Market will crash in August 2025, some gurus said !There are no lack of experts and gurus coming out to say the market will crash because of blah blah blah.......Take it with a pinch of salt and it is more important to base your decisions from your own research.
Of course, if you are heavily concentrated in one geographical region say US market or sector eg IT/AI/COMs etc then you might want to rebalance your portfolio a bit. However, if you know what you are doing or have domain knowledge , then stick to it.
Assuming these gurus are right, the market is going on a RISK off mode, ie, going to CRASH, then safe haven assets like GOLD, SILVER should rightfully be bullish.
In that case, let's monitor this chart and see how the market behaves in this month. It will be exciting !
NAS100 trade ideas
NASDAQ (US Tech 100) chart
Here’s the simple breakdown:
* Price is moving upward inside a rising channel
* This means NASDAQ is currently bullish.
* The price is **near the top resistance** of the channel.
* There’s a **horizontal blue resistance zone** where price has struggled before — it’s testing that level again.
* If price **breaks above** this zone, it could continue climbing toward the upper channel line.
* If price **fails** to break, it may drop back to the **nearest support zone** (the lower rectangle).
Resistance:
The top horizontal blue zone — price must break and hold above it for more upside.
* **Support:** Two blue rectangles below show where price might bounce if it drops.
* The middle support is also in line with the **channel’s lower trendline** — a strong bounce area.
* **Bullish bias**
while inside the channel.
* Watch for a **break above resistance** for a big push up, or a **rejection** for a short-term pullback to support.
NASDAQ-100| Bullish Bias📌 Higher Time Frame (4H/2H) Context
• Market remains bullish, currently in push phase toward 4H highs.
• No sweep or mitigation at the previous 4H order block — price pushed higher with strong momentum.
• 4H Demand Zone: 22,576 – 22,376
• Liquidity at 22,955 cleared → room for continuation to higher targets.
⸻
⏳ Lower Time Frame (30M/5M) Confirmation
• 30M structure refined, bullish order flow intact.
• Current liquidity resting near 23,400.
• Watching 30M OB: 23,322 – 23,222 for a pullback, liquidity sweep & inducement.
⸻
🎯 Execution Plan
• Entry Zone: 23,321 – 23,221 (refined OB)
• Stop-Loss: 23,225
• TP1: 5M + 30M structural highs
• 30M Structural High Target: 23,714
⸻
🧠 Mindset Note
Patience is key — wait for price to pull back into the OB zone and give lower time frame confirmation. No chasing. Let liquidity sweep first, then execute.
Trading update on NASDAQ 100
MEGA Cycle ended?
Greetings, traders!
The markets are at a critical juncture, and it's essential to prepare for what could be a significant correction in the NASDAQ 100 and, by extension, the broader stock market. Here's my analysis and outlook based on current price action, key levels, and technical indicators.
Potential for a 21% Decline in the NASDAQ 100
As I highlighted in the attached daily and weekly charts:
Elliott Wave Analysis:
The NASDAQ has completed its five-wave impulsive structure, signaling the potential end of a major bullish cycle. We are now in the midst of a corrective phase, which appears to be unfolding in the form of an ABC correction. This correction suggests that Wave C, the final leg down, is still in progress, with room for further downside.
Break of Structure (BOS):
A Break of Structure has occurred, confirming the bearish sentiment. Coupled with the presence of an unfilled gap overhead, it's clear that sellers are currently in control.
Key Fibonacci Levels:
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at 16,210 is a critical level to watch. A break below this support could open the door for a more extended drop to the 0.75 retracement at 13,200, representing a 21% decline from current levels.
Trendline at Risk:
The ascending trendline that has supported the NASDAQ since its 2022 lows is being tested. If this trendline breaks, it will likely trigger a cascade of selling pressure, accelerating the move to our projected downside targets.
Broader Market Implications
The NASDAQ often serves as a barometer for risk appetite in the financial markets. A sharp decline here could have ripple effects across other indices and sectors, particularly tech-heavy and growth-focused stocks. Watch for potential spillovers into the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average, which could amplify market-wide volatility.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
Gap area near 21,600–21,800.
This zone is likely to act as a supply area if the market attempts any retracement.
Support:
16,210 (0.618 retracement) – Initial target and a potential temporary bounce zone.
13,200 (0.75 retracement) – Ultimate target if bearish momentum persists.
Trading Strategy
For traders looking to capitalize on this potential move:
Short Positions:
Consider shorting retracements into resistance zones like the gap area or the 0.25 Fibonacci level.
Use 16,210 as a primary profit target, with a portion of the trade left to run toward 13,200 if bearish momentum accelerates.
Risk Management:
The markets remain volatile, so ensure you have clear stop-losses in place to protect against unexpected reversals.
Watch for Confirmations:
Monitor volume spikes, candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing), and breaks of key levels like the ascending trendline for additional entry confirmations.
Final Thoughts
The NASDAQ and broader markets are entering a critical phase. While the correction presents risks, it also provides opportunities for traders and investors who stay vigilant and disciplined.
Remember, patience and preparation are key to navigating volatile markets like these.
Stay sharp, stay informed, and trade smart.
Lord MEDZ
NAS100 H4 | Bullish bounce offUS100 (NAS100) has bounced off the buy entry which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 23,276.48, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 23,029.35, which is an overlap support that aligns with he 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 23,736.91, which is a swing high resistance.
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A slight push to the upside - inboundWe're going to see a slight push to the upside, before NASley will do a proper drop for us to a position that has been support for a long time.
I'm of the opinion that she'll break that support, re-test it and then drop even further - motivated by the current political instability within the US and world in general.
Watch this move - It's going to be one for the books!
Technical Analysis of US100 on TradingView A trader is analyzing the US100 (Nasdaq 100 Index) using a 4-hour chart on TradingView. The chart displays a clear upward channel, with price action bouncing off the lower boundary and heading toward the upper trendline. A blue arrow indicates a bullish prediction, anticipating further upward movement. Support and resistance zones are highlighted, and the setup suggests a continuation of the bullish trend.
📊 Chart Overview:
Timeframe: 4-hour (H4)
Instrument: US100 (Nasdaq 100 Index)
Platform: TradingView via Capital.com
Date/Time in Chart: 25th August, 10:00 (likely UTC)
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📈 Trend Analysis:
The price is moving within an upward parallel channel, indicating a strong bullish trend.
The chart shows multiple touches of both the upper and lower bounds of the channel, confirming its validity.
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🟩 Support and Resistance:
Support Zone: Around 22,850–23,050 (highlighted by the green rectangular box).
Price bounced sharply from this area, showing buyers are defending it.
Resistance Area (Projected): Upper bound of the channel, which aligns with the 24,000 level.
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🕊️ Current Market Behavior:
The price recently bounced off the lower channel boundary and the key support zone.
A strong bullish candle broke through a mini pullback area, suggesting momentum is favoring buyers.
The blue arrow indicates an expected continuation upward toward the upper resistance line.
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📌 Technical Implications:
Bullish Bias: As long as price remains inside the channel and above the support zone, the bullish trend is intact.
A retest of the upper channel line (~24,000) is a realistic target if momentum continues.
Invalidation Level: A clean break below the support zone (~22,850) and out of the channel could shift sentiment to bearish.
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✅ Possible Trade Idea (for Educational Purposes):
Entry: Around 23,400–23,500 (already in motion)
Target: 23,900–24,000 (upper channel line)
Stop-loss: Below 22,850 (beneath the support zone)
Nasdaq Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ):The Nasdaq index saw a slight improvement with today’s market open and is currently trading near 23,000 USD. The short-term trend remains bearish.
1️⃣ A break and close below 22,960 USD may push the price toward 22,670 USD as an initial target.
📉 Holding below that level could open the path to 22,400 USD.
2️⃣ However, if strong buying momentum leads to a break above 23,160 USD and price holds, we could see a move toward 23,300 USD, followed by 23,600 USD.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.