Shortuse proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice.
GER40 trade ideas
de30 short tradeThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a downward trend, indicating weakening momentum. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing a bearish crossover, further supporting the potential for a downward move
Expecting a deep dropIn my opinion and to my sight, the asset seems expensive and probability a deep drop from here is high.
Germany 40: Entering a Period of Big Event RiskIn some ways it was no surprise to see the Germany 40 index fall 1.8% yesterday, which was its biggest drop for well over 2 months. After all it has been quite a rally to start the year and there had to be some profit taking at some stage, surely!
The rally has seen multiple record all-time highs hit, supported by an improving earnings backdrop, hopes of a peace deal in Ukraine, delays to the trade tariffs threatened by President Trump and rate cuts from the ECB.
However, some uncertainty has started to creep in across this new trading week about the ability of the Germany 40 index to sustain this current uptrend. President Trump has talked about imposing import tariffs of up to 25% on imports of automobiles, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals, which could start in early April, not good news for the German exporters.
ECB committee member Schnabel suggested in an interview with the FT, that the ECB will have to discuss taking a break from rate cuts soon, or even consider stopping altogether, which cast some doubt on market expectations for ECB rate cuts across the rest of the year, while the cost of peace in Ukraine also doesn’t look as positive for European nations as it potentially did only a week ago.
Oh, and there is an election in Germany over the weekend, which while initially supporting gains in the Germany 40 index at the start of 2025 on optimism the country may loosen its strict borrowing rules, has now reached a reality check moment, given that election outcomes rarely run smoothly. For a deeper dive into the potential market impacts of the upcoming election, check out our 2025 German Federal Election Preview.
For a deeper dive into the potential market impacts of the upcoming election, check out our 2025 German Federal Election Preview.
So, with this in mind, accompanied by the preliminary February PMI survey updates tomorrow for Germany (0830 GMT) and Eurozone (0900 GMT), event risk and the potential for volatility moving into to next week is elevated.
Looking at the Technical Picture.
After what has been an extended phase of price strength during February, the German 40 index finally saw a correction develop on Wednesday, as a possible reaction to over-extended upside price conditions materialised.
However, we all know, prices never move in straight lines, be it to the up or downside. It could even be argued that this weakness within an uptrend, is a healthy correction that unwinds upside extremes before further price strength emerges, and that may be the case for the Germany 40, as long as important support levels remains intact.
So, is this latest weakness a normal limited reaction to over-extended upside conditions, or has an important high been posted at 22936 on February 19th, from which an extended phase of price weakness may develop?
Currently, this is an impossible question to answer with anything more than a low conviction outlook but monitoring the key support levels moving forward may help us to establish the next directional themes.
What are the German 40 Index Support Levels to Monitor?
If the sell off was to extend further to the downside then it may be worthwhile for traders to watch how well Fibonacci retracement levels of the February advance perform as support levels.
The 38.2% retracement stands at 22236, which could mark an area where buyers materialise again. However, this point giving way may in turn lead to a continuation of recent weakness towards 22020, which is the deeper 50% retracement.
Closing defence of 22020 could be watched, as while intact, it’s possible further attempts to extend positive themes may be on the cards, which could even lead to retests of the 22936 February 19th all-time.
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DAX 1 hour time frame ! Ascending Channel has been developed DAX Index – 1H Chart Analysis (Feb 20, 2025)
1. Trend & Market Structure
The DAX is trading inside a strong ascending channel, indicating a well-defined bullish trend.
The price recently tested the lower boundary of the channel, which has acted as dynamic support throughout the rally.
There is a bullish reaction forming at this trendline support, suggesting potential continuation to the upside.
2. Key Levels to Watch
Support:
22,250 - 22,500 → Trendline support & potential bounce zone.
21,750 - 22,000 → Strong demand area if breakdown occurs.
Resistance:
22,750 - 23,000 → Upper boundary of the channel, first profit target.
23,200+ → Possible breakout if momentum strengthens.
3. RSI & Momentum Analysis
The RSI is at 42, indicating slight bearish momentum but still above the oversold zone.
Historically, RSI bounces from similar levels within this channel, making this a potential buying opportunity if bullish confirmation follows.
A cross above 50 on RSI would confirm renewed bullish strength.
4. Potential Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Scenario (Bounce from Support)
If the price holds the 22,500 trendline, a move toward 22,750 - 23,000 is expected.
A breakout above 23,000 could lead to a rally towards new highs.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Break Below the Channel)
A breakdown below 22,250 would weaken the bullish structure and open the door for a move toward 21,750 - 22,000.
A sustained move below 21,750 would confirm a trend reversal.
5. Conclusion & Trade Plan
Bullish Bias: As long as the price stays inside the channel, dips are buying opportunities.
Entry Zone: 22,500 - 22,600 (If support holds).
Target: 22,750 - 23,000 (Take profit inside the channel).
Stop-Loss: Below 22,250 (Invalidation of trend).
Has DAX formed a top?DE30EUR - 24h expiry
Yesterday's Marabuzo is located at 22635.
An Evening Doji Star formation has been posted at the high.
Posted a Double Top formation.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes.
We look to Sell at 22635 (stop at 22805)
Our profit targets will be 22205 and 22105
Resistance: 22552 / 22700 / 22852
Support: 22370 / 22280 / 22100
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SELLERS MARKET sellers market, sellers aggressively pushed the market to the downside
placing more of their selling oders at 22653.8 and 22662.0 price levels
we await the market to return to this levels to see if sellers would defend their selling interest.
sniperflow
sageflow at your service
DAX pullback US Automobile tariffs “in the neighbourhood of 25%”Yesterday, Wednesday 19th Feb, Germany’s DAX equity index experienced the biggest decline of the major European indices, with automakers like Volkswagen (-2.78%) and BMW (-2.28%) underperforming.
Key Trading Level is at 21923
Support: 21770 followed by 21350 and 21060
Resistance: 22850 followed by 23000 and 23300
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX Stock Index PlungesDAX Stock Index Plunges
As we noted six days ago, European stock markets were showing optimism amid expectations that the armed conflict in Ukraine—now approaching its third year—would be resolved. During this period, the DAX 40 (Germany 40 mini on FXOpen) gained approximately 1.6%, setting a historic record.
However, sentiment appears to be shifting in the opposite direction. According to the Germany 40 mini chart on FXOpen, the German stock index DAX 40 experienced a sharp decline yesterday, losing around 2%. This drop is partly driven by Trump's latest tariff statements. According to Trading Economics:
→ The US President is considering imposing new 25% tariffs on automobile, semiconductor, and pharmaceutical imports, with an official announcement expected in early April.
→ Market sentiment deteriorated after ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel tempered expectations of a more expansionary monetary policy.
Technical Analysis of the DAX 40 (Germany 40 mini on FXOpen)
Since the start of 2025, the index has been following an upward trend (illustrated by the blue channel), which remains intact. However, yesterday’s aggressive drop pushed the price into the lower half of the channel, indicating increased bearish activity. If negative sentiment persists, the price could decline further—potentially testing the lower boundary of the channel.
The 22,200 level appears to be a significant support zone, as bulls demonstrated strength here less than 10 days ago (as indicated by the blue arrows):
→ The price formed a long lower wick when testing the psychological 22k mark.
→ It then surged into the upper half of the channel with a strong bullish candle.
Conversely, the 22,730 level has flipped from support to resistance (marked by orange arrows), signalling the presence of bearish pressure.
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GERMANY 30 BUYBlah Blah Blah ... what am I supposed to type here when all the information is on the charts ????
GER40-BUY/SELL strategy 90 MIN chartOver all I feel we will see 21,400 test and lower. However, short-term it is oversold, so the choice is BUY current or SELL when some recovery.
Strategy is BUY current 22,400-22,550 and TP near 23,000
Strategy SELL @ 22,750-22,950 and TP 21,467 for now.
Potential bearish drop?DAX40 (DE40) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 22,552.70
1st Support: 21,942.24
1st Resistance: 22,888.45
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DAX Bullish Continuation (Potential New ATH After Elections)DAX price seems to exhibit signs of overall bullish continuation as the price action may form another credible Higher Low on key Fibonacci levels.
There might be a possibility that DAX may break it's All Time High Price of 22938.
With the German elections coming up, (given a pandemic free situation of the world), it might be worth observing price the action further if 22938 breaks. A potential break may be indicative of another top OR a prominent new high.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 22240
Stop Loss @ 20980
TP 0.9 - 1 @ 23374 - 23500
Ger40 Index - The BUY after the sell (1:7 R:R Trade)Last night we sold the GER40 index to earn 4.72% in one trade.
We are now seeing consolidation to buy this pair.
1) It is with the trend.
2) There is a shark pattern
3) H1 divergence is present
As much as it is tempting to go in now, we will wait for the 22,380 level to hit and execute a buy as the pair is short term bearish.
The targe is the high of yesterday.
GER40 SHORT1. This is against the trend but there is a pattern on M15
2. There is a previous days high resisting this trade
3. There is a lot of divergence on each timeframe
4. If this is able to break the H1 moving average it will be a long fall
5. First chance take half profit at M15 oversold
6. Stop loss of 60 pips
DAX RISKY LONG|
✅DAX(INDEX) is trading in an uptrend
Along the rising support line
Which makes me bullish biased
And the index is about to retest the rising support
Thus, a rebound and a move up is expected
With the target of retesting the level above at 22,614
LONG🚀
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DAX extends drop to -500 points from ATHThe DAX hit a record high earlier in the day. Fast forward a few hours, it is now down 500 points from that high. A potential rebound may be on the cards, given how strong the trend has been. But this goes to show the markets go down as well as up. What caused the sell-off? Well, firstly it was US President Donald Trump raising the prospect of tariffs of up to 25% on automobile, semiconductor, and pharmaceutical imports. Then, concerns rose about the peace process talks over Ukraine without Kyiv’s involvement.
Trump has just posted THIS about Zelensky:
Think of it, a modestly successful comedian, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, talked the United States of America into spending $350 Billion Dollars, to go into a War that couldn’t be won, that never had to start, but a War that he, without the U.S. and “TRUMP,” will never be able to settle. The United States has spent $200 Billion Dollars more than Europe, and Europe’s money is guaranteed, while the United States will get nothing back. Why didn’t Sleepy Joe Biden demand Equalization, in that this War is far more important to Europe than it is to us — We have a big, beautiful Ocean as separation. On top of this, Zelenskyy admits that half of the money we sent him is “MISSING.” He refuses to have Elections, is very low in Ukrainian Polls, and the only thing he was good at was playing Biden “like a fiddle.” A Dictator without Elections, Zelenskyy better move fast or he is not going to have a Country left. In the meantime, we are successfully negotiating an end to the War with Russia, something all admit only “TRUMP,” and the Trump Administration, can do. Biden never tried, Europe has failed to bring Peace, and Zelenskyy probably wants to keep the “gravy train” going. I love Ukraine, but Zelenskyy has done a terrible job, his Country is shattered, and MILLIONS have unnecessarily died – And so it continues...
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GER40-SELL strategy weekly chartNo change in overall view, but yes, its tough as market carries away to the extreme. It is heavily overbought, and above KC channel and also above regression channel (not shown).
Strategy SELL @ 22,500-23,000 and take profit near 21,450 for now.
DAX GE40 Counter Trend Trade IdeaThe DAX is currently overextended, having reached all-time highs and trading at the top of its range. I'm anticipating a pullback on GE40 down to equilibrium for a potential counter-trend short. Once price retraces and establishes support, I'll be watching for a bullish market structure break as a signal to go long. This is not financial advice.
DAX To Retest its .618 FIX at 19200DAX is in a clear overbought postion. we can see its retest from 10-15% in coming days or weeks. to retest its 19200 area.
"not a financial adivce but a strong selling coming soon".
ShortUse proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice.
DAX pullback from ATH, support at 22563Key Trading Level is at 22563
Support: 270 followed by 22140 and 21923
Resistance: 23200 followed by 23300
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
“Rheinmetall Pushes DAX Higher“ but until When?. Trend Lines and Moving Averages:
• Moving Averages (MA): Check the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. DAX is trading above these averages and the 50-day is above the 200-day, that generally indicates an upward trend. A crossover (where the 50-day falls below the 200-day) might suggest a shift to a bearish trend. Stay tuned!!
• Trend Lines: Draw trend lines connecting recent highs & lows. An upward-sloping trend line suggests bullish momentum, Which, in reality triggers an alarm for shortterm buyers to start selling and waiting for a pull back to buy cheaper by waiting downward-sloping bearish pressure.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI):
• An RSI above 70 typically indicates that the asset might be overbought, suggesting a possible pullback or consolidation.
