HSC50 FORECAST Xióng MarketBEARS BEAR BEARS or should i say PANDA PANDA PANDA nah sounds like desiiigner
that being said i see the potentiality of more bears this coming wave considering
how i expect more power from dxy soon as u see below usdcny gets stronger HSC weaker and vice versa is true
after looking at usdcny im going with the white route
And remember kid you can make a million
CHINA50 trade ideas
CHINA REBOUND IN 2024?The past four years have not been friendly to China's economic outlook and the stock market reflects this. Several economic, legal, geopolitical, and social challenges have negatively affected investor confidence and triggered a mass migration of investors out of China.
However, China plays a vital role in keeping the global economy running and this will remain the case for years to come. During the same period, investors have shifted their attention to India as the next frontier to take over or dilute the global dependence on China. Despite the markets being forward-looking, this is far from coming to reality.
We are optimistic about China and the challenges the economy is facing will come to pass. Our first partial entry was filled around the first 2018 support level as we see this as a sell-side exhaustion. Looking for a consolidation in the weeks to come and the probability of higher-lows moving forward. If not, we will monitor fundamentals in case another sell-off is triggered.
CN50 to see a temporary move higher?CHN50 - 24h expiry
Buying pressure from 11103 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
The current move higher is expected to continue.
The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 11300 level.
Our profit targets will be 11150 and 11510
Resistance: 11420 / 11690 / 11880
Support: 10910 / 10550 / 10360
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CHINA A50: Time to buy Chinese stocks.The China A50 index (CN50) has been trading within a Falling Wedge pattern since July 2022 and more recently in particular hasn't been able to break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since September 08. That bearish sentiment may be coming to an end as the 1D MACD is about to form a new Bullish Cross in the same order as the November 01 2022 Low.
This could be the bottom (Lower Low) of the Falling Wedge and the start of the new Bullish Leg towards the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, as the January 28 2023 High did. We are now buyers on this index, targeting the top of the Falling Wedge at 13000.
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CHINA50 interesting LONG set upI don't usually trade CHINA50, when it comes to China I prefer HK50, but this is an interesting set up/amazing buying opportunity:
- RSI is very low - 29 on daily chart, RSI was 24 few days ago.
- 11000-11100 is a strong support level. Even in March 2020 the index found support at 11500
- I'm aware of economic situation, but I still believe that recession will hit US and European market really bad in 2024/2025, but this will be opportunity for China to grow in strength
- bearish move might be not over yet but once the trend reverses, I believe it can easily start movement towards 15000-16000 (in next 12 months or so)
*This is not a trading advice. Trading is risky. Always do your own analysis before entering the market.*
China50 forming a bottom?CN50USD - 24h expiry
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Posted a Bullish Hammer Bottom on the 4 hour chart.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 11165 level.
We look to Buy at 11150 (stop at 11050)
Our profit targets will be 11400 and 11450
Resistance: 11420 / 11690 / 11880
Support: 10910 / 10550 / 10360
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
China50 to see a temporary move higher?CHN50 - 24h expiry
Buying pressure from 11171 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
The current move higher is expected to continue.
The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 11480 level.
We look to Sell at 11480 (stop at 11560)
Our profit targets will be 11280 and 11220
Resistance: 11420 / 11690 / 11880
Support: 10910 / 10550 / 10360
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Chinese markets look dangerously bearish. No matter how much China is trying to support its markets, whether it is monetary or fiscal stimulus measures in recent months, the equity markets have been very weak. Today's EDGE chart of the Day is the China A50 is a stock market index by FTSE which illustrates how weak some of the top A share stocks are in the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges are. We are nearing the lows of 2022, however the RSI is oversold. If you look at the lower pane, you will also notice that the RSI has been (and could get) much more oversold on any technical breakdown. Not pictured is the price in copper, which has a failed rally above the 200dma along with the AUDUSD with similar price action. New lows in this index may also attract unwanted attention to the price of copper and the Aussie Dollar.
China A50 swing trade longSometimes simple is best. And we may have found a simple setup on the China A50 index.
Sure, the daily chart remains within a downtrend, but it shows the potential to extend its countertrend move higher by at least one more leg in our view.
The index saw a decent rally from the 11,600 area before retracing 50%. A 3-bar bullish reversal pattern has formed (morning star) after two failed attempts to close the day beneath 12,000.
RSI (14) has broken its own bearish trendline and formed a higher low ahead of prices action. If momentum really does lead price, can prices now follow?
Assuming the overnight risk-on rally continues, we could be looking for a move to 12,500 (particularly if China data surprises to the upside today).
CN50 to turnaround?CN50USD - 24h expiry
Buying pressure from 11908 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
The current move higher is expected to continue.
Short term bias is mildly bullish.
The trend of higher lows is located at 11908.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
We look to Buy at 12035 (stop at 11985)
Our profit targets will be 12155 and 12195
Resistance: 12245 / 12530 / 12750
Support: 11880 / 11690 / 11420
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CHINA A50: Chinese stocks are the buy opportunity of a decade.The China A50 index (CN50) is trading within a Falling Wedge pattern and on the larger picture a Channel Up with its Higher Highs being on June 09 2015 and February 16 2021. The price is now closer to the Channel Up bottom and the pricing of a new long-term Higher Low (bottom), which already makes it a great buy opportunity. Of course the most optimal level to enter would be as close to the bottom as possible, especially of the 1W RSI makes one more Higher Low on its Triangle.
We have seen the very same 1W RSI Triangle in November 2012 - February 2014, when the index was within a similar Falling Wedge. The same RSI Bullish Divergence (Higher Lows against the price's Lower Lows) eventually caused the March 18 2014 rebound. This is why the most optimal level to buy would be on the (current) RSI Higher Lows. If that isn't materialized, we will enter when the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) breaks, which will be a bullish break-out confirmation. In either case, our long-term target is the 2.382 Fibonacci extension level at 23000.
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CHINA A50: Bullish signal approaching.The China A50 index reached today the LH trendline of the August 1st top and turned neutral on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.831, MACD = -120.000, ADX = 25.828). The 1D MACD Bullish Cross that was just formed on such a low level, makes the third time this year but we need further confirmation to buy for an extension as the March 23rd Bullish Cross failed to push the index past the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
Consequently, if the price closes a 1D candle over the 0.382 Fibonacci, which at the same time will be a 1D MA50 breakout, we will go long and target the 0.618 Fibonacci level (TP = 12,800), which will be a technical LH of the 10 month Channel Down.
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China50 to see early optimism?CN50USD - 24h expiry
Buying pressure from 11548 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
The current move higher is expected to continue.
The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 12020 level.
We look to Sell at 12020 (stop at 12125)
Our profit targets will be 11770 and 11700
Resistance: 12245 / 12530 / 12750
Support: 11690 / 11420 / 10910
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CN50 to see another capped rally?CN50USD - 24h expiry
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A higher correction is expected.
The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 12600 level.
We look to Sell at 12585 (stop at 12685)
Our profit targets will be 12335 and 12255
Resistance: 12530 / 12750 / 12910
Support: 12245 / 11880 / 11690
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
China50 intraday dips continue to attract buyers.CHN50 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 12340 (stop at 12220)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Our profit targets will be 12640 and 12720
Resistance: 12750 / 12910 / 13065
Support: 12245 / 11880 / 11690
Please be advised that the in formation presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group
China50 to find buyers at previous swing low?CHN50 - 24h expiry
Selling posted in Asia.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
The current move lower is expected to continue.
Previous support located at 12279.
Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Buy at 12280 (stop at 12160)
Our profit targets will be 12580 and 12660
Resistance: 12530 / 12750 / 12910
Support: 12245 / 11880 / 11690
Please be advised that the in formation presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group
Will China50 turnaround?CHN50 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 12405 (stop at 12295)
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Short term bias is mildly bullish.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further downside before the uptrend returns.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Our profit targets will be 12680 and 12740
Resistance: 12750 / 12910 / 13065
Support: 12245 / 11880 / 11690
Please be advised that the in formation presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group
China50 struggles to maintain gains.CHN50 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 12695 (stop at 12775)
Although the market broke to the upside in early trade, bespoke resistance at 13100 capped the gains.
Intraday signals are mildly bullish.
There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited.
Bespoke resistance is located at 12700.
The lack of interest is a concern for bulls.
The primary trend remains bearish.
Our profit targets will be 12495 and 12415
Resistance: 12650 / 12700 / 12800
Support: 12531 / 12430 / 12360
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group