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SPX500 trade ideas

$SPX Exit Stage LeftWe have several things going on with the SP:SPX Right now. Some say its a bullflag, Some say it's a head and shoulders. The simplest explanation often being the best, SP:SPX is testing a downtrend line that was formed as a result of price action continuously rejecting at a Supply Level. Price is consolidating, however with the aggressive short attack on the SP:SPX at the close Friday, valuations being in the clouds and meme coin holders being rugged by world leaders, I would say there is a more than fair chance all this stupidity marks a top. With a very dubious and undecided CCI, weather we break above first or break lower first does not matter. We are going down. First target is a closing of that huge Wide open space at 5850. Then Liquidity at 5700 and a third target at 5400. We will see after that. Don't forget to Short the NSE:BANKNIFTY too...
SP:SPXShort
by Midgar-
Blood on the Street Next Week, S&P Drop incomingI had expected to see the index start falling this past week, so it was surprising to see it rise in such aggressive bursts, even leaving gaps preceding the last three days' openings. This displayed great strength which, Im expecting, induced many investors to go long. This in my view is just as intended to trap them and close them out on a loss this upcoming week by breaking down sharply and filling out the gaps left behind. As a confirmation of this I'm awaiting to see it move below Friday's low which should really tip the price pressure lower after initially catching some of Friday's longs and generating momentum on those liquidations. Ideally, the price won't revisit the high at 6,055 but the ultimate invalidation point is at the all-time high. Happy Trading :)
SP:SPXShort
by HydraFinance
US500/SPX500 "Standard & Poor" Indices Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US500 / SPX500" Indices market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade after the breakout of MA level 5960 (OR) Entry in Pullback 5820 Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 6000.00 (or) escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ Expected Trend: The US500/S&P500 index is expected to move in a bullish trend. Drivers of the Trend: The bullish trend is driven by: Strong US economic growth Low interest rates A potential rebound in corporate earnings Current Price: The current price of the S&P 500 is around 5802. Client Sentiment: 51% of client accounts are holding long positions on this market. Top Risers: Some of the top risers in the US500 index include stocks with percentage changes of: 27.55% 5.8% 32.96% Top Fallers: Some of the top fallers in the US500 index include stocks with percentage changes of: -26.21% -17.09% -49.06% Dow Jones Index: The Dow Jones index has been holding support, despite rising yields putting pressure on global indices. Earnings Growth: The S&P 500 is expected to report its strongest earnings growth since Q4 2021, with an 11.9% increase. Market Sentiment: Bullish Sentiment: 60% of traders and investors are bullish on the US500/S&P500, expecting the market to continue its upward trend. Bearish Sentiment: 30% of traders and investors are bearish on the US500/S&P500, expecting the market to pull back or reverse its trend. Neutral Sentiment: 10% of traders and investors are neutral on the US500/S&P500, waiting for more information or confirmation before making a trade. Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
ICMARKETS:US500Long
by Thief_Trader
S&P500 Only buy above this level.S&P500 is trading on a Channel Up and today crossed over the MA50 (1d) again. In order to confirm any bullish sentiment, it has to cross above the Falling Resistance coming from the previous high. If it does, it can technically follow the growth % of the previous bullish waves that was +7.15%. Trading Plan: 1. Buy if the price crosses above the Falling Resistance. Targets: 1. 6180 (+7.15% from the bottom). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) has already crossed over its MA trendline. Already a strong bullish breakout. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TradingBrokersView
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets For Today & Tomorrow We are above the 50 day moving average the one hour to under moving average and 35 EMA on the 30 minute timeframe and then we have that up gap from last Friday all on the downside of the trading range. We are currently at a resistance level here, and above it we have another one at 6045 (top of the implied move) which was a support in December before we broke down and then it turned into a resistance. We have an island gap underneath the 30 minute tun removing average above the four hour to removing average and just remember they always do fill. It doesn’t have to be this week but it definitely could be so if you’re bar that might be a good place to look to take profits if we do go down. I will dive much more deeply into these levels on tonight's video, but for now we at least have them. Things to Watch this Week: Earnings Reports: Major companies like Netflix (NFLX), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Procter & Gamble (PG), United Airlines (UAL), General Electric (GE), Alaska Air (ALK), American Airlines (AAL), CSX Corporation (CSX), Verizon (VZ), HCA Healthcare (HCA), and American Express (AXP) are set to release their earnings. These reports can significantly influence market sentiment and stock prices. Manufacturing PMI: The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing will provide insight into the health of the manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while below 50 suggests contraction. This data can influence expectations about economic growth and interest rates. Services PMI: Similarly, the Services PMI will give an overview of the service sector's performance. Given the service sector's substantial contribution to the economy, this data is critical for understanding overall economic trends. Home Sales: Data on existing home sales can shed light on consumer confidence and spending in the housing market, which is a major component of economic activity. Changes in home sales can signal shifts in economic health. Jobless Claims: Weekly initial jobless claims numbers are a pulse check on the labor market. Rising claims might indicate economic slowdown, while falling claims suggest job growth and economic strength. Market Volatility: The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has been noted to be fluctuating, which might continue this week. Monitoring the VIX can help assess market fear or complacency. Interest Rate Sensitivity: With the Federal Reserve’s actions on interest rates being a focal point, any indication of future policy direction from Fed officials' speeches or economic data releases could sway markets. Look for comments from Fed members or economic reports that might hint at rate adjustments. Sector Performance: Particularly, keep an eye on sectors like Technology (with companies like Nvidia potentially leading AI trends), Health Care, and Consumer Discretionary, which have shown movements or are expected to with upcoming earnings. Global Economic Indicators: International developments, especially from major economies like China or the Eurozone, can impact U.S. markets due to globalization. Look for news on global manufacturing, services, or policy changes that could affect investor sentiment. Geopolitical Events: Although not directly mentioned in recent market summaries, geopolitical tensions or developments, like trade negotiations or conflicts, can influence markets. Keep an ear out for any significant international news that might ripple through financial markets.
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
Two Daily Gaps attract market for pullbackAlthough S&P500 is within uptrend, recent days has left two clearly visible gaps behind. That means that it is highly possible that SPX will come back to cover those gaps in the near future, before it continue uptrend (if it will). Same picture at NDX chart with two 4H gaps. I take this idea to apply to all markets including crypto. While chances to resume higher timeframe uptrend are valid for Bitcoin, Stock Indices will most probably influence it's short term price action.
TVC:SPX
by WiseAnalyze
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.21.2024🔮 📅 Tue Jan 21 🗓️ Day 2 📍 WEF Annual Meetings 📅 Wed Jan 22 🗓️ Day 3 📍 WEF Annual Meetings 📅 Thu Jan 23 🗓️ Day 4 📍 WEF Annual Meetings ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Unemployment Claims: 220K (prev: 217K) ⏰ 11:00am 🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -2.0M 📅 Fri Jan 24 🗓️ Day 5 📍 WEF Annual Meetings ⏰ 9:45am 📊 Flash Manufacturing PMI: 49.4 📊 Flash Services PMI: 56.8 ⏰ 10:00am 📊 Existing Home Sales: 4.19M (prev: 4.15M) 📊 Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment: 73.2 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: On a gap up, we will get pinned down at HPZ back into the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: A lot of resistance overhead. Markets should cool down after the gaps from last week. Small rally into fade downwards. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: We will likely get a small bounce and hold. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SP:SPXShort
by PogChan
Trump Returns to the White House: Tariffs EyedToday’s inauguration is undoubtedly a big event for traders, analysts, and the global economy. Everyone is watching. Let’s be frank: regardless of your opinion of Donald Trump or his proposed policies, his Presidential election win over Democrat candidate Kamala Harris on 5 November 2024 was nothing short of remarkable. It was a sweeping victory, and Trump returns to the White House today. Trump’s inauguration is expected to begin at 5:00 pm GMT (midday EST) and marks the start of his second term in office. Robust Economy Provides ‘Tariff’ Legroom for Trump While tariffs are undoubtedly inbound, it is unclear what plans Trump will pursue and when he will implement these strategies. Investors are concerned that imposing tariffs could stoke inflation and hinder consumption (and consequently put the brakes on economic growth). According to the latest data (December 2024), we have seen an uptick in US inflation. Year-on-year (YY), CPI inflation (Consumer Price Index) rose for a third consecutive month to 2.9%, PPI inflation (Producer Price Index) also increased for a third straight month to 3.3%, and the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) primary measure of inflation, the PCE Index (Personal Consumption Expenditures), is hovering just north of the Fed’s 2.0% inflation target at 2.4% (for November 2024). This, coupled with real US GDP (Gross Domestic Product) running at an annualised rate of 3.1% in Q3 24 and jobs data showing that the US economy added 256,000 new payrolls in December 2024, reveals Trump has legroom (some ‘cover’ if you will) to impose tariffs early on in his tenure. Trump Tariff ‘Threats’ So Far Speculation regarding the possibility of as many as 100 executive orders being signed today has been circulating the wires. Plenty of ambiguity is unquestionably present heading into today’s event, and the market dislikes uncertainty. Concerning tariff ‘plans’, Trump has floated several possible approaches, including 100% tariffs against BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) unless their governments commit to the US dollar (USD), as well as tariff threats against Canada, China, and Mexico. Trump voiced intentions of introducing 25% tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico and adding an additional 10% tariff on goods from China. What Will I Be Watching Today? Today, I will primarily be looking for any direction on tariffs, particularly concerning Canada, Mexico, and China. Let’s assume Trump follows through on his threats to Canada and Mexico. A 25% tariff (or more) applied on goods from Canada and Mexico will prompt upside in currency pairs like the USD/CAD (US dollar versus the Canadian dollar) and USD/MXN (US dollar versus the Mexican peso) – for those who monitor implied volatility, check out USD/CAD; we are at levels not seen since early 2023! A 25% tariff on the aforesaid countries will also likely trigger a bid in the US Dollar Index and absorb offers around major resistance at 109.33. In contrast, major US equity indexes are expected to take a hit in this scenario. Another observation I feel needs some consideration is the USD positioning heading into this event. The USD is particularly stretched to the upside for those who monitor COT data (Commitment of Traders report). However, although this may be the case, I still expect USD outperformance on the back of 25% tariffs. Nevertheless, were Trump to pursue a lower tariff rate for Canada and Mexico or not to pursue tariffs at all, a considerable unwind in USD longs is possible, and downside in USD/CAD, USD/MXN, as well as the US Dollar Index, would be on the table (upside in US equities). A situation without tariffs would create considerable volatility and open the door to shorting opportunities in key currency pairs. Regarding China, if Trump were to follow through and impose a 10% additional tariff, this would likely send USD/CNY northbound (US dollar versus the Chinese yuan). Additionally, I expect the AUD/USD (Australian dollar versus the US dollar) and NZD/USD (New Zealand dollar versus the US dollar) pairs to trade lower, given their trading relationships with China. I also believe US and Chinese equity markets will sell off. Less than a 10% tariff or no tariffs on China would likely underpin AUD/USD, NZD/USD, and the noted equity markets (but weigh on the USD/CNY). Looking closely at the S&P 500, you will note that longer-term weekly action ended last Friday in the shape of a bullish engulfing formation, following a shallow correction from all-time highs of 6,099. This, together with the clear-cut uptrend and daily price climbing above its 50-day simple moving average at 5,967 (and a lack of obvious daily resistance), places bulls in a favourable position to challenge all-time highs, technically speaking. Written by FP Markets Market Analyst Aaron Hill
SP:SPXLong
by FPMarkets
[Education] The Truth About Why You Still Can't Manage You know you should risk only 1% per trade. You understand the math behind proper position sizing. You’ve read all the books about risk management. Yet somehow, you still find yourself breaking these rules “just this once.” I get it. I’ve been there. Even after blowing multiple accounts and losing over $10,000, I still struggled with risk management. Not because I didn’t understand it, but because understanding isn’t enough. Let me share something embarrassing. Last year, I was managing a $200,000 funded account. I had my risk management rules clearly written down. Never risk more than 1%. Never hold through high-impact news. Never average down on losing trades. Then one day, I saw what looked like the perfect setup. Everything aligned. Multiple timeframe confluence, key level, perfect structure. Instead of my usual 1% risk, I convinced myself this trade deserved 3%. After all, with my experience and track record, surely I could handle larger position sizes now? That one decision wiped out two months of profits in 15 minutes. The Psychology Behind Our Self-Sabotage Here’s what makes risk management so tricky. We can intellectually understand its importance while emotionally rejecting it. It’s like knowing exactly how many calories are in a chocolate cake but eating it anyway. The problem isn’t knowledge. When you’re trading a $10,000 account and risking 1% per trade, you’re only risking $100. Even with a 2R winner, that’s just $200 profit. It’s just a day’s worth of salary. Proper risk management feels like you’re making slow progress. When you’re scrolling through social media. you see other traders posting insane gains. Your friend tells you that he turned $1,000 into $10,000 in a week trading crypto. Your mind knows these are likely fake or cherry-picked results, but your emotional mind starts whispering: “Maybe just this once…” The Hidden Cost of “Special” Trades We all have them. Those trades that feel different. The setup looks so perfect that our normal risk management rules seem too conservative. We tell ourselves this is a “special situation” that deserves special treatment. I learned this lesson the hard way with prop firm challenges. I would be up 6% on a challenge, nearly at the profit target. Then I’d see a “perfect setup” and increase my risk to “speed things up.” Almost every time, these “special” trades would end up failing the challenge. What’s worse, even when these larger positions worked out, they reinforced bad habits. Each successful oversized trade became ammunition for my brain to justify breaking rules in the future. The Compound Effect of Risk Management Violations The real danger isn’t just the immediate loss from one oversized trade. It’s the psychological damage that comes from breaking your own rules. Each time you violate your risk management rules and survive, you reinforce the behavior. This is even worse when you violate your rules and profit from the market. You will think that you’re invincible. Think about your last few trades. How many times did you do these? Move your stop loss to “give the trade room”? Add to a losing position because the price looked “even better”? Increase your position size because you were sure about the setup? Each of these decisions might seem small at the moment. But they create a compound effect that eventually leads to huge losses. The Professional’s Reality Want to know what real professional trading looks like? It’s mind-numbingly systematic. I now manage multiple six-figure funded accounts, and my risk management is completely automated. Before each trading day, I calculate my maximum position size based on 1% risk. I set up my position calculator with my account size. I write down my maximum loss for the day. During trading, I input my stop loss distance into my calculator. I take the position size it gives me. No exceptions I set my orders and walk away This isn’t exciting. It’s not flexible. It doesn’t allow for “special situations.” But it works. Building Systems Instead of Relying on Discipline The solution to risk management isn’t more knowledge or better discipline. It’s building systems that make it impossible to break your rules. After losing enough money, I finally created a system that works: First, I removed the trading app from my phone. This prevents me from making unnecessary trades during my non-trading hours. It is also difficult to trade using a phone as I do not have the tools needed for my analysis. Second, I use a position size calculator. It automatically calculates my maximum position size based on stop loss distance with my account size. Third, I track every risk management violation in a journal. This forces me to confront my mistakes instead of ignoring them. The Reality of Recovery Let’s talk about something most traders don’t want to face. The mathematics of recovery. A 20% loss requires a 25% gain to break even A 30% loss requires a 43% gain to break even A 50% loss requires a 100% gain to break even But knowing these numbers isn’t enough. You need to experience first hand the pain of trying to recover from a large drawdown. Only then, will you truly understand why risk management matters. I’m sure you have experienced it one way or another. Wins and losses are not made equally. I remember sitting at my desk, staring at a 40% drawdown in my account. I was entering all sorts of entries on my entry time frame, without considering the context of the higher time frames. I needed a 67% return just to break even. The feeling of wanting to break even led me to take even bigger risks, trying to recover faster. Instead, I dug myself into an even deeper hole and eventually lost my account. The Path to Consistent Risk Management The hardest part about proper risk management isn’t understanding what to do. It’s being satisfied with the results when you do it correctly. When you’re risking 1% per trade, a good month might only yield 5–10% returns. This feels painfully slow compared to the potential returns of larger position sizes. But here’s what I’ve learned: those “slow” months compound into significant returns over time, while aggressive trading eventually leads to blown accounts or even giving up on trading forever. Taking Action: Building Your Risk Management Framework I know it’s not easy to adhere to your risk management rules. You know this skill is essential for your growth in your trading career. If you’re still struggling with risk management, here’s what you need to do: First, accept that your current approach isn’t working. If you’re consistently breaking your rules, you need a complete system overhaul, not just better discipline. Second, automate everything you can. Use position calculators, set up your orders in advance, remove the ability to trade from your phone. Third, create accountability. Share your trades with a mentor or trading community before entering them. Make it embarrassing to break your rules. The Choice Ahead You already know proper risk management is crucial. The question is: Are you ready to build systems that force you to trade properly? This means accepting that: Your returns might look “small” compared to aggressive traders. You’ll have to watch others take risks you “know” would work. Your account will grow slower than you’d like. Your trading will become boring and systematic Want to learn how to build these systems and finally master risk management? My newsletter focuses on creating frameworks that make proper risk management automatic. No relying on discipline, no room for “special” trades, just systematic execution. The market doesn’t care about your knowledge. It only cares about your actions.
SP:SPX
by Keeleytwj
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.17.2024🔮 📅 Fri Jan 17 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Building Permits: 1.46M (prev: 1.49M) 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: On a gap up, we will get pinned down by the weekly zone before dropping lower. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: People finally decided to be bullish after seeing yesterday's price action. Let’s bet against them first, then close it around 5925. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: We will likely get a small bounce and hold. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SP:SPXShort
by PogChan
US Stocks Surge as Trump Takes Office: Will the Rally Continue?The US stock market is buzzing with excitement as President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20 approaches. On Friday, January 17, the major indices saw significant gains, with: ● S&P 500 SP:SPX rose 59 points, or 1% ● Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI increased 335 points, or 0.8% ● Nasdaq composite NASDAQ:IXIC surged 292 points, or 1.5% ◉ Major Sector Driving Gains The technology sector, particularly the "Magnificent Seven" stocks, has been instrumental in this upward momentum. ◉ Investor Sentiment Investors are optimistic about Trump's policies, but concerned about potential inflationary pressures. Experts believe Trump's administration could lead to significant growth due to: 1. Increased Government Stimulus: Trump's background as a real estate developer may result in policies designed to stimulate economic growth. 2. Technological Innovation: Rapid advancements in technology are expected to create new industries and opportunities. 3. Lower Interest Rates: There is speculation that Trump may implement lower interest rates to further encourage economic expansion. Overall, the market is cautiously optimistic, with investors closely monitoring Trump's policies.
SP:SPXLong
by NaranjCapital
S&P 500 / Consolidation with Bearish and Bullish PotentialS&P 500 Analysis The price needs to stabilize below 5,969 to target 5,937, and breaking this level would confirm a continuation of the bearish trend towards 5,893. Alternatively, the price must break above 5,969 by closing a 4-hour or 1-hour candle to signal a bullish trend, with potential upside targets at 6,022. Currently, the market is consolidating between 5,937 and 5,969. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5,969 Resistance Levels: 6,000, 6,022, 6,057 Support Levels: 5,937, 5,908, 5,864 Trend Outlook: Consolidation is observed between 5,937 and 5,969.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
Can a breakthrough to the upside be maintained of S&P500?From the technical side, we are seeing a small push higher, breaking above a short-term downside line. Despite this being a somewhat positive occurrence, we would rather wait to see where we close at the end of Friday. For more information, please see the video. MARKETSCOM:US500 RISK DISCLAIMER 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:US500
by Marketscom