SUGARUSD trade ideas
SUGAR/USD Short
• If price corrects and a larger three touch one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Playing with sugarLet's start with observing 2W chart, here we can see that:
1) price has been grinding across the trendline, which acted as resistance
2) following rejection at the resistance, we had a move down to ~0.174 range which formed a strong support
3) If the week closes at 0.18335 or higher, we have an official breakout from this sub-structure and impulse should take it to the former high, above 0.2.
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2D chart clearly demonstrates how the price has just broken through the resistance line. The next logical target is indeed the range between 0.2 and 0.22.
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Let's zoom out further, monthly chart.
Observing this chart, I would presume that there will be a battle to take out resistance over 0.2, but after that is broken we will likely see a significant run toward old highs, between 0.31 and 0.35.
The great 2022 rotation Tech/Crypto -> Agriculture.Opinion:
As oil prices increase, crop rotations kick-in favoring Wheat production where the climate is appropriate. Price of agricultural goods is affected by increased transport prices and crop production space rotations. I expect all agricultural produces prices to increase significantly in the coming months. Including sugar. TP1 looks attractive.
This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
Notes on how I personally use my charts/NFA:
Each level L1-L3 and TP1-TP3 has a deployment percentage. The idea is to flag these levels so I can buy 11% at L1 , 28% at L2 and if L3 deploy 61% of assigned dry powder. The same in reverse goes for TP. TP1: 61%, TP2:28% and TP3:11%. If chart pivots between TP's, in-between or in Between Sell levels these percentages are still respected. I like to use the trading range to accumulate by using this tactic.
Just my personal way of using this. This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
FED Macro Situation Consideration:
All TP's are drawn within the context of a return to FED neutral policy. I do not expect these levels to be reached before tightening is over.
NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
I am not a financial advisor.
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SUGAR SHORT..... 6.5RR OPPORTUNITYOh Sugar!
I know most of us do not trade this pair, but I have managed to make so good trades from this commodity so far. I think you guys should check it out. As for commodity, I only trade Silver and Sugar. I would like to trade Gold but the lot size requirement is not for me as at now.
Anyways, this pair has been bullish and has hit the monthly high, it is likely to retrace to the marked zone bring about some short opportunity.
Cheers!
EXTREMELY BULLISH SUGAR Sugar has no place to go but up. Look at my golden lines, replicate them on your chart and go to the monthly timeframe. Look left and see the beauty of multi timeframe analysis.
Anyways, we don't control the market but I remain bullish till the market says otherwise.
What's your own view on sugar???
Sugar likely going higher from hereSugar hasn't moved much in the commodity space but it looks like that's about to change
The quarterly chart is especially interesting as it's been bull flagging above a key historical level - the 18 cent mark, which also corresponds with the 50 week moving average support - so there's your risk perfectly defined. You could also argue it's flagging outside of a massive multi-decade symmetrical triangle (not as relevant imo but interesting).