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SPX500USD trade ideas

Financial Cycle (not Economic Cycle) - Chu kỳ tài chính Financial cycle: - 10Y down and sideway -> Gold up (*) + In phase (*): In 10Y down -> capital will flow to manufacturing, Real estate, industrials, etc. - 20Y up and reaching top -> Gold down and sideway (**) Correlate with unemployment rate: - Rise stronger as the (**) reach its ending and vice versa US10Y: - Interestingly, interest rate does not affect how businesses operate and innovate economically. In fact, rising interest in long-term -> Economy doing great, innovations prosper, allowing lenders to charge high
SP:SPX
by quvo
U.S. equities climb despite tariff talk | FX ResearchThe market is clearly becoming less nervous about headlines around tariffs. President Trump was on the wires talking about 25% tariffs on automobiles, semiconductor, and pharmaceutical products, and the market took it all in stride rather than panicking as we had seen weeks back. There is a clearer understanding that all of this is much more about strategy and negotiating tactics, and overall, markets have responded in kind with U.S. equities up at record high levels and the U.S. dollar selling off. Moving on, earlier today the RBNZ was out cutting rates by 50 basis points as widely expected. Over in Japan, BOJ Takato was on the wires backing up the recent shift in BOJ sentiment towards the need to be on a hawkish policy track. Key standouts on today's calendar ahead come from UK inflation data, the Eurozone current account, U.S. housing starts, U.S. building permits, and the Fed minutes late in the day. Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
SP:SPX
by BlackBull_Markets
S&P 500 Eyes New ATH – Breakout or Pullback Next? S&P 500 (SPX) Technical Analysis – February 17, 2025 Market Overview The S&P 500 is on the verge of breaking to a new All-Time High (ATH) as U.S. investors return from the long weekend. The index maintains strong bullish momentum, with traders eyeing fresh highs. However, historical seasonal trends suggest that a breakout could be followed by a deeper pullback, making it crucial to monitor key levels. Technical Outlook Bullish Scenario: As long as the price trades above 6123, the uptrend remains strong, targeting the next resistance levels at 6168 and 6225. A daily close above 6123 would reinforce the bullish momentum and increase the likelihood of further highs at 6279. Bearish Scenario: If the index closes a 4-hour candle below 6098, bearish pressure may emerge, leading to potential declines toward 6031 and 6010. Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Pivot Point: 6123 🔹 Resistance Levels: 6168, 6224, 6279 🔹 Support Levels: 6098, 6031, 6010 📈 Momentum remains bullish while above 6123, but a break below 6098 could trigger a pullback! 💬 Will S&P 500 break to new ATHs or face a pullback first? Drop your predictions below! 👇🔥
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
7
Updated S&P 500 Long Term Elliott Wave Count 2/17/25 The S&P 500 (SPX) could be very near the completion of a 28 – month extended Elliott Impulse wave that began in October 2022. There are always alternate Elliott wave counts. Followers to my website will notice that the count illustrated in this post is slightly different to what was shown on the website. Both wave counts have the same message – a multi – month or even a multi- year SPX bear market could begin in a few trading days. Both weekly RSI and MACD have multiple bearish divergences which imply the SPX could soon decline 20% or more! I will soon post another shorter – term SPX wave count illustrating a fascinating Elliott wave structure.
SP:SPXShort
by markrivest
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 20 Not a terribly difficult trading range today. ATH’s above us, 35EMA below, bottom of the implied move 6115 has a previous support. Bearish divergence in strength. 30min 200MA on deck (maybe close to where it crosses the downtrend) if we close under the 35EMA. Pretty bullish setup overall but overbought and bearish divergence. Low volume too which is driving me crazy but we don’t seem to get any sell off volume.
SP:SPXShort
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
SPX500USD Will Go Lower! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 6,122.6. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 6,074.3 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SignalProvider
1
SPX Target 6270 - Can It Get There?SPX Targets 6270 – But Can It Get There? | SPX Market Analysis 20 Feb 2025 The SPX is climbing like a caffeinated squirrel... ok, maybe not. It’s more like a slightly confused sloth trying to find second gear!..., while DJX and RUT are stuck in the mud. The breakout move we’ve been waiting for has arrived, and now the question is—does it have enough fuel to hit 6270, or will it stumble and trigger my hedge at 6100? Bollinger Bands are too tight for reliable setups, so I’m sticking with my 6 money-making patterns until volatility expands. Let’s break it all down… --- SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 📈 SPX is Soaring (like a fat pigeon!) – But the Other Indexes Aren’t Joining the Party While SPX is off making new highs, its friends DJX and RUT seem to have lost their invitations. DJX is struggling to gain meaningful ground 📉 RUT can’t even catch an uptick, making it the weakest of the bunch ❌ Meanwhile, SPX is leading the way, with a clear breakout in play A closely following NDX is nipping at SPX's heals 💡 Breakout Confirmed – But Can It Hold? Scenario #1 from our previous discussions has unfolded—the range has broken out. Target: 6270 🎯 Hedge trigger: 6100 in case the move fails This is the good kind of waiting—waiting for profits to materialise 🔄 Why I’m Avoiding Tag ‘n Turn Setups Right Now Normally, after a breakout, I’d shift back to Tag 'n Turn setups. But there’s a problem… Bollinger Bandwidth is too tight, making moves too fast Price is flipping from one side of the bands to the other A Bollinger Band pinch is forming, indicating more compression before expansion So, what’s the plan? ✅ I’ll continue to use my 6 money-making patterns ✅ I’ll wait for volatility to expand before returning to Bollinger setups ✅ No forced trades—only high-probability moves 🚀 Final Takeaway? The breakout is here, the target is set, and the plan is clear. Now, it’s time to let the market do its thing and wait for the move to play out. --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? In 2018, Amazon briefly became a $1 trillion company—but it only stayed there for a few hours before dropping back below the threshold. 💡 The Lesson? Even the biggest breakouts can be short-lived—just because a stock (or index) makes a new high doesn’t mean it will stay there forever. Always have a plan—targets and hedge triggers matter.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
4
Elliott Wave View: S&P 500 (SPX) Breaking to New All-Time HighShort term Elliott Wave in S&P 500 (SPX) suggests that pullback to 5774.1 ended wave ((4)). The Index has resumed higher in wave ((5)) and broken above previous wave ((3)) peak. Wave ((5)) is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave ((4)), wave ((i)) ended at 5871.9 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 5805.4. Wave ((iii)) higher ended at 5964.69 and pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 5930.72. Final leg wave ((v)) ended at 6128.18 and this completed wave 1 in higher degree. Pullback in wave 2 unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 5962.92 and rally in wave ((b)) ended at 6120.91. Wave ((c)) lower ended at 5923.9 which completed wave 2 in higher degree. The Index has resumed higher again in wave 3. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 6101.28 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 6003. Up from there, wave (i) should end soon, and the Index should pullback in wave (ii) to correct cycle from 2.12.2025 low before it resumes higher. Near term, as far as pivot at 5774.1 low stays intact, expect pullback to find buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
TVC:SPX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
S&P500 retesting ATH,The Week Ahead 17th Feb 25The S&P (US500) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on Friday 24th Jan the S&P index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range. The key trading level is at 6012, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 6012 level could target the upside resistance at 6080 followed by the 6117 and 6130 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 6012 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook targeting a further retracement and a retest of 5964 support level followed by 5925. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
S&P 500 Faces Rejection at Key Resistance?📉 False Breakout or Consolidation? S&P 500 hit 6,129 but failed to hold above it, retreating to 6,090 (-0.75%). This level marks a key resistance zone, with sellers stepping in to cap gains. 🔍 Key Technical Levels: Resistance: 6,129 → Previous high, acting as a short-term ceiling. Support: 6,018 (50-day EMA) → First area bulls want to defend. 5,900 → Stronger structural support if momentum weakens. 📊 Momentum Check: RSI at 54.86 → Neutral, room for both upside and downside. Price remains above the 50-day EMA, keeping the uptrend intact for now. 🚀 What’s Next? Bulls need a decisive close above 6,129 to confirm a breakout. A rejection here could trigger consolidation or a pullback toward the 50-day EMA. Watching for either a breakout confirmation or a deeper retest of support levels. -MW
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
S&P500 Holding Above ATH Zone–Breakout to 6168 or Pullback FirstS&P 500 (SPX500) Technical Analysis – February 20, 2025 The S&P 500 is consolidating above the ATH pivot zone (6,122 - 6,129), maintaining its bullish momentum within an ascending channel. The market is testing key levels, with buyers looking to push toward the next resistance zone. Technical Outlook Bullish Scenario: As long as the price holds above 6,122, the uptrend remains intact, targeting 6,168 and 6,224. A breakout above 6,224 could extend the rally toward 6,279. Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 6,122, it could signal a correction toward the 6,102 pivot zone. A confirmed 4H close below 6,102 could lead to further declines toward 6,031 and 6,010. Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Pivot Zone (ATH): 6122 - 6129 🔹 Resistance Levels: 6168, 6,224, 6279 🔹 Support Levels: 6102, 6031, 6010 📈 Directional Bias: The market is expected to test 6,168, and as long as 6,122 holds, the bullish momentum remains valid. A break below 6,122 could lead to a short-term correction. 💬 Will S&P 500 continue its uptrend, or is a pullback coming? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
1