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S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)

S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)

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S&P 500 Rally: Why a 5k Target Might Be More Likely Than 7kSince November of last year, the SP:SPX has surged by 50%, and if we look at the gains from this year alone, we're seeing around a 30% increase. Additionally, the rise from August is 20% which is significant in just five months. Considering the rapid pace of these increases, especially for such a major index, it gives me the impression that the S&P 500 may be overstretched. Statistically, such strong rallies either follow a deep bear market or precede a significant pullback. Since we haven't experienced a strong bear market recently, I believe a correction could be on the horizon. Technically, the market remains in an uptrend, but the price action from August has been in steps. This type of movement often signals distribution and a potential reversal. In conclusion, while a new all-time high by the end of the year is almost certain, I'm not overly optimistic about the long-term outlook. A pullback to around 5,000 seems more likely to me than a rally to 7,000.
SP:SPXShort
by Mihai_Iacob
SP500 / Bearish Momentum is under control...S&P 500 Technical Analysis The price dropped another 1.7% and still has bearish momentum. As long as it trades below 5863, it will touch 5803 and 5781. so the consolidation will be between 5863 and 5781 till breaking, it is possible to do a correction till 5863 and then will drop. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5835 Resistance Levels: 5863, 5894, 5932 Support Levels: 5803, 5781, 5734 Trend Outlook: Downward by stability below 5863 Bullish correction toward 5863 previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX: in green to end a year?A week after the S&P 500 reached a new ATH, the market slowed down a bit during the previous week. The new ATH has been tested for a potential for further move toward the upside, however, there has not been enough market strength, so the index reverted just a bit to the downside. The lowest weekly level reached was 6.030 points. The market's beloved tech companies were traded with a modest negative sentiment, except TSLA. A brand new star of the week was company Broadcom, which surged 24% for the week, after the company published that its AI-generated revenue soared by an incredible 220%. Analysts are noting high probability that the equity market will continue to head toward the upside till the year end. Such sentiment will be supported by the expected Fed rate cut of 25 bps on December 18th. However, they are also noting that the switch from large caps toward the small cap companies has been occurring for some time now, and will continue in the future period, supported by the environment of decreased interest rates.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Market SnapshotQuestions I've been asking myself lately: Is my Bank safe? If the market crashes will they survive? While they fight for survival is my money at risk being with them? Do I have enough money saved so that if my job decides my services are no longer needed my family is not immediately or permanently at risk? What's the safest vehicle to put my money in a highly inflationary environment? What's the safest vehicle in a deflationary environment? What if the price of oil doubles over the next 5 years? You really need to buy more gold and silver (not a question just talking to myself) How will I take advantage of the housing crash that's looming? Why haven't you opened a family trust yet and put all of your assets under the care of?
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
[GEX] 12/16 Weekly SPX AnalysisNow, let’s take a look at the expected SPX trading range for the week based on the auto GEX levels for TradingView: It’s clear that we’re currently in positive gamma territory , primarily due to the December 20 expiration. However, the mid-week expirations leading up to that date remain in negative gamma territory, a direct result of last week’s bearish moves—though this can change within a single day. Looking ahead to Friday, we expect a range-bound, more predictable trading environment, likely holding above 6045 and below 6100 based on current levels. IVR and IVx remain low, and we don’t anticipate any increase before Christmas unless the market reaches the “total deny zone” between 6025 and 6040. The greatest IV backwardation is present between December 20 and December 23, as average IV ticked up slightly following last week’s bearish action. This makes that particular expiration combination potentially appealing for time spread strategies. Stay alert! The deny zone is near, and a quick move through the HVL could suddenly disrupt what currently appears to be a relatively predictable trading range. Conversely, a breakout above 6100 could spark a permabull end-of-year rally to the upside.
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
SP50 / Bullish Momentum and Key Levels to WatchS&P 500 Technical Analysis The price retested the bearish correction we mentioned earlier, then pushed upward again and continued toward 6022. The S&P 500 has a bullish momentum aiming for 6022. To confirm the bullish area toward 6099, a 4-hour candle should close above 6022. Otherwise, as long as the price trades below 6022, it will likely oscillate between 6022 and 5971 until a breakout occurs. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5995 Resistance Levels: 6022, 6053, 6099 Support Levels: 5971, 5936, 5919 Trend Outlook: Consolidation: Between 6022 and 5971 Bullish Trend: Above 6022
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
Downward pressure on S&P 500 Index intensified past daysYesterday's sell-off damaged the S&P 500's 50-day moving average. While we initially saw a bounce back at the opening, it didn't hold. This makes the 5925 level a critical point to watch as we head toward the end of the year. For those keeping an eye on the charts, a trendline has been intact since the low in October 2023. Although it was breached during the August downturn, we managed to rally back into the bullish channel that's been forming since the fourth quarter of 2023. This channel offers support around the 5800 mark, and I anticipate this level will hold as we close out the year. Should we dip further, the following support levels to watch are 5690 and 5525. While I don't foresee us dropping to these lower levels before year-end, it's essential to acknowledge the potential downside risk. The market sentiment shifted following the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, giving sellers the upper hand for the first time since the summer.
SP:SPX
by IrinaTK
S&P 500 Holding Within Ascending ChannelChart Analysis: The S&P 500 Index remains firmly within its ascending channel (green zone), with the current price rebounding from the channel's midline near 6,006.5. The bullish structure remains intact, supported by key moving averages. 1️⃣ Ascending Channel: Price continues to respect the channel boundaries, with recent consolidation near the midline and potential for further upside toward the upper boundary. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at 5,938.1, acting as immediate support and reinforcing the bullish short-term trend. 200-day SMA (red): Positioned at 5,547.4, providing robust long-term support for the broader trend. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 52.74, indicating neutral momentum and room for price movement in either direction. MACD: Positive but flattening, suggesting momentum remains supportive of the uptrend, though caution is warranted. What to Watch: A continued bounce higher could target the channel's upper boundary near 6,100–6,150, while a failure to hold above the 50-day SMA could shift focus to the lower boundary near 5,800. Momentum signals from the RSI and MACD will be crucial in determining whether the current bounce has the strength to sustain a move higher. The S&P 500 remains structurally bullish within its ascending channel, with key support and resistance levels offering clear guidance for traders. -MW
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
S&P 500 - sidewaysUS stock indices finished lower on Tuesday with the broad-based, domestically-focused Russell 2000 leading the decline. The Russell represents US mid-to-smaller-cap stocks, and closed down 1.2%. It has now lost over 5% since making a fresh all-time high three weeks ago, after rallying 11% in the aftermath of Trump’s election victory in early November. The Dow has dropped around 3.5% from its own record high in early December. Yesterday’s loss meant that the old school, price-weighted index has registered nine successive losing sessions, its worst run in over six years. In contrast, the S&P 500 continues to consolidate just below all-time highs, while the NASDAQ 100 posted its own record high on Monday. Tech stocks continue to garner investor interest, despite their considerable outperformance in 2024. This morning, Tesla dropped 3%, pulling back a touch from its own all-time high hit on Monday. This followed news that the EV giant’s Shanghai plant manager is leaving the company. In contrast, NVIDIA jumped 3%, bouncing off the nine week low hit yesterday. Longer term US Treasury yields continue to creep up. The yield on the 10-year is back to a fresh four week high, above 4.40% and closing in on the potentially problematic level above 4.50%. This level could prove to be a headwind for equities. Bond yields will be in sharp focus this evening as the Federal Reserve announces its final rate decision of the year. The consensus expectation is that the Fed’s FOMC will cut by 25 basis points, taking the Fed Funds rate to 4.50% for a total 100 basis points-worth of rate cuts this year, beginning in September. But likely of greater importance will be the FOMC’s quarterly Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) where members give their forecasts for GDP growth, unemployment, inflation and the Fed Funds rate for next year and beyond. This will provide a set of guidelines for investors who currently predict just 50 basis points of additional cuts in 2025. Contrast this with September’s SEP when the FOMC forecast 100 basis points-worth of cuts next year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell will also host a press conference which will be of great interest to market participants. The prevailing view is that the Fed will accompany the rate cut with hawkish comments, indicating that it’s time to take a pause in loosening monetary policy. This seems wise, given the incoming Trump administration, the recent uptick in inflation, decent US economic growth and the strength of the US stock market.
TRADENATIONSB:US500
by TradeNation
19.12.24 SPX 5872 : Sector RotationRegarding the last 15 to 20 months, on monthly chart, you will find the comparison between the major sectors within the SPX: semiconductors, finance, retailer goods, information technology. What is interesting: sector information technology still rising, no cut, no descending, linear rsining, not hyperpolic, which is still a sign of exuberation. The largest companies in this sector: Oracle, Microsoft, nvidia, adobe, accenture, intel, cisco, salesforce, apple. So main question is: if information technology is our favorite for 2025, which of the companies are the relative strongest and at fair price/earning. Answer will be given in separate chart. And then we will well prepared downmove in SPX which i expect in jan/feb for 10-20%. Dan, 19th of September.
CBOE:SPX
by Flyerdan
1
S&P 500 Technical Analysis: Market Reaction to Fed Rate DecisionS&P 500 Technical Analysis The Fed Rate Decision is Coming Today! The market is expected to be volatile due to the Fed’s rate decision, with a potential decrease of 25 basis points. As mentioned earlier this week, the S&P 500 has been following a bullish trend, pushing up from 6022. Today, the index is likely to attempt to reach 6099. If it successfully breaks above 6100, it would confirm a bullish zone, with the potential to climb further toward 6143, especially if the Fed reduces rates by 25 bps. On the other hand, failure to maintain momentum above 6099 could result in the index trading between 6099 and 6022. A bearish trend could begin if 6099 is broken on the downside. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 6099 Resistance Levels: 6143, 6166, 6190 Support Levels: 6058, 6022, 5971 Trend Outlook: Upward Trend: Above 6099 Downward Trend: Below 6022 previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SroshMayi
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading, the S&P 500 index exhibited considerable volatility after reaching our critical support level of Mean Support 5870. Subsequently, it demonstrated a robust upward recovery. This development is anticipated to facilitate the impending phase of the renewed interim rebound, with the objective of retesting the Key Resistance level at 6090, thereby paving the way for continuing the bullish trend. However, it is crucial to recognize that a retest of the Mean Support 5870 remains a great possibility.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter