WHAT IS A LOW RISK ENTRY POINT?WHAT IS A LOW RISK ENTRY POINT?
First off, reminder that you will never find a low risk entry point at a low.
You need upwards movement off a low to start creating the upwards velocity, to create the uptrend, which will lead to the faster, more sustained gains.
The true party starts once the confirmed breakout occurs.
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Now, see the gold chart below where I showcase where the greatest gains, in the shortest amount of time occurred.
The first run started in 2019 and had gold run up 50%, without any visible interruptions on the quarterly chart.
The second run started in late 2023 had gold run over 60% (still running).
A chart traders role is to identify the entry points which can lead to this.
Notice the huge bases are found right before those.
There are no huge bases right now. If you missed these entry points, then you missed them.
While price can still trend upwards from here, anybody jumping onboard right now is still considered chasing (not entering at the most opportune time).
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In summary:
Low risk entry points = lesser chances of getting stopped out + higher gains/time ratio
It does not mean results are guaranteed, but they do offer the possibility of obtaining the results showcased here on the gold chart.
So, maybe next time you will recognize these huge opportunities, as we have, and understand that they were the low risk entry points.
Hope this helps you out!
GD1! trade ideas
Gold Update: 2 optionsIndeed, the top metal surged well beyond $3,000, as I mentioned in my earlier post (see related post for details).
The price reached a new all-time high of $3,510 before pulling back, as expected.
So far, the retracement has been rejected at the trendline support around $3,123 (futures).
From here, there are two possible scenarios:
1) Blue Labels
The price may have already completed wave 4. If so, we could now see a large wave 5 move to the upside.
This wave could reach the blue target box, which represents 61.8% to 100% of the distance from wave 1 to wave 3, added to the bottom of wave 4.
This target zone lies between $3,700 and $4,100.
Keep in mind that gold is a commodity, and commodities often have extended fifth waves — so the higher end of the blue box is still possible.
2) White Labels
Typically, fourth waves retrace down to the valleys of previous lower-degree fourth waves.
In this case, the market could form another leg down to complete a larger, more complex correction, potentially hitting $2,975 before wave 5 begins.
If that happens, the target for wave 5 may be lower, but with a possible extended fifth wave, it could still reach the blue box area.
GoldenZoneFX: Where Data Meets Strategy, GOLD TP Hit!Precision trading isn't about luck—it's about strategy, discipline, and expert analysis. Today at GoldenZoneFX, we executed a data-driven approach that led to a successful GOLD TP hit, proving once again that informed trading beats speculation.
What We Determined Today:
Market structure analysis revealed a key order block, signaling a high-probability trade setup.
Fibonacci retracement levels aligned perfectly with major liquidity zones.
Volume confirmation reinforced momentum, validating our entry and exit strategy.
Why This Matters: GoldenZoneFX thrives on delivering calculated, professional trading insights. Whether you're a seasoned investor or refining your strategy, understanding market behavior through data-driven methods is what sets top traders apart.
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Gold Futures–High- Probability Bullish Reversal at Key Ord Block Key Technical Insights:
Bullish Trend Continuation Setup:
The price is currently trading within a bullish ascending channel (yellow lines). The overall trend is up, and we’ve seen a recent pullback towards key support areas. This suggests the potential for a bullish reversal, setting up for another move towards the $3,300 resistance level.
Order Block Formation:
We have an Order Block (red box) formed at the lower part of the channel. This is a critical zone where institutional buying has previously occurred, which increases the likelihood of price reaction if it revisits this level.
The Order Block represents an area of significant market demand, and the probability of price bouncing higher from here is high, given the solid historical price action at this level.
Support & Resistance:
Support: The $3,235 level has been a strong area of support (orange line), and we are now approaching this zone. A bounce from here, with confirmation, could provide an optimal entry for a long position.
Resistance: The immediate resistance target lies at $3,290, and $3,300 is the major level to watch for a breakout to the upside.
Trade Setup – Bullish Reversal Opportunity:
Entry:
Look for a long position near the $3,235 support (orange line), ideally at the Order Block (red box). This provides a high probability entry for continuation of the bullish trend.
A confirmation candle (such as a bullish engulfing or hammer candle) would be ideal for confirming the reversal.
Target:
The primary target is the $3,290 level, with the potential for further upside towards $3,300 if the bullish momentum continues. These targets align with the previous price action and resistance zones.
Stop-Loss:
A tight stop-loss below $3,220 ensures protection against invalidation of the setup. If price breaks below the lower part of the channel, the trade thesis would be invalidated, and the position should be exited.
Additional Considerations:
Volume Analysis: Volume has been increasing during the pullback, which suggests that institutional buyers are stepping in around the Order Block area. Watching for volume spikes during the confirmation candle will strengthen the setup.
Moving Average Support: The 200-period SMA is providing dynamic support, which is another indicator that the overall trend remains bullish. A rejection from this level could give further confidence in entering the position.
Risk/Reward: With a risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 1:3, this trade setup offers an attractive potential return relative to the risk taken. The reward far outweighs the risk, making it a high-probability setup for a well-managed trade.
Key Takeaways:
This is a high-confidence bullish continuation trade that aligns with the current market structure.
The Order Block provides a solid area of institutional demand, increasing the probability of price bouncing and continuing higher.
A well-defined entry at $3,235, with clear stop-loss and target levels, creates a structured approach to executing this trade.
Follow @GoldenZoneFX Fore more Valuable Insights.
GOLD/USD TWO SIDE ANALASIS
Market Structure Analysis:
Higher Low (HL): The early structure highlights a formation of a higher low, suggesting a bullish intent during that phase.
Break of Structure (BOS): A clear BOS is marked, indicating a shift from bearish to bullish market structure, confirming a potential trend reversal to the upside.
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Key Zones Identified:
1. Opening Gaps:
Two notable opening gaps are marked, one from earlier in the chart and another closer to the current price action. These zones often act as magnets for price due to inefficiencies in the market.
2. Order Block:
A bearish order block near the recent highs around 3,440 signifies institutional selling pressure. Price rejected strongly from this area, adding credibility to its significance.
3. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
A FVG lies below the order block, denoting an imbalance where price may return to fill. This aligns with institutional trading concepts and often precedes a retracement.
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Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance Zone: Aligned with a recent swing high and gap, this area around 3,280–3,300 could cap upward moves unless broken with strong volume.
Support Zone: Defined lower around 3,120–3,080, price bounced from here, indicating buyer interest and a potential accumulation area.
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Forecast Scenarios:
1. Bullish Case:
A projected bounce from the support zone with a potential move toward the resistance zone and eventual fill of the opening gap, targeting 3,280–3,300.
This aligns with the retracement into inefficiencies and institutional areas of interest.
2. Bearish Case:
A possible rejection from the resistance zone, leading to a breakdown and move toward the lower target near the support zone around 3,080 or even sub-3,000, marking a deeper correction or continuation of the bearish leg.
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Technical Insight:
The chart showcases a textbook smart money concept analysis using structural pivots, order blocks, gaps, and supply-demand zones.
This approach aligns with liquidity engineering, where price seeks to mitigate imbalances and fulfill institutional orders.
Strong Signal Bullish momentum GOLDThere is a break of the channel with strong volume after a consolidation phase that highlights a strong Long position, although if we break the next support combined with a pull back above this new support we might consider looking for the next Resistance that highlighted on the daily frame, nor Fibunnaci retracement for making good decision.
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Gold is Setting up for a Move! Could it be a big one?Looking for price to set up for a solid move. One thing is for sure we are waiting for the killzones before taking any action. The price action the last few days has been giving fake outs just before we roll into the killzone. Be patient. Wait for things to line up.
GOLD GC /GC GC1! XAU/USD: Arbitrage Oppertunity. Gold Futures (GC1!) – Breakdown Ahead? Arbitrage Opportunity Emerging
🔍 Daily Chart Analysis by Wavervanir International LLC
⚠️ Key Technical Observations:
Descending Triangle Breakdown Risk: Gold has rejected resistance near $3,350 multiple times. The lower highs and horizontal support suggest a descending triangle structure.
Projected Breakdown Zone: If $3,280 support fails, we could see a swift move toward $3,100 or even lower, near the $2,950 zone.
Lower Trendline Magnet: Price appears to be gravitating toward a key trendline formed from April’s breakout, which aligns with the $2,950–$3,000 confluence zone.
💱 Arbitrage Opportunity: GC1! vs XAU/USD vs /GC
There is growing dislocation among:
GC1! (Gold Futures – COMEX)
/GC (Front-Month Gold Futures)
XAU/USD (Spot Gold)
Watch for inefficiencies due to:
🔁 Hedging lag across timeframes (spot vs futures)
💰 Rate differential effects (carry cost, interest rates)
🌍 Currency mismatch in spot vs USD-settled futures
If the spot-futures basis widens unjustifiably, a short GC1! / long XAU/USD setup could exploit mean reversion. Advanced traders might also consider calendar spreads (/GC Jun vs Aug) if volatility compresses.
📊 Probabilistic Outlook:
Scenario Probability Commentary
Breakdown Toward $2,950 55% Technical structure favors bears unless macro shifts occur.
Bounce and Range Around $3,300 30% Compression before Fed/JOLTS/NFP may cause chop.
Breakout Above $3,375 15% Requires macro catalyst—like Fed rate cut, geopolitical shock, or weak USD
🧠 Macro Factors to Monitor:
FOMC & FedSpeak (June) – If rate cuts are delayed, gold could lose momentum.
Real Yields (10Y TIPS) – Rising real yields = bearish gold.
Geopolitical Tensions – Any flare-ups (Middle East, Taiwan) may flip sentiment fast.
China/BRICS Demand – Gold import/export data could signal accumulation or slowdown.
💡 We’re monitoring these inefficiencies for tactical plays under the Wavervanir macro-arbitrage lens. Stay updated for real-time trade ideas and DSS-based execution.
#Gold #GC1 #XAUUSD #FuturesTrading #MacroArbitrage #CommodityTrading #Wavervanir #RiskManagement
Gold (GC) Trade Plan – Watching Key Zones for Reaction Currently watching Gold Futures (GC) as price moves within a defined range.
✅ Buy Zone (Green): Waiting for price to reach this demand area and show a bullish reaction confirmed by order flow before entering long.
❌ Sell Zone (Red): If price pushes into this supply area, I’ll consider a short setup only if there’s clear bearish confirmation on order flow (e.g., trapped buyers, absorption, or momentum shift).
⚠️ No reaction = no trade. I’m simply reacting to what the market gives me, not predicting.
Let the flow guide the entries. 🧠📊
Gold Future MCXThe Gold Future Price is Stuck in A Triangle Trend Lines.
There is Good Action Seen from Both Buyers and Sellers. Lets se who wins it.
If the price breaks DOWN the Support Trend Line with Good Volume "THE PRICE CAN TRAVEL DOWN TILL 90000 Levels."
If the Price Breks UP the Resistance Trend Line with Good Volume " THE PRICE CAN TRAVEL UP TILL 95500 Levels."
NOTE: (In My View)
Price Going Down till 90000 is More Likely.....
GOLD SILVER Ratio Charts MCX INDIA MCX:GOLD1! *100/MCX:SILVER1!
This is a Ratio charts ... Which Shows Outperformance of One asset over other ... You have to Buy one and Sell One to full reflect what it is showing ... so Things may not workout It you trade one only ...
It Can be Clearly Seen Gold is outperforming Silver ....
What it is indicating is the main point ...Silver being a industrial metal more demand for Gold could be safe haven buying which means less demand for silver implying less industrial activity bad for economy ... or impending recession in US ... Recently Yield Curves 2s10s inverted in US so ... that would also signal a impending recession which lags by at least by 12 months ...
When reversal comes Chart may change Currently or can be seen on lower time frame it is what it is ....
Similar Things on International/COMEX Charts or Dollar based charts can be seen