US30: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 42,126.0 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 42,199.7.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
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US30 trade ideas
US30 BUY MODELDOW JONES (US30) – Long Trade Idea
Timeframes:
Higher Timeframe Bias: Daily
Execution Timeframe: 4HR
Market Narrative:
A beautiful buy model is currently unfolding on the Dow, suggesting smart money accumulation and preparation for a move into premium pricing.
Price is retracing into discount, where we see a confluence of:
A Daily Bullish Order Block (OB)
A 4HR Buy-Side Imbalance / Sell-Side Inefficiency (BISI)
This confluence acts as a strong magnet for price and presents a high-probability long opportunity.
Entry Zone:
🟢 Buy Zone: 41,900 – 41,850
Inside the 4HR BISI
Aligned with the Daily OB (discounted price)
Ideal for entries upon confirmation via:
1HR bullish BOS (Break of Structure)
FVG (Fair Value Gap) entry
Internal liquidity sweep + displacement
Targets (Premium-side Liquidity & Imbalances):
TP1 – 42,500
🎯 First premium inefficiency fill + short-term liquidity target
TP2 – 42,800
🎯 Key level inside Daily SIBI (Sell-Side Imbalance, Buy-Side Inefficiency)
TP3 – 43,060
🎯 February Low above current price — likely a buy-side liquidity draw
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Below 41,700
🔒 Below Daily OB low and structural invalidation level
RRR: At least 1:3 to TP1, and 1:6+ to final target
Key Confluences:
Daily OB + 4HR BISI = strong demand and imbalance alignment
Trading in discount of the current dealing range
Clear buy-side liquidity pools above (including February Low)
Market structure remains bullish on higher timeframes
Strong probability of price delivering higher into premium
Execution Tips:
Wait for confirmation inside the 41,900–41,850 zone:
15min–1HR bullish market structure shift (BOS)
Fair Value Gap + displacement candle entry
Consider partial profits at TP1, and trail stops for extended targets
Avoid entries during high-impact news unless already in profit
Bias: Short-Term Bullish, Medium-Term BearishReasons:
1. Current Price Action:
Price is within an upward channel and currently trading in the middle-to-upper range.
A recent bullish move broke structure to the upside after a Change of Character (Choch), suggesting bullish short-term momentum.
2. Liquidity Targets:
Price is approaching a Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) above current levels. This area can act as a liquidity magnet, encouraging a move up to fill the imbalance before any rejection.
3. Internal FVG (IFVG):
There’s an IFVG where price is currently reacting. This may cause short-term consolidation or a reaction.
If price closes above this IFVG and holds, it could continue to the Weekly FVG.
4. Downside Potential:
After hitting the Weekly FVG, potential distribution or mitigation could occur, leading to a reversal.
The large FVG below (around 41,600–41,200) is a prime target for a deeper retracement or sell-off once liquidity above is swept.
5. Choch Zones:
Previous bearish Choch above suggests prior demand turned supply, reinforcing the likelihood of rejection if price returns there.
---
Trade Considerations:
Bullish Bias until Weekly FVG is tapped.
Switch to Bearish Bias if rejection signs appear after liquidity sweep above the Weekly FVG.
Watch for entry confirmation on lower timeframes near IFVG or Weekly FVG zones.
[Scalping] US30 Short (May 26, 2025)Entry was 42003.9
TP is 41967.8
SL is 42022.04
RR is 1:1.5-2
This is just record purpose with new method to trade.
Please allow this test period.
**I use only session indicator.
Other than that I do not use any indicators
New method can be used only for manual trading.
Dow Jones breakdown or setup for 15 percent rally?The Dow looks weak but this might be the setup traders dream of. We break down two possible bullish patterns forming — an inverse head and shoulders and an ascending triangle — and explain how Trump’s EU tariffs could shape the next move. Target gains up to 15 percent with risk reward ratios as high as 7.5 to 1.
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DowJones INTRADAY important resistance retest Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42,920
Resistance Level 2: 43,300
Resistance Level 3: 43,620
Support Level 1: 41,470
Support Level 2: 41,160
Support Level 3: 40,890
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Dow Jones Continues Its Upward Momentum Toward the 43,344 Level The Dow Jones Industrial Average is showing continued bullish momentum, with an anticipated move toward the 43,344 level following a retracement to the support zone around 42,290–42,250. A price close above last week’s closing level reinforces the bullish sentiment, providing further upward momentum for the index toward the targeted levels outlined in the accompanying chart.
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Dow Jones Index (US30): Time to Grow
As I predicted yesterday, US30 nicely respected
a wide daily support cluster.
A pullback from that is now confirmed with a violation
of a minor horizontal resistance on a 4H.
The index may reach 42200 level soon.
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The Dow Jones Begins to Stabilize Around 42,500 PointsThe U.S. index has halted the advance of its recent bullish moves near this resistance zone, mainly because the market is awaiting the release of the Federal Reserve minutes later today, along with Nvidia’s earnings report, expected after the stock market close. For now, investor anticipation has created a neutral sentiment in the index's recent movements as it approaches the 42,500-point resistance, and these upcoming events are likely to provide deeper insight into the market’s direction in the coming sessions.
Possible Bullish Channel
Since early April, the Dow Jones has shown consistent buying movements, attempting to maintain a potential bullish channel. So far, there have been no signs of significant bearish corrections in the price, which suggests that the current bullish pattern remains the dominant structure to monitor in the short term. However, a strong selling correction could put this trend at risk.
Neutrality Intensifies:
MACD: The MACD histogram continues to hover around the zero line, reflecting a sustained equilibrium in the momentum of the moving averages. This highlights a lack of clear direction in the market over the short term.
ADX: The ADX line remains below the 20 level, indicating that volatility is low, a condition not seen since February of this year.
Both indicators point to persistent neutrality, likely driven by market indecision ahead of key fundamental events, as well as the technical resistance zone, which is currently limiting price advances.
Key Levels to Watch:
42,500 points: Current resistance level aligned with the 200-period moving average. It may act as a potential point for bearish corrections.
43,800 points: A distant resistance level not seen since February. If the price rallies to this level, it could reinforce the current bullish formation and strengthen the prevailing upward channel.
41,100 points: A key support aligned with the 50-period moving average. A drop near this level could jeopardize the bullish formation and potentially shift momentum toward a bearish bias.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Bias: Short-Term Bullish, Medium-Term BearishReasons:
1. Current Price Action:
Price is within an upward channel and currently trading in the middle-to-upper range.
A recent bullish move broke structure to the upside after a Change of Character (Choch), suggesting bullish short-term momentum.
2. Liquidity Targets:
Price is approaching a Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) above current levels. This area can act as a liquidity magnet, encouraging a move up to fill the imbalance before any rejection.
3. Internal FVG (IFVG):
There’s an IFVG where price is currently reacting. This may cause short-term consolidation or a reaction.
If price closes above this IFVG and holds, it could continue to the Weekly FVG.
4. Downside Potential:
After hitting the Weekly FVG, potential distribution or mitigation could occur, leading to a reversal.
The large FVG below (around 41,600–41,200) is a prime target for a deeper retracement or sell-off once liquidity above is swept.
5. Choch Zones:
Previous bearish Choch above suggests prior demand turned supply, reinforcing the likelihood of rejection if price returns there.
---
Trade Considerations:
Bullish Bias until Weekly FVG is tapped.
Switch to Bearish Bias if rejection signs appear after liquidity sweep above the Weekly FVG.
Watch for entry confirmation on lower timeframes near IFVG or Weekly FVG zones.
Potential bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) is rising towards the pivot, which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 42,435.88
1st Support: 41,294.81
1st Resistance: 43,025.39
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US30 INDEX TRADE IDEA 27 MAY 2025The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is showing a bullish outlook based on a confluence of Smart Money Concepts (SMC), price action patterns, and supportive fundamental analysis. From an SMC perspective, the recent price action indicates a clear market structure shift, highlighted by a break of structure (BOS) in early May 2025. This bullish reversal followed a significant liquidity sweep and mitigation around the 37,000 level, where smart money likely accumulated positions. A bullish order block between 40,679 and 41,189 now acts as a strong demand zone, providing a potential launch point for further upward movement. Technically, the chart features a descending wedge breakout and a bullish flag formation—both classical continuation patterns. Price is currently forming higher highs and higher lows, reinforcing the bullish trend.
The trade idea aligns with these observations, suggesting a long entry around the 41,700 to 41,900 range, with a stop loss just below the key demand zone at 40,679. The first take profit is set at 44,472.5, aligning with historical resistance and liquidity targets, offering an approximate risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3. On the fundamental side, the mid-2025 U.S. economic outlook is improving, with inflation showing signs of cooling and the Federal Reserve expected to pause or consider rate cuts. A stable geopolitical climate and strong earnings seasons have further boosted investor confidence, supporting continued bullish momentum in equities. Altogether, this presents a high-probability swing trade opportunity to the upside on the US30 index.