Berkshire Hathaway - BreakoutHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Berkshire Hathaway.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
In 2013 Berkshire stock broke above a key resistance area which was acting as resistance for multple years. This breakout was followed by a +300% pump towards the upside. Last month Berkshire stock then also broke out of a long term triangle formation. If we get a retest back to the previous resistance mentioned in the analysis, I will be looking for long-continuation setups.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
BRYN trade ideas
🔝 Berkshire Hathaway. Grandpa Warren Breaks The TopLegendary investor Warren Buffett was on a trip to Tokyo, the capital of Japan, ten months earlier in mid-April 2023, and the titans of the country's giant energy and commodity conglomerates were there to make their presentations.
As usual, over glasses of Coca-Cola NYSE:KO - one of Buffett's most famous investments, they walked into Warren Buffett's suite at the luxury Four Seasons hotel and individually told the 92-year-old American investor the same thing: Japanese trading houses are cheap and should accelerate their move beyond commodities.
The support of the Oracle of Omaha is an important vote of confidence in the big five Japanese trading houses - Mitsubishi Corporations TSE:8058 , Mitsui TSE:8031 , Sumitomo TSE:8053 , Itochu TSE:8001 and Marubeni TSE:8002 .
It's also a broad endorsement of Japan, that is considered to have outlived its heyday 30-35 years ago, as well as considered less relevant than Asian counterparts such as China and India.
But there's one big question: Is Buffett betting on phasing out fossil fuels, the trading house products themselves, or a combination of the two? Or something else, like impact of the weak yen!?
Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway NYSE:BRK.B reported in August 2020 that it had acquired about 5% of the shares of five trading houses, that sent their stocks up and raised their total investment value above $6 billion. When the Covid-19 pandemic dampened demand for goods, it pushed down the value of company stocks, four of which traded below book value.
“They were selling, I thought, at a ridiculous price,” - 3 years later Buffett said to CNBC, in March 2023.
Three years after the Covid-19 pandemic (that is now hardly remembered) Warren Buffett's bets on Japan have nearly tripled to over $17 billion.
But even this Growth does not stop Buffett. Staying in Tokyo last spring, Buffett confirmed intentions to buy more shares, and participate in more big deals.
In addition, Berkshire recently unveiled plans to issue its own yen-denominated bonds, which can help hedge against the depreciation of the yen against the US dollar as well as depreciation of Japanese stocks in dollar terms.
In nowadays Japan Stock Index TSE:TOPIX ended 2023 on a positive note, adding more than 25 percent at the end of the year, that is, the maximum growth over the last 10 calendar years.
Early in 2024 TSE:TOPIX continues its growth path, as technology companies stocks are rallying.
In 2024 TSE:TOPIX hit the 2,500 yen mark - point that not been seen for more than 30 years - since the first half of 1990, while another one Japan stock index Nikkei225 INDEX:NKY hit its 36'000 Milestone - the level that was not seen also since early 1990s.
The main technical graph says Berkshire Hathaway Class B NYSE:BRK.B stocks are on the runway to break its key resistance - 6-month and all time highs, to further upside price action delver.
Buffett is just one step away from skyrocketing to the Moon 🚀Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway just snapped up more Occidental Petroleum shares, pushing the legendary investor's stake in the oil company to just over 25%.
Buffett's conglomerate purchased another 2.1 million shares of Occidental in the past week when the stock traded at $57.89, an amount worth $123 million in total, according to a recent Securities and Exchange Commission filing.
Berkshire now owns 224 million shares of the oil producer worth $13 billion. That represents just over quarter of Occidental's entire value, with a total market cap of $52.56 billion.
Buffett has been vocal about his bullishness on Occidental Petroleum, snapping up big chunks of the stock over the past year as oil and natural gas prices skyrocketed in the aftermath of Russia - Ukraine tensions.
And though Buffett has said he has no interest in taking over Occidental, Berkshire gained approval from regulators to potentially own up to 50% of the company last August.
Energy prices, meanwhile, have eased from their highs last summer, but analysts have said prices are in for another surge later in the year, especially if China's economic reopening leads to a big upswing in oil demand.
Moreover El Niño is here. Commodity prices could swing in turmoil.
[EDU]Doing this will Massively improve your Trading!Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
DRC stands for Daily Report Card
To be all transparent I adopted this from smb capital. Credits and Kudos to them.
I used it and did some modifications to suit my purpose. So you can do the same to what I have over here and modify according to your requirements.
The purpose of the daily report card is to help you keep track of your whole trading day. If you do have a day job or what not, you can adjust the DRC to be cater for a week or few days. It's up to the individuals.
So, this Daily report card of mine basically looks something like this as shown above in the charting space. And let me give some details on each of this sections.
Daily Analysis
In this section, you should start off with how you have felt in the morning. Do you feel refreshed and pumped up, or grouchy as you have had not enough sleep? Or are you feeling miserable or unhappy over the big lost you had yesterday? You can put it down over here.
Then continue on for how you would prepare your trading day by first analysing the market that you are trading on.
Goal
This will be link with the goals that you have set fore for yourself. Try to put a goal that you wanted to achieve by end of the week, month or quarter. This doesn’t necessarily be the big goal you have. It can be subset of the big goal you have.
Some examples can be, to increase my position size from 1% to 2%. Or to be able to hold my trades longer, sticking to pre-defined exit strategies and improving my risk to reward ratio etc. This goals does not necessarily needs to be monetary.
Reminders / general truth or principle
You can put some reminders and principles for yourself here. You can start off with things like focus on your goals and not the PNL, focus on your trading as required and remove any distractions (e.g. social media). These are just some examples of the many and I will leave that for you to fill them up.
What I learned/improved upon today?
To this, you can write something that you find interesting or learn about the market. For example, if you are day trading, GBP could have a particular time that you have observed where it reverses it trend. OR it could just be that you come to realize some interesting trading setups using a particular indicator etc.
Important trade, if any
Over here, you should document down trades you find it important for your to remember or refer back to later on in the week or future. This can be trade that you have did well or a trade that you performed badly. Jot it down so that in the future you can revisit and learn from it again.
Change need to be made from today?
Here are some things that you felt that you should act on it immediately for example, if you lost yourself and be emotional on losses. Put it over here and evaluate what has happened and act upon it. Or you have entered a trade haphazardly ,in fear of FOMO etc.
Overview
Just a 1-2 sentence to sum up your day.Nothing in particular but jotting down your thoughts of the day.
Finally take a look at the top left hand corner of the table I had for you. There is a X /5 which denotes the score you gave yourself on that day (if you are doing it on a daily basis).
Over here, have your own scoring system to give yourself score and hold yourself accountable for it. You can do something like, giving a score of 1 for daily analysis section, 2 for goal and 1 or important trade etc. Just to evaluate how you have done for each of these section is a quick way.
It's the year end and if you have yet to evaluate your trading performance and not sure how to go about starting, do check out the link i provided below for the post i have put up recently.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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Will Berkshire Hathaway investors panic when Warren Buffet...Will Berkshire Hathaway investors panic when Warren Buffet passes away?
Few companies are as closely tied to their leaders as Berkshire is to Warren Buffett and was to Charlie Munger.
Munger's recent passing, who served as Berkshire's vice chairman since 1978, signifies the end of an era for the company. While Munger's role was significant, Buffett's influence on the company is even more substantial. Given his age of 93, Buffett's eventual passing could potentially have a large impact on Berkshire's stock price. Investors may be spooked or optimistic about Berkshires possible future. The cult of personality and reverence for billionaires among the investing class suggests that the impact would be negative. But who knows?
In a recent letter, Buffett asserted that Berkshire is "built to last" and will continue to thrive under capable leadership, likely from Greg Abel. Currently the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway Energy and vice-chairman of non-insurance operations, Abel is seen as a potential successor. As pondered by Reuters; will he be willing to divest underperforming or uninspiring businesses, unlike his predecessors who preferred long-term holdings, or whether Berkshire might consider paying its first dividend since 1967?
REST IN PEACE to one of the greatest financial mindsCharlie Munger right hand man to investment giant Warren Buffett has passed away on the 28 November 2023, born 1 January 1924. Not only was he an investment wiz he was great at behavioral psychology.
He started his investment career in 1962 working as a real estate attorney which he gave up to pursue investment management along side Otis Booth, he later went on to form an investment firm with Jack Wheeler to his own firm to 1975. 1978 when he started working closely with Warren Buffett on BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY which owns businesses with a networth of 782.64BILLION in different industries and they have since made an average annual gain of 20.1% every year till 2022, and has made a personal wealth for himself of 2.6 billion.
He considers himself to be a value investor ( investment strategy where investors identify stocks whose prices don't reflect what they are really worth) . Charlie also was a long term investor looking at companies that were high in value and also had the potential to continue increasing in value by holding for a long term compounding gain.
some of his best qoutes are :
-the best way to get what you want is to deserve what you want.
-all intelligent investing is value investing
-the world is not driven by greed but by envy.
the investment community suffered a great loss, Charlie is really one of the greats, showing it pays to be patient and the importance of portfolio diversification.
what have you learned from Charlie Munger yourself?
put together by : Pako Phutietsile ( @currencynerd )
SEPT 21/23 TURN BUY N HOLD WARNING The chart posted is that of what and why I wrote The buy and hold crowd will remember this date . it is that of Berkshire Hathaway class B . I saw that in Jan 2022 we made a High as did the QQQ n SPY in which I wrote in detail 12/8/2021 2022 THE YEAR OF 20%PLUS CORRECTION calling for the drop into the 20 10 4 2 year cycle low and that the drop would be into 3511/3490. But when I saw BERK/B making a higher high into march 29 I knew it was showing me The real buy and hold crowd . and that a shift and a higher would confirm a true top . and based on the fib ratio in time and spirals we would see the non confirmation signal before the BEAR MARKET would be in force . that date was sept 21/23 it came in only 1.5 days early. So the Crash cycle I talk about in history is 55 to 62 days long and in 1929 it was 72 days . this gives me a date of nov 13 plus or minus 2 . Which is also the golden ratio spiral from sept 21 2001 22.14 years F 22 But why sept 21 and not sept 11 2001 The markets were closed until sept 21 sept 11 22.14 is 11/3/2023 and is Not 55 days BUT 11/13/2023 is exactly 55 days and the alt date 11/21-23 .WHERE DO WE GO FROM THERE . I stand by the BULL MARKET from 2009 and odds are now very high from 12/4 1974 ENDED 1/13/2022 and that My call into 10/4 to the 20 focus on the 10th came in on 10/13/2022 WAS WAVE A SUPER CYCLE BEAR PHASE AND HAVE NEVER CHANGED MY VIEW THE RALLY WAS SUPER CYCLE WAVE B. Jan 13 2024 is a LOW not the final Low that is march week 10th to the 16th From there you will get a major BEAR Market rally again The final low NOV 14 2024 target is 2250
Berkshire Hathaway's (NYSE: BRK.A) Key Stocks Milestone
KEY METRICS
Berkshire Hathaway reported a third-quarter net loss of $12.77 billion.
Apple’s 12% fall over the quarter hurt the company’s $350 billion stock portfolio.
The company's cash hoard rose to a record $157.2 billion, thanks in large part to Treasury holdings.
The company continued to slow the pace of buybacks in the third quarter.
Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK.A, BRK.B) reported its third-quarter earnings Saturday, which showed a net loss of $12.77 billion but the company's operating income rose by 40.65% from the year-ago period to $10.76 billion.
Yields Boost Cash Hoard
Berkshire continued to expand its huge cash hoard to a record $157.2 billion, up from $147.4 billion in the second quarter.
The cash pile is largely invested in U.S. Treasury bills, which recently surged to 5%. The company increased its Treasury bill holdings by 36% in the last year, which totaled $126 billion in the third quarter.
Berkshire is likely looking to capitalize on the yields that exceed consumer inflation by more than 1 percentage point as rising interest rates have made investments in Treasuries more attractive.
Price Momentum
BRK.A is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
Three peaks and doomed house Wave B Super Cycle degree.1974/2009The chart posted is that of the longer term super cycle wave B that started from super cycle wave 5 from 2009 low has stated that the 2021 dec forecast super cycle 5 th wave blowoff Parallel to 1907 to 1929 peak and that a correction Bear market would decline at a min .382 of the bull market with the likelihood more like a 50 % decline to 55 % Based on contraction of the FED BALANCE SHEET from 8.4 trillion to min of 4 trillion at a rate of 95 Billion a month has the Fed was at or near ZERO starting march 9 2009 and increased it at a rate of 60 to avg 85 billion per month since march 9 2009. Best of trades WAVETIMER
Is It Worth Investing in Berkshire Hathaway B (BRK.B)Berkshire Hathaway B currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.67, on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), calculated based on the actual recommendations (Buy, Hold, Sell, etc.) made by three brokerage firms. An ABR of 1.67 approximates between Strong Buy and Buy.
Looking at the earnings estimate revisions for Berkshire Hathaway B, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has remained unchanged over the past month at $15.82.
Analysts' steady views regarding the company's earnings prospects, as indicated by an unchanged consensus estimate, could be a legitimate reason for the stock to perform in line with the broader market in the near term.
It may therefore be prudent to be a little cautious with the Buy-equivalent ABR for Berkshire Hathaway B.
Berkshire Hathaway CallsThe price established itself on a strong demand zone and seems like its going to make some gains up to $543,000 area.
Upon reaching that area the price might break through the supply zone, in which case we can expect a rally to the last high of $566,000.
Or else, the trend will reverse back to its current point.
Berkshire Hathaway: Step by Step 👣Although the last few days have been volatile, the price of Berkshire has now backed the low of the magenta wave (1) and is currently in an uptrend. The same colored wave (2) should reach $360 before a reversal takes place. The 37% probability alternative scenario is for the price to rise further, which would come into play on a break of the resistance at $373.34.
Berkshire Hathaway Trail competitors Berkshire Hathaway Inc . (NYSE:BRKa)'s Class B shares (NYSE:BRK.B) continued their upward trend for a third consecutive day on Friday, with a modest gain of 0.37%, closing at $346.34. This comes amidst a broadly positive market, where the S&P 500 Index and Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced to 4,308.50 and 33,407.58 respectively.
BRK.B to hold 200-day moving averageBRK.B may come down to the 200-day simple moving average (yellow line) but if we are still in an uptrend then it should bounce from there.
I think market sentiment is overly negative. Expectations for inflation is as high as in Q4 2022 when inflation was very high in the US. If the interest rates, go up further then this will finally harm employment levels and reduce profits which will lower US tax receipts. Based on that, the FED will need to hold interest rates or not raise them much more and this will be supportive in the short run for the market to go higher in the end of the year. I expect the market is going to find a top and then as unemployment rises, we are going to see short term interest rates come down and for the market to have a capitulation event in 2024. If that is likely, then those that want to support the incumbent president will want that crash to happen early enough that there can be an end of year rally for 2024 ahead of the presidential election. There needs to be headlines saying the recession is over.
Three Black Crows, and big time bearish divergence on the MACDThree Black Crows candlestick pattern, and big time bearish divergence on the MACD, this has been a superior run.
I think that a retest of the 200 day SMA is in order here, which is also around the .386 fib.
It could go lower of course, but its really hard to bet against warren, hes just too good.
BRK.B is breaking downThe support of the uptrend channel has been penetrated last week on Sep 25th and already reached its first support line on level 347.48 on oct 2nd and made a 3 white soldiers pattern.
Will it keep going down to the next support on level 342.33? if we see the pattern and MACD, there is no sign of reversal yet, which means this stock is still going down.
Using the FIBONACCI retracement, the support on the 1.618 line is on level 336.42. If we look more detail, there is a gap between June 29th and 30th which has not been closed.
Patience is 100% needed if we want to get this stock at that level =D
Disclaimer:
The information and recommendations provided are for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice.
BRK, Massive Volatility-Developments, Important Price-Dynamics!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about BRK on several timeframe perspectives. The BRK stock is one of the few stocks within the recently bearish inclined stock market that is actually showing all-time-high developments with the price-action bouncing into a new all-time-high. Within this case there are important underlying dynamics going on which could turn out to be a major factor in determining the stocks future and incoming price-actions. Especially as BRK did not pulled back massively yet this is actually increasing the possibility of no bull-trap to emerge here.
First of all, BRK is recently forming this ever so decisive Ascending-Triangle-Formation on the local timeframe perspective which is likely to be completed within the next times. Once the Ascending-Triangle-Formation has been completed it is going to activate initial target-zones. In this case 5 factors will be important to consider. The first factor on how the momentum shows up once the breakout emerged. The second factor on if BERKSHIRE actually pulls back from the target-zone or it has such a momentum that it continues above it. The third factor on if the major ascending-supports hold and BERKSHIRE emerges with a bounce from there on. The fourth factor on how Apple a major holding of BERKSHIRE develops and the fifth factor on if the U.S. CPI continues to decline.
Taking all these factors into the consideration here now, the next times will be highly important because BERKSHIRE is going to show up with the major decisive volatility developments. When considering this whole dynamic on the global perspective also BERKSHIRE is forming this gigantic ascending-triangle also besides the local timeframe and once BERKSHIRE holds this gigantic ascending-triangle lower boundary it is going to be the impediment of the whole continuations to accelerate, activate the target-zones and reach out to all of the target-zones in the upcoming times.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
Berkshire (BRK.B) -> Trend ContinuationMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Berkshire Hathaway.
At the moment you can see that Berkshire stock is retesing its previous all time high which is roughly at the $350 area and we might see another short term bearish rejection.
However considering that the overall trend is still very bullish I am waiting for a simple break and retest of the current resistance level and then I am looking for a trend continuation.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡