ATH + 160 COMING !?Nothing special ..
Just some support/ resistance
Fibo.
ATH marking.
And it may come... 1.618
SPXM trade ideas
Weekly Chart of the S&P 500 Oct 22 - Feb 25Take a look at a longer-term weekly chart on the S&P to get a wider view of the trend in place. Clear resistance at 6120ish and trendline support at 5816.
Not a recommendation to buy or sell securities. For informational purposes only.
SPX Ready to pop? The pressure is buildingSPX Ready to Pop? The Pressure Is Building… | SPX Market Analysis 13 Feb 2025
The market is wound up tighter than a coiled spring, and I’m starting to wonder what will finally trigger the next move.
From a commentary standpoint, this is snooze-worthy—but from a trading standpoint, the Theta burn is quietly adding pennies to our pockets. Even if the market isn’t moving, we’re still getting paid.
Let’s break it down…
📉 SPX is Stuck – But That’s Not a Bad Thing
The market has been compressing into a tighter range, creating a pressure buildup that could snap in either direction. While traders watching for big swings are frustrated, we’re happily raking in Theta decay.
💰 Theta Burn – The Secret to Profiting in a Boring Market
In choppy or sideways conditions, directional traders get wrecked
But income traders get paid to wait, thanks to option decay
Every day that passes without a move = profits added to our pockets
📌 Overnight Futures – Still No Directional Clues
The futures market isn’t offering any strong signals 📉📈
Price compression continues, across all indexes
🚀 What Happens Next?
Eventually, this coiled spring will snap—we just don’t know when
The key is patience—we don’t need a big move to win
Whether SPX explodes up or down, we’ll be ready 💡
📌 Final Takeaway?
Sideways markets may be boring to talk about, but for income traders, they’re a steady payday. The key is knowing how to extract profits while waiting for the breakout.
Fun Fact:
📢 Did you know? The longest sideways market in history lasted nearly 17 years (1966–1982).
💡 The Lesson? Even in extended choppy periods, there are ways to profit—as long as you have the right strategy.
The Power Of Risk Management In 3 StepsRisk management is very important
and so here are some
points to remember as you watch this video:
-You have to wait for the price drop in the
daily chart of the futures market before
you enter your buy-stop order
-Remember that trading is a skill and also
risk management is another skill in trading
you have to try balancing them both
-Inside the video you will see the divergence
even though it may not be accurate
-
this gives you an idea what type
of trades to look for in the future
also during this video lesson I share with you
some latest sports news updates because
I love reading the
latest sports news in my spare time
watch this video to find out
the latest sports news :-)
Rocket boost this content to learn more
thank you for watching
-
Disclaimer: Trading is risky please learn risk
management and profit-taking strategies
Also feel free to use a simulation trading account
before you trade with real money
The #1 Risk Management StrategyAm so tired from studying about
the financial markets
Yesterday i was so sad because
I began thinking
about what it means to live
with a chip on your shoulder
-
This means holding a hateful heart against the people
that didn't want to help me, in my deepest
struggles to financial freedom
Learning about trading is the hardest skill
I have ever had to endure
It has pushed me to the limits
that I never thought I would reach
sometimes that is what it takes to become
a successful trader to be able to push yourself
to the limits.
Looking at this chart it's in a buying position
now this market is closed
but when it opens it may gap up
so we are a little late but the point
am trying to show you is the power
of the rocket booster strategy
Usually when the market SP:SPX rises
Bitcoin follows as well I don't know
if this will be the case
but watch out for this
chart pattern
The #1 thing you should take note of
is the buy-limit order
which is above the closing price.
This is a good risk management practice.
Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer:Trading is risky please learn risk management
and profit-taking strategies.
Also, feel free to trade in a simulation account
before you use your real money.
US500 UpdateUS500 Update We should watch well
We should watch at least 7000 areas
We will watch targets silently and update again
Bad CPI, Perfect Setup Opportunity for the S&P500Today’s CPI was really bad: 3% vs. 2.9%. Bad for markets, good for the Dollar, and everything got slapped - S&P 500 included.
But honestly, moments like this are often where the magic happens. Zoom in, and you’ll notice that the Monday Low is still sitting there untouched. In a few minutes, the New York Stock Exchange opens. What am I hoping for? A sweep of that Low, followed by a quick reversal and a push to the upside.
On the 1-hour chart, the RSI is already in oversold territory. A sell-off at the open would be the perfect entry, aiming for a 1:3 risk-reward ratio. If the market plays along, this could get real interesting real fast.
🔹 Asset: S&P 500
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Entry: 5974.60
🔹 Stop: 5936.90
🔹 Target(s): 6085.86
Inflation numbers can't disrupt the uptrend, euphoric top comesNot even inflation numbers can disrupt the uptrend, SPX moved just a bit on the NEGATIVE news, and that is super bullish, buyers are not afraid of inflation, the AGENDA will have to change and for that to happen a euphoric top is necessary
Sideways Markets? Heres why Im still getting paidSideways Market? Here’s Why I’m Still Getting Paid | SPX Market Analysis 12 Feb 2025
The markets may be moving like molasses, but that’s no problem when you’re getting paid to wait. While others are watching charts in frustration, our Theta decay is quietly dripping profits into our accounts. No rush, no panic—just letting the market do its thing while we collect.
Let’s break it down…
---
SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
📉 Markets Are Moving Sideways—And That’s OK
SPX is stuck in a range, drifting aimlessly while traders wait for direction. But unlike those who need a big breakout to make money, we’re already profiting while standing still.
💰 Theta Decay – The Power of Getting Paid to Wait
While the market meanders, options lose value
That lost value turns into profits for our income trades
Instead of hoping for a massive move, we collect steady gains
📌 The Current Market View
We still anticipate a move from the upper range to the lower range 📉
No need to force trades—our edge is patience
If SPX moves, great. If not, we still win
🔑 Why Income Trading Wins in a Sideways Market
Unlike traditional trading methods where:
❌ You need a strong directional move to profit
❌ You rely on timing the market perfectly
❌ You risk getting stopped out too soon
We simply:
✅ Let Theta decay work in our favour
✅ Profit even when the market goes nowhere
✅ Have time on our side—no need for constant action
📌 Final Takeaway?
The market may be stuck, but profits aren’t. Theta is working, our positions are intact, and there’s no stress—just steady gains.
---
Fun Fact:
📢 Did you know? The S&P 500 has spent nearly 80% of its time trading sideways rather than trending up or down.
💡 The Lesson? The market isn’t always moving—but smart traders don’t need it to. That’s why income trading thrives when others struggle.
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 12 SP:SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 12
We’s been consolidating sideways here a bit and slightly up and if you look at the moving averages that’s the same. Slightly up and sideways.
We have a green signal line on the day though it's weak and more of a cautious looking for direction type of stance.
35EMA is above the 30min 200 even though it looks weak its still above and that is bullish. Downtrend above us here and then ash’s are at the top of the trading range.
Bull gap underneath us with the support of the 50DMA
CPI and Jerome Powell today so Trade carefully.
I didn’t put a position on today from yesterdays power hour like I have been so I am depending on the intraday move to get in today.
S&P consolidation continuesThe S&P (US500) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on Friday 24th Jan the S&P index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range.
The key trading level is at 6012, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 6012 level could target the upside resistance at 6080 followed by the 6117 and 6130 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 6012 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook targeting a further retracement and a retest of 5964 support level followed by 5925.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.12.2025🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
🇺🇸🏛️ Fed Chair Powell Testifies: At 10:00 AM ET, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will testify before Congress, providing insights into the economic outlook and potential monetary policy adjustments.
📊 Key Data Releases:
📅 Wednesday, Feb 12:
🏢 Consumer Price Index (CPI) (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.4% MoM.
📈 Core CPI (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM.
📉 CPI (YoY) (Jan):
Expected 2.9%; Previous 2.9%.
📉 Core CPI (YoY) (Jan):
Expected 3.1%; Previous 3.2%.
🛢️ EIA Crude Oil Inventories (10:30 AM ET):
Previous: +8.664M.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 11 25
Ok. Today’s implied move 6025 - 6105 on the day - I am looking wider than that for spreads today
It’s looking as if futures will open UNDER the 30min 200MA, which could give us that 35EMA cross down and then we will be bearish. We got a little technical bounce yesterday but it was on low volume and looks weak in the indicators. So look for that 35EMA cross down.
50 Day moving average is near the bottom of the trading range under the implied move on the day and at the bottom of tomorrow’s implied move so that is a target to keep in mind.
ATH’s at the top of the trading range and the downtrend line is in today’s implied move.
PROFIT & LEARN: Confusion Clarity Bar Index (CCBI) Overview
The Confusion Clarity Bar Index (CCBI) is a TradingView indicator designed to measure market efficiency and volatility by combining the Efficiency Ratio with a Bollinger Bands %b calculation. This provides traders with a unique way to gauge price movement clarity versus confusion.
Key Features:
1. Efficiency Ratio (ER) Calculation:
• Measures the directional efficiency of price movements over a user-defined period.
• Compares absolute momentum to cumulative volatility to determine efficiency.
2. Bollinger Bands %b Calculation:
• Applies a Bollinger Bands overlay to the Efficiency Ratio.
• Standard deviation is set very low (default 0.0001) to capture subtle variations in efficiency.
3. Histogram Visualization:
• A column-style histogram represents %b values:
• Blue bars when %b is above 0.5 (greater market clarity).
• Red bars when %b is below 0.5 (higher market confusion).
4. Overbought & Oversold Levels:
• 1.0 (Overbought) → Market is exceptionally efficient.
• 0.0 (Oversold) → Market is highly inefficient or erratic.
• 0.5 (Neutral Level) → Middle ground between efficiency and confusion.
5. Background Highlighting:
• Green background when %b reaches 1.0 (strong market efficiency).
• Red background when %b reaches 0.0 (extreme market inefficiency).
How to Use It:
• Trend Confirmation:
• If bars remain blue, price movements are likely clear and efficient.
• If bars turn red, market uncertainty is increasing.
• Reversal Zones:
• A move towards 0.0 suggests indecision, potentially signaling trend exhaustion.
• A move towards 1.0 indicates strong directional momentum.
• Volatility Breakouts:
• A sharp shift in %b from low to high may indicate an upcoming trend breakout.
This indicator is best used in conjunction with momentum oscillators and volume indicators to confirm market conditions and potential trade setups.
Stocks Gold Ratio Favors GoldOver the long term, cycles are evident and it's quite possible that we are starting a long term move favoring Gold over SPX. A weakening dollar might be the catalyst going forward. The ratio could drop another 25%. Personal positioning: Long GLD Short SPY
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.11.2025🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
🇺🇸🏛️ Fed Chair Powell Testifies – Insights into economic outlook and monetary policy.
📊 Key Data Releases:
🏢 NFIB Small Business Optimism Index (6:00 AM ET): Previous: 102.7.
📈 Redbook Index (8:55 AM ET): Previous: +5.7% YoY.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
Modest recovery follows weak weekUS stock index futures were all firmer in early trade this morning, recovering a proportion of Friday’s losses. The majors ended last week on the backfoot as investors chose to pare their risk exposure ahead of the weekend. This came after President Trump unleashed a clutch of tariff threats, primarily focused at northern and southern neighbours, Canada and Mexico. These were postponed within hours of being announced as both countries promised to boost security at their US borders. But the additional 10% tariff on US imports from China did go ahead. China has instigated retaliatory tariffs on US imports starting today. Over the weekend, President Trump announced blanket tariffs on all imports of aluminium and steel, along with reciprocal tariffs on any country placing levies on imports from the US. All this uncertainty contributed to a negative week for all four major US stock indices. This was compounded by Friday’s Non-Farm Payroll update which came in weaker than anticipated. Average Hourly Wages came in well above forecasts, and on top of this, the University of Michigan’s Inflation Expectations survey jumped unexpectedly. This increased concerns that inflation in returning as an important issue. There’s evidence of renewed upside pressure, and all measures remain significantly above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. This has led to another shift in rate cut expectations. According to the CME’s FedWatch Tool, the odds now favour just one 25 basis point rate cut this year. This week brings important inflation updates with the CPI and PPI on Wednesday and Thursday respectively. In addition, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will testify before Congress tomorrow and on Wednesday. Despite some disappointing results from a few tech giants, this has been a strong earnings season, with earnings growth coming in at its best rate for four years.
Two zones to long the SPX500Hello Traders, there are 2 zones that you can enter market.
the first one is between 5980 and 5950. If it coincides with Bollinger lower band, it could go up more sharply.
in that case top of red bearish channel could be considered as the 1st tp.
The 2nd option available after breaking the top zone, in reverse to 6132 we could enter the market again. Remember that again Bollinger band could help us to confirm the long trade. 6240 could be used as TP, as well as the higher band of Bollinger band is a good place to take profit.
SPX/Escalating Trade Tensions: New Tariffs on Steel and AluminumEscalating Trade Tensions: New Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum
The week began with yet another significant announcement, as President Trump, during a media briefing aboard Air Force One, declared a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports into the United States. He further indicated that additional reciprocal tariffs could be expected on Tuesday or Wednesday.
S&P 500 Technical Analysis
The price maintains bearish momentum, having already stabilized within a bearish zone. As long as it trades below 6,051, the market will continue its downward movement toward 6,020. A 4-hour candle closing below 6,020 would confirm a further decline toward 5,970.
However, if the price stabilizes above 6,059, it may advance toward 6,085. To establish a confirmed uptrend, the price must hold above 6,103.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 6051
Resistance Levels: 6079, 6103, 6143
Support Levels: 6020, 5969, 5937
Trend Outlook:
Bearish scenario: While below 6051, targeting 6020 – 5,970
Bullish scenario: Confirmation above 6059, targeting 6085 – 6103
SPX: cautious on hourly earningsThere has been sort of a mixed mood on financial markets during the previous week. The week started with a positive sentiment, although it was around the level of 5.931 at one short point. The S&P 500 was moving toward the higher grounds for the rest of the week, reaching the highest weekly level on Thursday, at 6.083. Still, after the NFP data were posted, the market turned to the negative sentiment, dropping strongly within the day, finishing the week at the level 6.025. What was the actual problem with the NFP data? The US economy added 143K new jobs, while the market was expecting to see the figure around 170K. This difference is not so huge, so there was no problem. However, the average hourly earnings were the one to spoil the game on the market, considering that they increased by 0,5% above the market estimate of 0,3%. This was the breaking point for investors, where they anticipate that increased earnings will support increased spending in the future period and consequently higher inflation. A higher inflation means that the Fed will hold interest rates at current levels for a longer period of time, which means that investors need to revalue their positions. And, another drop in the US equity markets just happened.
Despite job developments, which are temporary, the investors continue to be concerned about trade tariffs imposed, or planned to be imposed, by the new US Administration. This brings higher sensitivity to equity markets, which will react to any news to this topic in the future period. So, it might be expected that the volatility will continue.
As for quarterly results of the major companies, Amazon shares dropped around 4% after the results. The company had relatively solid quarterly earrings, however, the push in the price was provoked by providing a relatively low guidance to investors regarding companies expectation for Q1 earnings. They provided only an expectation of 5% to 9% growth in revenues in the first quarter, but analysts are noting that this would be the lowest quarterly growth of the company in its history.
Weekly Economic Events & Data Releases: Feb 10 – 14, 2025🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
Monday, Feb 10: 🇨🇳📈 China's Retaliatory Tariffs – In response to the U.S. imposing a 10% tariff on Chinese imports effective Feb 4, China has enacted tariffs of 15% on U.S. coal and liquefied natural gas, and 10% on crude oil and agricultural machinery, effective today.
Tuesday, Feb 11 & Wednesday, Feb 12: 🇺🇸🏛️ Fed Chair Powell Testifies – Insights into economic outlook and monetary policy.
📊 Key Data Releases:
Wednesday, Feb 12:
🏢 Consumer Price Index (CPI): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM.
💵 Real Earnings: Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: -0.1% MoM.
Thursday, Feb 13:
🏭 Producer Price Index (PPI): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM.
📉 Initial Jobless Claims: Forecast: 219K; Previous: 219K.
Friday, Feb 14:
🛍️ Retail Sales: Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: +0.4% MoM.
🌐 Import Price Index: Forecast: +0.5% MoM; Previous: +0.1% MoM.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
