NAS100 Technical Outlook — Final Impulse Before the Fall?
The NAS100 has just completed its 5th touch on a long-term ascending trendline, forming a clear rising wedge pattern. Historically, each touch of this structure has triggered significant bearish reversals — and this time looks no different.
🔹 However, before the major drop, I'm expecting a final impulsive wave of around 1,000 pips— a last bullish move that could stretch toward the 24,300–24,400 zone. This would complete the wave structure and offer a strong sell opportunity.
🔻 After that, a deeper correction is likely, targeting the 19,000 area, which aligns perfectly with:
The midpoint of the wedge on the daily chart
A strong historical support zone
A potential area for medium-term consolidation
⚠️ As long as price remains below 24,400, the bearish scenario remains valid. Any daily close above that level would force a re-evaluation.
🧠 This setup reflects a classic distribution phase followed by a high-probability breakdown.
NAS100 trade ideas
NAS100 Gaps Up on Trump Trade Deal – Bullish Continuation The market opened with a bullish gap after Trump announced new trade deals, sparking investor optimism. Price cleanly broke above the 23,266.5 🔼 resistance level, confirming it as a fresh support zone.
Buyers are now in full control, and price is forming a strong bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows.
Support at: 23,266.5 🔽, 23,200 🔽, 23,025 🔽
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: As long as price holds above 23,266.5, the path is clear for a move toward 23,400 and possibly 23,540+. Watch for minor pullbacks into support for continuation setups.
🔽 Bearish: A break back below 23,266.5 would be the first warning of bullish exhaustion, with downside potential toward 23,200.
📰 News Insight: The bullish gap came after Donald Trump announced new trade deals, boosting risk sentiment across U.S. indices. This has become a key short-term fundamental catalyst.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NASDAQ| Bullish Bias - Refined OB Near MitigationPair: NASDAQ (NAS100)
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Strong bullish structure has been the narrative, and last week’s upside intent confirmed the move. Current action suggests price is preparing for continuation after brief consolidation.
LTF Confirmation (30M):
Structure has been refined with a key OB in play. Price is approaching mitigation, and I’ve been tracking this level closely since last week.
Entry Zone: Waiting for clear 5M shift after OB mitigation. 5M OB already tapped — now I’m watching for confirmation to execute.
Targets: 5M highs first, 30M highs if price maintains momentum
Mindset Note: Focused and flowing. No forcing — I’ve tracked this from HTF to LTF and now I’m just waiting for price to invite me in. Clarity + patience = execution.
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NAS100 - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Insightful article: (The same principle applies to Nasdaq naturally)
1) Read the article first:
investinglive.com
2) Follow the link to watch the short video -
youtu.be
Keynote:
We are waiting for a decisive and very clear bearish signal
I promise you; we won't miss it.
It will be in our face, on a 4Hr grouping or a Daily grouping.
Most times it's 1 x Big Red signal on a high TF.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
NASDAQ Bulls Pushing – Will 20,347 Hold or Break?Price is currently approaching the 20,347 🔼 resistance zone after a strong bullish rally from the 19,150 🔽 support level. The market structure remains bullish with consistent higher highs and higher lows, showing strong buyer momentum.
Support at: 19,670 🔽, 19,150 🔽, 18,500 🔽, 17,600 🔽
Resistance at: 20,347 🔼, 20,600 🔼, 21,000 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: If price breaks and holds above 20,347 🔼, we could see a continuation toward 20,600 and 21,000.
🔽 Bearish: A strong rejection from 20,347 🔼 could send price back down toward 19,670 and 19,150 for a retest.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NAS100 [Consolidating ] – Will It Break Higher or Pull Back?The NAS100 has maintained a bullish structure and is currently pressing against the resistance zone around 21,777.3. This area has acted as a ceiling several times in recent sessions. Price is showing consolidation just below resistance, suggesting either an imminent breakout or another rejection.
Currently trading at 21,777.3, with
Support at: 21,450.0 🔽
Resistance at: 22,230.7 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A strong break and hold above 21,777.3 may drive price toward the next resistance at 22,230.7.
🔽 Bearish: Rejection from 21,777.3 could lead to a retracement toward 21,450.0, with deeper downside potential if that level fails.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Nasdaq Short: Completion of 5 waves with wave 5=wave 1Over here, I present a short case for Nasdaq (and S&P500 by default since their correlations are high). The main reasons are:
1. Completion of 5 waves structure both on the high degree and on low degree, as shown in the chart.
2. Fibonacci measurement where wave 1 = wave 5.
The stop of this idea is to be placed slightly above the high, in this case, I placed it at around 23320. The take profit target is at the bottom of primary wave 4, around 20685.
Take note that this is a positional short, meaning the strategy is to short and hold and periodically adjust your stop loss based on unfolding on wave structure. Sizing is based on your risk tolerance.
Good luck!
NAS100 Retesting Breakout – Eyes on 23170 for Bullish PushDaily Analysis:
Price is testing the upper boundary of the long-term ascending channel. Structure is still bullish with no major breaks of support. If momentum holds, we could extend toward the channel top.
4H Analysis:
Retesting breakout structure. Support is forming around 23000–23050. Bullish momentum remains valid unless price closes below this zone.
1H Analysis:
Micro-breakout confirmed with bullish impulse above 23120. If 23170 holds, continuation toward 23280–23320 is likely.
Confirmation & Entry:
Watch for continuation above 23170. SL below 23080. TP: 23280+
Use caution if 23000 breaks — this would weaken short-term bias.
Longs then short - $$$🚀 Caught the Bottom. 🔻 Sold the Top.
Same chart. Same system. Same day.
While most traders were guessing,
ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion was sniping both ends on the US Tech 100.
📍 Long Signal:
At the dead low — green UP arrow fired.
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📍 Short Signal:
At the top of the rally — red DOWN printed.
Perfect spot. Price reversed hard within 1 candle.
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Nasdaq100 Bulls ready to drive the price to 23,300 handle With the choch on the market structure and with Key data released on Thursday, reflected strength in the U.S. economy. Stocks rose this Thursday, buoyed by fresh economic data reports and a slew of corporate earnings releases. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has advanced 0.4%, and quarterly earnings reports released this week have exceeded Wall Street’s expectations, fueling investor confidence. I am expecting that by the end of this week or the beginning of next week will see the bulls drive the market to our 23,300 handle. I am with the bulls on this one
Tp1.23,300.
NSDQ100 pushing to new ATH?Thursday was a slightly positive session for equities, with the NASDAQ 100 rising +0.18% to close at a fresh record high, driven by strong economic data. However, overall market action was subdued, with the S&P 500’s trading range the narrowest since February (0.35%).
Notably, the equal-weighted S&P 500 fell -0.33%, highlighting underlying weakness outside mega-cap tech.
A key drag on the NASDAQ came from Tesla (-8.20%), which slumped after disappointing earnings. This weighed on the Magnificent 7, which declined -0.21% despite gains in the other six members.
On the macro front, the US dollar strengthened as Donald Trump downplayed his dispute with Fed Chair Jerome Powell, though continued to pressure the Fed on interest rates. Meanwhile, the FCC approved Paramount’s merger with Skydance, signaling a green light for M&A activity in media despite political tensions.
Conclusion – NASDAQ 100 Trading View:
The NASDAQ 100 remains technically bullish, setting new highs amid resilient economic data. However, breadth is weakening, and headline risk—especially around earnings (e.g., Tesla)—could trigger short-term volatility. Traders should stay long with caution, watching for sector rotation or profit-taking near highs, and monitor Fed-related rhetoric for macro-driven moves.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23480
Resistance Level 2: 23600
Resistance Level 3: 23790
Support Level 1: 23070
Support Level 2: 22950
Support Level 3: 22750
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nasdaq Index (US100 / NASDAQ) Technical Analysis:The Nasdaq index continues its medium- to long-term uptrend. Yesterday, it tested the 23,170$ level and rebounded upward, reaching 23,310$.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks and closes below 23,200$, it may decline toward 23,000$, followed by 22,920$.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
If the price holds above 23,300$, the uptrend is likely to continue toward a new high near 23,400$.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always monitor the markets and perform your own analysis before making any trading decisions.