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UNF1! trade ideas

Quick Trade Idea with some Mental NotesSharing my personal trading journey and emotions here with you guys. I've been working on passing this 53K challenge and have been getting stuck mentally these past few days but best believe we are working through it. I am also a big believer that we are learning deeply very fundamental information these days through our losses and mitigation of these losses. 🚨 Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Trading futures and other leveraged instruments involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. This video is for educational and entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any trades or strategies discussed are based on my personal analysis and approach. Results are not guaranteed, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult a licensed financial advisor and do your own research before trading. You are responsible for your own trades and financial decisions. By watching this video, you acknowledge that trading carries risk, and you should never trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
CME_MINI:MNQH2025Short
by BDripTradess
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ The NASDAQ closed higher, combining two days of movement into one candle. As anticipated, it rose during the pre-market session but declined during the main session. The daily chart formed a bullish candle, confirming yesterday's buy signal. The bullish trend on the daily chart is likely to continue, but with the current significant gap between the 3-day and 5-day moving averages, a pullback followed by renewed buying pressure is expected. It is essential to focus on dip-buying rather than chasing prices. However, keep in mind that the weekly chart still shows a sell signal, and both the MACD and signal line on the daily chart remain below the zero line, indicating the possibility of a reversal to a bearish wave at any time. On the 240-minute chart, the buy signal is intact, and the upward trend continues. However, there is no significant improvement in market liquidity. A strong bullish candle that breaks the box range is needed, but such a move has not yet materialized. Therefore, pre-market sessions may show mixed movements. Selling at resistance levels for box-range trading is advisable. Be mindful of potential volatility due to executive orders from President Trump, which could lead to sharp price swings. CRUDE OIL Crude oil closed lower, finding support at the $75 level. As mentioned previously, the $74–$75 range aligns with the 5-day moving average on the weekly chart and serves as a critical support zone, making it a favorable area for dip-buying. With a 400-tick drop from the $79 high and no dead cross between the MACD and signal line on the daily chart, there is a high probability that oil will rebound as the MACD supports the signal line. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD and signal line have dipped below the zero line, which could accelerate selling momentum. However, the 60-period moving average on the 240-minute chart continues to slope upward, suggesting that selling should be avoided and buying at key support levels is a better approach. GOLD Gold closed higher, leaving a lower wick near key support levels. On the weekly chart, resistance remains overhead, but the daily chart indicates that the trend could continue upward, making dip-buying a favorable strategy. The MACD and signal line on the daily chart remain in an upward trajectory, and a breakout above the 2760 resistance level could open the way to 2780. On shorter timeframes, consolidation followed by a golden cross of the MACD and signal line is evident, while the 240-minute chart has also confirmed a golden cross. Although further upside is likely, the significant divergence between the MACD and its previous peaks on the 240-minute chart increases the probability of divergence after a substantial rally. Therefore, refrain from chasing prices after a sharp rise and instead focus on buying dips near key support levels while monitoring the breakout above 2760. Market volatility is intensifying due to President Trump’s remarks. Similar patterns were observed during his first term, as his statements, often made via social media, caused significant fluctuations in the futures markets. Ensure proper stop-loss levels and manage risks carefully in this volatile environment. ■Trading Strategies for Today NASDAQ - Range-bound Market -Buy: 21770 / 21710 / 21630 / 21590 / 21530 -Sell: 21880 / 21940 / 22040 / 22110 Crude Oil - Bullish Market -Buy: 75.10 / 74.60 / 73.60 / 73.00 -Sell: 76.30 / 76.70 / 77.10 / 77.50 Gold - Bullish Market -Buy: 2751 / 2743 / 2738 / 2731 -Sell: 2767 / 2777 / 2782 / 2787 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
Nasdaq Trading for the last January 25.01.27Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ. Friday’s NASDAQ Briefing Results Chart: On Friday, the NASDAQ broke above the purple box resistance trendline but failed to break through the next major resistance zone at 22093.5–22111.25. After the ascending trendline broke, the sell entry zone at 21854.25 was triggered. Although there was a brief rebound before the U.S. session closed, the price eventually dropped further on Monday. Currently, the price has fallen approximately 300 points from the entry, yielding a profit of around $6,000 per contract. Detailed Analysis of Friday’s Patterns Chart: One key point to note from Friday’s briefing was that the upward pattern was forming a pennant. When the black box supply zone broke, the chart showed signs of consolidation, as seen with the light blue trendlines. This consolidation involved higher lows and lower highs, but the breakout signal came from the red box. However, the breakout attempt failed after the price couldn’t break through the green box. If the green box had been broken, the pattern would have shifted from a pennant to an ascending triangle, signaling stronger bullish momentum. Instead, the failure to break out suggests that the pennant formation remains valid. Also, considering the timing, the breakout attempt coincided with a scheduled economic indicator release, which is why setting a break-even stop-loss would have been the prudent choice. Economic data releases often disrupt natural chart trends with sudden bursts of trading volume, which is why it’s generally recommended to avoid trading immediately before or after such events. Trading Within Trend Breaks Chart: Using the red box as an example: Let’s say you entered after the red box breakout 15 minutes before the economic release, even though it wasn’t an ideal entry. Stop-Loss Strategy: A break-even stop-loss should be applied to protect against volatility during the announcement. First Stop: If the price falls below your entry level, it’s the first signal to exit the trade. Second Stop: If the price breaks below the blue box, you must exit because the ascending trendline is broken, invalidating the uptrend. Stop-loss levels are challenging to specify as fixed numbers because they depend on time and price movement. For trend trading, entry and exit decisions must be adaptive and based on real-time conditions. Daily Chart Analysis Chart: The daily chart shows: A significant bearish candle following a break of the short-term ascending trendline and the major support level. A gap-down open, with the price now inside the Ichimoku Cloud. The current price is testing support near the daily 20 EMA. Potential Scenarios: Upside: There’s a slight chance for a gap-filling rebound. Downside: A retest of the red box support zone near 21308. Support at the 60 EMA or Ichimoku Cloud bottom near 21220. Further major support levels are 21006 and 20694. Weekly Chart Analysis Chart: Last week’s bearish weekly candle completely engulfed the previous week’s body. The remaining lower wick reaches down to around 21377.75. Current Market Momentum Chart: The NASDAQ is currently in a steep, almost vertical downtrend. This movement makes it essential to remain cautious: Entering short positions at this stage carries the risk of a rebound to fill the gap. Entering long positions could result in further losses if the trend continues downward. Since most entry points have already been invalidated, it’s best to stay on the sidelines for now. Conclusion With Asian markets observing holidays next week (Korea from Monday, China from Tuesday, and Hong Kong from Wednesday), trading volumes are expected to decrease. Given the current market conditions, taking a step back and avoiding unnecessary trades might be the wisest approach. Unless significant news impacts the market, there’s a possibility of the session closing with some recovery. Thank you for your hard work this week, and let’s finish strong. See you in the next briefing! 🚀
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday
HTF PREMIUM LIQUIDITY ATTACKIt seems to me like the market will continue to be bullish. The target for this week is the Weekly High (22111.00) which would mean All Time High for ES (given the effect of President Trump that is a very likely scenario). Coupled with the Premium Liquidity are the Premium levels of an old Opening Range Gap and a 1H FVG. If it trades there and bullish PDAs support price it might run for the ALT. On Friday, the market already drop below a Daily Low and filled the ORG around 50% which could be enough to project price higher (potential Daily IOFED). Although there still are two Daily Discount FVGs and a 4H Breaker where price could trade to before running. Therefore, I want to see how price trades on Monday / Tuesday and depending on the signatures I will trade it accordingly.
CME_MINI:MNQH2025Long
by TheMatrix-
Get ready for Monday's Nasdaq 25.01.20Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ. NASDAQ Daily Chart Analysis Chart: On the daily chart, the NASDAQ shows a breakout above the short-term corrective trendline, signaling a potential trend reversal. Key Developments: The price has broken above the 20 EMA on the daily chart. It also rebounded before breaking below the Ichimoku Cloud, hinting at a potential return to new all-time highs. Support and Resistance: Support: The 20 EMA, currently around 21390, serves as short-term support. Resistance: The chart suggests that significant upside remains open, with fewer immediate barriers overhead. Current Pattern and Resistance Chart: The NASDAQ is currently near its only remaining resistance trendline, created between December 17–18, 2024 (orange box). Key Points: Beyond this trendline, there are no further descending resistance trendlines. Resistance will then come from horizontal supply zones or historical highs. Breakout Potential: If the price breaks the green box resistance zone, the next key resistance is one of the two white box zones. A breakout beyond the white box zones could pave the way for new all-time highs. Today’s Buy Strategy Chart: Entry Trigger: Breakout above both the remaining resistance trendline and the recent high at 21682.5. Target Levels: Horizontal resistance levels (marked on the chart). Rationale: A breakout above the long-term descending resistance trendline, combined with a breakout above the previous high, would likely lead to entry into the blue box supply zone on the left. This would increase the likelihood of a continuation toward higher levels, fueled by the supply zone dynamics. Today’s Sell Strategy Chart: Entry Trigger: Breakdown below the orange ascending trendline and a break below 21481. Target Levels: Horizontal support levels (marked on the chart). Rationale: A break below the ascending trendline would indicate weakening momentum. If a pennant-like pattern forms and the price breaks below the starting zone of the pattern, it would signal a high likelihood of a trend reversal. The green box highlights the potential breakdown area. Additional Note: If the price consolidates and the ascending trendline is broken above 21481, adjust the target to 21481 as the maximum downside level. Conclusion The NASDAQ is at a critical juncture, with potential for both significant upside and downside moves: For Buyers: Watch for a breakout above 21682.5 for potential continuation into the supply zone and beyond. For Sellers: Monitor for a break below the ascending trendline and 21481 for potential downside momentum. Stay cautious, and trade strategically based on key levels. 🚀
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday
Possible shorting opportunity on MNQ for FridayMy directional bias for Friday 17 January 2025 is Bearish with the Focus on price trading lower to fill in the BISI after finding some sort of support in premium levels. My Focus is the PDL at 21171.75 and then possibly the low of the BISI at 21143.75 for the discount draw on liquidity. I also like the fact that yesterday price wicked higher to clear the PDHs and then filled in the premium SIBI and found rejection off the D -OB lower quadrant. So lets see how price delivers today....
CME_MINI:MNQH2025Short
by ProphetTheTrader
8
NQ Short (01-13-25)NAZ in the Danger Zone and selling volume is back. 20,990 is the Edge, Long above and Short below. Currently struggling is U Turn Zone #1, white arrow is lift target for retest & rejection. Yellow arrow is weekly lower target. Passing TLX 20,758 and landing on 20,300. Should the NAZ stay under 758, look month end target of 20,000. Expect Overnight Rigging lifts, Dead Zone retracements and any off session prop games that have been working for years. 2 way trading is back.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by MAZing
14
Nasdaq Analysis for Tuesday 25.01.14Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ. Monday’s Results Chart: Buy Perspective: No buy entry signals were triggered. Sell Perspective: While there was a mention of the possibility of a breakdown below the lows, no clear sell entry signals were given. After the breakdown, the NASDAQ dropped by approximately 180 points but eventually rebounded sharply toward the end of the session. This suggests that observing for a day to allow for the formation of a supply zone would have been a prudent approach. Key Points to Note Chart: March Futures Contract: The price initially broke below the Ichimoku Cloud on Monday but re-entered the cloud due to Tuesday’s gap-up opening. Key Levels: Cloud bottom: 20980. A failure to hold this support level could have a long-term bearish impact. Cloud top: 21216, marking an important resistance level. Perpetual Contract Analysis Chart: The perpetual contract shows the price re-entered the Ichimoku Cloud after briefly touching the cloud's bottom. A bullish candle has formed above the cloud, signaling support. Key Levels: Cloud entry: 21005. Resistance at the 60 EMA: 21085. Current Market Frame Chart: The NASDAQ appears to have entered either the red box or the orange box frame: Red Box Range: 20788–19818. Orange Box Range: 20382–21081. Key Resistance Levels: The 21081–21085 range represents a critical resistance zone. A breakout above this level could signal the potential for further rebound. Today’s Trading Strategy Chart: Buy Strategy: 1. Breakout Above 21088.5 (Morning High): Rationale: This represents a breakout above both the resistance trendline starting from January 7, 2025, and the morning high. Risk: The price could face immediate resistance at 21123, potentially reversing quickly. 2. Breakout Above 21207: Rationale: This level marks the top of a previous supply zone following a sharp decline, making it a more conservative entry point. Sell Strategy: While the framing structure is complete, the market appears to be stabilizing at the bottom. For now, observing the market and avoiding sell entries is recommended. Conclusion The NASDAQ remains in a critical consolidation phase, with the potential for both rebounds and further declines. For buyers, focus on breakouts above 21088.5 and 21207 for potential upside. For sellers, it’s advisable to observe the market for clearer signals, as the recent bottoming behavior suggests limited downside in the short term. Patience and careful observation are key in today’s session. Let’s stay disciplined and trade wisely. 🚀 Please like and subscribe!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday
1
HTF Market Maker Buy ModelThe market is currently in the Buy Curve of a Market Maker Model and these are the next steps I am expecting for the week to come: 1. Manipulation below Weekly Open which would fill the 4H Discount FVG and hit the Daily OB; 2. Expansion higher targeting the newly created Liquidity Pool in premium and the Previous Daily / Weekly High; Trade ideas: - Buy on Tuesday / Wednesday once the manipulation occurs using higher timeframes with the entry being the 4H FVG; - Use internal short-term buy models with the same logic coupled with macro times (mostly 1st AM Session macro for large range moves); - Use internal short-term models targeting Lunch Hour stops in the 1st PM Session macro for small expansions or reversals depending whether or not a key level is hit and short-term liquidity is breached;
CME_MINI:MNQH2025Long
by TheMatrix-
1
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/17/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/17/25 📈 21588.5 (NEXT LEVELS: 21683, 21778, 21873,21940) 📉 21210 (CLOSER LEVELS: 21560, 21495, 21400) 1/2 way mark 📈 21495 & 📉 21400 Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉💰 *These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by J3Trad3s
1
Nasdaq Futures: Key Setups to End the Week Strong | January 17Finish the trading week with today’s analysis of Nasdaq futures for Friday, January 17, 2025. We break down key zones, potential setups, and strategies to navigate the market ahead of Monday's anticipated volatility. 📈 Long Opportunities: Watch for entries around 21,360 or 21,440, targeting 21,560 and 21,650. 📉 Short Setups: Key zones include 21,510–21,560, with potential moves toward 21,360 or lower. 📊 Market Insights: A possible trend shift is forming across multiple timeframes. Be ready for significant movements heading into the weekend. 💬 Join our daily lives at 9:30 AM (NY time) for live analysis and Q&A. Let us know in the comments what other assets you’d like us to analyze or if you’d prefer swing trading strategies in future videos. 🔗 Subscribe now for expert trading insights, daily updates, and exclusive strategies to improve your performance. Don’t miss out!
CME_MINI:MNQH2025Long
by BinvestorsTrading
MNQ CPI News Drop Rallies the marketLooks like price has seen an impressive Bullish reaction today from the 0830 news drop that took out the past days highs that was housing a ton of BSL. Conveniently, price seems to be drawing into the D SIBI and is in close proximity to the High from Wed 08 Jan 2025. I can see price trading into the SIBI and finding some sort of rejection. Now to go forward does this make my Bias Bullish leaving the focus on the SSL at 20640.00? No not just yet because I would like to see how price trades and respects the three Premium Arrays being the D -OB, D Volume Imbalance, and the D SIBI. If price is Bullish then it should see little resistance from the CE level and the MT of the D -OB but if price is Bearish then we will see it respect a Premium Array and then continue lower. So far there is a nice sweep on SSL and the CPI rally could be the Displacement and MSS that price needed to make to turn things around to become Bullish and start to hunt the Highs for BSL from the Mon and Tue highs of last week.
CME_MINI:MNQH2025
by ProphetTheTrader
1
Nasdaq NQ Short setup target 20,677 / Puts XND target 205.18Fibonacci technical analysis: Nasdaq 100 E-mini Futures ( CME_MINI:NQ1! ) has already found resistance at the Fib level 78.6% (21,870) of my Down Fib. The January 8th Daily candle has closed below retracement Fib level 38.2% (21,414.50), and today’s Daily candle (Jan 8) has re-tested 38.2% resistance level further confirming sell signal. My Down Fib guides me to look for CME_MINI:NQ1! to eventually go down to hit first target at Fib level -27.2% (20,677). Nasdaq CME_MINI:NQ1! – Target 1 at -27.2% (20,677), Target 2 at -61.8% (20,287) and Target 3 at -78.6 (20,097) Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (21,547.50). Option Traders : My NASDAQ:XND chart (Down Fib from 218.38 to 208.00) shows price to go down to Target 1 at -27.2% (205.18), Target 2 at -61.8% (201.59) and Target 3 at -78.6 (199.85) Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (213.19).
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by rose_excellence
NQ short-term short bias from the key zones In my opinion we are going to see the bearish short term continuation to rebalance, into the black area of interest (lower quadrant of the bullish order block along with the previously formed RTH Gap, which I do not expect to see retraced considerably if we want to see the further bullish movement) around the inauguration of trump and retrace slightly by the end of the month. Further continuation is in the following months if the conditions are fulfilled. Although there can be the same fluctuation as before within the price channel in this case I would expect the same picture I drew just delayed.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by itismetrading
1
bloodbathNASDAQ (Left) Elliott Wave Pattern: A possible Elliott Wave pattern is seen with an impulse and correction structure. Wave X appears to be a resistance point where the price has bounced down. Key Zones: Resistance: 21,433.1 (point X) Support: 20,150.6 (point W) Zone of Interest: 19,912.6 (point Y) Analysis: The price has touched the resistance at 21,433.1 and has pulled back. If the price breaks this level, it could signal a continuation of the bullish movement. However, if the price fails to overcome this resistance and falls again, it could look for support at 20,150.6 or even lower at 19,912.6. NQ (Right) Elliott Wave Pattern: Similar to the NASDAQ, a wave pattern is observed with an impulse and correction structure. Point X again acts as resistance. Key Zones: Resistance: 21,571.75 (point X) Support: 20,819.25 (point W) Zone of Interest: 20,307.25 (point Y) Analysis: The price has touched the resistance at 21,571.75 and has turned down. If the price breaks this resistance, it could indicate a strong bullish movement. If not, the price could look for the support at 20,819.25 or continue to move down towards 20,307.25. Trading Idea on TradingView Trading Strategy: NASDAQ: Long Entry: If price breaks and closes above 21,433.1 with significant volume, it could be a signal to go long, looking for an initial target at the next resistance. Short Entry: If price fails to break 21,433.1 and shows signs of reversal, a short entry could be considered with a target towards 20,150.6 or 19,912.6. NQ: Long Entry: A close above 21,571.75 with volume confirmation would be a signal for a long position, targeting the next resistance. Short Entry: If price fails to break 21,571.75 and starts to decline, a short entry could be viable with targets at 20,819.25 or 20,307.25. Risk Management: Stop Loss: For long entries, place a stop loss below the last significant support. For short entries, above the last resistance. Take Profit: Adjust according to the identified support and resistance levels.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by JAG_Trader