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UDF1! trade ideas

YM - Unruly Dow 30Unlike ES and NQ, YM has failed to create a higher high on the daily timeframe suggesting that if we were to see some form of a retracement, YM could be the first mover. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTAN
CBOT_MINI:YMH2024Short
by LegendSince
YM Day Trading Gameplan For WeekNow that Monday has finished trading, I have a better idea of what is likely to happen. Price is looking like it is in a 2 legged pullback to find the next higher low. Price has been inside of a bear flag since the 27th I will be looking for shorts on Tuesday and Wednesday down into major 1 hour support for a new higher low. My stops are always 30-40 ticks with targets varying between 65-85 ticks I trade in direction of the 15 minute higher timeframe with the 5 and 3 minute as entries. If the bullish trend will continue, then it needs to find a higher low and then break higher to a higher high. I will be looking for 39,500 this week hopefully as the higher high
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
1
YM - Sellside Rush @ All-Time Highs Apologies for the quality in this recording. My previous one deleted last minute and I never had time to create another detailed review before work. Last week, we were looking out for shorts but never got the full range. This time, 39,050 - 39,040 is in the cards for this weeks trading My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTAN
CBOT_MINI:YMH2024Short
by LegendSince
Dow Jones in Focus: Fake Rally?Today, we're taking a closer look at the Dow Jones Index, specifically the E-Mini Dow Jones Futures. It appears we're in Wave (2), overshooting the target and forming an Expanded Flat correction. If there's a turnaround here, typical for such waves, we might see a correction somewhere between 50% and 61.8%. We consider more than 78.6% unlikely, so we're betting on a correction in the 50 to 61.8% range. Digging deeper, we've spotted an exciting pattern: a short Wave (i), followed by a long Wave (ii), a quick Wave (iii), and a very brief Wave (iv). This sequence could lead us to either Wave (v) or a larger B wave. Should the index continue to climb, we'll need to rethink everything. Surpassing the $40,000 mark would mean we're entering a new uptrend, requiring a different analysis. For now, we're leaning more towards a downward movement than an upward one. After much consideration, we've decided to initiate a short position on the Dow Jones as a bit of a hedge. We're particularly cautious about unexpected market movements triggered by insider trades. This strategy isn't about putting all our eggs in one basket but about spreading our risk. In short, this strategy is our insurance policy. If the market continues to rise, any loss on the short position would be offset by gains in our long trades. Conversely, if the market declines, the short trade will help minimize our losses. This balanced approach keeps us flexible and eager to see what unfolds.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by stromm
YM Buy Set Up on Daily. Buy over 39,044Set up is pulling back to a rising daily 21ema, when green takes out red, buy limit. That would be 39,044. The weekly 21ema is pointing straight up, indicating higher prices projected. So far this week has been a slow and steady pullback, a resting bar. Short term target is 40,000 minimum Long term target is 115,000 in 2035 Demographics tells me that Millennials will become the biggest generation and they will be hitting the years 35-50 range ( Prime Earning and Saving/Investing Years) This will drive up the bull run.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
YM - Weekly Rangebound Galore ?Massive spike out attempt on both buyside and sellside on the weekly timeframe. But in comparison to CME_MINI:ES1! and CME_MINI:NQ1! , CBOT_MINI:YM1! has been stagnant for the past two weeks. Last week, I was expecting lower prices but the $38,100 manipulation that occurred was something that I thought would hold and we would see a candle body closure. $38,000 is a region in price where I forecast CBOT_MINI:YM1! to trade to this week. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTAN
CBOT_MINI:YMH2024Short
by LegendSince
YM Friday Gameplan Bullish/Range Bound Top of Rising WedgeToday closed at the end of the session with a bearish engulfment and a pin bar wicking into the top 50% of said engulfment. I am seeing the 21ema start to flatten out and possibly roll over with massive space between the 21ema and the 200sma. Friday I think will be a choppy/range with a slight bullish tint to maybe take out Thursday's high and make another hit at the top of the rising wedge. I will have to see tomorrow morning how price behaves. I am only making a rough guess as I tend to not like to have biases when day trading. I just trade setups. Like today, I have a bearish long term position down to 24,000 or -37% but I still daytraded a bullish pullback setup This was my only trade Thursday I was wrong on the 0.85 fib but as I don't trade the first hour, I just sat and watched it plow right through it. I took the pullback trade a full 3 Hours and 50 Minutes after the NY open. I have learned the hard way that me personally, I get destroyed in the first hour. It is like crossing the freeway and getting hit by a semi.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
Understanding Momentum to filter out the Best SetupsIn the video I discuss how I analyse momentum using MACDs and the 5min and 1min charts when daytrading. Knowing these key concepts helps me filter out the best setups to get on the right side of the market and in the right trading zones. The basic concepts discussed are : - Momentum - Price Action - Candle Analysis - Multi-timeframe Analysis ** If you like the content then take a look at the profile to get more ideas and learning material ** ** Any Comments and likes are greatly appreciated **
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Education
by TradeTheStructure
5
YM Dow Head And Shoulders Pattern Target 1.25X At 24,250Now that the top is in, the Daily 200sma will start to roll over and start a downward trend. The left shoulder is complete The head is complete Now we are waiting for the right shoulder to form and to complete with the neckline I am expecting the right shoulder to rally back up to the 0.85 fib level and fail. My target is the 1.25 times range expansion at 24,250 Using the 3 month chart, this is what I am expecting for the next 20 years going forward I am expecting a 36-40% sell off into the rising monthly 200sma and the 3rd channel line. The low I am expecting will be June 2026 for roughly 18 months of a bear market Fret not, as after the sell off, I am expecting about 110% rally back up to 44,000 at the end of 2029 After that 3 year rally up to 44,000, I am then expecting a 58% sell off into the channel bottom and the rising 3 month 200sma at 18,000-20,000 at the start of 2029-2032 After that 58% sell off, I firmly believe that is the low and price will start a new bull trend with at least a 290% rally up to 72,000 by 2045 Everybody is so fine tuned to what is happening within this small bear wedge in 2023-2024 that they are not looking at the bigger picture 20 years from now. We are in a secular bear market and will have major ups and downs in a range until we breakout of this.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
1
YM1 US30 - SMART MONEY BEARS? 📈💥 DOW JONES ICT SET UP 4H As the bears stormed into the market following the release of the CPI data on the February, 13th of 2024, the impact was felt across the board. The surge in bullish sentiment propelled the market late afternoon New York session, causing a noticeable shift in momentum. Investors and traders alike found themselves navigating the fluctuations with keen interest. Looking ahead, the question arises - will we maintain levels above 38,000 on the Dow Jones US30 index? With substantial support levels and demand areas present in this region, the scenario seems promising. If the market can hold steady, we may anticipate price consolidating within the range of 38,100 to 38,500. This pivotal juncture will likely witness further market dynamics playing out, offering opportunities for bullish and bearish price action. If we can’t hold we may continue to see sell-side liquidity sweeps towards 4h demand areas!
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by MOTIONCAPITALTRADING
YM Sell Continuation On 4 Hour 21ema Now In ChargeAfter the violent spike down into the 200sma ( Bearish ), the 21ema is now in charge. It is declining so that means to pay attention to only bearish candles as the new trend is down. Any and all bullish candles are to be ignored. The gap between the bodies of the candles and the 200sma tells me they are to return. If price stays in the lower 0.33% or lower third, then expect lower prices. I can also see price go up to the 0.50% level and reversing as well. One of my all time favorite setups is green gets eliminated by red at/near the declining 21ema with a one bar stop. Here is two examples of what I am seeing in today's action.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
YM CPI 4 Hour CPI Swing Trade Idea 700 ticksThe 21ema on the 4 hour is flat Price is pulling back into the flat 21ema Look for a bullish surge off of the flat 21ema Can be aggressive and enter short on the close of the CPI 4 hour bar at 10am EST with the expectation of no follow through Can be conservative with a sell limit at the 50% mark of the bull surge bar. Targeting the demand candle of January 25th Price level: 38,200 160 tick stop 700 tick target Estimated holding time 6-8 days
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
YM - Weekly Frontrunning To Sour Sell StopsOf the three stock indexes; - CME_MINI:ES1! - CME_MINI:NQ1! - CBOT_MINI:YM1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! Looks to be the pair that's frontrunning the sellside narrative as it is the 1st of the three to reverse and reject all-time highs @ 38,992, closing the week as a bearish doji candle whilst CME_MINI:ES1! and CME_MINI:NQ1! close out bullish. Is this a indication for CME_MINI:ES1! & CME_MINI:NQ1! for a potential reversal? Would many of us retail traders expect a sudden shift like that, similar to CBOT_MINI:YM1! ? With a bullish TVC:DXY , more pressure could be placed on CBOT_MINI:YM1! to the downside to attack a DEEP liquidity pool @ 38,212 placed ever so perfectly on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighted in blue. This assumes the 1-hour wednesday bullish fair value gap rejects and gets treated like a inverted FVG. 38,645 will be my first point of call if my bias is to stick like glue. Friday 9th Feb 2024 - 8:00AM bullish shooting star located on the 1-hour timeframe is a MAKE OR BREAK CANDLE. As long as price action trades below 38,840, there's a strong chance we could be in for a sell-off next week. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure - Buyside/Sellside Liquidity - Order Blocks - Liquidity Voids - Fair Value Gaps - Optimal Trade Entry - Premium/Discount Array - SIBI/BISI - Many More! The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated. Credits; - Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE - Shawn Lee POWELL - Toray KORTAN
CBOT_MINI:YMH2024Short
by LegendSince