UDF1! trade ideas
E-mini Dow Jones Futures (YM1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 33432
Pivot: 31862
Support : 30966
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving along the ascending trendline and breaking above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 31862 where the pullback support is to the 1st resistance at 33432 where the overlap resistance, 78.6% fibonacci retracement and 61.8% fibonacci retracement sits
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and drop to the 1st support at 30966 where the swing low support and 78.6% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: Due to the easing treasury yeilds and oil prices, we have a bullish bias on the Dow Jones Index
E-mini Dow Jones Futures (YM1!), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseType : Bullish Rise
Resistance : 33432
Pivot: 31862
Support : 30966
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving along the ascending trendline and breaking above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from the pivot at 31862 where the pullback support is to the 1st resistance at 33432 where the overlap resistance, 78.6% fibonacci retracement and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and drop to the 1st support at 30966 where the swing low support and 78.6% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: Due to the easing treasury yeilds and oil prices, we have a bullish bias on the Dow Jones Index.
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 SEP 12 Week
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 SEP 12 Week
Last week's Scenario1 long on support of dotted trend line was good.
Caution: long trap observed, do not chase long.
Possible scenarios:
1) Long if 31450 / 31864-32029 is supported
2) Short on rejection of solid trend line / 32546
3) if triangle formation observed there may be short opportunity
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
32546 32029 31864
31450 30975 30406
Weekly: Low vol up bar close off high = minor weakness
Daily: Low vol up bar close off high = weakness
H4: Low vol narrow up bars + narrow close, followed by
ave vol up bar + UT bar = weakness
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Have a profitable week ahead.
YM1! - Weekly Market Update, 9/12Dow futures retained by its 50 day MA based on last weeks price action.
Price was also support by the GRAY channel structure below which contained selling.
As price oscillates between it's recent high (at its 200 day MA) and its recently placed low - I'm anticipating some lack of follow-through broadly.
Dow Jones: Jello 🍮What’s your favorite kind of jello? Cherry? Lemon? Raspberry? Dow Jones seems to prefer woodruff, as the index has been munching through the green jello between 30576 and 31689 points quite efficiently. Now that it has finished wave 2 in green, Dow Jones is already on its way to the next green jello between 37669 and 39249 points, where it should complete wave 3 in green. To take a bite there, it has to climb above the resistance at 34246 points first, though. Also, there is still a 42% chance that Dow Jones could wobble downwards below the support at 30109 points and thus below the next one at 29639 points as well.
E-mini Dow Jones Futures (YM1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Drop
Resistance : 32600
Pivot: 31872
Support : 30974
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving below the ichimoku indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop from pivot at 31872 where the pullback resistance and 23.6% fibonacci retracement are to the 1st support at 30974 where the swing low support and 78.6% fibonacci retracement are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and rise to 1st resistance at 32600 where the pullback resistance, 50% fibonacci retracement and 78.6% fibonacci projection are.
Fundamentals: Due to the easing treasury yeilds and oil prices, we have a bullish bias on the Dow Jones Index. We'll need to exercise caution for this setup because our fundamentals and technicals are not completely aligned.
E-mini Dow Jones Futures (YM1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Drop
Resistance : 32600
Pivot: 31872
Support : 30974
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving below the ichimoku indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop from pivot at 31872 where the pullback resistance and 23.6% fibonacci retracement are to the 1st support at 30974 where the swing low support and 78.6% fibonacci retracement are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and rise to 1st resistance at 32600 where the pullback resistance, 50% fibonacci retracement and 78.6% fibonacci projection are.
Fundamentals: Due to the easing treasury yeilds and oil prices, we have a bullish bias on the Dow Jones Index. We'll need to exercise caution for this setup because our fundamentals and technicals are not completely aligned.
E-mini Dow Jones Futures (YM1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Drop
Resistance : 31860
Pivot: 31240
Support : 30417
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price breaking the ascending trendline and moving below the ichimoku indicator, we have a bearish bias that price will drop to pivot at 31240 where the swing low support and 78.6% fibonacci projection are. Once there is downside confirmation that price has broken pivot structure, we would expect bearish momentum to carry price to 1st support at 30417 where the pullback support and 78.6% fibonacci retracement are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could rise to 1st resistance at 31860 where the overlap resistance and 23.6% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: Due to Powell's Hawkish Remarks about monetary policy at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium, we have a bearish view on the Dow Jones Index.
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 SEP 05 Week
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 SEP 05 Week
Last week's short on retracement/channel rejection was good.
Temporary support at the moment at 31221.
Possible scenarios:
1) Long at 31221 / dotted trend line support
2) Short on rejection of solid trend line / 32029 / 31221 /
retracement on low
volume
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
32546 32029 31221
30406 29639
Weekly: Higher vol than previous bar, narrower spread,
close off low = demand coming in
Daily: Ave vol down bar close off low = minor demand
H4: Ultra high vol bar + up bar close of low = minior demand
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable week ahead.
E-mini Dow Jones Futures (YM1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Drop
Resistance : 32591
Pivot: 31864
Support : 30432
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price breaking the ascending trendline and moving below the ichimoku indicator, ,we have a bearish bias that price will drop from pivot at 31864 where the pullback resistance and 23.6% fibonacci retracement are to 1st support at 30432 where the pullback support and 78.6% fibonacci retracement are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and rise to 1st resistance at 32591 in line with pullback resistance, 50% fibonacci retracement and 78.6% fibonacci projection.
Fundamentals: Due to Powell's Hawkish Remarks about monetary policy at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium, we have a bearish view on the Dow Jones Index.
DOW daily : upper fibo 61% is 1st target but it can go to 35300butterfly pattern (and stupid Biden+Powel) do its job well push markets down
now dow reach fibo 61% (see red fibo on chart ) and it can start +uptrend to 33070
when pinbar comes on 1hour or 4hour or daily chart dont fear pick low size buy and hold it 7-8 day SL:pinbar low
good luck
Micro Dow Jones Futures (MYM1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 32606
Pivot: 31864
Support : 30405
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price breaking the ascending trendline and moving below the ichimoku indicator, ,we have a bearish bias that price will drop from pivot at 31864 where the pullback resistance and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are to the 1st support at 30405 where the pullback support is.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could break pivot structure and rise to 1st resistance at 32606 in line with pullback resistance, 61.8% fibonacci projection and 38.2% fibonacci retracement.
Fundamentals: Due to Powell's Hawkish Remarks about monetary policy at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium, we have a bearish view on the Dow Jones Index .
E-mini Dow Jones Futures (YM1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Drop
Resistance : 32603
Pivot: 31862
Support : 30417
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price breaking the ascending trendline and moving below the ichimoku indicator, ,we have a bearish bias that price will drop to pivot at 31862 where the pullback support, 100% fibonacci projection , 61.8% fibonacci retracement and 127.2% fibonacci extension are. Should price break pivot structure, we would expect bearish momentum to carry price to 1st support at 30417 where the pullback support is.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could rise to 1st resistance at 32603 in line with pullback resistance.
Fundamentals: Due to Powell's Hawish Remarks about monetary policy at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium, we have a bearish view on the Dow Jones Index.
E-mini Dow Jones Futures (YM1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropType : Bearish Drop
Resistance : 32603
Pivot: 31862
Support : 30417
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price breaking the ascending trendline and moving below the ichimoku indicator, ,we have a bearish bias that price will drop to pivot at 31862 where the pullback support, 100% fibonacci projection, 61.8% fibonacci retracement and 127.2% fibonacci extension are. Should price break pivot structure, we would expect bearish momentum to carry price to 1st support at 30417 where the pullback support is.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price could rise to 1st resistance at 32603 in line with pullback resistance.
Fundamentals: Due to Powell's Hawish Remarks about monetary policy at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium, we have a bearish view on the Dow Jones Index.
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 AUG 29 Week
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 AUG 29 Week
Last week's 33205 rejection provided short opportunity.
Possible scenarios:
1) Long at 31780 support
2) Short on rejection of 32546 / 31780 / retracement on low
volume
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
34027 33326 32546
31780 31780
Weekly: Ave vol down bar close off low = Supply + some demand
Daily: High vol down bar close toward low = Supply, +
some demand coming in
H4: Climatic + high vol down bar close at low,
breaking down a previous support = bearish absorption
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable week ahead.