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SPX500 trade ideas

My Bullishness May Prove to be Terribly Wrong I've been a persistent bear into all the rallies under 5700 but 5700 I did think was a good level for a bounce. I still expected lower off this but from as early as November I'd forecast a bounce here if we topped somewhere around 6100. This was betting on a 1.27 hold or at least a dead cat. That idea might have failed today. Markets closed today at support. I don't like bear posting at lows in general and hate doing it on support ... but if this support breaks, the drop can double. We could see a capitulation of 500 points in SPX. It could be something we see soon.
SP:SPXShort
by holeyprofit
2
US500: Bearish Pattern Signals A Bigger DeclineUS500: Bearish Pattern Signals A Bigger Decline The US500 index has broken down from another bearish pattern, signaling the beginning of a bearish movement. The price could continue to move down to the 5718 and 5780 areas, where it may find strong support. The bearish movement is also attributed to the turmoil created by Trump's tariffs on major trading partners, including China, Canada, and Mexico. These actions may create problems for US companies. The index is showing these problems by moving down today and opening the door to further decline. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by KlejdiCuni
7
MARKET ALERT: Sound the AlarmOver the past few years as price has reached major potential turning points in the market I have sounded the alarm that LONG SIDE RISK has risen and to be on HIGH ALERT for a potential downturn. Of course as we have seen this Bull Market has had significant legs and has continued to grind higher. What now? I told you in September that it did not matter who was elected that the Market would turn weak...and it did We have been going essentially sideways since November I also said that around Jan 15th the market would turn lower...and it has I also said that lower move would take us down to the 5600-5700 region..and it did Now I am telling you that we are setting up for what appears to be ONE FINAL PUSH HIGHER Where does that move take us? Somewhere near 6500 What happens after that? You can expect a SWIFT CRASH LIKE move back to almost exactly where we are now but probably around 5400 And its at THAT point that ALL CARDS WILL BE ON THE TABLE You should expect a retracement back up from that 5400 region If that retracement is CLEARLY CORRECTIVE in nature then you can expect a move down to 5000 and if the market cant hold that region then its: GAME OVER Can I be wrong? Absolutely...and for the sake of the people I love, this country that I call home and my brotherhood of fellow humans around the world I HONESTLY HOPE I AM Because if I'm not wrong then whats coming over the next decade will be potentially MUCH WORSE THAN A RECESSION PREPARE YOURSELF
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
S&P500 1D MA200 hit after 16 months!The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a multi-year Channel Up since the October 12 2022 market bottom and hit yesterday its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 16 months (since November 01 2023). This is naturally an excellent technical buy entry for the long-term on this structure but is also a Higher Low for the Channel Up. At the same time, the 1D RSI has almost reached its oversold barrier (30.00), which during those 2.5 years has offered the 5 most optimal buy signals. Given that each rally after such Higher Low has been -4% weaker than the previous, we can expect the one that is about to begin to be +20% (-4% less than the previous one of +24%). As a result, our new long-term Target is 6900. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TradingShot
5
S&P 500 reversal target - 6151Looking at a potential reversal target for the S&P 500 as we move beyond the election year into 2025. When scanning backwards on the previous high from late 2021, we can see price action clearly retested the speed fib on multiple weeks before a final rejection that induced the mini bear market which ended Oct of '22. Following that same speed fib forward into 2024, we can clearly see price is NOW, once again, retesting this magnetic fib zone. To figure out where this is all going, let's measure from the Jan '22 high into the Oct '22 low. Here, we get a 1.854 and 2.0 fib extension which intersects with the speed fib in question. Making some assumptions that price will AGAIN, range and retest multiple times before resolving, we can overlay "bars pattern" (from Jan '21 HIGH - Oct '22 LOW) and see when and how this could play out. Now, we wait and see how this movie ends! Note: Not trading or investment advice. ENTERTAINMENT ONLY!
OANDA:SPX500USD
by tantamount
SPX: the “kangaroo” marketSince the establishment of financial markets there has been a market separation on bullish and bearish markets. Traders just invented the third option called the kangaroo market, in an attempt to describe recent developments of price movements. It refers to rare development of the price movements when the price of an asset goes strongly in one direction and then returns back to a starting position, all within one single trading day. It also reflects the level of uncertainty that is currently evident. The S&P 500 continues to be in a correction mood. The index was struggling to sustain the 6K level, however, the price moves from the previous week are showing that the market is slowly losing nerves. The worst week since September is behind, as analysts noted. On Monday, the index tried for one more time to reach the 6K resistance, and then finally reverted to the downside. The lowest weekly level was at 5.670, which was the last time traded in July 2024, while a total weekly loss accounts for 3,1%. Jobs report posted on Friday, brought figures which were lower from market expectation, with a 151K in NFPs. The unemployment rate was also higher by 1pp, ending the month at 4,1%. This is not a good sign for the economy, adding to its high uncertainty over US Administration trade tariffs. Currently, trade tariffs are playing a crucial role when it comes to market sentiment. In this sense, the negative sentiment might continue, but unfortunately, also the kangaroo moves. The market is trying to find new grounds, which might take some time.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Stocks May Be OversoldThe S&P 500 has been falling swiftly, but it may be considered oversold. The first pattern on today’s chart is Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the lower study. RSI slipped below 30 for the first time since October 2023. That could make some traders think it’s due for a potential bounce. Next, the middle study includes our MA Distance custom script. It shows price dropped the furthest below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) since October 2022. That may also suggest it’s experienced a healthy pullback. Third is July 5’s last price of 5567, which was the first weekly close in the second half of 2024. It became resistance in early August and support in two subsequent weeks. SPX held that level again yesterday, so it may be reemerging as a meaningful area. If the index manages to stabilize here and rebound, how high might the bounce go? Traders could potentially look to the price zone between January 13's low of 5773 and the March 4 low of 5733. It’s also near the 200-day SMA. Investors with a longer-term view may expect further volatility given the sharpness of the recent drop and the uncertainty caused by tariffs. That may prompt them to eye a deeper low around 5402, where SPX held in early September before breaking out to new highs. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
SP:SPX
by TradeStation
Wave 5 Vibes in SPX. Very close to puking my bullish positions and reverting back to being a bear (although I hate to short at these levels, I'd probably wait for a break and rally) but this is possibly a wave 5 spike out. If it is, then we'll see a big rally to over 6000. Big attempts at this on now, largely weighted with deep OTM calls so they're cheap to lose. Wave 5 would be about over now if this is correct. Otherwise, I think we'll end up trading 5000. Would just be a matter of what path. I'd not short immediately, but I would bail on longs quickly.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by holeyprofit
SP500 Analysis: Bearish Momentum Targeting 5695 & 5675S&P 500 (SPX500) Analysis – March 10, 2025 🔍 Technical Outlook: The price is likely to test 5695 and 5675, as bearish momentum continues to drive the market lower. However, if the price stabilizes above 5713, it may rise to 5743 for a retest before resuming the bearish trend. A 1H or 4H candle close below 5675 would confirm further bearish continuation, targeting 5640 and 5600. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: 🔸 Resistance: 5743 | 5764 | 5780 🔻 Support: 5695 | 5675 | 5640 Previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
Bearish Outlook for US500: Watching 5,200 SupportAfter testing support at the end of February, the US500 fell below this key level at the start of March, signaling the potential for a deeper correction. In my view, this scenario is likely, and any rebound this week could present a good selling opportunity for speculators. My target for this correction is the 5,200 support zone. A stabilization above 6,000 would invalidate this outlook. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:US500Short
by Mihai_Iacob
SP500 Consolidates| ETF& Futures Rise Amid Reduced Shutdown RiskS&P 500 Technical Analysis As mentioned in our previous analysis, the price has dropped approximately 450 points. Market Update: Exchange-traded funds and equity futures are higher pre-bell on Friday amid reduced government shutdown risk. Market Outlook: The price is expected to consolidate between 5,570 and 5,640 until a breakout occurs. A 1H candle close above 5,570 will support a bullish move toward 5,608 and 5,640. However, a close below 5,569 will confirm a bearish continuation toward 5,527 and 5,503. Key Levels: Pivot Line: 5,569 Resistance: 5,608 | 5,640 | 5,675 Support: 5,528 | 5,503 | 5,413
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SroshMayi
SP500 – Holding Above Key Pivot! Breakout or Rejection? SP500 – Key Pivot Zone Holding! What’s Next? 🚀 SP500 is currently stabilizing above the pivot zone (5,960), maintaining a bullish structure. 🔼 Bullish Scenario: As long as 5,960 holds, the market could push toward 5,995 and 6,010. A breakout above 6,010 could extend gains toward 6,031 and higher levels. 🔽 Bearish Scenario: A 4H close below 5,960 may indicate weakness, opening the door for a drop to 5,938 and 5,920. If selling pressure increases, the next major support is around 5,879. 📍 Key Levels to Watch: Pivot Line: 5,960 🔼 Resistance: 5,995 | 6,010 | 6,031 🔽 Support: 5,938 | 5,920 | 5,879 ⚡ Outlook & Trade Plan: The bullish bias remains valid while SP500 trades above 5,960. Watch for a 4H candle close to confirm the next breakout or rejection. A breakout above 6,010 could signal a strong continuation toward 6,031+. ⏳ Stay patient and wait for confirmation before entering trades!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
1
S&P500 1week MA50 test is the last before the Cycle tops.S&P500 / US500 tested this week its 1week MA50 successfully as the price almost touched it and rebounded. We have seen this kind of behavior in the last 9-12 months before a Bull Cycle tops. In fact with the 1week RSI trending downwards on a bearish divergence, today's price action looks more similar to the October 13 2014 1week MA50 fakeout, which was breached marginally but rebounded immediately. Based on that, a 6500 Cycle Top target by October 2025 is very much realistic. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
TVC:SPXLong
by TheCryptagon
US Futures Rise Ahead of Key Inflation ReportUS stock futures rose on Wednesday as investors awaited inflation data that could influence Fed policy amid inflation and tariff concerns. S&P 500 Technical Analysis As we mentioned in our previous analysis , the price has dropped about 850 points. Today, the market will be influenced by the CPI release. Currently, the price is attempting to reach the pivot line at 5640. As long as it trades below 5640, further declines are expected. If the CPI comes below 2.9%, it will have a bullish impact on the indices. However, if it is above 2.9%, the effect will be bearish. Key Levels: Pivot Line: 5640 Resistance Levels: 5675 | 5695 | 5779 Support Levels: 5574 | 5527 | 5303
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi