USDINDEX trade ideas
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On Friday, the U.S. Dollar Index fell by 0.3% and closed at 100.338. If the U.S. Dollar Index drops below the support level of 100.20 - 100.40, it is likely to retreat to the 50-day moving average of 99.81. In terms of trading operations, one can try to open a short position with a small position near 100.40, and at the same time, pay attention to the U.S. economic data and the dynamics of trade policies.
Trading Strategy:
sell@100.80-100.40
TP:99.50-90.00
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DXY - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of DXY (Dollar Index) with you.
Looking at the DXY chart, I expect a price increase towards 101.267. After reaching this level, I anticipate a decline to around 96.00.
📉 Expectation:
Bullish Scenario: Price increases towards 101.267.
Bearish Scenario: After reaching 101.267, a decline to 96.00.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 101.267
Support: 96.00
💬 What are your thoughts on DXY this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
DXY Analysis: Rising Dollar and Market ImplicationsAnalyzing the recent DXY chart, we observe a significant upward movement following a demand build-up. This article explores the implications of a rising U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on currency pairs and major indices like the SP 500 and NASDAQ, aligning with current market dynamics.
DXY Chart Breakdown:
The chart highlights a strong weekly/daily demand level at 98,500, with an internal structural shift marking a pivot point. A demand build-up preceded a sharp rise, tapping the extreme level
of the last point of supply at 100.385, suggesting bullish momentum. The DXY currently
stands at 99.915, with potential to test previous supply levels around 101.850.
Impact on Currency Pairs:
A rising DXY typically strengthens the USD, influencing forex markets:
• XXXUSD Pairs (e.g., EURUSD, GBPUSD): These pairs are likely to decline
as fewer dollars are needed to purchase foreign currencies, reflecting the USD’s
increased value.
• USDXXX Pairs (e.g., USDJPY, USDCAD): These pairs are expected to
climb, as a stronger USD buys more of the counterpart currency.
Exceptions may arise due to region-specific economic data or central bank policies.
Effects on Major Indices:
The strengthening dollar has broader market implications:
• SP 500: Multinational companies may face pressure from reduced overseas earnings, while higher interest rates (often linked to a rising DXY) could lower valuations, potentially leading to declines.
• NASDAQ: Tech-heavy and growth-oriented, the NASDAQ may underperform due
to its sensitivity to a stronger USD and rising borrowing costs, especially for firms
with global revenue.
However, a risk-off sentiment or strong U.S. economic data could counter these effects,
supporting both indices.
Conclusion:
The DXY’s upward trajectory signals a robust USD, likely pressuring XXXUSD pairs
downward and lifting USDXXX pairs. For indices, the SP 500 and NASDAQ may face
headwinds, though context like economic releases or global sentiment will play a key role.
Traders should monitor these levels closely for strategic entries and exits.
Trump’s speech today may create short-term volatility for the DXY. A focus on tariffs could push it toward 101.850.
Slower Inflation Growth, Takes DXY lower.Overnight, the DXY traded lower, driven by 2 main factors.
1) The release of lower-than-expected CPI data at 2.3%
2) Rejection of the long-term bearish trendline and the area of confluence formed by the 61.8% and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels from the longer term.
If the DXY breaks below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the shorter term, we could expect to see further downside, toward the target level of 100.
This round-number level would align with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and the short-term bullish trendline.
UXY suggesting a medium-term bullish structure.riggering bullisH Awais Ali: 1. Structure & Market Context
Trend Channel: The price action is contained within a clearly defined ascending channel, suggesting a medium-term bullish structure.
Support Zone: A horizontal support area is marked around the 99.00 level, which previously served as a strong demand zone, triggering bullish momentum.
Break of Structure (BOS): A previous significant support level was broken to the downside (noted as “BOS”), indicating a change in market structure at that point. However, the current structure has resumed an upward trend.
2. Trade Setup
Current Price Level: Around 101.39.
Entry Zone: Near the midline of the channel, marked by a slight retracement after a recent high.
Target Zone: Projected at 103.009, suggesting a bullish continuation toward the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Stop Loss Zone: Below the blue entry box, near 100.481–100.231, indicating a well-defined risk zone.
Risk-Reward: Favorable, with a substantial upside potential relative to the defined stop level.
3. Technical Indicators & Tools
Channel Lines: Used to map the upper and lower bounds of the trend.
Box Zones: Highlight entry and exit zones for trade planning.
Arrow Projection: Suggests a potential price retracement followed by continuation to the upside.
---
Professional Interpretation
The chart reflects a bullish outlook on the U.S. Dollar Index, supported by a well-established ascending channel, strong support structure, and a potential correction before continuation. The trader is likely anticipating a bullish reversal from the current retracement area, targeting a new high around 103.00, which aligns with the previous swing level.
This analysis is methodical and uses sound price action principles—ideal for swing traders or short-term position traders seeking directional bias and clear trade execution zones.
Awais Ali: bullish reversal from the current re
DXY Breakout! Bullish Momentum Targets 103.6 and 107.4 The US Dollar Index (DXY) has just made a strong bullish breakout from the 99.05–100 demand zone, confirming a reversal from its recent downtrend. This region has acted as a high-volume node and key institutional accumulation zone, as highlighted by the LuxAlgo Supply & Demand Visible Range.
Key Technical Highlights:
Demand Zone: The 98.5–100.5 range showed significant volume buildup and price rejection, signaling strong buyer interest.
Breakout Confirmation: Price broke through minor resistance at 101.2 with strong momentum and a bullish candle close.
Next Target: Eyes on 103.621, the next key resistance zone. A break above may push DXY towards 107.467, aligning with a major supply area.
Volume Profile: Low volume between 101.2 and 103.6 suggests a potential quick move toward the next resistance.
Indicators: RSI trending up but not yet overbought. MACD shows early bullish crossover on the 4H timeframe.
Fundamentals to Watch:
Upcoming USD economic data (CPI, Retail Sales, FOMC minutes).
Risk-off sentiment globally could boost USD as a safe-haven play.
Trade Plan (Not Financial Advice):
Buy Zone: Already triggered breakout above 101.2.
TP1: 103.6
TP2: 107.4
SL: Below 99.8 to invalidate the breakout thesis.
What do you think? Will DXY continue its bullish move or face rejection around 103.6? Let’s discuss in the comments.
Viper Sunday Breakdown May11th 2025On Sunday's we give a weekly peek into the markets and see what happened last week and what's possible for the week ahead.
Using the Viper indicator and 3 distinct strategies we breakdown DXY,Gold, US30, Nas100, Oil and Forex pairs.
CPI news coming this week, looking for a great volatile week ahead!!
DXY:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Today, the DXY rebounded after a decline. Trump's visit to the Middle East is expected to reach more agreements, and a rising tide of the US dollar is imminent. Technically, the daily - level band also shows a bullish signal. In terms of operation, one can go long near 100.5.
Trading Strategy:
buy@100.20-10050
TP:101.80-102.20
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
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Short-Term Pullback Expected for DXY Before Potential ReboundThe current position of the DXY is estimated to be in wave ii of wave (c) of wave . This implies that the DXY remains vulnerable to a correction toward the 100.244–100.905 area. Subsequently, there is a potential for a rebound, with the index likely to retest the 102.563–103.143 zone.
DXY: Supply Zone Ahead – Possible Turning PointWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** DXY Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
USDX-BUY straegy Daily chart Regression channelThe USDX shows clearly we should be cautious in selling USD, and this applies across the board. Based on channel and the extreme case we are in, we can bounced back ttowards 101.20-101.70 area in the near term.
Strategy BUY @ 97.80 - 98.20 and take proft in stages 1. @ 100.37 and 2. 101.57.
Analysis of the DXY's Trend and Operational SuggestionsDuring today's US market trading session, from a technical analysis perspective, on the daily chart level, the stochastic indicator forms a death cross and diverges downward, which is undoubtedly a strong bearish signal. In terms of the K-line pattern, the current price continues to be under pressure from above, and the overall trend is weak. At the 4-hour level, the stochastic indicator also forms a death cross and points downward. The K-line presents a horizontal consolidation pattern in the shape of a straight line. This pattern usually indicates that the price is accumulating downward momentum, so it can be regarded as an important basis for bearish sentiment under pressure. By comprehensively considering the technical indicators of various cycles and the K-line pattern, the current market is clearly under the dominance of bears, and its weak characteristics are fully manifested.
The DXY encounters strong suppression at the mid-axis position of the daily chart, and the suppression effect is significant. Combining the current market environment and technical trends, it is expected that the DXY will continue its downward trend, and its subsequent performance remains pessimistic.
DXY
sell@99.700-99.500
tp:99-98.500
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Dollar Bounce to 103 Incoming or Straight to 96?Will the Dollar Keep Tumbling, or Are We About to Bounce Back to 103 in May?
Checking out the monthly charts, April finally delivered a close under that critical 100 level, breaking a floor that held firm for years:
Zooming into the weekly chart, we’ve retraced back to test the 100 level from below. It’s now acting as resistance—so, is another big drop coming?
Long term, my bias is clear: the dollar looks set to keep sliding lower after breaking the crucial 100 mark. But if we flip to the daily charts, we can clearly see signs of a short-term bounce brewing. It looks like price might want to squeeze back inside the range, aiming for that juicy sell zone around the 103 mark—the very origin of the leg down that initially broke 100:
This 103 area is a prime spot for short-term bulls, and an even better opportunity to start loading up on shorts for a move down towards the Monthly buy zone around 96.
Personally, I won’t trade USDX directly to the upside—I'll instead use this analysis to play setups on pairs like EURUSD and AUDUSD, as they're approaching key resistance areas right now.
My game plan: wait patiently for price to reach around 103, then start hunting for sell signals. But first, we’ll need a solid daily close back above 100, something I think we could see happen this week.
Don’t forget—we’ve got the Fed’s interest rate decision coming up, which might trigger some volatility. We could easily rally up to 103 ahead of the decision and then see a sell-off afterward. Of course, if the Fed throws us a curveball, the dollar might never get back above 100, and just continue dropping straight away.
Right now, the 100 level is crucial—so watch closely.
What’s your take? Drop your thoughts below! 😊