UNF1! trade ideas
#202526 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Similar to dax and for most other markets. Cash index made a new ath and broke strongly above the trading range. This is W5 which I thought was cut short but I guess not. It’s most likely the end of the trend since the trading range went on for about 6 weeks, which in this case was likely the final flag. Futures could now aim to print 23000 and touch the bull trend line which began in 2021 and went though the ath from 2024-12.
current market cycle: resumption of the bull trend but likely the final flag and we most likely will top out here around/under 23000
key levels for next week: 22000 - 23000
bull case: Bulls printed 5 consecutive bull bars. They are in full control and could pump it to 23000. Purely based on momentum and squeezing shorts. Got nothing else for the bulls.
Invalidation is below 21500
bear case: Bears gave up on Monday and I doubt they want to fight this until we hit the bull trend line or 23000. Most bears will wait for a clear topping sign that bulls are beginning to take bigger profits before they think about shorts. As of now, bears have zero arguments on their side. Only a daily close below 22300 would confirm this bull trap and fake breakout above the bull channel and then we could test down to 21900ish but for now I think it’s most likely we go higher.
Invalidation is above 23100
short term: Neutral. Will only scalp longs on huge momentum and I will only start thinking about shorts once we break below 22300 again.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-29: No change in plans. I expect 20000 to get hit over the next 3 months and maybe 19000 again.
NQ Holding Above Daily Highs – Trend Structure Intact📈 NASDAQ 100 (NQ) – Riding the Trend, Holding Above Key Daily Highs | 4H Chart
NQ remains in a strong uptrend, respecting structure and reclaiming key daily highs going into the final trading days of June.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔼 Price is currently holding above Thursday’s high: 22,740
✅ Strong support formed at Wednesday high: 22,693.25
🔁 Clean reclaim of Tuesday and Wednesday lows — confirming bullish pressure
🔸 Trendline from June 23 low continues to guide the rally
🗓️ Previous Day Levels Providing Structure:
SUN LO / MON LO (~21,550–21,650) → Base of the rally
JUNE 17–21: Price consolidated just below 22,400, forming resistance
JUNE 25: Breakout above Sun/Mon Highs confirmed expansion phase
🧠 Bias & Plan:
Bias: Bullish, as long as price remains above 22,693
🕵️♂️ Watch for reaction around 22,800–22,900 zone (potential exhaustion or continuation)
If we sweep Thursday’s high and shift structure → possible short-term pullback
📌 Summary:
NQ continues to honor the prior week’s highs as new support. The market is trending cleanly with structure, and as long as daily highs hold, the bullish case remains intact.
#NQ100 #NASDAQ #FuturesTrading #SmartMoney #MarketStructure #DailyLevels #PlaymakerTrades
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/26/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 22488.25
- PR Low: 22450.25
- NZ Spread: 85.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
GDP
Durable Goods Orders
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 6/26)
- Session Open ATR: 358.17
- Volume: 20K
- Open Int: 252K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -1.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
2025-06-25 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq e-mini
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Market is leaving behind gaps and breakout prices are tested but we stay above. Also higher highs and higher lows. Max bullish for new ath still.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21500 - 22300
bull case: Bulls want 23000. They have to keep it above 22400 to keep the max bullish momentum going for tomorrow. Below 22400 we could test down to 22200 before another leg up. Multiple way to draw the trend lines, all are correct until broken. So draw them and watch what market does when it gets near them.
Invalidation is below 22200.
bear case: Bears actually made money selling 22500, which was a surprise to me. Especially that we stay below the open price. Bad session for me today. I still got nothing for the bears until they print below 22200 again. Everything on this chart is bullish. Best bears can hope for is another pullback below 22500 and go sideways.
Invalidation is above 22550.
short term: Max bullish for 22800 or 23000.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-22: Daily close below 21500 is my validation for the new bear trend which has the first bigger target at 21000 but I think we will printed below 20000 again this year. Structure is obviously not yet bearish, so don’t be early if you want confirmation and can’t/won’t scale in to shorts higher. Getting into longer term shorts above 21500 seems like the banger trade right now.
trade of the day: Buying the double bottom 22390 or any long close to it. Wasn’t the trade with most profit but the most obvious one.
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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/25/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 22412.00
- PR Low: 22384.50
- NZ Spread: 61.5
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | Fed Chair Powell Testifies
- New Home Sales
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 6/25)
- Session Open ATR: 372.52
- Volume: 18K
- Open Int: 253K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -1.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Nasdaq Deep Bearish RetraceI Think we're going to retrace (potentially deeply) on FED release or just before it to then reverse aggressively higher.
I am considering the current "range" on m15 as re-distribution and expecting lower prices on Fed release or just prior before continuation higher that may be delayed till tomorrow next FED.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/24/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 22217.00
- PR Low: 22065.75
- NZ Spread: 337.75
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | CB Consumer Confidence
- Fed Chair Powell Testifies
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 6/24)
- Session Open ATR: 384.68
- Volume: 45K
- Open Int: 240K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -2.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
2025-06-23 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq e-miniGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Not even the US President joining a war can start the selling. Truly a special time. Above 22130 there is no reason this can’t test 22300 or higher. Market clearly does not care about the event and the pain trade seems up. Can’t hold bearish thoughts after today’s reversals. Very small chance that if we stay below 22130, bears come around and we test down to 21800 or lower.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21500 - 22300
bull case: Bulls had the following legs up today: 380, 260, 350 points from swing lows to highs. On such a day, this is as bullish as it gets. They now need to print a higher high and then there is no more obvious reason why we can’t test back up to 22300 or higher.
Invalidation is below 21900.
bear case: Bears vanished after the double bottom in the US session and market closed at the high. Which is worst case for bears. Above 21130 they have to cover and I expect an acceleration upwards. If they somehow come around strongly and we go below 21950, then chances are decent that we can test down to 21800 again. Bears need to sell it early tomorrow or the bear trend line is gone and we could go much higher.
Invalidation is above 22130.
short term: Neutral. Only interested in shorts if we stay below 22130. I still think markets are grossly miss-priced and complacent but for now that thesis is wrong.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-22: Daily close below 21500 is my validation for the new bear trend which has the first bigger target at 21000 but I think we will printed below 20000 again this year. Structure is obviously not yet bearish, so don’t be early if you want confirmation and can’t/won’t scale in to shorts higher. Getting into longer term shorts above 21500 seems like the banger trade right now.
trade of the day: Buying literally every dip was good.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/23/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 21787.00
- PR Low: 21566.75
- NZ Spread: 491.75
Key scheduled economic events:
09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
- S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | Existing Home Sales
Open weekend gap down ~0.33%
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 6/23)
- Session Open ATR: 382.81
- Volume: 38K
- Open Int: 234K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -4.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/20/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 21930.25
- PR Low: 21745.75
- NZ Spread: 412.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
Session Open Stats (As of 1:05 AM 6/20)
- Session Open ATR: 377.21
- Volume: 155K
- Open Int: 230K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -4.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Trade Idea: Nasdaq Q2 Premium Rejection | Mother of HTFNQ is showing early signs of macro exhaustion after rallying deep into Q2 premium territory and failing to hold above it. A key swing high was formed on June 13, in perfect confluence with:
🔻 Q2 0.75 level
🟥 Quarterly Premium Zone
📉 Bond market divergence (ZB1! failed to confirm ZF1!/ZN1! strength)
🗣️ (Not a bond expert, just observing behavior)
This type of confluence has historically preceded liquidity draws back to EQ or even discount levels.
📐 Levels I’m Watching
Q1 Mid (~20,975): Strong magnet if we break lower
Q2 EQ (~19,975): Next likely draw if structure shifts
MOOD (~21,460): Holding above this pauses deeper sell bias
Q2 Premium Zone (22,300–22,500): Rejection zone and CPI swing high (June 11-13)
Discount Block (18,300–17,500): Long-term liquidity void if momentum builds
❌ Invalidation
NQ reclaims and holds above 22,300–22,500
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is NOT financial advice. All content shared is speculative and intended for educational or entertainment purposes only. Futures trading carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making trading decisions.