DXY MMBM confirmed - Bullish ThesisDXY exited the first stage distribution confirming we are bullish and in a marked maker buy model.
I expect CPI to retrace price and resume the bullish weekly trend afterwards.
USDINDEX trade ideas
$DXYTVC:DXY might see a small bull run.
Trump’s executive order to slash prescription drug prices by up to 80% could boost global demand for cheaper U.S. meds, increasing dollar inflows and supporting strength in the greenback.
DXY Long Buy Entry To Resistance (Next Week?)DXY: Long buy entry to resistance, not many large buyside wicks to retrace to help push it along but i believe that level will be tested first fairly soon. goodluck fellas.
Dxy updateAs discussed last time , the DXY is perfectly moving toward major supply zone ( 101) level.
lets' wait and see how next week will behave.
check the trendIt is expected that after some fluctuations and corrections, the upward trend will continue.
If the index crosses the support trend line, the continuation of the correction trend to the specified support range will be possible.
DXY is entering the Smart Money play — Are you ready Temporary selling pressure is unfolding, but a powerful bullish reversal zone is on the horizon! Don’t miss this key USD cycle setup
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently breaking down for a temporary selling phase, approaching a high-probability demand zone between 96.40–98.00.
According to the Smart Money Concept, institutional players are clearing liquidity before driving price back towards the higher supply zone (106–110).
Key Insights:
– Temporary Sell-Off: Price is moving toward the demand zone
– Bullish Reversal Expected: Watch for signs of accumulation around 96.40–98.00
– Next Target: Supply zone near 106+ levels
– Strategy: Monitor for bullish confirmation before longing
Stay ahead with clean Smart Money setups —
DOLLARThe Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting on May 7, 2025, resulted in the decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 4.25% to 4.50%, maintaining the current policy stance amid rising economic uncertainty primarily driven by trade tensions and tariff impacts.
Key Points from the FOMC Decision and Statement:
The Fed acknowledged that economic activity continues to expand at a solid pace, with the labor market remaining strong and unemployment stable at low levels.
Inflation remains somewhat elevated, with core inflation around 2.6%.
The Committee highlighted increased uncertainty about the economic outlook, especially due to the effects of President Trump’s tariffs, which could raise both inflation and unemployment risks.
The Fed is taking a data-dependent, wait-and-see approach, prepared to adjust policy as needed based on incoming economic information.
The Fed continues to reduce its holdings of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities as part of monetary policy normalization.
Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the Fed does not plan preemptive rate cuts and will monitor how tariffs affect inflation and growth before making further moves.
Market and Economic Context:
Despite President Trump’s calls for rate cuts to stimulate growth amid tariff pressures, the Fed resisted, citing the need to balance its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability.
The Fed noted the risk of stagflation-a combination of slowing growth and rising inflation-due to tariff-induced supply chain disruptions and pricing pressures.
Market expectations shifted after the meeting, with traders now pricing in a lower probability of near-term rate cuts, pushing the first likely cut to July or later in 2025
Summary of Geopolitical and Economic Risks Impacting the Fed’s Decision:
Trade tensions and tariffs between the U.S. and China remain a major source of uncertainty, affecting business confidence, supply chains, and inflation dynamics.
Inflation pressures from tariffs and supply disruptions complicate the Fed’s inflation targeting.
Labor market strength provides some support for the economy, but downside risks from trade policies are growing.
The Fed is navigating a delicate balance between controlling inflation and avoiding a sharp economic slowdown or rise in unemployment.
In brief:
The Fed’s decision to hold rates steady reflects caution amid mixed economic signals and geopolitical uncertainty, especially tariff-related risks. The central bank remains vigilant, ready to adjust policy as clearer data emerge on inflation, employment, and growth impacts from trade policies.
Impact on the US Dollar
The dollar stabilized and experienced a slight "micro bounce" ahead of the Fed meeting, partly due to optimism about upcoming U.S.-China trade talks.
However, broad skepticism remains about the dollar’s strength amid economic uncertainty and ongoing capital outflows from U.S. assets by major Asian investors.
Market consensus expects the dollar’s longer-term weakness to persist, as investors weigh the risks of slower growth and tariff-related disruptions.
Impact on Bond Markets
The Fed’s steady rate decision and cautious outlook have led to flattening or modest declines in Treasury yields, as investors price in delayed rate cuts and economic slowdown risks.
Uncertainty about trade policy and inflation is keeping bond markets volatile, with investors seeking safe-haven assets amid stagflation concerns.
Impact on Gold Prices
Gold prices have been supported by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical and trade tensions, rising inflation concerns, and a weaker dollar environment.
The Fed’s decision to hold rates steady without signaling imminent cuts keeps real yields low or negative, which is bullish for gold.
Tariff-related inflation and geopolitical risks (including U.S.-China tensions, Taiwan conflict risks, and Middle East instability) continue to underpin gold’s appeal as a hedge.
DOLLARThe Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting on May 7, 2025, resulted in the decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 4.25% to 4.50%, maintaining the current policy stance amid rising economic uncertainty primarily driven by trade tensions and tariff impacts.
Key Points from the FOMC Decision and Statement:
The Fed acknowledged that economic activity continues to expand at a solid pace, with the labor market remaining strong and unemployment stable at low levels.
Inflation remains somewhat elevated, with core inflation around 2.6%.
The Committee highlighted increased uncertainty about the economic outlook, especially due to the effects of President Trump’s tariffs, which could raise both inflation and unemployment risks.
The Fed is taking a data-dependent, wait-and-see approach, prepared to adjust policy as needed based on incoming economic information.
The Fed continues to reduce its holdings of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities as part of monetary policy normalization.
Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the Fed does not plan preemptive rate cuts and will monitor how tariffs affect inflation and growth before making further moves.
Market and Economic Context:
Despite President Trump’s calls for rate cuts to stimulate growth amid tariff pressures, the Fed resisted, citing the need to balance its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability.
The Fed noted the risk of stagflation-a combination of slowing growth and rising inflation-due to tariff-induced supply chain disruptions and pricing pressures.
Market expectations shifted after the meeting, with traders now pricing in a lower probability of near-term rate cuts, pushing the first likely cut to July or later in 2025
Summary of Geopolitical and Economic Risks Impacting the Fed’s Decision:
Trade tensions and tariffs between the U.S. and China remain a major source of uncertainty, affecting business confidence, supply chains, and inflation dynamics.
Inflation pressures from tariffs and supply disruptions complicate the Fed’s inflation targeting.
Labor market strength provides some support for the economy, but downside risks from trade policies are growing.
The Fed is navigating a delicate balance between controlling inflation and avoiding a sharp economic slowdown or rise in unemployment.
In brief:
The Fed’s decision to hold rates steady reflects caution amid mixed economic signals and geopolitical uncertainty, especially tariff-related risks. The central bank remains vigilant, ready to adjust policy as clearer data emerge on inflation, employment, and growth impacts from trade policies.
Impact on the US Dollar
The dollar stabilized and experienced a slight "micro bounce" ahead of the Fed meeting, partly due to optimism about upcoming U.S.-China trade talks.
However, broad skepticism remains about the dollar’s strength amid economic uncertainty and ongoing capital outflows from U.S. assets by major Asian investors.
Market consensus expects the dollar’s longer-term weakness to persist, as investors weigh the risks of slower growth and tariff-related disruptions.
Impact on Bond Markets
The Fed’s steady rate decision and cautious outlook have led to flattening or modest declines in Treasury yields, as investors price in delayed rate cuts and economic slowdown risks.
Uncertainty about trade policy and inflation is keeping bond markets volatile, with investors seeking safe-haven assets amid stagflation concerns.
Impact on Gold Prices
Gold prices have been supported by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical and trade tensions, rising inflation concerns, and a weaker dollar environment.
The Fed’s decision to hold rates steady without signaling imminent cuts keeps real yields low or negative, which is bullish for gold.
Tariff-related inflation and geopolitical risks (including U.S.-China tensions, Taiwan conflict risks, and Middle East instability) continue to underpin gold’s appeal as a hedge.
Bullish Look for potential Reversal bullish candlestick formation upon the retest of daily demand zone.
DXY update last trade taken got sl , the reason was we were early sellers that's why market liquidate us.
Now it gave again choch , for safety purpose waitng for 2nd bos as well once market fullfil the condition , looking for short xxx/usd pairs.
USD is Bearish, SO BUY EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD CHF & JPY!In this video, we will update Saturday's forecasts mid-week, and look for valid setup for the rest of the week ahead. The following FX markets will be analyzed:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
USDCAD
USDCHF
USDJPY
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or other wise. In this video, we will update the forecasts for the following FX markets:
Dollar Index (From Monthly to HourlyDollar index in hourly. Not much space for dollar to depreciate, and l think this will provide a good guidance on the stock market as well.
DXY Bullish scenario (Daily)Dxy is still respecting the market maker buy model idea.
Monday traded inside friday range.
Today (Tuesday) price already traded above monday previous high signaling bullish momentum and a higher probability to trade also above friday high.
Right now price is consolidating between a daily bullish fair value gap and a bearish daily volume imbalance.
With the information we have, price is likelly to shop arround with no clear direction before FOMC.
For the current week price is still in the manipulation phase.
Traders will find higher probability trades after FOMC.
Monitoring economic data and assetsThis is my attempt to get as much of the important economic indicators into one TV superchart. I've added some assets as well so that I can see how they're affected in any particular period.
USXUSD H4 FTB FrameworkUSXUSD H4 FTB Framework
NFP High is weak.
Let's see if Medz is right once again.
DXY (US Dollar): Bullish Order FlowA bullish order block has been identified on the H1 timeframe, situated below the Asian session range. With the US Dollar maintaining steady strength, there is potential for price to retrace into this order block for mitigation. Should this occur, a continuation of the bullish trend is anticipated, with price likely to rally and break above the recent structural high.
Could this be DXY's fate amidst the dovish tentions? #FEDS📈 Most Likely Probability: Neutral-to-Slightly Bullish Bias
🔍 Supporting Fundamentals:
Stronger-than-expected NFP: Suggests economic resilience → supports dollar strength.
Fed holding rates steady (but no dovish pivot): Keeps real yields relatively attractive → supports demand for USD.
Tariff/trade calm: Reduces tail risk, but also reduces safe-haven flow → slightly neutral.
📉 Limiting Fundamentals:
Calmer global risk sentiment and improved outlook in emerging markets may reduce dollar inflows.
No fresh hawkish push from the Fed = limited fuel for strong breakout.
📊 Technical Outlook (DXY near 100.00):
Key Support: ~99.70–100.00 (9-day EMA + psychological support)
Key Resistance: ~100.50–101.00 zone
Momentum: Slight recovery attempts with weakening bearish momentum
If the DXY holds above 99.70 and breaks above 100.50, a move toward 101.00 is likely next week. Failing to hold 99.70 could open a pullback toward 99.00.
DXY:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next Week This week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate!
Recently, the economic data of the United States has shown mixed performance. The non-farm payrolls added in April were higher than expected, but the data for March was revised downward, and the number of initial jobless claims also exceeded expectations. Overall, the U.S. Dollar Index still has a trend of fluctuating. Pay attention to the resistance level of 100.3742 above and the support level of 99.2702 below. In terms of trading operations, it is mainly advisable to take short positions on rebounds.
Trading Strategy:
sell@100.3000-100.0000
TP:59.5000-59.0000
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NFP Analysis: More Bullish Order Flow?The Dollar has broken structure to the upside and is now pulling back into equilibrium. From this discounted level, I'm looking to capitalise on any valid bullish setups, as break-of-structure moves often lead to continuation towards previous highs.
DXY bullish week forecastWeekly on potential external to internal move
Daily chart showing bullish order flow and potential internal to external move.
DXY Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025Weekly Price Reaction Expectations:
Overall, for this week, we expect a price reaction around the ATI candle zone, followed by another potential reaction near the upper LQCLOSE BOX area.
DXY Bullish Momentum Justification:
Additionally, since the LPP or investment liquidity has been consumed, the bullish momentum in DXY appears more justified.
