Sunday Market Calm: Bitcoin and SUSHI Insights🔍Let's dive into today's analysis. The market is quite range-bound and lacks volatility since it's Sunday and the trading volume is low. As usual, let's start with Bitcoin analysis:
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, we still have an ascending channel where yesterday, the price stabilized above its midline. However, as mentioned earlier, there is currently no bullish momentum in the market, which is why I haven't opened any positions and remained in a no-position stance.
🔻 Interestingly, the price was supported at 64247, making this trigger more reliable. Upon breaking this short-term support, I will open my short position. However, given the low market volume, it's better if selling volume enters the market simultaneously with the trigger break. The RSI confirmation trigger is 44.53, but due to the ranging market, momentum oscillators are less reliable.
📈 For a long position, the risky trigger at 64530 is still on the table, but I strongly advise against opening a long position in the current conditions. It is better to wait for the market to build more structure.
🍣 SUSHI Analysis
Project Overview
The coin we will analyze today is SUSHI, which is a DEX platform in the DeFi space. This platform allows decentralized trading of cryptocurrencies. Additionally, by creating Liquidity Pool Tokens (LP tokens) on this platform, you can generate income. This relates to the DeFi sector, and I recommend thorough research before entering this space.
Technical Analysis
In the 4-hour timeframe, it is evident that there is a downtrend that started from the 1.295 resistance and reached the 0.791 support. Using the Fibonacci retracement, we see that between the 0.791 support and the 0.859 level (which is also the 0.236 Fibonacci level), a range box has formed, indicating a resting phase. The SMA25 has reached the candles and turned the previous candle red. If the SMA25 can inject momentum into the market, we can expect the market to become bearish.
📉 For a short position, I recommend opening a short position upon breaking 0.791, with a target of 0.64. It is crucial that volume increases; otherwise, the trend will weaken.
📈 For a long position, wait for the price to stabilize above the SMA25 and for the RSI to hold above 47.03. You can open a position upon breaking 0.859, but since this is against the trend, buying volume in the candles must be high, and the target should be small. The 0.382, 0.5, and 0.618 Fibonacci levels can be suitable targets for this position.
♟ Personal Strategy
I will definitely open a short position upon breaking 0.791 because if this area breaks, a significant bearish momentum will enter the market, potentially leading to a substantial decline. However, for a long position, I will not open one at the moment and will wait for the market to build a structure that fits my long position strategy.
📝 Conclusion
Today’s market analysis highlights the importance of patience and strategic positioning. For Bitcoin, the lack of bullish momentum suggests a cautious approach, avoiding long positions until the market shows more definitive signs. SUSHI presents potential opportunities on both the short and long sides, but volume confirmation is key to avoid false moves. Remember, in low-volume conditions like today, it's best to wait for clear signals before making any trading decisions. Always prioritize risk management and thorough analysis before entering the market.
