UNF1! trade ideas
NQ bottom along with tech and crypto.New ATH coming after the recovery, I think this is the bottom of this down move, I don't think we rocket straight back up to ATH but its a great bet to add Long here. You really only get a move like this once every 5 years.
I think we see Crypto continue to move up, lots of good projects are oversold in the ALT world and lots of good projects are still carrying to torch. Showing strength amongst the weakness.
I think HYPE goes on to lead the way of finance onchain. They are only getting started.
I think S / Sonic goes on to be leader of the next defi summer 2.0.
(will make a post about them soon)
So I'm betting on the fastest horses and calling a decent spot to place bets on the overall condition of the market and i think CRYPTOCAP:BTC leads that race.
$MNQ Weekly Timeframe AnalysisThere is a clear bullish candle on 07 Apr 25 that emerged from the Aug - Oct 23 bullish order block. Followed by the 21 Apr 25 bullish candle, I have yet to see if we will respect the bearish order block at 17 Mar 25 or will it make a bearish breaker.
For smaller timeframe entries, I expect my TP for a long below the bearish OB to be at least the lower edge of the 17 Mar 25 bearish OB or somewhere on the boundary.
NQ 4/28/2025 - 5/2/2025 weekly profile and target this week like i mention should be risk low and will have a lot of volatility because of news on this week so Monday and Tuesday could good for trade and Wednesday and Thursday and Friday maybe be hard to control but our bais is bullish for this week like same previous week
and only trade we will take will be buy because of our bais
why our bais is bullish?
because of higher time frame weekly and daily and 4 hour order flow is bullish
and also if we look 20 days back we will see that highest of 20 days back is so close so
i that will be our target for this week and that is my idea
#202517 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: tl;dr covered it.
Markets denied me fantasy, tough excrement. On the weekly chart it’s still just a textbook two-legged pullback to the moving average (daily 20 in this case, which is around 20000). We are also still close enough to the 50% retracement that it’s not out of the question that we reverse from here. Issue for the bears is, that the market went very strong into the weekend, which is a buy signal going into next week. Unless the bears get big help from newsbombs, it’s likely to expect more upside. Targets above are 20000 and then 20500. Below 19200 the next target would be 19000.
current market cycle: bear trend but above 19388 it ends and we will be in a giant trading range
key levels: 15500 - 19500
bull case: 20000 is the obvious target for bulls and for now my thesis is that we wont break above 20600. 20050/20540 would be my next targets above it. The weekly 20ema is right around those prices and that is where the panic selling again. Bulls see the move last week as strong enough that we are likely in a greater trading range which could even get up to 22000 again. Is it likely though? If you are a bull and bought 18000, your stop is likely 19200 now or maybe 19000. Do you hope to make 20500? I don’t know how you can structure a decent trade around that. More likely is the play that we are in a strong uptrend on the 1h tf and if the bull trend line, which is currently at 19100 - holds, we can continue. Once we are making meaningful lower lows again and fail to make new highs, this momentum is gone and bulls run for the exits again. Short squeezes are violent and can go on for much longer than anyone expects but once they stall too much, they crumble again.
Invalidation is below 18000.
bear case: Tough to be a bear. Momentum is clearly on the long side and bulls have almost no resistance. Bears can still argue this was just a test of the 50% retracement and if we build enough selling pressure, I think it’s more likely that the squeeze abruptly ends than continuation up. When all become max bullish again because the move is so strong that it must be the start of a new trend, that’s when these squeezes end and we crash down again. We did this so many times in 2022 that it’s hard to not remember them. You don’t have to go back to 2008 to find examples.
Invalidation is above 20500ish, max 20536 but above 20080 we likely go for 20600 or higher.
short term: Neutral at best. Way too early to short anything or look for shorts. Need to stop the higher highs and go sideways first. It’s best to not sell the first sign of bear strength, ever. Same for bounces in a bear trend. Never buy the first. You can get lucky but it’s just that.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-26: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We had the clear W1 and W3 but now it’s messy. Bear trend most likely over. We could maybe get another strong move down but it’s more likely that even then, we are in a trading range and until we see much more hints of a deeper recession, we can not assume that this will go much lower than 16452. Market is currently probing where the high of it is and for now I doubt we will see 21000 again but that’s a very rough guess.
NQ SHORTNo one reads this anyway. But major behind the scenes problems not arising, becoming worse. We've been on the trajectory downward since last summer. Not looking great overall, need to push over 20,900 and hold the retest to be anywhere near bullish again. Think we have a long hard fall ahead. Don't get fooled by the media, people "buying these dips" will hurt in the end.
MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/25/2025MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/25/2025
📈 19430 19580
📉 19140 18980
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
NASDAQ Bullish Monday (MMBM, Quarterly Theory) Hello guys, looking at the current weekly profile, as well as the 4h bullish outbreak, im expecting to see Monday pushing into my marked weekly Orderblock. This scenario is especially to my liking of a high probability for a London Reversal. I want to see London sweep Sell Side Liquidity and tap into a Discount Area.
Nasdaq 100 Fills "Liberation Day" Gap – New Bull Market?The Nasdaq 100 ( CME_MINI:NQ1! ) has officially filled the Liberation Day gap from April 3rd.
It took three weeks of grinding to recover from a three-day crash.
Bulls are now calling this the start of a new bull market... really?
📌 Technical Recap:
Gap filled ✅
Resistance area retested ✅
Next step: Follow-through needed above 19,600 to confirm strength.
🚨 Caution: A gap fill is not a breakout. FOMO is high. Momentum needs to prove itself now or risk a hard rejection.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/25/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 19427.00
- PR Low: 19352.25
- NZ Spread: 167.0
No key scheduled economic events
Wednesday session gap remains partially filled below 18595.00
- Auction lifting into supply above daily Keltner average
- Value hovering previous session high
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 4/25)
- Session Open ATR: 736.63
- Volume: 44K
- Open Int: 241K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -14.3% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone