreads, although these changes are less severe relative to last year’s scenario, reflecting less severe stress in commercial real estate markets. The international component of the current severely adverse scenario shows a recessionary episode that, relative to last year’s severely adverse scenario, is the same for the euro area and less severe in all other countries or country blocs."
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
1
S&P 500 Index Analysis (1H Timeframe)Current Price: 5,770.19 USD (+31.66 / +0.55%) Buy Zone: Above 5,767.11 with a target around 5,863.34. Stop Loss: Below 5,725.01 to minimize potential loss. Trend: The price is showing signs of recovery after a downtrend, and a potential upward move is expected if the price stays above support. Advice: Enter a buy position if the price remains stable above 5,767.11 and target 5,863.34. Close the position if the price falls below 5,725.01.
SP:SPXLong
by Grady_Signals
1
SPX Is About to Explode – Here’s What I’m WatchingSPX is at a critical level, and whichever way it breaks, the move could be huge. Here’s my take: If we drop below 5663, I see a move down to 5534 – 5445. If that zone fails, we could head toward 5332, and if selling pressure keeps up, 5234 might be next. But if we break above 5800, the bulls could take over, pushing to 5972, and maybe even 6149. It’s all about reaction levels now. I’m watching these zones closely—what’s your take? Are we heading up or breaking down? Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange Trader Smarter Live Better
SP:SPX
by Mindbloome-Trading
2
S&P 500 and Elliott Wave Principles.A corrective structure that looks like an impulse bursts from 13th Oct 2022. This is the Wave B of a Flat and as expected, it should go beyond Wave 3's end. Flats have B Waves tat unfold in 3 waves. An A, B and a C- S&P is no exception and obeys Elliott Wave Principles. After B(Red), is a 5 Wave move that has a zigzag as its corrective wave for 2 and as per the rules, 4 MUST be a Flat. Indeed, 4 is a Flat and we are in the B Wave. A final lunge to the 161.8% Fib should complete Wave B(Green) also Wave C(Red). A retest on the 161.8% Fib would trigger a massive 4th Wave(Black). The Best entries would be at the retest at the top. Alternative entries would be after the upward move marked in blue confirms.
SP:SPX
by machariavictor017
1
S&P500 Rebound: Glimpses of Stability in the Midst of a StormBy Ion Jauregui, Analyst ActivTrades The S&P500 index has surprised everyone by rebounding after a historic day of declines. The volatility experienced last Monday, driven by uncertainty over new tariff measures, has begun to subside, giving a glimpse of a possible equilibrium in the US markets. Yesterday was a real hell for investors. Fears were triggered by the confirmation of plans to double tariffs on steel and aluminum, with particular stringency for imports from Canada. This announcement, part of a strategy of trade tightening, generated a domino effect that sent the S&P500 sharply lower, highlighting the market's sensitivity to economic policy decisions. Europe's response to the tariffs was swift with a subsequent statement from the European Commission with “swift and proportionate” countermeasures to U.S. imports. However, yesterday's subsequent session saw an unexpected response. Activity on Wall Street showed a moderation in the initial panic, and several traders took the opportunity to buy back assets on attractive technical terms. This rebound not only suggests that the plunge may have been an overreaction, but also reflects the resilience inherent in one of the world's most closely watched markets. The White House, for its part, tried to calm the mood, insisting that the sharp drop was a “one-off” and not representative of the strength of the U.S. economy. Meanwhile, Trump himself, through his statements, continues to set the tone in the debate on the transition to a new economic paradigm, where the implementation of tariffs is only one of the edges of a broader strategy. Looking ahead, the focus is on how trade measures will evolve and whether market responses will be able to sustain in the face of possible further turbulence. The partial recovery of the S&P500 is certainly an indication that traders are willing to ride out the uncertainty as long as signs of consistent, stability-oriented economic policy materialize. Technical analysis Looking at the trend of the index, the fall since February 21 has been extended. With a very pronounced fall this week of -4.05% being the fall since the beginning of the month of -7.33% and -9.34% since the beginning of the fall. Yesterday's bounces could change the game of bearish dynamics of the index indicating a possible brake to this rampant fall generating the entry of buyers into the market. The strongest triple bell zone is located in the area of 4,953 points, a range that tried to consolidate after the beginning of the fall. The most plausible zone for price recovery in case of a bulls' advance in the market. If we look at a long-term perspective, the stock has bounced off the September 11, 2024 price level and could have closed a bullish gap. But before moving to the third long term bell we have another prior range at the 5,755 area where the current checkpoint is located. The mid-range crosses have not given any kind of trend reversal signal, so it is very likely that this week will see a retest of the 5,548 price. There is no “two without three”. If this price does not hold it is possible that the price could pull back to 5,491.29 points as first resistance and second resistance at 5,378.48 points. RSI indicates a point of slight oversold at 44.30% so this could happen during this week of high volatility. In short, the recent rebound is an encouraging sign in a context of high volatility, although the question remains as to whether this recovery will be sustained or simply a momentary respite in the midst of a still uncertain outlook.In the short term, the first year of the Republican administration looks highly volatile for the markets. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:USA500Short
by ActivTrades
1