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SPX500USD trade ideas

spx slip up Let me start by saying SPX is my baby—this market gave me vision and taught me what I now call Cerberus. It pains me deeply to see such sloppy price engineering lately. These folks have gotten real careless with their price delivery, and that sloppiness is starting to spill into the broader global market. However, it's clear from the Thursday error that they aren't planning to completely collapse the market just yet—just wanted to instill some pain and signal to everyone it's time to gear up for the long road ahead. Here's what's about to go down, so pay close attention: Price will sweep below the low of 3.10.25, trigger a profit-booking event, and restore some hope in the market since it'll mark the second leg of the three-drive pattern currently forming. Now, let me flex real quick: SPX WILL HIT THE 4950 AREA BEFORE MAY 2026—mark my words. Now, back to tradable events: Mark 5680 as your sell level. Price will accumulate around the 5480-5460 range, and the real end of this bounce comes at 5350. Once these trades manifest, your buy-side target is 5790. Again, don't be the fool who tries to swing-trade buy ideas before these key levels get hit. You've been warned.
FOREXCOM:SPX500Short
by BIGPOPPA999
US500 (S&P 500 ) INDEX TRADE IDEA 1 APRIL 2025Based on technical analysis, the US500 (S&P 500) has broken below its long-term ascending channel, signaling a potential trend reversal or deeper correction. The bearish momentum is evident as the price has closed below the lower trendline, and a pullback to the 5,558 - 5,794 supply zone could provide a shorting opportunity. This area aligns with previous structural resistance, making it a key level for institutional sellers. If price action confirms rejection within this zone, a sell setup targeting 5,279, 5,157, and ultimately 4,803 could be viable. The trade remains invalid if price breaks above 5,860, as this would indicate a shift in market sentiment. From a fundamental perspective, growing concerns over US-China tariff tensions could pressure corporate earnings and drive further downside. Additionally, economic slowdown indicators, including weakening consumer spending and rising corporate debt, are weighing on investor sentiment. The upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report in April 2025 will be a key event to watch; a strong labor market report may keep the Federal Reserve on a hawkish stance, leading to further stock market declines, while a weak report could reinforce recession fears. Given these factors, a short position remains favorable as long as the market respects the supply zone resistance. However, traders should remain cautious of unexpected shifts in monetary policy or geopolitical developments that could impact overall market direction.
PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by karabompesi
S&P - WEEKLY SUMMARY 24.3-28.3 / FORECAST📉 S&P500 – 11th week of the base cycle (average 20 weeks), which began with the pivot forecast on January 13. We are in the second phase, which appears bearish by all indications. This is a significant bear market completing the overdue 50-week and 4-year cycles. Target levels are outlined in my previous posts. My preliminary timeline projections for the base cycle completion were mentioned in the previous post. ⚠️ The extreme forecast on March 24 – the midpoint of retrograde Mercury – turned the market downward after a small bullish correction. This was anticipated last week. The market lacked the strength even to reach the resistance level at 5850. A short position has been opened. The next extreme forecast is April 7.
CBOE:SPX
by irinawest
S&P 500 Technical Breakdown – Bearish Momentum Building?Looking at this SPX Daily Chart, we’re seeing some clear signs of weakness in the market. 🔹 Breakdown from the Rising Channel – After months of uptrend, SPX has broken below its previous rising channel, signaling potential downside ahead. 🔹 Failed Recovery Attempt – The recent bounce formed a bear flag (highlighted in brown), but today’s sharp drop indicates that the relief rally has been rejected. 🔹 Key Fibonacci Levels in Play – The 0.382 Fib retracement was acting as support, but price has now slipped below it. Next key level: The 0.5 Fib (around 5,550) and the 0.618 Fib (near 5,438) could act as crucial support zones. A deeper retracement to 4,982 (0.786 Fib) isn't out of the question if selling pressure accelerates. 🔹 Moving Averages & Volume – The price is now under the 200-day moving average (blue line), which is typically a bearish signal if confirmed. Volume has been increasing on red days, hinting at stronger selling conviction. 🔹 Support & Resistance Zones – Resistance: ~5,822 (recent bounce level) and ~6,097 (previous high) Support: ~5,402 and ~4,982 if selling intensifies. 🚨 Final Thoughts: The technical structure is turning bearish, and if the S&P 500 doesn’t reclaim key levels soon, further downside could be on the horizon. Bulls need to step in fast to avoid a deeper correction.
SP:SPX
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
My last warning To Donald Trump and Americansif you Attack Iran's infrastructure, America enters a shitty situation that will last for not years but for decades. you can fix the problem by supporting the Iran's King Reza Pahlavi and the people and the mullahs will be overthrown easily but you are Unknowingly doing it in a very wrong way, if you do it Stockholm syndrome will happen. ---- Price has ping on the channel edges. I hope it becomes just a simple correction but Americans ego is is in line with technicals.
SP:SPX
by trollist
US500US500 Price Action Analysis and Trade Setups (March 28, 2025) Price Action Summary: Weekly Chart: Long-term uptrend intact, but recent rejection near 6,200 signals a medium-term correction. Daily Chart: Price is consolidating near 5,600 after a sharp drop from highs. Bearish momentum persists. 4H Chart: Lower highs and lower lows confirm short-term bearish bias. Resistance at 5,750 is holding. 1H Chart: Intraday range between 5,550 and 5,750. Price struggling to break higher. Trade of the Day (Day Trading Setup) Short Setup: Entry: 5,700 after rejection at resistance Stop Loss: 5,770 Take Profit: TP1: 5,620 TP2: 5,550 Reason: Short-term bearish structure with resistance holding at 5,750. Swing Trading Setup Short Setup: Entry: Below 5,550 after daily close confirmation Stop Loss: 5,650 Take Profit: TP1: 5,300 TP2: 5,100
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Andrei_C
3/27/2025 SPY outlook_bearishHello traders, Hope you’re doing well in this choppy market. I initially expected a squeeze after rebounding from the 5500 area, but that didn’t happen. Instead, the 200 SMA acted as resistance, forming a bear flag over the last few trading days. I expect a break below the bear flag support line, leading to a move toward the 5100 area. I’m not trading SPY directly, but since most stocks follow SPY these days, I wanted to share my outlook. Buying UVXY could be a good option. May the trend be with you. AP
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by aparkon
Bull vs Bear: The 5700 FlipzoneBull vs Bear: The 5700 Flipzone | SPX Analysis 27 Mar 2025 Some days, the best trade is no trade at all. It’s Thursday, the kettle’s on, the charts are up… and I’ve done absolutely bugger all from a trading perspective. Not out of laziness (though I do love a good sit-down), but because nothing’s screaming "go". And when nothing’s screaming, I don’t go running. We’re smack-dab in the middle of the “flip zone” - right around 5700. The market’s pacing like a nervous cat, pretending to pick a direction, but mostly just knocking things off the shelf to keep us on our toes. And honestly? I’m good with it. Because when the market hesitates like this, it’s usually winding up for something worth waiting for. Stick with me and I’ll show you how to turn “nothing happening” into “something smart”. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: Today felt a bit like turning up to a party early and realising no one’s there yet. Just me… and the punch bowl. I’ve barely done a thing trade-wise. And I’m perfectly happy about it. Because when there’s no clear setup, the smartest thing you can do is absolutely nothing. Here’s why: The 5700 level continues to act like the social bouncer of this range - nobody gets through without a convincing ID. It’s the pivot point where bulls and bears are circling, eyeing each other like it’s a West Side Story dance-off. Bear pulse bars? None yet. So while price has dribbled downward in that slow, lazy style, we’ve had no real confirmation of fresh bearish momentum. Bull pulse bars? Not exactly punching through the ceiling either. For that, we need to see solid moves above 5720 and, ideally, a breakout-pullback pattern to load up a fresh bull swing. What’s more interesting is the GEX (Gamma Exposure). This week’s setup highlights 5700 as the flip point, reinforcing what we’ve already seen in price behaviour. When the options market lines up with technicals, I start paying even more attention. The ES futures chart (with overnight data) shows the same range boundaries a little more clearly. It’s painting a picture of compression. And as you know from experience, compression always precedes expansion. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: patience pays. We're in the eye of the storm - the kind where people get twitchy, traders get emotional, and portfolios get wrecked... unless you're working the system. So here's the play: No new bear trades until pulse bars form below 5700. Bull trades only trigger on solid breaks above 5720. Until then? Watch. Wait. Brew tea. Because I’d rather miss the first 10 points of the move than get slapped for trying to be clever. --- Fun Fact There’s a stock ticker called YUM. Yes, really. YUM Brands – owner of Taco Bell, KFC, and Pizza Hut – trades under the very appropriate ticker: YUM. Now that’s branding you can taste. YUM Brands spun off from PepsiCo in 1997 and has since become a global fast food empire. With over 50,000 restaurants in more than 150 countries, it’s been gobbling up global market share like it’s a late-night snack. The ticker symbol “YUM” is one of Wall Street’s more deliciously accurate tickers – and proves that branding doesn’t stop at the menu. Fun fact: KFC was once known as “Kentucky Fried Chicken” until the name got a trim for health-conscious times. Go figure.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
Soft US data stokes recession fears | FX ResearchA round of discouraging survey data out of the US on Tuesday has fueled more selling of the US dollar as the market prices in increased odds for recession. Philly Fed services and consumer confidence polls plunged to post-pandemic lows, while consumer expectations faltered on worry over personal finances. US equities, on the other hand, remained in demand—perhaps feeling good about the implication of the softer data in that it will invite an even more dovish, investor-friendly Fed reaction. Of course, investors are also still worrying about the state of US tariffs and trade, though we have also seen tensions alleviated somewhat on this front in recent days on the news that tariffs will be more targeted. Key standouts on Wednesday's calendar come from UK inflation data, Canada wholesale sales, US durable goods, the Bank of Canada summary of deliberations, and some ECB speak.
TVC:SPX
by BlackBull_Markets
SPX Stalls at Resistance - Here's What I’m Watching SPX Stalls at Resistance - Here's What I’m Watching | SPX Analysis 26 Mar 2025 You know that scene in every action movie where someone’s finger hovers over the big red button… and they don’t press it? That’s me right now. Because once again, sitting back and waiting for a cleaner entry zone is paying off. SPX tagged the upper Bollinger Band – like a polite tap on the shoulder – but hasn’t turned with any conviction. No pulse bars. No reversal. Just a stall. And that, my friend, is where we earn our edge – not by reacting early, but by knowing when not to act at all. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: Markets don’t always reward the busy. Sometimes, the biggest wins come from doing… nothing. And today is one of those days. 📍 SPX tagged the upper Bollinger Band ⏸️ But instead of turning sharply, price paused 🚫 No bearish pulse bars yet – which means no confirmed reversal We’re in “hover mode”. Which, translated to trader speak, means: "Don’t be clever. Just wait." 🎯 I’m staying bullish above 5700  🧭 But I’m not placing blind trades just to feel productive. If price breaks and holds above 5700, I’ll consider scaling in for a bullish continuation. If we slip back below 5700, I’ll reassess for bearish setups and pulse bar confirmation. But until then? My finger’s off the button. Why? Because I know this pattern. The tag-with-no-turn often just means we’re not done yet. The trend might still have gas in the tank, or it’s winding up for a more dramatic move later. Either way, I’m not front-running it. And honestly? Watching others flinch and overtrade while I sip tea and wait is one of life’s great pleasures. 😎 --- Fun Fact 📢 In 2006, someone accidentally sold 610,000 shares of a stock instead of 1. 💡 This infamous “fat-finger trade” cost Mizuho Securities $225 million in one afternoon — and became one of the most expensive typos in trading history. Moral of the story? In trading – as in typing – sometimes doing nothing is smarter than doing something fast.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
26/3/25 Bulls Need Follow-through, or Stall at 20-Day EMA? The market tested the 20-day EMA and the January 13 low in the last 2 trading days. In our last report, we said the buying pressure is stronger than the selling pressure (bear bars with no follow-through selling) and the odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to up pullback phase. The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback testing the 20-day EMA, 200-day EMA or the January 13 low. They got what they wanted. The pullback currently has more bull bars vs bear bars with no follow-through selling. The bulls are stronger. The market has formed 3 pushes up, therefore a wedge (Mar 17, Mar 19, and Mar 15). If there is a pullback, the bulls want at least a small sideways to up leg to retest the current leg high (Mar 25) after that, forming a larger double top bear flag. The bulls must continue creating follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA to increase the odds of testing the March 3 high (start of the bear channel). The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low after the pullback phase. The strong move down slightly favor the first pullback to be minor and not lead to a reversal up. They must create strong bear bars with follow-through selling to show that they are back in control. They want the 20-day EMA and the Jan 13 low to act as resistance. The prior climactic selloff and parabolic wedge increase the odds of a pullback which is underway. For now, traders will see if the bulls can continue to create follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA, or will the market stall around the current levels instead? If there is a pullback, traders will see if the bulls can create a retest of the current leg high (now Mar 25) and the strength of the retest. If it is weak and is a lower high, another sideways to down leg to retest the March 13 low will increase. For now, the market may still be in the sideways to up pullback phase. But the wedge pattern is increasing the odds of a small pullback.
SP:SPX
by Tech_Trader88
SPX 5800 Strong resistance200 days HILO EMA central line has always given a strong support resistance in the past and I would expect that to be so this time as well. Since the market structure broke when prices crossed the lower outer ema band, even if the price goes above the middle line I would not consider it to be bullish.Only when the prices hit the upper or lower band a new trend can be confirmed. For now I am just going to be short term trader and a cautious long term investor accumulator of fundamentally good stocks. Not Tesla :) Notice how the inner lines align with the the other lines before the breakdown! A kind of step formation, indicating the period selection of 200 ema is sound
SPREADEX:SPX
by krisoz