Weekly and Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
NASDAQ closed higher, breaking above the upper trendline resistance on the daily chart. On the weekly chart, the sell signal is still active, and the MACD has yet to cross above the signal line. Therefore, even if the market rises early this week, it could potentially retreat again. This underscores the need to avoid chasing highs.
On the daily chart, a buy signal was generated with today’s candle, but it is not confirmed by yesterday’s action. If today’s session ends with a bearish candle, the buy signal could disappear. For a sustained upward move, today must close with a bullish candle and create a clear buy signal. Furthermore, for this signal to be meaningful, the signal line must move above the zero line, with a wider divergence between the MACD and the signal line driven by additional gains.
On the 240-minute chart, a long bullish candle has created a potential third wave up. Breaking through the upper trendline is significant, but whether this uptrend will continue remains uncertain. Additionally, with U.S. markets closed today for Martin Luther King Jr. Day, today's and tomorrow’s daily candles will be combined. Expect sideways movement with a bullish tilt today, with the main market session tomorrow likely determining the direction. Focus on buying on dips while avoiding chasing highs.
CRUDE OIL
Crude oil closed lower, forming an upper wick on the daily chart. On the weekly chart, the price is significantly distanced from the 3-day and 5-day moving averages, suggesting that this week could see consolidation or a pullback from the $79 resistance level.
On the daily chart, crude has fallen below the 5-day moving average, now trading within a range between the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. The $74–$75 range represents an attractive buy zone during a pullback. This area aligns with the weekly 5-day moving average, making it a critical level to watch.
Around $76, where the 10-day moving average lies, significant support exists on intraday charts. Observing whether this level holds on the first test is crucial. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD remains significantly above the zero line, favoring continued buying on dips. The first key support is around $76, and the second is in the $74–$75 range, where the MACD could attempt another bullish crossover. Be mindful of reduced trading volumes due to the U.S. market holiday and focus on range-bound strategies.
GOLD
Gold faced resistance near the 2760 level, closing with a doji candle. On the weekly chart, the MACD is diverging from the signal line, suggesting that further upside may face resistance around the 2785 level. If the MACD on the weekly chart fails to form a golden cross, a pullback may occur.
On the daily chart, the strong buy trend remains intact, favoring a buy-focused strategy. However, on the 240-minute chart, a potential dead cross could signal short-term corrections. With U.S. markets closed today and tomorrow, gold could dip to the 5-day moving average, creating buying opportunities during pullbacks.
For today, short-term selling at highs with a focus on key support levels for buying on dips is recommended. Sideways movement during pre-market hours may continue, with tomorrow’s main session likely setting the next direction. Stick to box-range trading and take advantage of key opportunities if prices reach critical levels.
With U.S. markets closed on Monday, reduced trading volumes make box-range trading strategies more effective. Use this time to prepare for potential opportunities at key levels. Stay diligent with risk management, and have a successful trading week ahead.
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 21510 / 21480 / 21350 / 21310 / 21270
-Sell: 21650 / 21740 / 21780 / 21880
Crude Oil - Bullish Market
-Buy: 76.90 / 76.30 / 75.70 / 74.95
-Sell: 77.80 / 78.25 / 78.60 / 79.00
Gold - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2730 / 2723 / 2719 / 2715
-Sell: 2747 / 2753 / 2758 / 2762 / 2777
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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