Why to short SPX HEAVYAs you have seen my previous analysis. As per my analysis this is a double top pattern on SPX . I believe that we will see spx 5860 soon to fill those gaps. Earning season will be the catalystShortby Stockmaanreal2
S&P500 smashed every Resistance on its way to 6350.The S&P500 index (SPX) hit and rebounded today on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), following last week's break-out. This is the confirmed start of the technical Bullish Leg of the 6-month Channel Up along with the 1D MACD Bullish Cross. Having made a Higher Low on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) last Monday (January 13), we are expecting the standard 1.786 Fibonacci extension as the next Higher High of the pattern. That gives us a 6350 Target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇Longby TradingShot1133
S&P500trend is strong Bulish test the trend line with Bulish divergence beak the range area . anticipate price retrace at fib level 0.50%. entry price (Buy limit) 5953 Stop Loss 5760 Take profit 6143 RRR 1:1Longby Trad3MaX-AdEEL2
S&P 500 SELL ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPTHere on S&P 500 price form a supply around level of 5778.15 and now likely to fall so trader should go for short with expect profit target of 4822.34 and 3873.12 . Use money managementShortby FrankFx143
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.24.2024🔮 📅 Fri Jan 24 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core PCE Price Index m/m: 0.1% 📊 Employment Cost Index q/q: 0.8% ⏰ 9:45am 📊 Chicago PMI: 36.9 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then dropping back down into the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Trump mentioned he will try to lower the rates. Let’s see how the markets adjust to it, but definitely expecting a little more bullishness to the upside. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: A large recovery will allow the markets to tag the red lines before closing slightly lower below the weekly HPZ. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investingLongby PogChan2
Nightly SPX/SPX/SPY Predictions for 1.27.2024🔮 📅 Mon Jan 27 No major U.S. data 🌍 Global Watch: ECB signals 2025 rate cuts (25–50 bps expected). 📅 Tue Jan 28 ⏰ 10:00am ET 📊 CB Consumer Confidence: 105.9 (prev: 104.7) 🌍 Global Watch: Eurozone inflation rises to 2.4% (stagflation risks). 📅 Wed Jan 29 ⏰ 2:00pm ET 📊 Federal Funds Rate: 4.50% (prev: 4.50%) 📜 FOMC Statement ⏰ 2:30pm ET 🎙️ FOMC Press Conference 🌍 Global Watch: ECB downgrades 2025 GDP to 1.1% (Germany recession). 📅 Thu Jan 30 ⏰ 8:30am ET 📊 Advance GDP q/q: 2.7% (prev: 3.1%) 📊 Unemployment Claims: 221K (prev: 223K) 🌍 Global Watch: ECB rate decision (25–50 bps cut expected). 📅 Fri Jan 31 ⏰ 8:30am ET 📊 Core PCE Price Index m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.1%) 📊 Employment Cost Index q/q: 0.9% (prev: 0.8%) 🌍 Global Watch: Eurozone Q4 GDP forecast: 0.3–0.4% (spillover risk). 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then dropping back down into the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Hard to move up higher, so will slowly chop down to the Cushion levels. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a slight recovery but still drop and chop back down into the lower range. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtaoShortby PogChan2
SPX500 looks to uptrend on hour chart and will make its way headSPX500 looks to uptrend on hour chart and will make its way heading to daily resistant level. Hello mates, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is always setting a Stop Loss when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. Our 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!by QQGuo-Shane2
Not just the stocks crashing.. everythingSince i've been looking at the monthly timeframe it's been difficult to pinpoint the crash but i'm 99% confident NFP is going to do the trick. this should be interesting Shortby hickrsUpdated 3
S&P 500 insanely overvaluedThe Buffett Indicator (aka, Buffett Index, or Buffett Ratio) is the ratio of the total United States stock market to GDP. This ratio fluctuates over time since the value of the stock market can be very volatile, but GDP tends to grow much more predictably. The current ratio of 208% is approximately 66.62% (or about 2.2 standard deviations) above the historical trend line, suggesting that the stock market is Strongly Overvalued relative to GDP. The Buffett Indicator expresses the value of the US stock market in terms of the size of the US economy. If the stock market value is growing much faster than the actual economy, then it may be in a bubble. The P/E ratio is a classic measure of a stock's value indicating how many years of profits (at the current earnings rate) it takes to recoup an investment in the stock. The current S&P500 10-year P/E Ratio is 36.5. This is 79.2% above the modern-era market average of 20.4, putting the current P/E 2.0 standard deviations above the modern-era average. This suggests that the market is Strongly Overvalued. P/E ratios can only go so high. To justify a P/E ratio that is consistently above its own historic average for long periods of time, the US stock market must not only continue to grow, but would need to continue to grow at a continuously increasing rate.Shortby besikmurjikneli2
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area 6104 (Wave 3).Colleagues, I see that the price has completed wave “4” and is now forming wave “5” of the higher order. I believe that the price may go into correction in the lower wave “2” to the area of 50% Fibonacci level 5896.9, after which I expect the upward movement to continue to the resistance area 6104. The upward movement is the priority, so I warn that the price may just continue to move upward, updating the wave “1”. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!Longby Hellena_TradeUpdated 3317
Spx versus GoldMake sure you are on the right side of the macro capital flow trends when they turn via a Capital Rotation Event. They can drastically alter your probabilities of success. Spx lost over 86%, then over 94% and 88% versus gold. No reason to go through that pain.by Badcharts7
Sell In May and Go Away?The best that I can see at this point in time. I think trading under Trump will be volatile and the volatility will continue to be realized through the tape until midyear. I see 6308 to 6371 as top targets at this time, the path is very uncertain but against most thoughts of a parabolic move, I think EW prevails and timing sets up for midyear reversal and possibly the end of this large large bull run. Time will tell. Im often wrong. Not financial advice.by Brukks1
S&P 500 hits all-time highsUS stock index futures were a touch lower this morning, pulling back following gains for all four majors on Thursday. Yesterday the S&P 500 finally broke above 6,100 to hit a fresh all-time high, while also posting a record close. The Dow and NASDAQ 100 were both around 1% below their respective all-time highs, while the mid-cap, domestically-focused Russell 2000 is now 6% adrift. Bear in mind how the Russell outperformed the other indices in the aftermath of Trump’s decisive electoral victory in November. Could this suggest that there are problems in the broader US stock market, away from the giant multinationals? The yield on the 10-year Treasury note is unchanged from yesterday at around 4.63%. The pullback in yields since last week’s benign inflation data is giving equities some support. The US dollar has fallen from the 26-month highs hit just under a fortnight ago. The Dollar Index has lost around 2.5% since then which is a significant move. Prior to Trump’s inauguration, the dollar had rallied, partly on the expectation that he would impose immediate swingeing tariffs from ‘Day 1’ as he threatened while on the campaign trail. The dollar retreated as tariffs weren’t forthcoming, and it fell further overnight following Trump’s call for an immediate cut in interest rates. His call comes just ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting. Although the probability of another cut from the Fed is realistically zero. The fourth quarter earnings season has had a positive start, and this is helping to support equities. Today brings results from a range of corporates across different sectors including American Express, Verizon Communications, NextEra Energy, HCA Healthcare and some regional banks. There are also updates on US Manufacturing and Services PMIs. by TradeNation1
Prediction for Recession once SPX hits 6666Prediction for Recession once SPX hits 6666 and a large world event to around the 4500 below area sharply in May 2025 Similar to the drop February 2006, we hit 666 Lets see if my prediction plays out by Otter_1
Global Liquidity Index Overlaid on S&P 500 Tracking the Global Liquidity Index with the S&P 500 helps understand liquidity's impact on market performance and predict future moves. The GLI offers a unified view of central bank balance sheets, converted to USD, excluding currency-pegged banks, with reliable data since 2007. Rising liquidity often leads to market growth, while declining liquidity could signal pullbacks or increased volatility. Liquidity Spikes: Sudden rises in the GLI may boost the S&P 500. Liquidity Dips: Falling liquidity may signal market decline due to higher volatility and trading difficulties. Divergence between the GLI & S&P 500: If stocks rise while liquidity falls, a correction might be coming. If liquidity rises while stocks fall, the market might catch up to the liquidity increase. The GLI indicates that risk appetite is starting to decline. High liquidity encourages risk-taking; low liquidity leads to safer investments, increasing volatility and potential market declines. Thanks for Liking and Sharing! 🥕🐇by GreyRabbitFinance2
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & targets for Today & Tomorrow (FOMC)35EMA Underneath us, island gap above us, top of the expected move on the day is 6120 above that all-time highs and 6130 on tomorrow’s contract. If I was looking at bear call spreads I’d probably do 6130/6140. Bottom of the move on the day 6015 and underneath all of that is that 50 day moving average with the 30 minute and one hour 200 Bearily positioned underneath that. Is we drop I’ll be looking to 6010/6000 bull put spreads on todays contract - Let’s go 🙌by SPYder_QQQueen_TradingUpdated 1
US500 0.618 correction and then longGuys do you see US500 0.618 correction and then long?Longby khmurach1
S&P 500 Uptrend Simple view of the long term trendlines for the S&P. Not a recommendation to buy or sell securities. For informational purposes only. by jpmonaghantradeview1
(Fixed Chart) $SPX Analysis, Key Levels & TargetsI made a mistake in the first SPY chart this is the actual trading range for today 5935 to 6080 and as of right now we’re sitting right at the 50 day moving which is a critical level underneath that we do have that downward facing 1hr 200MA and the 30min 200 for support on the day by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading2
Potential trade setup on S&P 500We are looking at a long trade on S&P 500 based on the stretch strategy. There is trend,stretch and direction alignment with this trade on both 1h and Daily TF. Early entry was taken on swing high breakout on 1h for a trend change. There is a high probability for range,previous daily high and range to be formed to the upside. We will exit the trade once range has been achieved. Trader Order Details: S&P 500(Long) E - 6083 SL - 6066 T - 6122 We will be tracking this move and updating the post as we go along on the charts and on video. Keep a look out for it traders.Longby masterthemarkets2010Updated 2
China threatens US AI dominanceUS stock index futures have tumbled overnight. Investors rushed to bail out of chipmakers and tech-related equities in reaction to China’s threat to US dominance over the development of generative AI. A relatively small Chinese company called DeepSeek has produced a powerful open-source artificial intelligence model at a fraction of the cost, yet with capabilities equal or better than, many US versions such as ChatGPT. The DeepSeek version is already the top-rated free application on Apple's US App. The threat has led to a sudden, and painful, reconsideration of tech stock valuations along with their plans for future capital expenditures. The tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 was down close to 4% in early trade, with thumping losses for chipmakers. NVIDIA, Super Micro Computer and the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company were all around 10% lower in morning trade. ‘Magnificent Seven’ constituents Meta, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft and Tesla were all 5-6% weaker. The final ‘Mag 7’ member, Apple, was little-changed. But it has fallen 15% from its all-time high from Christmas, and testing support around $220. Given this year’s sell-off, investors may decide to sit on their hands for now, at least until they can digest Apple’s earnings which are released after Thursday’s close. On Wednesday there are fourth quarter updates from Microsoft, Meta Platforms and Tesla. It’s worth considering that the ‘Mag 7’ members account for 34% of the total market capitalisation of the S&P 500, so there’s a lot riding on this quarter given current high valuations and the uncertainty that comes with a Trump presidency. Mr Trump has yet to impose tariffs despite threats to Canada, Mexico and China. He successfully threatened Colombia to take two plane-loads of deportees or face tariffs of 25%, rising to 50% next week. The Federal Reserve is expected to keep rates unchanged after its meeting on Wednesday. In the meantime, bond prices are picking up again. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell 11 basis points to 4.50% this morning-its lowest level in over a month. This suggests that investors are putting the proceeds of dumped stocks straight into the bond market for now. It could also imply that equities could have more downside, given opportunists don’t appear to be in any rush to buy at cheaper levels. by TradeNation1
US500 will continue go upIt just begin the up trend in W1 chart, and continue go up for a couple of weeksby harrynguyen88902