NAS100 trade ideas
Technical Analysis of NDQ100: Targets at $22,889.74!Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Index (NDQ100) – 1W Chart
Hello TradingView Community,
I’d like to share my technical analysis of the NDQ100 on the weekly chart, based on historical price movements and Fibonacci retracements. The index is displaying a clear pattern that suggests a continuation of the uptrend following a correction. Here’s my outlook:
1. Upward Move to $22,889.74
The NDQ100 has seen a strong recovery since the low of approximately $5,692.32 (March 2020) and continues to show bullish momentum. Based on the Fibonacci extension (161.8%) from the last major correction (2022), the next significant target is $22,889.74. This level has been tested multiple times as resistance (see chart), and a breakout seems likely given the ongoing demand for tech stocks. The current price action also shows strong support from the 50-week EMA, which acts as a dynamic support level.
2. Correction of -34% to $15,087.06
Once the NDQ100 reaches $22,889.74, I anticipate a healthy correction. Historically, the Nasdaq has often experienced corrections of 30-40% after strong rallies (e.g., -34.17% in 2022). A -34% correction would bring the index down to approximately $15,087.06. This level aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement zone from the 2020-2025 rally and provides a strong support area, coinciding with previous consolidation zones (2023). Additionally, the 200-week EMA lies within this range, reinforcing it as a potential reversal point.
3. Rise of +121% to $32,923.00
Following the correction, I expect a new bullish wave. From $15,087.06, a +121% increase would take the NDQ100 to $32,923.00. This target is based on the Fibonacci extension (261.8%) of the entire uptrend since 2020, as well as historical patterns where the NDQ100 often reaches new all-time highs after corrections. The long-term trendline (marked on the chart) supports this outlook, as does the ongoing strength in the tech sector, driven by innovations in AI, cloud computing, and semiconductors.
Additional Indicators:
RSI (Weekly): The RSI is currently at 73.5, indicating potential overbought conditions. A pullback after reaching $22,889.74 would bring the RSI into a healthier range (around 50) before the next upward move begins.
Volume: Volume has increased during the recent rally, confirming the strength of the uptrend. A decline in volume during the correction would reflect a typical pattern for healthy consolidation.
Conclusion:
The NDQ100 exhibits a bullish long-term setup with an intermediate target at $22,889.74, followed by a -34% correction to $15,087.06. Afterward, I anticipate a strong rise of +121% to $32,923.00. This scenario offers both short-term trading opportunities (during the correction) and long-term investment potential. As always, keep an eye on macroeconomic factors such as interest rates and geopolitical developments, as these can significantly impact the tech sector.
NASDAQ a look ahead...As the NASDAQ and other major U.S. Equity Indexes face the pressure of economic uncertainty, the price action between days show that investors are not quite convinced this bull run has seen its finish line. However, we shouldn't only be looking toward private investor sentiment, but also that of the Federal Reserve's presence in the market and how the bond market reflects the Fed's position moving forward.
As shown here, the all time high for the TVC:NDQ is $22,133.22. Our position is that the NASDAQ must reclaim, retest, and continue beyond the all time high in order for us to continue our confirmation on the bull run. The path described should look as shown below...
In this instance, we can assume the bull run should continue. However, we should also be prepared for an alternate scenario where investors leave risk assets behind to chase non-risk assets (bonds for example). This scenario would look as shown below.
All though these are not the only two possible scenarios, we can most likely expect the future to play out in a similar fashion as the examples.
As for the market metrics to keep an eye on, look to TVC:US10Y for any bond yield manipulation, FRED:RRPONTSYD for market liquidity metrics, and FRED:M1V for M1 money velocity. Furthermore, keep an eye on tariffs for consumer tech ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:NVDA , NYSE:TSM ) and military activity ( NYSE:LMT , NYSE:RTX , NYSE:NOC ). Lastly, keep an eye on the banking and financial sector for more than likely banking deregulations withing the coming years.
NAS100 - Bullish Possibility- Resistance zone has push price down but price came right back up testing the resistence zone for the 3rd time... making the chances higher for price to break the resistence area this time.
- The downtrend line has been hit 3 times previously, Very high chances of a bullish break out on the 4th or 5th time.
- Last confirmation, as you look my analysis, you can see a double support in white. If price respect this support zone then it will give a great boost to push price right back up for a great bullish reaction.
* Educational purpose only
wyckoff pull back execution off 5min enter off the pull back off my the balance zone( distribution in this case). Tp is the closest vpoc
NASDAQ 100 Index ready to bounceNAS100 has now fallen -10% from its recent peak so officially a correction and has hit 200 day MA and RSI at levels where historically rebounds of 5%-10% over a month or so timeframe have typically happened.
Nasdaq 100 drops below 20K after NFP, but could it rebound?The Nasdaq and S&P 500 were testing their weekly lows after what has been a bruising last few session. But with both indices testing their respective key support areas, could we see a recovery from around the current levels, especially in light of a weaker US jobs report?
Keep an eye on the area around 20,000 on the Nasdaq, where the Trump rally commenced back in November. It is a key psychological area for the market. Can we see a bounce, or will the selling continue as we head deeper into the US session?
At the time of writing, the index was below this level, but the session is not over yet. In any case, a confirmed reversal on the lower time frames should be observed by traders looking to potentially buy this dip. For example, if the index recovers to go bac above yesterday's low of 20180, that would be a bullish sign in my view. But right now it is looking quite bleak.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
NDX Last chance to buy.
Next legs before a great correction till 24000$, after summer.
Good luck with your investment.
NASDAQ CRASH BOTTOM PREDICTION 2025 (@nsarpi22) Prediction 2NASDAQ CRASH BOTTOM PREDICTION 2025
I expect Nasdaq to crash all the way down to the nearest monthly level based on my detailed analysis
NASDAQ CRASH BOTTOM PREDICTION 2025 2.0
NASDAQ CRASH BOTTOM PREDICTION 2025 (@nsarpi22)NASDAQ CRASH BOTTOM PREDICTION 2025
I expect Nasdaq to crash all the way down to the nearest monthly level based on my detailed analysis
NAS100 Update - Potential TargetsHow I see it:
## NFP today, trade safe !
Key resistance @ 20634.00 area
Key support @ 19961.00 area
Severe divergence on 4HR TF
(However, NASDAQ is still very overbought in the much bigger picture)
Potential "LONG" - If Price can find very strong support/demand
TP 1 = 20550.00
Keynote:
Nasdaq is showing strong bearish behavior...
Should the week close a 1W body below 20000.00, bearish behavior could continue
But it can also be accumulation at a very key psychological confluence of support
around 20000.00
Bulls are defending this territory fiercely.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
Bonus Update: Scalpers notes on 1 min chartBAR method applies to every times frame. Those break and retest candle levels are so good on lower time frame when you know what to look at 🔑
Share with a friend in need 🫡
Indraday Update: NAS respecting bearish imbalance targetingWe have created yet another nearish imbalance range that price has used to continue to build short interest 🎯
Share with a friend in need of great levels 🔑
Fair Value Gap @20300Price created a break of structure preceeded by a fair value gap, which was followed by a retracement to the order block where my buy limit was
NASDAQ 100 INTRADAY capped by 20600 resistanceBearish Scenario:
The intraday sentiment remains bearish, with recent price action suggesting a corrective pullback. If the index faces rejection at the key resistance level of 20,600, it could trigger renewed selling pressure. A downside move could target 20,000 as the first support level, with further declines extending toward 19,800 and potentially 19,660 if bearish momentum strengthens.
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above 20,600 and a daily close higher would invalidate the bearish outlook, signaling a potential shift in momentum. If sustained buying pressure emerges, the index could rally toward the next resistance at 21,000, followed by 21,315 and 21,590 as upside targets.
Conclusion:
The 20,600 level is pivotal in determining the next directional move. A failure to break above this resistance reinforces the bearish outlook, while a decisive breakout could signal renewed bullish strength. Traders should monitor price action at this key level for confirmation of the prevailing trend.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NAS100 | Reversal Incoming? Bulls Defending Key Support!📌 Tech Stocks Facing Pressure – Oversold Bounce?
🔸 The Nasdaq 100 has been in a strong downtrend, but price is now testing a major demand zone at 20,200 - 20,500.
🔸 Weakness has been driven by:
✅ Rising bond yields hurting growth stocks.
✅ Profit-taking after extended rallies in AI & tech.
✅ FOMC rate outlook uncertainty creating volatility.
💡 Upcoming Catalysts
🔹 The NFP report & Powell's speech will be crucial for short-term direction.
🔹 If inflation data remains high, rate cut expectations could be delayed → bearish for NAS100.
🔹 However, if bond yields cool off, tech stocks could see a strong relief rally.
🔍 Technical Analysis (1H Timeframe)
🚀 Key Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Demand Zone: $20,200 - $20,500 (Strong support)
🔹 Resistance Levels:
🔸 $21,126 – First upside target.
🔸 $21,901 – Major supply zone (potential reversal area).
📊 Possible Bullish Reversal Setup
📌 Price is testing a high-probability demand zone, suggesting buyer interest.
📌 If price breaks above $20,512, we could see a rally toward $21,126 & $21,900.
📌 Bullish confirmation if price closes above $20,600.
📈 Trade Plan
✅ Bullish Scenario
Buy near support if price shows rejection.
Target 1: $21,126
Target 2: $21,901
Invalidation: If price breaks below $20,200.
❌ Bearish Alternative
If price fails to hold above $20,200, expect a deeper correction.
🔥 Final Thoughts:
Nasdaq is at a critical support level – will bulls step in, or will sellers dominate? Comment below with your bias! 📉📈
Possible BUYAs the market looks to correct itself, Im looking at the 45m FVG that it has created. I would like for it to be 50% of the FVG and i will be taking buys from there to the previous highs.
NASDAQ Index Analysis – Short & Mid-Term (Elliott Wave) According to Elliott Wave analysis, the NASDAQ index is still in a five-wave downtrend, and we are approaching the end of this bearish wave.
🔹 Key Level: If the price holds above 19,900, we can expect an upward wave.
🔹 Potential Upside Targets:
✅ 21,200
✅ 21,300
✅ 21,700
📊 A confirmed breakout above this level is crucial for a bullish move.
📌 What are your thoughts on NASDAQ’s next move? Share your insights with us! 💬🔍
Nas100 -SMCUS stock futures held steady after a volatile day of trading ended in a rally, driven by President Donald Trump's one-month pause on tariffs targeting automakers.
Futures attached to the Dow Jones Industrial Average (YM=F) slid hovered around the baseline and the benchmark S&P 500 (ES=F) slipped 0.1%. Futures attached to the tech-heavy Nasdaq (NQ=F) inched down 0.1%.
NAS100 - Trade SetupPrice action is looking good!
Here we are targeting Sell Side Liquidity and looking for an extension on the FIB aiming for 0.27 level. This looks to be out final leg of Elliots wave and will also finish our swing so It could be a nice opportunity to get into. Im selling at the 4H FVG which for confluence is within the OTE zone as well as a strong Supply zone.
Good luck to all the Traders that decide to follow
