Global Gold at the Crossroads of CrisisGold’s response to historic geopolitical crises demonstrates that while “big fear” is rapidly priced in, the durability of rallies—or the depth of corrections—depends on a confluence of monetary policy, dollar valuation, oil prices, and the genuine scale of the threat.
At present, the gold market sits squarely between global “fear of instability” and “hope for de-escalation.” Divergent signals from the Fed, global central banks, and oil markets only deepen volatility, making investor decisions more complex. As previous wars (Iran–Iraq, Ukraine) have shown, gold is prone to both scenarios, but its long-term direction will be shaped by a mix of economic, policy, and psychological factors.
GF1! trade ideas
Gold Builds Bullish Momentum After $3,294.0 ReboundGold bounced from $3,294.0, forming a double bottom pattern as XAU/USD consolidates near $3,330.0. Stochastic has exited oversold territory, signaling strengthening bullish momentum.
If $3,294.0 holds as support, the uptrend may continue toward the $3,393.0 target.
GOLD Can Turn Bearish Now, After Completing a 50% Retracement!GOLD futures analysis for Wed Jun 26th.
Price reached the -FVGand is reacting to it now.
This, after pulling back tothe 50% fib.
Should the FVG fail, Gold is bullish. This is not
supported by fundamentals, though.
As the market environment is more risk on than
off, I expect the -FVG to hold, and the retracement
of the last impulsive move down to end, and a new
bearish leg to begin.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
$MGC / $GC / Gold - Target acquired! Where are we going next.Hello fellow gamblers,
Price did not go all the way inside the target range, but it is close enough for me to be satisfied with the play and take profits. Now it is the time to be looking for where we are going next.
- I am already seeing some reversal signals in the 15min TF but no signals in the higher TFs.
- For now, we will continue going lower as long as the blue trendline is not broken, but it is possible for price to have a bounce before continuing lower. If price breaks above 3357, I am looking at that FVG gap as a possible target for the bounce.
- It is possible for price to touch that yellow trendline in the bounce, so I'll be paying attention to it.
- If we get a rejection of 3357, I can see price filling our W2 Target range and finding support at 3283. A break of that level could take us all the way down to 3222.8 - 3174.4 range shown in the chart.
- For bullish scenario, I'd want a break above 3418, but i do believe that it is still early to talk bullish scenarios, so I'll leave it for next time.
- Levels to watch: 3418 - 3357 - 3283 - 3207
GOLD FUTURES: LOADED COIL OR BREAKDOWN RISK
### 📉 **GOLD FUTURES: Loaded Coil or Breakdown Risk?**
**Symbol:** MGCQ25 / MGC1!
**Date:** June 24, 2025
**Session:** NY Open Pre-Market
---
### 🔍 **Top-Down Analysis (TE GRID Aligned)**
#### 🕵️♂️ 1D Macro Bias:
Gold’s daily candle is an aggressive rejection off the \$3,400s with a break of the prior demand zone. Heavy volume on the red day signals **institutional unwinding** 📉. Price cracked through the previous bullish imbalance zone and now floats just above key structural support at **\$3,295**.
* 🟣 **Bias:** **Bearish until proven otherwise**
* ⚠️ Watch: If today closes below \$3,295, opens door for \$3,170 sweep
---
#### 🧠 4H/1H HTF Structure:
* 4H shows textbook lower high + BOS formation — order blocks at **\$3,378–\$3,400** rejected price multiple times.
* 1H VWAP anchored from the last major high at \$3,400 is pressing down — no reclaim, no rally.
* Big liquidity cluster sits below at **\$3,170–\$3,130**, possibly magnetic.
🔵 **HTF TE GRID Check**:
* ✅ HTF Bias: Bearish
* ✅ No support reclaim
* ✅ Liquidity below
→ **Short bias confirmed**
---
#### 🧪 15m Intraday Liquidity Check:
* VWAP = resistance
* EQ (Equilibrium) from consolidation = broken
* Price action: forming lower highs beneath \$3,336–\$3,340
* Volume dropping on minor pullbacks = weak buyer response
🔴 **Intraday Bias:** Fade rallies into HTF resistance
---
### ⚔️ **TE GRID Trade Setup Ideas** (Execution-Ready)
#### 🎯 **Setup #1 – HTF Supply Rejection Short**
* 🔹 *Entry:* \$3,336–\$3,340 zone (intraday VWAP retest)
* 🔹 *Stop:* Above \$3,350 (invalidates idea)
* 🔹 *Target 1:* \$3,295 (gap fill)
* 🔹 *Target 2:* \$3,170 (macro sweep target)
* 🧠 *TE GRID Alignment:*
* HTF down ✅
* Liquidity above swept ✅
* Rejection from imbalance ✅
#### 🎯 **Setup #2 – Breakdown Momentum Play**
* 🔹 *Entry:* Break & retest of \$3,295
* 🔹 *Stop:* Above \$3,305
* 🔹 *Target:* \$3,170 → \$3,130
* 🧠 *TE GRID Alignment:*
* Structure BOS ✅
* Rejection of EQ ✅
* No buyer absorption ✅
---
---
🚨 **Gold Futures Breakdown In Progress — Powell Speech Could Seal the Deal** 🧠💣
Gold is under heavy pressure as the market rotates out of safe havens amid a cooling in geopolitical risk — but price action says this isn’t over yet 👀.
The **Israel–Iran ceasefire** may have stunned gold bulls, but the real signal is coming from **macro and technical structure**. Powell’s testimony today could either validate the Fed’s dovish lean — or crush the dollar further. Either way, volatility is loading. ⚡️
---
📉 **TE GRID Top-Down Breakdown**
1️⃣ **Daily:** Bearish rejection from prior demand
2️⃣ **4H/1H:** Rejected from VWAP and macro imbalance at \$3,378–\$3,400
3️⃣ **15m:** Weak bounce volume, liquidity gaps below = fade rallies
---
🎯 **Key Trade Levels:**
* **Short Zone:** \$3,336–\$3,340
* **Breakdown Trigger:** \$3,295
* **Targets:**
* \$3,170 = HTF liquidity draw 🧲
* \$3,130 = macro flush if Powell disappoints 🪓
---
⚖️ **Narrative:**
Gold is stuck between **a falling dollar** and a **waning fear premium**. Powell is the final wildcard — if he leans dovish, the dollar could slide further. But without structural reclaim, **gold remains a short-the-rip environment**. Stay tactical. Let price confirm before you commit. 🧠📉
---
🛑 *Disclaimer:* Not financial advice. This is professional-grade trade research. Execute with precision.
Gold GC1! heading to $3,476 next with a 4.15R long trade TVC:GOLD Gold/ COMEX:GC1! hit the 0.705 fib level right between the 0.618 and 0.786 what I like to call the sweet spot for fibonacci tools. If it misses the 0.618 then the 0.705 is just as good, signals are showing a bottom forming and slowly but sure the rsi is about to cross up over 50, it should pump hard this time
-4.15R trade
-1.5% capital risk
-as soon as gold starts to move, we'll drag our stop loss to or even past break even if it really pops up hard...
$GC/$MGC/Gold - Weekend UpdateHello Fellow Gamblers,
Gold is currently playing with our feelings. We've been trough these short up and downs this past week but I believe that we are now ready for a reversal. Price had a good bounce from the 3357 support, which broke the minor trendline and is now creating a flag pattern, hinting at a possible continuation.
- We need 3357 to hold and a break of 3418 and 3442 for a continuation up.
- A break below 3357 will bring us back to our bearish scenario.
- Levels to watch: 3283, 3357, 3418, 3504
YERPMGC1! Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis – 8H & 2H by GOAT
This dual-chart setup provides an advanced Elliott Wave and pattern-based analysis on Micro Gold Futures (MGC1!), combining macro context from the 8-hour chart with precision from the 2-hour timeframe. The analysis incorporates trend channels, corrective structures, RSI divergences, and potential trade setups.
🟡 Left Panel – 8H Chart:
Trend Structure: Price is respecting a rising wedge pattern with multiple internal flags and channels, indicating a loss of bullish momentum at the top of the structure.
Resistance Zones: Key supply levels are marked between 3,429 – 3,537, with price recently rejecting from this upper zone.
Descending Channel: Current consolidation is forming a minor falling wedge, which could provide a temporary bounce before potential further downside.
Support Levels to Watch:
3,343: Minor structural support
3,312 – 3,268: Major demand area (also aligns with previous breakout retest zone)
RSI Context: Oscillator is hovering near the midpoint (~50), showing indecision. Previous bearish divergences from highs hint at weakening momentum.
🟡 Right Panel – 2H Chart:
Elliott Wave Structure: A completed 5-wave impulse has been marked, followed by a corrective ABC pattern potentially unfolding.
Scenario 1 (Bearish): Price rallies toward the yellow resistance trendline (Wave B) and rejects, completing Wave C toward 3,316 – 3,268.
Scenario 2 (Bullish): Price breaks out of the falling wedge early, retests, and continues toward 3,429 – 3,475.
Bollinger Bands: Price has re-entered mid-band territory, showing that volatility is compressing before a directional move.
RSI Analysis:
Multiple bearish divergences are visible, particularly between Waves 3 and 5.
RSI currently rising after a bounce from near 30, suggesting temporary strength, but still under 50.
🧠 Summary:
Gold is currently in a corrective phase following a 5-wave bullish impulse. While a temporary bounce is possible from the current wedge, the broader pattern points to a likely C-leg down unless key resistance (~3,394–3,429) is broken decisively. RSI divergence across both timeframes supports caution on long bias until trend confirmation returns.
⚙️ Chart prepared for educational and strategic planning. Not financial advice.
Gold to $3500-$3600Gold broke out of a two touch point downwards trend line recently and retested a previous swing high of around $3475. Since the swing high retest gold has dropped back to a retest of the trendline that was broken. Price has been holding above the lower green trend line with multiple touch points. With continued economic uncertainty among retail investors gold still stands as a safe haven investment so In the short term I can see it going to $3500 or even $3600.
If the lower trend line has a candle close below it then do not go long into this trade.
Part 4/4 GoldGroundbreaking move from Beijing:
Chinese insurance giants can now invest in gold for the first time .
Firms: PICC, China Life, and 8 more
Max allocation: 1% of assets
Potential inflow: 200 billion yuan ($27.4 billion)
Why is this big?
China = #1 gold consumer globally (910 tons consumer demand in 2023)
Gold has cultural, symbolic and strategic importance
China moving reserves from USD to gold
This policy change is a structural shift, not just a headline]
Conclusion:]
Add China’s institutional demand to war + inflation + falling rates, and we get one clear strategy:
BUY Gold. Target: $5000 in 2025]
GC Ready for a Push to New All-Time HighsGold Futures (GC) are showing signs of accumulation and upward momentum, with the chart forming a rounded base suggesting a potential breakout. Recent price action has been consolidating in a bullish structure, and we may be gearing up for a breakout towards new all-time highs.
With rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, gold's safe-haven appeal could drive significant buying pressure in the coming sessions. Volume is stable and supportive, and the technical structure aligns with a bullish continuation.
$MGC / $GC / Gold Post-Market UpdateHello Fellow Degenerates,
Price retraced below a 3416.2 and it is now between that level and a FVG. I do see some signals that a possible pull back might happen and I have now marked 3442-3430 as an important range to watch.
- If the pullback happens, it could be a retest of the HVN resistance, and if price gets rejected in that range, we will go towards our bearish scenario.
- However, if price breaks above that range with strength it will mean that we are now going towards our Wave 5 target near 3504.
- Levels to watch: 3504, 3442, 3430, 3416, 3358, 3283.