WEEKLY ANALYSIS TO HELP YOUR TRADING: Nasdaq, NQ, NAS100A pretty accurate week from my last video analysis if I do say so myself.
This week, I'm anticipating more bullish price action, however, there's also a strong chance for an inside bar which could have price working within last week's trading range. Based on the levels discussed in this video, price has reason to try and close bullish yet again, so I'll be watching price action for entries into longs and managing my risk accordingly.
Happy Trading,
The Meditrader
UNF1! trade ideas
Is The Nasdaq Bullish? Moving Higher Tomorrow...?In this video, we will analyze the NASDAQ futures for Friday, May 2nd.
Markets are looking tradeable again.
NQ has swept an old high, and retraced today. I like the location of the bullish FVG right below... which price has just tapped into a little while ago.
Look for the reaction from that +FVG, and trade accordingly.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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NQ Short (04-30-25)Sell in May on the way? Looks like the Insignificant Range is between the two orange TL's, NAZ will need to break out of range. Red arrow above, 1st Danger Zone cliff (view prior Post's). 4HR has an M developing. Anyway, Tricks/Tweet's can only get you so high. 714 is KL to watch should it lift back up (in the O/N, at 3am).
This is how i get the Sunday opening by aligning Narrative& BiasSo here i zoomed in on the 1hour chart and i see that there was a Distribution Range, i took the high to low Premium and Discount quarters, and then i draw the fibs on the most relevant quarter i am aiming to short from aligning with the PD Array,
noticing how theres some BSL there and theres a 1h SIBI FVG aligning with the Daily Volume Imbalance.
Nasdaq Futures - Another 7000 pts move pending?Reposting the last one with the same levels.
Just moved around 700 pts.. The chart says that we can still expect another 7000 points swing? which direction?
Levels as per the last post:
Current Price: 19544 (25th April)
Today's Price: 20230
Mid-Point: 18060.88
Upside: 21424.03, 23364.38, 25353.19 and 27342.00
Downside: 14704.35, 12757.38, 10768.56 and 8779.7
#NQ1!
Down Town yo street in a Range RoverCountry Grammar- Nelly
This is also a potential Setup to look into Lower time Farme, this weekly candle is a Bullish Order Block, so we don't want to see the 50% Crossed because were in a sell program, therefore 25% is permissible, and we can then break that quadrant down into quarters and wait for price to sweep the weekly Candles Internal Range Liquidity look for imbalance or inefficiency aligning with the sweep and entering inside of the Turtle Soup
Short Nasdaq Idea for First Stage Distribution Looking at the Daily Chart lining up with the Higher time Frame Bearish narrative underway, i like the idea of shorting Sunday Opening because there's no more opportunity to get out of long positions here once price has exhausted Premium PD Arrays. And I am highly considering Sunday High to Friday Closing Bell Low. There's lots of Low Resistance Liquidity beneath PA currently, there's no money in the laymans wallet, there's no reason for price to go up EXCEPT for Redistribution/continued Short Selling.
NQ-ES-YM Bearish Long Term Scenario Playing Out VERY BEARISH I think of all the pension funds, all the mortgages, all the war, all the grief and sorrow and depression and inability to find work, there's a whole heap of a mess going on behind the scenes and i hope for the best but expect the worst, and this structure Last Months April Candle is Bearish, and it looks like this Month will be a test of the Distribution Zone and then further down side to the Original Consolidation just like 2008.
It makes a lot of sense to me from the standpoint of not really studying very much but being Intune with the Price Action Analysis, this is a repeating phenomenon in History, the Great Reset, the New Shiny Syndrome, and the classic human behavior to spend more than we have available, over extended and over leveraged individuals will not be readily risk verse,
This Revolving door of money will lead to a bloom of opportunities in a few years, although i see at least 6 months of capitulation to the down side incoming fairly quickly, and i can say this with certainty about one news article i saw recently: US sanctions any country buying Oil from IRAN. Prayers for all, Thank You Jesus, Gods Speed. Amen.
MNQ Sell Idea 5.2.2025Hey Everyone, Welcome back! I am here posting a trade idea we caught, hopefully our final terminus is hit! But in this video I share with you guys my confluences and bias for this trade.
We took out BSL with the 8:30am open and NFP news. I am targetting 19,829 levels as a potential area of interest because I believe the market will want to trade into it for buying opportunities as I do believe the market is bullish.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/2/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 19797.25
- PR Low: 19749.50
- NZ Spread: 106.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings
Nonfarm Payrolls
Unemployment Rate
Advertising rotation short off 20100
- Holding auction inside previous session range
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 5/2)
- Session Open ATR: 647.21
- Volume: 47K
- Open Int: 250K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -11.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Nasdaq Futures (NQ): 5 Swing Pattern Points to Further GainNasdaq Futures (NQ) experienced a sharp selloff following a tariff announcement by President Trump, with the decline starting from a peak on December 16, 2024, at 22,450. The selloff concluded at 16,465.89 on April 7, 2025, which weโve labeled as wave (II). For the Index to confirm a bullish trend and rule out a potential double correction, it must break above the December 16, 2024, high of 22,450. In the short term, the rally from the April 7 low of 16,465.89 is unfolding as a five-swing pattern. It is a motive sequence that suggests further upside potential.
From the April 7 low, the rally is developing as a five-wave diagonal structure. Wave 1 peaked at 18,361.5, followed by a wave 2 pullback to 16,735. The Index then surged in wave 3 to 19,386.75, with a wave 4 dip ending at 17,700. Currently, wave 5 is in progress, with sub-wave ((i)) topping at 19,688.5 and sub-wave ((ii)) bottoming at 19,103.75. Sub-wave ((iii)) reached 20,125.75, and a potential sub-wave ((iv)) pullback may have concluded at 19,749.5.
The Index is expected to push higher once more in sub-wave ((v)) to complete wave 5 of (1). After this, a wave (2) pullback should occur, likely in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern, before the Index resumes its upward trend. As long as the 16,465.89 low holds, dips are expected to attract buyers in 3, 7, or 11-swing patterns, supporting further gains in the near term.
MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 05/01/2025MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 05/01/2025
๐ 20130 20219
๐ 19770 19700
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025
๐ 19560 19685
๐ 19185 19060
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
Please like and share for more ES/NQ levels Tues & Thurs ๐ค๐๐๐ฏ๐ฐ
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
2025-05-01 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Way tougher than it looks. Both sides have good arguments why this continues higher or why today marked the top. I have a heavy bearish bias but I confirmation would only be below 19090 and thatโs 700 points down. I do think if bears can close the gap down to 19640, we retest 19300 and there we have the first bull trend line. Below we go for 19100, which was the us gdp spike low and below that is armageddon. Bulls have nothing but continuation of this short squeeze. When Apple earnings disappoint, you know things are about to get real ducking bad next.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 19000 - 20000
bull case: Bulls got 20000 and even went above the April high, now what? Technically still a lower high until they hit 20537. They have going for them that today was the first bear bar after 7 consecutive bull days. They now want to defend the open gaps to keep the momentum going. A pullback can go way deeper than most bulls will be comfortable with, given the current environment. I do think best bulls can hope for tomorrow, is to go sideways and close the week above 20000.
Invalidation is below 19640.
bear case: Bears have all the macro schmackro arguments on their side that you can try to come up with. Structure says bullish until bull trend lines are broken. First is around 19500 and second is the bigger one around 19000. Can bears get to either tomorrow? I do think so yes. This was a nasty short squeeze but we are right under the weekly 20ema, technically still a lower high because the last major lower high was 20536. On the weekly chart this is a textbook two-legged pullback to the moving average and I pray daily that we will get another huge leg down to 15000. How likely is that? For now, very unlikely. Still it would be more fun if the bull trend line from the covid lows would break and we transition into a trading range 15000 - 22000.
Invalidation is above 20140.
short term: Neutral. For tomorrow I can see 20100 not getting hit again and we sell-off. If markets stays above 19700, bulls remain in full control. full bear mode below 19640. Above 20140 we likely go for 20500+.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We are +18% from the lows and I do think, once this turns again, it will easily be the short trade of the year.
trade of the day: Longs near 1h 20ema. Was profitable couple of times. Sell-off into close was insider-trading. Absolutely certain that the earnings were leaked.
NQ: 182nd trading session - recapBlew my funded eval - on purpose
I've made some bad decisions a few weeks ago landing me at -$1000 - so I just said f*ck it it's either pay a bit to be breakeven or just be breakeven with a high contract trade.
I'll buy my funded back and start from scratch - with a plan now in mind
What's Next for Tech (April update)My previous analysis on this same chart was obsoleted by the Tariffs announcement on "Liberation Day" - which caused the (tech) market to accelerate the drop down to almost 25% in the week of April 2
SO here's the updated view after "some recovery" from that low. For better visibility, i hid the price (as a faint blue line) so i can focus on the signals that *are really critical to see*.
What are we looking at here ?
==========================
- The thick purple and blue lines are 20 and 50 SMAs - the gray line is a 100 SMA
- this is a weekly chart representing NASDAQ 100 futures as a Tech market proxy
- Lower indicators are a MACD (showing momentum) and RSI (showing strength) - settings for these indicators are sync'ed to the price chart (so the 20/50 crossing will show on MACD as main line crossing zero, RSI is also set to 20 SMA)
What is scary here ?
===================
- we had a 20/50 SMA death cross (20 SMA moving below 50SMA on weekly chart) twice in the last 9 years - we're about to get one this week
- There are 2 main scenarios after a death cross forms, recovery and crash - as seen by the past crosses from December'18 and April'22 (Note: COVID crash didn't cause a death cross)
Why is this specific view important ?
==================================
Our trading plan needs to be adjusted (if crash, go to cash and wait, if recovery, ride the wave up) - for position traders, there's really no gain trading stocks in a market that is breaking down
what's next ?
==============
i'm watching this view to track what the market does next - with how dynamic the situation is with US market / economy, it's hard to tell which scenario will unfold. On one hand, US admin wants to show market improvement, and on the other, certain ill-planned economic "moves" are pulling the market down..
Which scenario do you think will unfold here?