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SPX500 Under Pressure Amid Renewed Israel-Iran TensionsSPX500 Overview Israel-Iran Truce Hopes Collapse Investor hopes for a swift de-escalation between Israel and Iran were quickly shattered as both sides resumed hostilities. The situation intensified further after U.S. President Donald Trump urged Iranian civilians to evacuate Tehran and abruptly ended his participation at the G7 summit, reportedly convening the U.S. National Security Council. These developments have fueled broad risk-off sentiment across markets. Technical Outlook: SPX500 remains under bearish pressure as long as the price trades below 6010. A continued drop toward the key support at 5966 is likely, with a break below this level potentially opening the path to 5938 and 5902. However, if the price stabilizes above 5966 without breaking it, we may see a rebound attempt toward 6010 and 6041. Any signs of negotiation or de-escalation in the conflict could trigger a strong bullish reversal. Support: 5966, 5938, 5902 Resistance: 6041, 6098, 6143
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SroshMayi
Markets Watch: Caution Ahead? U.S. stock index futures rose Monday, buoyed by easing oil prices, even as geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran simmer in the background. All eyes are now on the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. 👀💼 But here’s the catch on the S&P 500 👇 🔹 Price is stalling at a resistance line, tracing back to March highs 🔹 Daily RSI shows major divergence, signalling a loss of momentum 🔹 Rally is slowing just as it approaches the Feb all-time high at 6147 📉 If the index fails to hold and breaks below: 🔻 The 200-day MA at 5808 🔻 Key pivot levels at 5773 (Jan low) and 5787 (March peak) …then we could see real downside pressure emerge. 🛑 For now, the market is showing red flags at a critical level. Stay alert — this could get interesting. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
SP:SPXShort
by The_STA
S&P500 INTRADAY support retest The Israel-Iran conflict has now entered its fourth day, with no signs of de-escalation. Iran launched more missile attacks, while Israel struck back, targeting a major gas field and a key military figure. Notably, Israeli strikes damaged Iran’s uranium facility in Isfahan, and an Iranian missile caused minor damage near the U.S. consulate in Tel Aviv. While these developments added geopolitical stress, markets showed some resilience: Oil prices pulled back after initial gains but remain volatile as the risk of supply disruption in the Middle East — a region supplying ~1/3 of global crude — persists. S&P 500 futures edged higher, indicating investors are not fully in risk-off mode, but remain cautious. On the political front, Donald Trump reportedly blocked an Israeli plan to assassinate Iran’s Supreme Leader. He mentioned the possibility of a future agreement between the two sides but said more conflict may come first. Trump is attending the G7 summit in Canada today, where leaders will discuss how to manage the Middle East crisis and navigate diplomacy with Trump. For S&P 500 traders: Monitor oil prices — a sharp spike on new escalation could weigh on risk sentiment. Headlines from the G7 and any sign of U.S. involvement or de-escalation efforts could shift markets. Geopolitical risk remains elevated, but the market is currently pricing in a contained conflict. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6,058 Resistance Level 2: 6,138 Resistance Level 3: 6,200 Support Level 1: 5,953 Support Level 2: 5,913 Support Level 3: 5,845 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
How Financial Markets Are Reacting to Middle East EscalationHow Financial Markets Are Reacting to the Escalation in the Middle East The exchange of strikes between Iran and Israel continues. However, judging by the behaviour of various assets, market participants do not appear to expect further escalation: → Oil prices are falling. Monday’s candlestick on the XBR/USD chart closed significantly below the opening level. → Safe-haven assets are also retreating: the Swiss franc weakened during Monday’s U.S. session, while a bearish candle formed on the daily XAU/USD chart. Equity markets, too, have largely held their ground. The S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) climbed on Monday (A→B) following reports of potential talks between Iran and the U.S. However, it pulled back (B→C) after the U.S. President urged citizens to evacuate Tehran. Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart News of Israeli strikes on targets inside Iran led to a bearish breakout from the rising channel (marked with a red arrow), though the downward move failed to gain traction. At present, the S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) shows the formation of an ascending triangle — a signal of temporary balance between supply and demand. Still, given the elevated geopolitical uncertainty, this balance remains fragile. It could be disrupted by: → Further developments in the Iran–Israel conflict (notably, Donald Trump left the G7 summit early due to the situation in the Middle East); → U.S. retail sales data , due today at 15:30 GMT+3. It is possible that the S&P 500 may soon attempt to break out of the triangle , potentially triggering a new directional trend. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXM
by FXOpen
1
SPX500 – Cautious Optimism as Market Eyes Fed DecisionSPX500 – Cautious Optimism as Market Eyes Fed Decision Futures tied to the S&P 500 are slightly higher as traders appear to be shrugging off Middle East tensions, viewing the situation as contained for now. However, geopolitical uncertainty remains a risk, and attention is shifting toward upcoming Fed commentary and policy direction. Technical Outlook: The index may pull back toward 5989 and 5966. A break below 5966 opens the path toward 5938, with an extended target at 5902. However, a 1H close above 6010 would signal renewed bullish momentum toward 6041. Key Levels: • Resistance: 6041, 6098, 6143 • Support: 5966, 5938, 5902
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
US500 Will Fall! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for US500. Time Frame: 10h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 5,979.56. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 5,838.14 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:US500Short
by SignalProvider
1
Rising wedge + Bearish divergence + GAP at 5700 + new war !!!Rising wedge + bearish divergence + GAP down at 5700. And yes, a new war in the Middle East. Higher oil prices are coming — Iran controls the Hormuz Strait, where 20–30% of the world’s oil is transported. Yes, Iran is on the sanctions list, but other countries aren’t — they trade with Iran and resell the oil to the rest of the world. Triangle trade. But that supply of 20–30% is about to disappear due to the war. Higher oil prices mean higher expenses. A lot of the world still relies on oil as an energy source. We’re also out of the previous trend we had before the tariffs. DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
SP:SPXShort
by Cryptosiast00
SPX: geopolitics shaping sentiment Although the previous week on US equity markets started with a positive sentiment, still the newly emerged tensions in the Middle East turned the sentiment to the negative side. The S&P 500 was looking for higher grounds, after recently reaching the 6K level again, however, turning 1,13% to the negative territory on Friday, after the news regarding the Middle East tensions. The index is back below the 6K, closing the week at 5.976. While investors were digesting the risks from the Middle East tensions, tech companies were the ones that were mostly driving the index to the down side. NVDA dropped by 2,09%, AAPL was down by 1,38%. On the opposite side was TSLA, with a Fridays gain of 1,94%. On the other hand, the macro fundamentals were relatively positive for the US economy. The inflation is clearly calming down, with the US inflation in May at 0,1%, which was better from market estimate. Also the University of Michigan Consumer sentiment preliminary for June showed decreased inflation expectation by US consumers, at 5,1% for this year, from 6,6% posted previously. The most important event during the week ahead would be the FOMC meeting, scheduled for Wednesday, June 18th. The Fed will also discuss the economic projections. This would be a day to watch on financial markets as it can bring some higher volatility.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
$SPX Path of least resistance is higher. Next Stop : 6500 This week we officially recovered all the losses from the liberation day low. We had a 20% bear market crash and since then there has been a V shaped rally in the major averages. NASDAQ:QQQ and SP:SPX have fully recovered the losses and then some. It is 0% form its ATH. We have been closely following the chart of SP:SPX for the last few weeks and have marked various Fib Retracement levels and Fib Extenstion. IN my opinion the Covid lows were one of the majot drawdown moments. If we plot the Fib Extension on the COVID highs and lows, we can clearly see the Support and Resistance zones. As per the Fib Levels the next consequential level in SP:SPX will be 6550, which is the 3.618 Fib level. That I would suggest as the path to least resistance. First, we go higher before we can see any major correction. In case of a Major correction, we get support @ 5300. Verdict : SP:SPX goes higher first before correction. 6550 is the next stop.
SP:SPXLong
by RabishankarBiswal
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 27, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading week, the S&P 500 Index has predominantly demonstrated an upward trajectory, surpassing the Mean Resistance level of 6046, the Outer Index Rally target of 6073, and the critical Key Resistance threshold of 6150. Currently, the index is exhibiting a bullish trend, indicating potential movement towards the Outer Index Rally objective of 6235. However, it is essential to note that there is a substantial probability that prices may retract from their current levels to test the Mean Support at 6136 before experiencing a resurgence.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
V2. US S&P Zones - PMI Manuf, USINTR, Inflation, DXY & QEV2. US S&P Zones - PMI Manuf, USINTR, Inflation, DXY & QE US S&P Zone Analysis -- Correlation with 1. Leading Economic Indicators (PMI Manufacturing Index, PMI Services Index, Building Permits) 2. US Interest Rates (MEAN 1.97 from Jan 2003) 3. US Inflation Rate YoY 4. Dollar Index (DXY) 5. Quantitative Easing Episodes WHY CHANGE IN APPROACH? As per Ammar Bhai, Red and other Zones for US and developed markets shall not follow only Interest Rates after 2000. Traditional single impact of Interest Rate is not Enough. NOTE ABOUT INFLATION ABOVE 5% It was also noticed that if inflation was about 5% that coincided with Red and Yellow zone and it must be avoided for stock trading. NEW APPROACH NEW GREEN ZONE 1. PMI Manuf Index is RISING or ABOVE 50 2. Interest Rates are FALLING or LEVELED or BELOW MEAN (Expansionary Policy in Effect) 3. Inflation is FALLING or AROUND TARGET 4. DXY is FALLING or SIDEWAYS 5. Stock Market RISING NEW APPROACH for RED ZONE 1. PMI Manuf Index is FALLING or BELOW 50 2. Interest Rates are RISING or LEVELED or ABOVE MEAN (Contractionary Policy in Effect) 3. Inflation is RISING or SIDEWAYS. (Also Check if Inflation rate is above 5%) 4. DXY is RISING 5. Stock Market FALLING or SIDEWAYS NEW YELLOW ZONE 1. PMI Manuf Index is RISING or ABOVE 50 2. Interest Rates are RISING or LEVELED 3. Inflation is RISING or SIDEWAYS (Also Check if Inflation rate is above 5%) 4. DXY is RISING or SIDEWAYS 5. Stock Market RISING or SIDEWAYS NEW ORANGE ZONE 1. PMI Manuf Index is SIDEWAYS or BELOW 50 2. Interest Rates are FALLING or LEVELED or BELOW MEAN (Expansionary Policy in Effect) 3. Inflation is FALLING or SIDEWAYS (Also Check if Inflation rate is above 5%) 4. DXY is FALLING or SIDEWAYS 5. Stock Market RISING or SIDEWAYS Historically whenever Interest Rates are dropping, US market goes down for some months: US somehow try to control Inflation before bringing the interest rates down. When Inflation is under control and Growth has not gone down much, then they decrease the interest rates Because in past whenever Interest rates were decreased, growth also fell for some months and then improved. Then FED does QE, which bring surplus cash in the market, Which drops Dollar rate, that helps the Stock Market grow.
SP:SPX
by haroonraees
Generally bullish sentiment heading into next weekWednesday's AUD CHF trade finally stopped out. I've been a little surprised by CHF resilience considering the 'risk on' environment. I have read an interesting article suggesting CHF and EUR strength can be attributed to holding relatively high amounts of gold reserves. I'm not sure how much long term credence I'd give that theory but it does make sense. Meanwhile, the USD turned out to be the currency to short this week as the market starts to price in more rate cuts than thought a few weeks ago. It could be a tricky road ahead for the FED, as softening data, and now today's higher than forecast PCE data means the dreaded 'stagflation' word will be mentioned. But with the VIX well below 20 and the S&P touching all time highs, in the absence of Middle East re-escalation or fresh tariff concerns, I'll begin next week with a mind to continue looking for 'risk on' trades. For today, I will let Friday's price action do what it's going to do and start fresh next week.
SP:SPXLong
by johnelfedforexblog
S&P 500 hits fresh records: Levels to watchBreaking its February peak, the S&P 500 has joined the Nasdaq 100 in hitting a new record high this week. The latest gains came on the back of a sharp de-escalation in the Middle East and mounting pressure on the Fed to cut rates. They question is whether it will kick on from here or we go back lower given that trade uncertainty is still unresolved. Indeed, there’s the upcoming 9 July deadline, when the current reciprocal tariff truce is due to expire. Unless it’s extended—or replaced by something more concrete—we could be in for another wave of trade tensions. It is also worth remembering the ever-looming US fiscal showdown. Trump’s much-touted spending bill—nicknamed the “One Big Beautiful Bill”—is targeting a Senate vote by the 4th of July. If passed, it could reignite concerns about ballooning deficits and inflationary pressure. Anyway, from a purely technical analysis point of view, the path of least resistance continues to remain to the upside. Thus, we will concentrate on dip buying strategy than looking for a potential top - until markets make lower lows and lower highs again. With that in mind, some of the key support levels to watch include the following: 6069 - the mid-June high, which may now turn into support on a potential re-test from above 6000 - this marks the launch pad of the latest rally and marks the 21-day exponential average 5908 - this week's low, now the line in the sand. It wouldn’t make sense for the market to go below this level if the trend is still bullish. Meanwhile, on the upside: 6169 is the first target, marking the 161.8% Fib extension of the most recent downswing 6200 is the next logical upside target given that this is the next round handle above February’s peak of 6148 By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
SPX500 Macro Fibonacci Projection – Eyeing 7190+ 🗓️ Posted by Wavervanir International LLC | June 26, 2025 The S&P 500 continues to respect key Fibonacci zones on the macro scale. After a strong recovery from the recent correction near the 0.5–0.618 retracement region (4800–5100), price is now hovering near critical confluence at the 1.0 level (~6150). We’re tracking a bullish extension path toward 1.382 and 1.618 Fibonacci levels, which gives us a primary upside target zone between 7,190 and 7,795 — aligning with the projected long-term wave expansion. This structure favors a continued institutional accumulation phase, supported by macroeconomic resilience and liquidity conditions. 🔶 Key Levels to Watch: Major Support: 4838.28 (0.5 Fib Retest) Immediate Resistance: 6170–6200 Target Range: 7190.71 → 7795.41 🧠 Bias remains bullish unless price breaks back below 5830 with volume. This is not financial advice. Shared for educational and strategic insights. Let me know your thoughts, traders! — #SPX500 #Fibonacci #WaverVanir #MacroTrends #StockMarket2025 #QuantitativeAnalysis
FX:SPX500Long
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Is Now a Good Time to Invest in the S&P 500? Is Now a Good Time to Invest in the S&P 500? The chart shows the S&P 500 in a long-term upward trend, with clear channels indicating zones from "extremely cheap" (bottom green line) to "extremely expensive" (top red line). Currently, the index is trading near the upper part of the channel, in the "expensive" to "extremely expensive" area. What Does This Mean for Investors? The current price level suggests the S&P 500 is expensive compared to its historical trend, increasing the risk of a short-term correction. Historically, buying near the top of such channels has offered less margin of safety and a higher probability of pullbacks in the following months. Investment idea It is a good time to start investing gradually (using a dollar-cost averaging strategy, investing a fixed amount each month) rather than making a lump-sum, “all-in” investment with your savings. This approach allows you to benefit from long-term market growth while reducing the risk of entering at a market peak. The risks currently outweigh the potential short-term gains, and we could see better prices in the coming months. In summary: Now is not the time to go all-in on the S&P 500. Gradually investing each month is a sensible approach, given the elevated risk of a correction and the possibility of better entry points ahead.
SP:SPX
by TopChartPatterns