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S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)

S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)

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SPX Real Value ATH? Repeat 25 year 1930-1955 recovery fractalMeasuring SPX real valuation (SPX versus money supply) Spx is on its way to recovering the 2000 all time high that wa seen in the dot com bubble. The real valuation has never recovered this point. This fractal is very similar to the 25 year recovery from the 1930 crash is this lining up for continued bullish momentum into a new territory of value for Equities as Ai ushers in real value creation to companies and economies in the US and around the world. Hmmmm. Bullish? Rethinking this after Real valuation highs have been broken (see related posts) and since i believe that this is justified since technological innovation is driving more value to equity versus other investment types (bonds, commodies, maybe even land) . *****Land is interesting since new technology makes land more productive you actually need less of it to do the same things. very very interesting, but i would not count against it as a store of value as more dollars are printed.*** fun times. lets see what this looks like in the future
SP:SPX
by SnarkyPuppy
1
S&P - WEEKLY SUMMARY 3.2-7.2 / FORECAST📉 S&P500 – 4th week of the base cycle (average of 20 weeks). The pivot forecast on February 3 pushed the market upward after the overnight tariff gap. If you remember, I was in a short position at Friday’s close on January 31. I got tempted by the overnight tariff hysteria and closed my position in the morning. The European morning provided a great intraday opportunity to buy back the market with a good profit and open a long position on the pivot forecast. ⚠️ The cycle’s beginning looks very bearish, with a short rise followed by a steep drop below the opening level. I anticipated this in early January. By Friday’s close, signs of a double top at the December 9 and January 29 extreme forecast levels appeared. Strong hands with stops above the double top level should have held their short positions from January 24. The impulse from the January 29 extreme forecast is still active. Two long cycles remain open, as noted in the early January post.
CBOE:SPX
by irinawest
1
SPX500 - Strong sell signalSPX500 - Strong sell signal for short. Hello traders, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is Stop Loss set when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. My 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
FX:SPX500Short
by QQGuo-Shane
$S&P500 macro analysis , market approaching correction °•° $SPXHi 👋🏻 check out my previous analysis ⏰ on SP:SPX macro bullish analysis ⏰ As provided it went up up 🚀 completed my target's 🎯 💯💪🏻 ✅ ✔️ Click on it 👆🏻 just check out each and every time updates ☝🏻 ☺️ ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• NOW I was completely 🐻 BEARISH on the market with in upcoming months SP:SPX 📌 Expecting liquidation pump $6500 - $6700 Invalid 🛑 when complete month close above $6700 ¹support - $5500 ( 🎯 ¹ ) ²support - $5130 ( 🎯 ² ) 🎯 3 ... Will be updated based on market conditions by that time ☺️ 📍 A wise 🦉 man said - always having patience " is " always gaining only /- NASDAQ:TSLA ( i accumulate slowly until it cross above $400 ) rest of stocks i will follow index ☝🏻 i will invest based on market conditions ..... ✔️
SP:SPXShort
by raj5_7_5
SPX Setting Up the BounceFriday was an extremely bearish day for the market. It slid the entire day, even closing practically at the low for the day. It could be easy to surmise that we could be in for a deep retracement but this is doubtful seeing the price moves preceding this sharp drop, its rather clear we seem to be riding an expanded or running flat wave. The usual expected target for wave C of this particular type of flats roams from everywhere from 61.8 % of the advance of wave A to 127% of wave A and even further, sometimes even reaching past 200% of the distance traveled by wave A. The key point to touch on is the unfilled gap that is present right around the level of the projection of 127% of wave A. Having this point playing in conjunction makes me lean towards expecting a deeper rather than shallow retracement. Once we have reached the specified level, and likely going to fill the entirety of the gap, we can start to hunt for a bullish catalyst, since we should see further buying pressure and move into all time high territory.
SP:SPXLong
by HydraFinance
#TradFi is even more scary#Crypto looks scary, but #TradFi is even more scary😨 CRYPTOCAP:BTC holds strong compare to the DJI NDX & SPX with their Double Tops. Nothing much to say on Crypto as we need to wait until Monday and see how this picture develops - Indexes really like to V-shape brutal recovery, so just waiting😐 P.S It's not much the Bybit Hack which caused all this red rather the stock market. Btw so much panic happened around 1/1 backed and now regulated exchange - stay calm your funds are safe.
SP:SPXLong
by VIPROSE
2025 - 2026 Roadmap2025: - Cut Gov Spending - (Lower GPD) - Cut Gov Temp Workers - (Lower Employment) - Deport Service Workers - (Increasing inflation) - Tarif's - (One time inflation event) Cutting government spending should cause a recession. Note march 2025 : Drop and Bounce from seasonality. 2026: - '2020 Fed Carry' removed - Call of 5 yr 1.5% loans. - Called loans result in equity sell off. - Treasury funds gov with 30 year - Incentive to lower rates first. The government plans to switch from using 2-year bonds to 30-year bonds to fund itself by the end of 2025 or early 2026, under an agreement between the Treasury and the Fed. The downside? With 30-year bonds, they'll be stuck paying today's high 5% interest rate for three decades. Lowering the rate first would be better and save money, which is possible if a recession happens before the switch. To help, the Fed agreed to leave and make room in the 30-year bond market.
SP:SPXShort
by NicTheMajestic
SPX: another not-happy FridayMarkets have been playing a bit of a ping-pong game since the start of the year. Uncertainty is never a good world for financial markets, so it was this Friday. In the same week, the S&P 500 reached a fresh, new all time highest level at 6.148 and a significant pull-back on Friday. One of the extremely spooky works since recently are tariffs, which a new US Administration is using too frequently, for the taste of investors. The S&P 500 lost 1,71% at Friday's trading session, while other US indices were also somewhere in this range. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment was published during the week, showing not some happy figures about current consumer sentiment. In addition, consumers are expecting further increase in inflation, higher from previous releases. The 5 years inflation expectations currently stands at 3,5%, for which analysts are noting, is the highest level since 1995. The highest contributors to index drop on Friday were tech companies, which are currently ones which hold the highest participation. Other sectors were also affected, however, those related to major supplies were the ones that gained during the week. The consumer sector, healthcare and utilities were the ones that investors bought the most. It was sort of a move toward basics. As analysts are noting, the defensive sectors are the ones which gain during times of fears on future economic growth. The week ahead will be a sensitive one for financial markets, as PCE data are scheduled for a release. The start of the week might bring some relaxation from Friday's negative sentiment, however, it will not be a sign that the positive sentiment is back, but only a sort of short term positioning for PCE data. Depending on final PCE data, a higher move could be expected toward either side. The higher market sensitivity will continue as long as uncertainties are existing either through trade tariffs, or through inflation data.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
S&P 500's Big Drop Raises Alarm: Is a Market Correction Looming?◉ Fundamental Rationale: ● US stocks fell sharply on Friday, with major indices like the S&P 500 SP:SPX and Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI experiencing significant losses. ● The sell-off was triggered by a warning from Walmart NYSE:WMT , which raised concerns about weakening consumer demand, rising costs, or other challenges impacting its business. As a retail giant, Walmart's outlook is seen as a barometer for consumer health. ● The decline coincided with the release of consumer sentiment data, which dropped to a 15-month low, signalling growing pessimism among consumers about the economy. ● The market reacted to fears of inflation, rising interest rates, and the potential for a recession, which could further weigh on corporate earnings and economic growth. ● The sell-off was not limited to retail stocks but reflected broader anxieties about the economy and future market performance. ◉ Technical Observations: ● Following a significant sell-off of nearly 1.7%, the index is expected to find initial support at the trendline. ● If the index breaches this support level, the next strong support zone is anticipated in the range of 5,650 to 5,700.
SP:SPXShort
by NaranjCapital
S&P - WEEKLY SUMMARY 17.2-21.2 / FORECAST 📉 S&P500 – 6th week of the base cycle (average of 20 weeks). By Friday’s close, a triple top formed at the December 9 and January 29 extreme forecast levels, as expected last week. 👉 Strong-handed position traders with stops above the double-top level should have held their short position from January 24. The current futures price has not broken above it. The next pivot forecast is February 24. Based on timing, I cautiously assume that it may work as a correction of Friday’s movement, followed by a downward reversal from the extreme forecast on March 3. ⚠️ There is a high probability that this base cycle will be bearish, with a short rise and a steep drop below the opening. I anticipated this in early January. A bull market does not form a third peak within the first six weeks of the current base cycle. The market remains under the weight of two overextended long cycles, which I have written about extensively in past posts. ⚠️ The most interesting event is expected on the extreme forecast of March 3, coinciding with the start of the retrograde Venus period, which I mentioned in early December. The start of retrograde Venus usually triggers a market crash, while retrograde Mercury will add volatility starting March 17. However, I do not expect a correction of more than 20%, as a major crash is not likely before next year.
CBOE:SPX
by irinawest
Market Alert: Potential Downside Ahead! The S&P 500 (SPX) just closed with a strong bearish candle, dropping -104 points (-1.71%), signaling a possible shift in momentum. The index is now testing a key support level near 6,000, and if this level breaks, we could see a sharper pullback. 📉 What’s Happening in the Market? 1️⃣ Rising Interest Rate Concerns – The Federal Reserve remains cautious about inflation, and recent economic data suggests they may keep rates higher for longer. This puts pressure on equities, especially high-growth stocks. 2️⃣ Earnings Season Uncertainty – Many companies are reporting mixed earnings, with some missing expectations. Weak guidance from major corporations could fuel more downside. 3️⃣ Geopolitical Tensions & Market Volatility – Ongoing global uncertainties, such as geopolitical conflicts and supply chain disruptions, are adding risk-off sentiment to the market. 4️⃣ Technical Breakdown Risks – The SPX is currently sitting near critical support at 6,000. If this level fails, we could see further selling pressure toward 5,920 - 5,880 and possibly as low as 5,773. 🔥 What to Watch Next? ✅ Can the market hold 6,000 and bounce? Or will sellers push prices lower? ✅ Watch for reactions around 6,068 - 6,100—if the index struggles here, more downside is likely. ✅ Increased volatility means risk management is key—stay cautious, and don’t chase trades! ⚠️ Bottom Line: The market is at a turning point. If downside momentum continues, we could see a bigger correction. Stay alert and manage risk accordingly!
SP:SPX
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the most recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 surpassed our completed Outer Index Rally threshold of 6120, rendering the Key Resistance at this level obsolete. Nevertheless, following a significant price reversal, the index breached the Mean Support level of 6049 and is approaching the critical support level established at 5995. The index could decline further, potentially reaching the Mean Support level of 5939 and the Key Support at 5827. Should the index initiate an upward movement from its current position or the Mean Support level of 5995, it may ascend to the newly established Mean Resistance level of 6082, potentially extending toward the Key Resistance level of 6143.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter