AAPL at a Pivotal Zone! TA for July 14AAPL at a Pivotal Zone! GEX & Price Action Align for Major Move 📉📈
🧠 GEX Sentiment (Options-Based Insight)
* Current Price: $210.53
* GEX Zone Traps:
* Below Price:
* 🟥 Put Support at $205 (-11.48%)
* 🔻 PUT Wall at $200 (-9.06%) — strong floor
* Above Price:
* 🟩 CALL Walls at:
* $212.5 → 29.79% GEX7
* $215 → 38.62% GEX6 (3rd largest resistance)
* $217.5 → 11.45% GEX9
* $220 → 39.78% GEX2 (heavy resistance zone)
* 🟩 Max GEX Cluster: $215–$220
* 🔺GEX10 spike at $230 → unlikely unless squeeze
* IVR/IVX:
* IVR: 24 (low volatility environment)
* IVX: 34.2 → Soft volatility bounce
* Call/Put Flow:
* Calls: 3.1% favored
* GEX trend: 🌕🌕🌕 (Neutral-to-Bullish if over $212.5)
📦 Interpretation:
Gamma compression is strong near $212.5–$215. If AAPL stays above $210.5 and reclaims $212.5, options market opens up space toward $217.5–$220. Below $207.5 = risk of drop toward $205 then $200 PUT wall.
🕹️ Option Trade Ideas Based on GEX
Bullish Strategy (IF Breaks $212.5):
* Trade: Buy AAPL 215c or 217.5c (Jul 19 or 26 expiry)
* Trigger: Hold above $212.5
* Target: $217.5–$220
* Stop: Break below $209.8
Bearish Strategy (IF Breaks $207.5):
* Trade: Buy AAPL 205p or 200p (Jul 19 or 26 expiry)
* Trigger: Loss of $207.5 with momentum
* Target: $205 → $200
* Stop: Reclaim of $210.5
🔍 1-Hour Chart Analysis (Price Action)
* Structure: Sideways consolidation between $207.5–$213.5
* Key Levels:
* Demand: $205–$207.5 (Buyers defended)
* CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed near $209.8
* Resistance: $213.48 (rejected multiple times)
* Trendline: Rising wedge forming under liquidity sweep zone
* Liquidity Pools: Resting above $215 and below $205
* FVG/OB Zones: Thin FVG at $209.8–210.5 and mid OB around $207
📈 Scenario 1 (Bullish):
* If price bounces off $210 again and breaks $212.5 with volume, watch for sweep of $215–$217.5
* Watch for re-entry above CHoCH/BOS confluence near $211.5
📉 Scenario 2 (Bearish):
* If we break $207.5 and fail to reclaim $210.5 → liquidity vacuum opens toward $205 and $200
✅ My Thoughts & Suggestions
* Direction Bias: Neutral > Bullish if $212.5 is claimed, otherwise range-bound.
* Best Risk/Reward: Wait for $212.5 breakout confirmation OR $207.5 breakdown.
* Scalpers: Use $210.5–212.5 as chop zone — fade edges.
* Swing Traders: Only enter on clear breakouts with stop discipline.
🔒 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
