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SPX500 trade ideas

Stocks well off earlier highsWhile Trump's earlier post had lifted sentiment, things have now unraveled again as Trade uncertainty continues to weigh on sentiment. S&P almost flat on the session after failing to break yesterday's high. Let's see if dip buyers emerge later on. For now trading remains quite choppy as reciprocal tariffs are set to go into effect tomorrow, along with those additional tariffs on China. With trading so choppy, best to trade from level to level and exit on first sign of trouble. Lots of volatility = lots of trading opportunity, but if you are not careful, the choppiness could seriously dent your trading capital. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
Trading with Liquidity Sentiment IndicatorsJust a short introduction to trading with our indicators. I can't emphasise enough that you need to have at least 6 securities/tickers to click through to find the liquidity that fits the price action. At different times of day, different tickers are used by market makers to lay off deltas for hedging, this makes up the largest volumes in the markets, as well as the securities/tickers that you and others are trading. All these securities prices are moved around by the index they are a component of and the VIX which is made up of 30 day(dte) put IV. I will post more regularly this week reading live trading using the indicators.
BLACKBULL:SPX500
by brucegibbs
The world is going crazy , who's to blame ?Unless you have been hiding in the rocks, most people would know what President Trump has done to the world at large. The social media is full of half truth, fake news and sensational news, to the advantage/motives of certain groups of people. That is why you always read it with a large dosage of salt, laugh it off and do your own critical thinking. I know is hard, afterall, this has not happened before, at least not in the presidency of US government thus far. Most of us feel like stepping onto quick sand, a wrong move could land you much deeper than you were previously. Seeing your portfolio growing from nice chunks of profits to bloody red , oh my God ! Yes, on hindsight, we wish we could have listened to the wise guru, Warren Buffett. Let's not get too far ahead and stay calm in this turmoil, volatile time. Deep breath........ And definitely do not lose sleep over money, health and family is more important ! Here, in the SPX 500 index, we are at a precarious position. After the 90 days pause, the market rally up but the fear remains and yesterday market proves itself. So, the first line of defence is the bullish trend line. If this breaks, then we are heading to the yellow support line. Now, this is no ordinary line, it is the weekly 200EMA indicator where in the past, each time it hits this level, the price action bounces up. Could President Trump knows TA, haha? Timing is near perfect ! Stay calm everyone ! Again, do not use margin to trade/invest no matter how attractive the market looks to you or you received a good tip from a friend. Stay with money you can afford to lose.
SP:SPX
by dchua1969
If SPX Was to Make a Slow Topping PatternI've been super bearish indices for a while but heading into the 5000 area in SPX I am becoming increasingly bullish. I think in the extremely bearish setup we bounce to 5500 and if we are actually making a big major top, then it's viable we swipe at the highs a few times. Liquidity ... and all that. This could potentially be a long time of choppy action around the topping zone. If that's going to happen there's epic bear trades coming in the future but to prevent from becoming exhausted as a bear before they happened - you'd be wanting to bank in the rally. Have plans to pick up an assortment of bets on a new high being made within 3 months somewhere a little under 5100. And picking p spot longs at some point which I can trail stops on and wait to see if the bull trap levels fail. I do think at the very least the min risk bears have into 5000 is a 10% bull trap. I'd be very careful as a bear now.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by holeyprofit
1
S&P 500 Index vs PresidentIn this layout you can see how the S&P has been performed on each presidency. Presidency terms, Obama 1st term: after the financial recession, the index was trying to recover and we saw falls from 16 to 21%, market went up 83%. Obama 2nd term: the index saw falls from 10 to 15%, Market went up 50%. Trump 1st Term: the index saw falls 3 big times 11, 21 and 34% Market went up 68%. Biden 1st Term: the index saw falls 27% and 10%, Market went up 55%. Trump 2nd Term: we are in the 1st fall 21% not sure if it will continue going down. The price wants to get closer to the 200MA every time Fibonacci levels, we are on 0.5, we still have 2 more levels down so these 3 levels could be a good entry point 😊
SP:SPX
by JorgeMz10
1
Bullish??? That was all very sudden, is it over now?The market correction really seamed to be an over reaction. I am hopeful that the worst is behind us, at least for the meantime. maybe this will be closer to 2018 correction and we just keep grinding higher for the rest of the year. I suppose anything is possible. -Everyone got way to bearish to quick - Spidey senses going off! -we never copy and paste last cycle to the next, but people have such a recency bias, sometimes its all they can see ( I may know from experience) - hopefully bullish
SP:SPXLong
by merchtank19
Tariff Exemptions Stir the Bounce | SPX Analysis 14 April 2025It’s Monday… and the markets are once again dancing like a puppet on a tweet-fuelled string. One minute, tariff fears. The next, selective exemptions for “favourites.” Now the weekend’s over and futures are bouncing higher like none of it happened. SPX looks set to test – or break – the 5400 bull trigger, and if you’ve been following the last few newsletters, you’ll know that’s a big one. We’ve mapped it. We’ve rejected it. Now we’re staring it down… again. --- The 5400 Line Returns Let’s back up. 5400 has been my bull/bear trigger for weeks. When we’re below it, I’m hunting bear swings. Above? I start reassessing bullish setups, GEX bulls-eye trades, and pullback long entries. This week, the GEX flip is also sitting around 5400. That’s no coincidence. It’s now more than just a price level – It’s the emotional fault line between headline-driven panic and headline-driven hope. So… do we flip bullish? Not so fast. Strategy: Structure First, Narrative Second Just because futures are up doesn’t mean momentum is back. We’ve seen far too many fakeouts, tweet-spikes, and algorithm blinks to trust the first move on a Monday. That’s why my plan is simple this week: ✔️ 5400 is still the decision line ✔️ No aggressive trades until price confirms ✔️ Will adapt only if structure shifts – not just sentiment This week isn’t about swinging for the fences. It’s about precision. Patience. And setup clarity. Behind the Charts: Tinkering, Rebuilding, Refining While the markets work out their next identity crisis, I’m taking the time to: Optimise my new charting layout Tweak + update my indicator codebases Re-align my tools for speed and efficiency Because if the market wants to act like a circus, I’ll tighten the tent and sharpen the knives. --- Expert Insight – Don’t Rush the Flip Common mistake: Flipping long just because futures are green. Fix: Use anchored levels like 5400 as your decision points – and only flip bias when structure confirms. GEX flips, pulse bars, and price action matter. Tweets do not. --- Fun Fact Did you know? In 2023–2024, over 60% of intraday SPX rallies over 1.5% failed to hold past 2 days when triggered by political headlines. Translation? Headline rallies are easy to sell into – unless they’re confirmed by price.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
$S&P500 macro analysis , market approaching correction °•° $SPXHi 👋🏻 check out my previous analysis ⏰ on SP:SPX macro bullish analysis ⏰ As provided it went up up 🚀 completed my target's 🎯 💯💪🏻 ✅ ✔️ Click on it 👆🏻 just check out each and every time updates ☝🏻 ☺️ ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• NOW I was completely 🐻 BEARISH on the market with in upcoming months SP:SPX 📌 Expecting liquidation pump $6500 - $6700 Invalid 🛑 when complete month close above $6700 ¹support - $5500 ( 🎯 ¹ ) ²support - $5130 ( 🎯 ² ) 🎯 3 ... Will be updated based on market conditions by that time ☺️ 📍 A wise 🦉 man said - always having patience " is " always gaining only /- NASDAQ:TSLA ( i accumulate slowly until it cross above $400 ) rest of stocks i will follow index ☝🏻 i will invest based on market conditions ..... ✔️
SP:SPXShort
by raj5_7_5
SPX500 Long - Bounce of 5200 key psychological level Tariffs are paused. CPI data was good, coming in at 2.4 instead of 2.5, indicating room for Fed to lower interest rates if economy gets worse. I expect prices to climb back up instead of getting pulled down by just China trade war. Entry: 5200 SL: 5160 TP: 5500 Results of ideas thus far: Number of trades: 4 WR: 25% Profit: 0.9R Notes: This is currently for personal practice to write out trade ideas. Feedback is welcome, and please don't mind if none of this makes sense.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by yuhaocooper
“Markets are strong” – Are they really?President Trump recently stated that "markets became very strong once they got used to tariffs." But let’s look at the facts: 📊 AMEX:SPY is down -9% YTD, and major names like: MSFT: -7.55% AAPL: -18.66% NVDA: -12.94% Tech is bleeding, and the broader S&P 500 is clearly reflecting the pressure of trade policy uncertainty. 🟥 Tariffs = market stress 🟩 Market resilience = not the same as strength What we’re seeing is not a “strong market” — it’s a market under pressure trying to survive political noise. The weekly chart shows a clear drop after the peak, followed by uncertainty, not conviction. 💭 Is this truly the “strength” investors want to see?
VANTAGE:SP500FT
by SmartSignalss
Could the US500 be setting up for a bounce?Hello, The US500 is trading near the trend line, a key area where technical investors will be looking for a bounce back. While the current market remains choppy due to tariffs from the US president, technical analysis does offer us key areas where we can look for entries going forward. What is certain is that this is not the time to panic and sell all your held positions. As always, during moments like these composure + a clear plan are your best line of defence. Probabilistic thinking as well can go a long way in identifying great opportunities. We’re all dealing with known and unknown variables now, and there’s no shame in saying, "I don’t know." For me I see opportunities in the S&P especially because the news is already out. Additionally, we are coming into earnings season when the market is at the bottom. Companies that show resilience will attract early investors and the index will bounce back. So please keep your long-term view. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500Long
by thesharkke
S&PThe SPX touched a long-standing overhead, and came down ever-so-slightly to retrace the most recent peak. This is all totally normal. There is nothing here to worry about. In fact, the more touches of this overhead, the more likely it is that we break above it. You can see this has happened many times before in the S&P, where it breaks above an overhead, only to land on top of it, and then launch for a new even steeper part of the curve. The macro parabola that the markets are in.
SP:SPXLong
by Shammus01
S&P500 Searching for a BottomExecutive Summary The S&P 500’s Elliott Wave structure suggests the current downtrend is incomplete, with a high-probability target near the 4,300 level based on Fibonacci retracement levels. Global stock markets remain under pressure amid ongoing tariff uncertainty, and Elliott Wave patterns across various indices continue to point to more downside. Current Elliott Wave Analysis Today’s upward volatility is likely a small-degree wave four, with another leg down expected to retest today’s lows in the coming sessions. There is an impulse wave that began in October 2022 and topped in 2025. We are now seeing the after effects of that completed rally. A standard 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of that move places a high-probability support zone around 4,300—a logical target for a ‘normal’ correction of the 2022–2025 rally. Currently, price has paused near the January 2022 high at 4,662, and also sits near the 38.2% retracement level of the 2022 rally, which lies around 4,950. While a move to new highs cannot be fully ruled out, the probability of such a rally is currently low. Given the brief nature of the current decline in both price and duration, a more meaningful correction is still likely. Bottom Line The S&P 500 appears to be in wave ((iii)) or ((c)) of a downward move, with the structure still incomplete. A decline toward 4,300 remains the higher-probability scenario in the near term. We will reconsider the medium-term outlook if the index rallies above 5,488, which would overlap the March 31 low and suggest a possible low is in place.
TVC:SPXShort
by JWagnerFXTrader
1