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Nasdaq NQ Short setup target 20,677 / Puts XND target 205.18Fibonacci technical analysis: Nasdaq 100 E-mini Futures ( CME_MINI:NQ1! ) has already found resistance at the Fib level 78.6% (21,870) of my Down Fib. The January 8th Daily candle has closed below retracement Fib level 38.2% (21,414.50), and today’s Daily candle (Jan 8) has re-tested 38.2% resistance level further confirming sell signal. My Down Fib guides me to look for CME_MINI:NQ1! to eventually go down to hit first target at Fib level -27.2% (20,677). Nasdaq CME_MINI:NQ1! – Target 1 at -27.2% (20,677), Target 2 at -61.8% (20,287) and Target 3 at -78.6 (20,097) Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (21,547.50). Option Traders : My NASDAQ:XND chart (Down Fib from 218.38 to 208.00) shows price to go down to Target 1 at -27.2% (205.18), Target 2 at -61.8% (201.59) and Target 3 at -78.6 (199.85) Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (213.19).
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by rose_excellence
NQ short-term short bias from the key zones In my opinion we are going to see the bearish short term continuation to rebalance, into the black area of interest (lower quadrant of the bullish order block along with the previously formed RTH Gap, which I do not expect to see retraced considerably if we want to see the further bullish movement) around the inauguration of trump and retrace slightly by the end of the month. Further continuation is in the following months if the conditions are fulfilled. Although there can be the same fluctuation as before within the price channel in this case I would expect the same picture I drew just delayed.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by itismetrading
2
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower with a lower wick, as anticipated, with a downward move at the start of the week. As mentioned, the area below 20,700 was a potential support zone for a rebound, and the market successfully bounced back. On the daily chart, the MACD and Signal lines have both dropped below the zero line, marking the first time the MACD has fallen below zero since September last year. Yesterday’s analysis focused on trading around the 3-day moving average; today, trading at the 5-day moving average is expected. A range-bound movement between the 3-day and 5-day moving averages is likely, and if the pre-market touches the 5-day moving average first, it will provide a favorable opportunity for sell-side strategies. While it is uncertain whether the 120-day moving average will be tested for support on the downside, the MACD's dip below zero suggests the potential for accelerated selling. If an overshooting move occurs on the downside, be prepared for a possible drop to the 20,300 area. The market may consolidate at support levels to form a base before reversing its trend. Monitoring the alignment of short-term moving averages on lower timeframes can help identify the reversal point. On the 240-minute chart, selling pressure continues, and the MACD has yet to cross the Signal line in a golden cross. A strong golden cross could trigger a sharp rebound, but if the MACD turns downward again, further declines are possible. Be prepared for both scenarios and adjust accordingly. Oil Crude oil closed higher, supported by potential U.S. sanctions on Russian oil exports. The price has risen to the $79 previous high level, and with the significant divergence from the 5-day moving average, corrections could occur at any time. On the monthly chart, oil has reached the upper Bollinger Band, indicating that managing risk with sell-side strategies at the highs may be more effective than chasing prices upward. On the 240-minute chart, the RSI remains in overbought territory, suggesting that the current trend may continue. However, short sell strategies should be approached cautiously and with short timeframes. The MACD and Signal lines show significant divergence and steep angles, indicating the potential for step-like upward movements even during corrections. Focus on buying at major support levels during pullbacks, but remain cautious as sharp declines could occur unexpectedly. A conservative perspective is advised. Gold Gold closed lower, facing resistance from selling pressure driven by rising Treasury yields. On the weekly chart, the MACD has turned downward, signaling stronger selling pressure. The daily chart shows the MACD above the zero line, but the Signal line has yet to cross above zero, suggesting a consolidation phase as the MACD moves closer to the Signal line. This places gold in a broad range-bound scenario. Ahead of today’s PPI and tomorrow’s CPI releases, gold is expected to trade sideways. On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has appeared, but with the MACD and Signal lines above zero and diverging, sharp declines are less likely. Instead, support and consolidation around the 2,680 level are more probable. Focus on range-trading strategies, and exercise caution around the PPI release. Market Conditions The market is currently unsettled due to corrections in big tech stocks, Trump’s inauguration, and declines in quantum computing-related stocks. The VIX index is also showing a sharp upward trend, indicating heightened volatility. Be mindful of risk management under these conditions, and have a successful trading day! ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bearish Market -Buy Levels: 20,990 / 20,890 / 20,840 / 20,740 -Sell Levels: 21,160 / 21,200 / 21,300 / 21,350 Oil - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 77.70 / 76.60 / 75.70 / 74.50 -Sell Levels: 79.45 / 79.90 Gold - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 2,677 / 2,672 / 2,666 / 2,661 / 2,654 -Sell Levels: 2,692 / 2,705 / 2,712 / 2,717 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are set as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
Looking for more sells on MNQBased on the MNQ chart, the market appears poised for a bearish continuation, with a potential move toward 20,305 by January 20th. Using ICT concepts, the price has recently filled a significant portion of the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 21,127.50 and 21,742.50, indicating that inefficiencies have been mitigated. This is often a precursor to further movement toward deeper liquidity pools. Below the current price action, there is evident sell-side liquidity around 20,947.75. Furthermore, below recent lows and the displacement to the downside signal institutional bearish intent, with price aggressively seeking lower levels. The level at 20,305 is a logical target, as it represents a deeper liquidity pool and possibly unmitigated levels from prior sessions. The current bearish momentum and redistribution phase suggest that this downward move is part of a larger institutional narrative, making a test of 20,305 likely before January 20th, provided no major bullish catalysts disrupt this progression.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Short
by AndySalasDeJesus
50:50 ON NQ When CE IS hit at 2104.5 *SMC*Smart Money Concepts are the opposite of retail trading. Theres not short term resistance or Support. Why? Market makers will smash through those arease causeing the retail traders to lose on boths sides. So you have to think lie a market maker. So my Synopsis 1. It reaches the 1 hour FVG Above between 1:-1:30.(20,900?) Then its gonna start to It starts run down, and fall below the the short term liquidity level at 20,6950.25. (Target 1 I'm Taking 40%) The make its way down into the fairly big 1HR FVG. Those of us holding the NAS ETF's want to see it hit that consequential encroachment and leave room so it will star moving up faster. If it hits CE, I'm taking 30%, maybe 35%. Thats A smart Money Concept Possibility. 2. However th eway the daily bias has been going south and theres equal lows just below 20, 315. And hopefuly if it does get that low, thats the end of the day. ANd the we have the rest o the week to come back. SMC Inversion FVG AT 20945 SMC Drop below and takes out retail liquidity CE is where we start to pay attention on the next dirction, If it hits CE. MY BREAK EVEN IS 20, 600 WAIT O EE WHAT 2-3 PM BRINGS US CME_MINI:NQ1! PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 FX:NAS100 IG:NASDAQ Possible? Good luck
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by BodiesXWix
1
Nasdaq future forecastHere's a (NQ1!) Nasdaq 100 quarterly candlestick logarithmic chart. With a trajectory trend channel based off 20 years of price discovery history. And 4 year vertical lines based off US president terms. Plus, 1 year vertical lines to forecast the possible ROI range in the future. This 20 year trend is invalidated with a break of the support or resistance lines. 2025 close high = 30,900 avg = 23,740 low = 18,000 2026 close high = 35,600 avg = 27,600 low = 21,300 2027 close high = 41,150 avg = 32,500 low = 25,250 2028 close high = 47,900 avg = 37,800 low = 30,200
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Options360
NASDAQ - Resistance with Fair Volume GapOn NASDAQ , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 21275.00. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated. I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again. Fair Volume GAP (FVG) and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go short on this trade. Happy trading, Dale
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Trader_Dale
1
Nasdaq under pressure and aims for 18'400NQ is being pushed down, and a rebound doesn’t seem possible at the moment. There are some fundamental factors supporting this weakness. However, as a chart analyst, I focus on the signals within the chart itself. What I see is a possible target around 18,400, which aligns with the L-MLH. With the weakness of the MAG7, the Nasdaq is unlikely to make further gains. The options are sideways or down. The latter is what I trade according to the rulebook.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Tr8dingN3rd
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/13/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 21027.75 - PR Low: 20942.50 - NZ Spread: 191.0 No key scheduled economic events Breaking below 21000 inventory pivots from Nov 27, Dec 20 and Jan 2 - Should peak the interest of both buyers and sellers (liquidity boost) - Buyers expecting repeat rotation - Sellers expecting bullish breakdown - First full trading week since the week before Christmas Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 1/13) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 387.17 - Volume: 39K - Open Int: 242K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -7.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025Short
by mv3trader5
Weekly and Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower following the non-farm payroll data release. As noted in yesterday’s analysis, the possibility of a sharp drop in the third wave of selling on the 240-minute chart was highlighted and has largely materialized. The monthly 5-day moving average (20,880) emphasized this month acted as support, forming a lower wick. On the weekly chart, the MACD has crossed below the Signal line, generating a sell signal. The index is positioned between the 3-day, 5-day, and 10-day moving averages above and the 20-day moving average below, suggesting the possibility of a range-bound market this week. If the market moves upward at the beginning of the week, it may decline later, and conversely, if it drops initially, a rebound may occur later in the week. The upper range is projected at 21,360–21,400, while the lower range is expected to be below 20,880. Flexible responses to early-week movements are crucial, especially with Wednesday’s CPI release likely to serve as a key turning point. On the daily chart, the MACD and Signal lines remain below the zero line, making sell-side strategies near the 3-day or 5-day moving averages preferable during rebounds. Downward movement toward the 120-day moving average is possible, but there’s a strong likelihood of a rebound after forming a lower wick, so avoid chasing the sell-off. On the 240-minute chart, while selling pressure remains strong in the third wave of the downtrend, support and a potential trend reversal could occur below 20,700. Overall, a sell-on-rebound strategy is advantageous today. Oil Crude oil surged on the possibility of U.S. sanctions on Russian crude exports. As previously noted, oil continues to display a pattern of reversing trends and sharply rising from the bottom. In pre-market trading, prices have already surpassed $78, but with the significant divergence from the 5-day moving average, caution is warranted today. On the weekly chart, the divergence from the 5-week moving average and the presence of previous highs around the $78 range suggest that even if prices rise further, chasing the rally should be avoided. The most favorable scenario this week involves buying on dips near the 5-week moving average, with corrections potentially reaching $73.4–$74. On the daily chart, more time is needed for shorter-term moving averages, such as the 20-day and 60-day, to align with current prices. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, generating a buy signal. However, if prices fail to surge further, divergence in the MACD could occur. Pay attention to potential sell signals and additional declines. As the rapid rise calls for a correction, prices are likely to consolidate around $78 during pre-market trading, making range-bound strategies favorable. Gold Gold surged on Friday due to reduced expectations of a Fed rate cut following employment surprises. On the weekly chart, gold has formed a bullish candle, breaking above key short-term moving averages. However, the significant divergence between the MACD and Signal lines suggests that surpassing the previous high near 2,760 will be challenging. On the daily chart, the MACD is above the zero line, and the Signal line is trending upward, showing a buying trend. Buying on dips near the strong support zone at the 5-day and 60-day moving averages around 2,690 is a favorable short-term strategy. With additional upward movement possible, a buy-on-dips approach is recommended. However, volatility is expected to increase with Tuesday’s PPI and Wednesday’s CPI data, so plan accordingly. On the 240-minute chart, strong buying momentum continues, with the RSI entering the overbought zone, making premature selling risky. Weekly Overview This week, early movements are likely to continue last week’s trends, with a potential inflection point around Wednesday’s CPI data. Manage risks carefully, and have a successful trading week! ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bearish Market -Buy Levels: 20,945 / 20,900 / 20,780 / 20,740 / 20,680 -Sell Levels: 21,110 / 21,210 / 21,310 Oil - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 76.55 / 76.00 / 75.60 / 74.60 -Sell Levels: 78.35 / 78.85 / 79.45 / 80.00 Gold - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 2,713 / 2,703 / 2,695 / 2,685 / 2,677 -Sell Levels: 2,726 / 2,735 / 2,742 / 2,753 / 2,759 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are set as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. Wishing you a successful trading day! If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard
NQ Technical chartNQ Analysis Examining the overall 4-hour trend, we observe a pattern in the downward and upward price movements: Downward Move (AB): From 22,428.75 to 21,016.75. Retracement (BC): The upward retracement of BC was exactly 78.6% of the total downward move (AB). Price action moved up to this level before rejecting. Similarly: After rejecting at 22,118.75, the price dropped to retest at 20,983.75. This resulted in another upward retracement (DE) to 21,872.75, which again represented 78.6% of the previous downward move (CD). On Friday, the lowest tick on NQ was recorded at 20,874.75. If we apply Fibonacci to the most recent downward move: The 78.6% retracement level is at 21,674.00, marking a potential area of interest above. Below, the open areas of interest are: 78.6% retracement at 20,803.50 88.6% retracement at 20,605.75 This highlights key zones for potential price action and reaction points moving forward. Monday NQ Price Action Prediction Key Levels to Watch: Support: 20,803.50 (78.6% retracement): Critical support zone. 20,605.75 (88.6% retracement): Deeper support if the lower level is breached. Resistance: 21,674.00 (78.6% upward retracement): Key resistance zone. 21,872.75: Previous swing high and secondary resistance. Predicted Scenarios: Bullish: A bounce from 20,803.50 could lead to a rally toward 21,674.00. Breaking above 21,674.00 may push prices to 21,872.75. Bearish: Breaking below 20,803.50 could trigger a drop to 20,605.75. Rejection at 21,674.00 may signal continued downside toward support levels.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by bear-necessities