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DXY - Potential Sell At Key ResistanceThe DXY is approaching a key resistance zone, which has historically acted as a strong supply area. This level has seen multiple price rejections in the past, making it a critical area of interest for potential reversals. The current uptrend has brought the price back into this resistance zone, but there are signs of potential trend exhaustion as the price tests these levels. If the price confirms rejection with bearish signals, such as reversal candlesticks or divergence on oscillators, we could see a downward move. I anticipate that, upon rejection from this resistance zone, the DXY may head lower toward the 107.548 level. This setup aligns with the idea of a short-term correction within the broader market context. Let me know your thoughts on this analysis or if you see a different perspective! Feel free to share your insights in the comments!
TVC:DXYShort
by DanieIM
1
DXY Long-Term Roadmap🧭 Roadmap Overview: The DXY (US Dollar Index) moves in multi-decade cycles of bull and bear runs, reflecting changes in global economic conditions, monetary policies, and investor sentiment. In this chart, I’ve mapped out a long-term roadmap based on historical cycles that indicate where we are now and what to expect in the future. I’ve also included how crypto adoption and stablecoins could potentially impact the DXY in the coming years. 🔎 Historical Cycles & Trends: 1️⃣ 1980-1985 Bull Run: Driven by Federal Reserve rate hikes to combat inflation. The DXY reached a peak around 160, marking a major bull run. 2️⃣ 1985-1995 Bear Run: The Plaza Accord in 1985 led to a devaluation of the dollar. The DXY dropped significantly during this period. 3️⃣ 1995-2002 Bull Run: The dot-com boom and a period of economic expansion saw the DXY rally once again, reaching highs above 120. 4️⃣ 2002-2008 Bear Run: Post-9/11 and the housing bubble crash triggered a major decline in the DXY. 5️⃣ 2008-2022 Bull Run: The global financial crisis in 2008, combined with Fed tightening policies, triggered a long bull run in the DXY, peaking around 114 in 2022. 🧩 Where We Are Now: Currently, the DXY is at a critical inflection point. Based on historical cycles: The next bear run is expected to start soon, driven by a potential Fed pivot to lower interest rates and increasing global de-dollarization efforts. After this bear run, I expect another multi-year bull run, starting around 2030, as the dollar remains the world’s primary reserve currency. ⚡ How Crypto Could Impact the DXY: 🔵 1. Bitcoin as a Hedge Against USD: Bitcoin is often seen as digital gold, offering investors a way to diversify away from the U.S. dollar. If Bitcoin adoption grows globally, it could reduce demand for USD and put downward pressure on the DXY. 🟢 2. Stablecoins Competing with USD: Stablecoins like USDT, USDC, and DAI are pegged to the USD and used globally as digital dollars. However, if crypto-native stablecoins start to replace traditional banking systems, it could challenge the dominance of the USD in global trade. For example: USDT has a higher daily transaction volume than PayPal. Crypto transactions across borders bypass traditional banking systems, reducing the need for USD reserves. 🟡 3. De-Dollarization & Crypto Adoption: Countries like Russia, China, and BRICS nations are pushing to reduce reliance on the USD. If they adopt crypto or blockchain-based settlement systems, it could accelerate the decline of the DXY. Example: Russia is exploring digital currencies to settle international trade. China’s digital yuan (CBDC) aims to reduce reliance on the USD for cross-border payments. ⚡ Key Risk: The more crypto adoption grows, the more demand for traditional USD may decline, which could negatively impact the DXY in the long term. 🎯 Predicted Cycles: 📉 Bear Run: 2025-2030 📈 Bull Run: 2030-2040 💬 What are your thoughts on how crypto adoption could impact the future of the DXY? Let me know your thoughts below! 👇 #DXY #USD #Crypto #USDT #Stablecoins #Bitcoin #DeDollarization #Forex #Trading #MacroAnalysis #BTC
TVC:DXY
by Ehsanzh
U.S. Dollar Index . 1W Hello dear traders and respected companions! I always keep an eye on the DXY chart because it is one side of all the currencies in the world. Friends, this is an important chart, and its key time frames are monthly, weekly, and daily. During President Bush's term, an important event occurred where we had a Break of Structure (BoS) in the monthly chart. The chart moved upwards hastily without correction to reach the upper imbalance. The Order Block Extreme was successfully met, but the Order Block Extreme is still intact. I’m watching to see what happens to this important Order Block after the price reaches it. With the presence of President Trump, I hope this economy makes proper reforms and I expect it to create a Change of Character (CHOCH) on a monthly basis. Then, I will wait for a major economic correction to happen, but perhaps with the price hitting this important Order Block, we may have a significant correction and then see a logical and stable upward movement from this economic chart! In summary, friends, whenever this correction is about to start, it’s time to buy in other currencies, especially for long-term and significant investments. We need to be prepared; my team and I are actively following it and we will continue. The situation in the weekly timeframe is very bullish and moving towards BoS. If I see any changes in this trend, I will update all of these points. Quick Conclusions: Attention to the DXY chart: This chart has a profound impact on global markets, and analyzing it is essential. Order Block Extreme: We must pay attention to the price reaction in the daily timeframe after it hits this Order Block! Monitoring the economic situation: Given the political and economic changes, we expect corrections in the near future. Readiness for buying: The best time to purchase in other currencies is when corrections begin, and we must be prepared for long-term investments. Thank you for your support! Fereydoon Bahrami "A retail trader in the Wall Street trading Center (Forex)."
TVC:DXY
by fereydoon1199
Bullish Bias Until Opposing DisplacementClassic SMC concept: Price at Premium area, in order to gather liquidity it has to go to Discount area. Lets break down it into available Week unfolding Scenario: Scenario A: The easiest target for Price is to take PWH (Premium) and then we may face the some sort of displacement it could create Daily/4h -OB then we may trade up to Thursday for having Bearish Bias (short term) by keeping in mind Bullish Bias intact in mind (long term). Scenario B: Price may drop into FVG:BISI(4h) and may turn Bullish and then we may notice FVG creation on Monday and may ride Tuesday retracement to frame Bullish trade up to Thursday/Friday.
TVC:DXY
by Arrsalaan
1
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Update: Peaking Phase in FocusIn our previous analysis, we projected a bullish trend for the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), forecasting its strength to persist until it reached a critical "Area of Interest" (highlighted in pink on the chart). This area corresponds to a significant resistance zone near the 109.6–110.0 level, as marked on the chart. Current Observations: - The DXY has now entered the projected "peaking phase," as shown by its approach to the identified resistance zone. - Momentum indicators, such as the RSI, suggest overbought conditions near this level, reinforcing the likelihood of a reversal. - The chart highlights a series of ascending waves culminating in the current peak, aligning with the earlier analysis of the bullish phase ending by early 2025. What’s Next? - A bearish reversal is anticipated, with the DXY likely retracing to lower support levels. Key targets for the downturn are: - The 100.00 psychological level, which also aligns with a structural support zone. - The 97.8 level, representing a major support from previous price action. - The longer-term downtrend trendline remains intact, suggesting the DXY could experience sustained weakness throughout 2025. Implications for Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies: As noted earlier, a weakening U.S. dollar often correlates with upward momentum in dollar-denominated assets, including Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. If the DXY confirms its reversal, we could see a bullish breakout in Bitcoin beginning around Q1–Q2 2025, as the market prices in dollar devaluation. Conclusion: Investors should monitor the DXY's behavior closely within the "Area of Interest." Confirmation of a bearish reversal could trigger significant market shifts across various asset classes. Stay vigilant for further updates as the DXY's trajectory unfolds.
TVC:DXYShort
by Kenayi
1
DXY Is Going Up! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for DXY. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 109.638. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 111.019 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYLong
by SignalProvider
1
DXY Strongly Bullish:DXY Strongly Bullish The DXY (US Dollar Index) is currently showing a strong bullish momentum. I do not expect the price to retrace back into the monthly breakout gap unless the extreme high is taken out first. With the ongoing strength in the US Dollar, the market is likely to continue pushing higher, especially if the price holds above key support levels. The bullish trend is intact, and any pullbacks might be shallow before the next leg up. Traders should remain focused on higher targets, monitoring for any significant shifts in market structure that could signal a reversal. The key point is that the extreme high must be taken out for the continuation of this strong bullish trend.
TVC:DXYLong
by Asif_Brain_Waves
DXY BIASAs we wait for the market to open it is important for you to know the overall direction of the market in general and that is where I come in as Dr. Trade, my job is to help you see what you are not seeing and I will do my best to make sure I provide you with the best market structure always, the target area for DXY is the POI above before I will be looking for short entries, so whatever trading strategy you use you can do well to use this as a blueprint when making your analysis and use correlation analysis too to make sure you are on the right path. stay tuned for more updates.
TVC:DXYLong
by Dr_Trade1
1