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NAS100 trade ideas

A bearish outlook for NASDAQ amid volatility and geopolitical - Key Insights: The NASDAQ is experiencing volatility, unable to recover its December highs and aligning with broader bearish sentiment in tech shares. Investors should watch key support levels for signs of a potential downturn, especially given the weakening trends in major components like Nvidia which significantly impact the index. The influence of a stronger US dollar amidst geopolitical tensions warrants caution for tech investors in the current market landscape. - Price Targets: Next week targets are T1=20,500 and T2=20,300. Stop levels are S1=21,000 and S2=21,200. This configuration suggests maintaining short positions given current analysis and market sentiment. - Recent Performance: The NASDAQ has recently shown a downturn of about 2.3%, reflecting a mixed market performance as it struggles to find direction while alongside downward trends in the S&P. - Expert Analysis: Market experts emphasize the importance of tracking Nvidia's stock movements and assessing the impact of competitive pressures on the overall tech sector. The call for monitoring support levels is echoed, given the potential for the index to face further corrections under current economic conditions. - News Impact: Recent headlines regarding Nvidia's competition and the overall impact of a strong US dollar have heightened market volatility. Geopolitical concerns related to international trade and tariffs continue to influence investor sentiment, highlighting the need for vigilance in trading strategies.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Potential bearish reversalNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 21,179.71 which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 21,382.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 20,777.93 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:NAS100Short
by FXCM
NAS100 - Tariff War, the scourge of the stock market?!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index corrects towards the indicated trend line, we can look for the next short-term buying positions in Nasdaq. The Nasdaq being in the demand range will provide us with the conditions to buy it with a reasonable reward to risk. While the world remained focused on the first week of the Trump administration, a relatively unknown Chinese startup shocked the tech industry last week by releasing an open-source AI tool. This tool, developed with significantly fewer resources and at a much lower cost than its American counterparts like ChatGPT, has managed to match and, in some cases, surpass its U.S. rivals. The startup, DeepSeek, has gone even further by making its tool freely available for download. Only those who wish to use the company’s API, which allows seamless integration with existing applications, are required to pay a fee—amounting to just 3% of the cost of competing tools. Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order on Saturday imposing sweeping tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China. He pressured these nations to curb the flow of fentanyl and illegal immigrants from Mexico and Canada into the U.S.—a move that could reignite inflation and hinder global economic growth. In response, Mexico and Canada, two of the U.S.‘s largest trading partners, immediately vowed to impose retaliatory tariffs. China, on the other hand, announced that it would challenge Trump’s decision at the World Trade Organization (WTO) and take additional “countermeasures.” Under three executive orders, starting Tuesday, imports from Mexico and Canada will be subject to a 25% tariff, while Chinese goods will face a 10% levy. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau responded by stating that Canada will impose a 25% tariff on $30 billion worth of U.S. goods starting Tuesday, followed by an additional $125 billion in tariffs three weeks later. Trudeau warned that these tariffs would increase grocery and fuel costs for American consumers, potentially shut down auto assembly plants, and restrict the supply of nickel, potash, uranium, steel, and aluminum. He also urged Canadians to avoid traveling to the U.S. and boycott American products. As investors looked for clarity from this week’s Federal Reserve meeting, Wall Street was left uncertain, now anticipating that the Fed will likely keep rates unchanged until late in the year.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
NAS100 Bounces Off Key Support: Targeting 21,820PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is trading within a rising channel, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend. The price recently bounced off the lower boundary of the channel, aligning with a significant support level. The structure indicates the potential for further upside, with the next target around the 21,820 level. The bullish scenario assumes that the price maintains its momentum and respects the trendline support. A clear break and retest of the minor resistance zones along the way could confirm this upward movement. However, a break below the channel would invalidate this setup and suggest potential bearish pressure. Let me know your thoughts or if you have an alternative perspective!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by DanieIM
1
Market Top? Considering the sharp decline in the Nasdaq during the Asian session on Monday, my current expectation is that prices should break below or reach around 20,300 before a meaningful rebound occurs, followed by a continued downtrend. This week, it is crucial to closely monitor market performance and adjust strategies accordingly. Based on the price action from December to January, I believe there is a high probability of a major downturn ahead. However, if the price rebounds and breaks above 21,675, the current assumption will need to be reassessed.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by zygliu
Navigating NAS100 with Key Levels and Market SentimentKey Levels: Resistance remains at 21,600–21,700, where price is struggling to sustain higher levels. Support lies around 20,800–21,000, a strong buy zone on higher timeframes. Fundamental Outlook: With upcoming key data (FOMC and GDP), markets are likely to remain volatile. A hawkish FOMC statement may lead to bearish pressure, pushing NAS100 lower toward the 20,800–21,000 support zone. Conversely, dovish commentary or weak GDP figures could provide a bullish breakout above 21,600, targeting 21,800–22,000. Rationale: The price is testing a major resistance zone (21,600–21,700) but shows signs of hesitation and rejection on multiple timeframes. A hawkish FOMC decision or commentary could trigger a sell-off, aligning with the probability of bearish momentum. Action: If price fails to break and hold above 21,600, short near 21,550–21,600. Stop Loss: 21,700 Take Profits: TP1: 21,300 TP2: 21,000 TP3: 20,800 Focus on a short position, especially if price fails to sustain above 21,600 during the London or New York sessions
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by BLESSEDPIPS
Foundations of Mastery: 2025 Mentorship Begins!📢 Welcome to the 2025 Mentorship Program! Greetings, Traders! This is the first video of the 2025 Mentorship Program, where I’ll be releasing content frequently, diving deep into ICT concepts, and most importantly, developing structured models around them. My goal is to help you gain a deeper understanding of the market and refine your approach to trading. Before we get started, I want to take a moment to speak to you directly. 💭 No matter where you are in your trading journey, I pray that you achieve—and even surpass—your goals this year. 📈 If you’re striving for consistency and discipline, may you reach new heights. 💡 If you’ve already found success, may you retain and refine your craft—because growth never stops. 🎯 If you’re just starting out, I pray you develop patience, discipline, and above all, accountability—because true progress comes when we own our failures and learn from them. 🔥 If you’ve been trading for years but still struggle with consistency, do not give up. The greatest adversity comes when you’re closest to success. Stay disciplined, stay dedicated, and keep pushing forward. Above all, let this be a year where we grow together—not just as traders, but as individuals. May we foster humility, respect, and a learning environment where both experienced and new traders can share knowledge and thrive. 🙏 I pray over these things in the name of Jesus. Amen. Let's have a great year! The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by The_Archi-tect
18
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument Part 16Another week... Another week of trading the trend... Waiting for the largest HL and the trading to the HH's In the event that you only get a LH...take your profit and then wait for another HL to repeat the process. Once you get the rhythm of NAS100...it becomes easier. Market open is usually characterized with lots of volatility, retracements and consolidation all in one and so, it will be important to exercise patience and take only your confirmed entries. The market is currently undergoing "maintenance" as it sets up the next HL... If you are a seller, make sure you understand you exit point... If you are a buyer, make sure you are patient and wait for the right setup. Have a great trading week. #oneauberstrategy #aubersystem #whywewait #zigzagtheory #patience #auberstrategy
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Auberstrategy
US100 4HIn continuation of the previous analysis Introduction: The NASDAQ shows potential for continued bullish momentum towards the 22370 level. Main Scenarios: Expecting a climb to 22370, which will be a key resistance level. After reaching this level, a correction could lead the price back down to approximately 19000, as indicated in the chart. Following the potential correction, we anticipate the resumption of the upward trend. Forecast and Strategy: Bullish scenario: If the price breaks past 22370, the next target would be 26400. Bearish scenario: A dip towards 19000 before the upward movement resumes. Conclusion: A bullish continuation after the correction seems likely, with 26400 as the next target. High-accuracy analysis, amazing results!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by GreyFX-NDS
1
February 3–7: NAS100 Market Outlook & Has the Market Peaked? February 3–7, 2025 (The following is solely personal opinion, not investment advice. Please conduct your own assessment before making any decisions.) This is a market context update using Elliott Wave Theory. As shown in the chart, considering the Nasdaq bull market from the 2008 bottom to the present, there is a high probability that we are currently in a B Wave rebound within the ABC corrective wave. However, it remains uncertain how high the B Wave can rise. According to Elliott Wave Theory, the C Wave correction should fall below the bottom of the A Wave, which means for the Nasdaq cash index, the price could drop to at least 10,600, representing a 50%+ correction. Of course, this process may take several years. Scenario 1: The Market Has Not Peaked Yet I am watching price action within the 22,465–23,001 range. If this scenario holds, the weekly price needs to stay above 19,200, and the daily price must remain above 20,300. From a macro trend perspective, the market can still be cautiously bullish. Scenario 2: The Market Has Already Peaked If the price breaks below 20,300 quickly and remains below it, this could be the first technical confirmation that the market has topped. If this happens, we should see further consolidation around 21,000 next week, followed by a breakdown. However, if the price finds support above 21,200 and breaks upward, there is still a possibility of new highs and further gains. Last week, Nasdaq 100 moved in line with my previous analysis. On Friday, the price rebounded to the 21,600–21,700 target range before declining. If this decline breaks 20,300 swiftly, the probability of the market already peaking increases significantly. Typically, downward movements are faster than upward ones. The market took four days to rebound to the target range, so if the current trend holds, we should see a breakdown early next week (Monday–Tuesday) to confirm the trend. If the price fails to break lower between Monday and Wednesday and finds strong support or rebounds, the market could push higher and break new highs—this needs further observation. Deepseek & AI Industry Observations Over the past few days, I’ve read more about Deepseek and industry insights. One of the key cost-control strategies for training models is distillation, where a large model is used to train a smaller model. This suggests that Deepseek’s smaller models depend on larger ones and have certain limitations. Many industry experts have also stated that Deepseek’s emergence does not reduce AI investment and that the market may have overestimated its impact. As I am not an AI expert, I cannot verify the accuracy of these claims or whether Deepseek’s impact is overestimated. However, Anthropic CEO Dario mentioned in a post last week that AI model training costs are decreasing by 75% per year. A model that costs $100M to train in 2024 will only cost GETTEX:25M in 2025, and by 2026, the cost may drop below $5M. Dario also noted that this cost reduction trend is accelerating, meaning that early investments in AI without strong technical barriers and market dominance could be wiped out. The next few years will see explosive AI development, but many AI investments may fail. Competitive Perspective: Can the U.S. Maintain Its AI Lead? From a competitive standpoint, I do not believe the U.S. can maintain its AI dominance solely through investment. I strongly agree with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s AI development roadmap: The Four Stages of AI Development 1. Perception AI 2. Generative AI 3. Agentic AI 4. Physical AI According to Jensen, we are still in the Generative AI stage, where training models mainly rely on internet data. At this stage, the U.S. holds a huge advantage due to its leading semiconductor technology. However, when AI enters the physical realm, internet data will no longer be sufficient, and stable, large-scale data sources will be key to AI success. In this phase, China and India, with their vast populations, will have a major advantage. Since the Huawei incident, China has accelerated its chip R&D and manufacturing. While still lagging behind TSMC, tighter trade restrictions will further drive development in this sector. If a competitor to Nvidia emerges in China, what impact would that have on the high-valued U.S. tech sector? AI Bubble & Investment Strategy I believe Deepseek is just the beginning of exposing the AI bubble. While its direct impact may be overestimated, the fact that AI training costs are falling rapidly is undeniable. Investment Perspective From an investment standpoint, I believe that market price action is the ultimate confirmation. - For long-term views, take a macro approach. - For short-term decisions, use technical analysis.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by zygliu
1