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DXY trade ideas

Dollar I Daily CLS I Model 1 I KL OB I Target TRCandleYo Market Warriors ⚔️ It's risky, re-entry, but scared money makes no money. if you’ve been riding with me, you already know: 🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries. 🧠 What’s CLS? It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players. 📍Model 1: HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle. 
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.

Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it. “Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.” David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter 💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by David_Perk
36
USD Falling Wedge Breakout - Bulls Continue to Turn the TideThe USD showed oversold conditions via RSI on both the daily and weekly chart as we began Q3. But, so far, the new quarter has shown a change-of-pace, as the currency has continued to rally with another topside breakout today around CPI data. The breakout today happened at a big spot - as the long-term fibonacci level at 97.93 had previously helped to hold support back in April, leading to the bounce that ran into May. More recently that price had come in as resistance, until this morning's breakout. And it was in the immediate aftermath of the CPI release that buyers came in to hold the low at that exact level five minutes after the data dropped, and that led to a strong breakout in the USD as bulls took over. The move is still fresh, however, as we haven't yet seen 23.6% of the sell-off from H1 get clawed back. The retracement from that move plots at 99.63, with the 100.00 level sitting overhead. Below that price, the 99.39 level remains notable as this was a June swing high, and now functions as a follow-through resistance level. Bigger picture, it's the 101.65-102.00 zone that bulls will need to show up at to make this into anything more than a corrective pullback in a broader bearish trend. - js
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
1
Dollar I Daily CLS I KL - OB I Model 1Yo Market Warriors ⚔️ Fresh outlook drop — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know: 🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries. 🧠 What’s CLS? It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players. 📍Model 1: HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle. 
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.

Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it. “Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.” David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter 💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by David_Perk
5
DXY may rebound significantly soonDXY Likely to Rebound Significantly Soon Technical Perspective: DXY recently broke below its previous low, forming a lower low, with both EMAs signaling a downtrend. However, the price has now reached a 14-year-old long-term ascending trendline support , which reflects the strength and effectiveness of this tool. So, we can expect a reaction at this line. Additionally, the RSI has entered the oversold zone (for the third time) and a Bullish Divergence has formed, supporting the possibility of a rebound in DXY in the near term. However, any rebound may only be short-lived due to the recent strong bearish momentum and the steepness of the downtrend. A pullback following the rebound may occur, possibly retesting the ascending trendline before a more sustained trend reversal can take place (unless the price breaks below the trendline, which would indicate a bearish continuation following the prevailing downtrend). The rebound, if it happens here, can target around the psychological level near 100 ±1 before pulling back again, which, if the pullback in the next shot does not result in a new low, it could signal the end of the downtrend, though this may take some time to materialize. (Please do not forget that we are looking at a weekly timeframe where each leg may take weeks or even months) Hence, this level may mark the bottom of the current DXY downcycle or, at the very least, trigger a significant rebound. Fundamental Perspective: The key factor behind recent US dollar weakness has been President Trump's tariff policies, which have raised concerns over US assets. However, negotiations with major trade partners have been progressing, and many are nearing resolution. This is helping reduce investor concerns over a potential disruption to the global economic system. The market appears to have passed its peak panic phase. Thus, further downside surprises are unlikely, as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently remarked, the reciprocal tariffs announced are currently at the highest level. Over time, markets are expected to start pricing out the concerns, which could lead to a rebound in the US dollar. An overlooked risk is the sizable US government bond maturities from June to August 2025, which may strain rollover demand. A smooth passage of this period could restore dollar confidence and support DXY. (This suggests that the reversal may take 1–3 months before a clear uptrend emerges.) Some may argue that potential Fed rate cuts may pressure the dollar, but with two cuts largely priced in, the impact could be limited. A rebound may follow as markets shift from "buy the rumor, sell the fact." Finally, please remember that President Trump’s tariff policies are aimed at reducing the US trade deficit—an objective that is likely to be met. As the effects of tariffs start to show in trade balance data by Q4 or beyond, confidence in the US dollar could return, accelerating DXY's recovery momentum. Call for Action: This zone presents potential for accumulating positions due to a potential reversal, for both short-term and long-term investors, with the added advantage of a high risk-reward ratio. Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by KrisadaYoonaisil
1
Weekly DXY OutlookWeekly DXY Outlook - Updated DXY is still bullish and is rising slowly On the weekly chart, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has reached a critical zone that was last tested in February 2022. While a rebound is not guaranteed, the fact that the DXY has declined nearly 12% over just six months—despite a resilient U.S. economy—suggests the potential for renewed strength in the dollar. I think the index could begin a recovery toward key levels at 100.00, 101.97, and possibly 106.00/ It’s worth noting that the broader bearish trend began with the trade tensions initiated during the Trump administration, which strained relations with several major trading partners. Given that this is a weekly chart, it should be used more as a reference point rather than a trading signal. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck!
TVC:DXYLong
by KlejdiCuni
A Closer Look at the Role and Recent Volatility of the (DXY)A Closer Look at the Role and Recent Volatility of the US Dollar Index (DXY) We don’t even need to say that the US Dollar Index (DXY) is one of the most influential benchmarks in global currency markets. The index, which measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of six major currencies, experiences heightened volatility and presents potential opportunities. Understanding the DXY: A Macro Lens on the Dollar The DXY tracks the relative strength of the US dollar versus a weighted currency basket including the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. Although the euro comprises nearly 58% of the index, the DXY reflects broad USD strength or weakness across global markets, not just against a single currency. Traders and analysts use the DXY as a key macro indicator—to track policy divergence between central banks, to hedge USD exposure, and to assess broader market sentiment. Rising DXY levels often signal tightening US policy or global risk aversion, while declines may reflect weakening growth expectations, dovish Fed policy, or geopolitical stress. In volatile environments like 2025, the DXY serves as a real-time barometer of global confidence in the US economy and dollar-based assets. Recent Price Swings: Tariffs & Policy Uncertainty Shake the Dollar Since April, the US Dollar Index has faced one of its most volatile stretches in years, driven by a convergence of Federal Reserve policy uncertainty and new trade tariffs announced by President Trump. April: “Liberation Day” Tariffs Trigger Market Shock On 2 April, the announcement of sweeping “Liberation Day” tariffs—10% on nearly all imports, with higher duties on selected countries—jolted currency markets. The DXY fell over 2% in a single day. In the following weeks, the index continued to decline as business confidence deteriorated and early signs of recession risk emerged. May–June: Policy Headwinds Compound Dollar Weakness As the tariff package took effect, the dollar extended its slide—marking a ~10% drop from its late‑2024 peak, the worst first-half performance in over 50 years. Investors reassessed US growth prospects amid the pressures of trade friction. The Fed responded with a hawkish pause, while President Trump publicly urged for rate cuts, further muddying the policy outlook and pressuring the dollar. July: Uncertainty Builds By early July, the DXY had fallen below 97, tallying an approximate 11% year-to-date decline. Analysts cite a “perfect storm” of expanding fiscal deficits, erratic trade decisions, and growing doubts over US policy credibility as key reasons for the dollar’s fall from favour. Why DXY Matters Now More Than Ever The DXY has become a real-time gauge of market confidence in US policy stability. The dollar’s sharp decline in 2025 underscores how fragile that confidence can be in the face of aggressive trade measures and uncertain monetary direction. The introduction of Trump’s tariffs has raised structural concerns among investors: - Growth expectations have been cut due to higher input costs and supply chain friction. - The so-called safe-haven appeal of the USD has eroded, with flows shifting to the euro, Swiss franc, and gold. - Foreign demand for dollar assets has softened, as fears of a prolonged trade conflict and fiscal indiscipline mount. In this climate, the DXY has evolved into a barometer for geopolitical tension, inflation fears, and investor sentiment towards US leadership. Bottom Line The DXY is not just a tool for dollar specialists—it's a key reference for any trader dealing with macro-sensitive instruments. As the global rate environment continues to shift and the US economy shows mixed signals, the DXY may become one of the most revealing indicators to watch and trade in the second half of 2025. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:DXY
by FXOpen
1
DXY (USD Basket) - 3 Month - Short Squeeze In Play?Technicals: The last 3-month candle closed above the major resistance that tends to hold according to historic levels going back to the year 1967. Golden Cross is almost complete (50 MA crossing the 200 MA). Fundamentals: The dollar has only been more shorted once in history (2018), setting things up for a potential "Short Squeeze" and triggering a "Risk Off" scenario. Tends to hurt risk assets quite hard—for example, tech stocks, crypto, and other leverage plays. A rise in the DXY could potentially trigger a "Short Squeeze" for foreign countries, companies, and investors that borrow in USD, creating "economic panic" in other countries that get their currency devalued relative to their obligations. Countries that need USD to service their debt. With the current tariffs, the flow of dollars in the world will change. The question is: what will the effect look like in August when these tariffs start to go live? Like I mentioned before, other countries need the dollars in order to service their debt. If it gets more expensive for US consumers to import (caused by the tariffs), the exporting countries won’t get those dollars—setting it up for a buying cycle that could potentially drive the USD (DXY) higher, even to all-time highs. Current narrative: The narrative right now is that the USD will get "worthless," setting the stage to take more risk and use more leverage, maybe without even hedging. A surprise variable to this narrative could be devastating to the financial markets—not just in the US, but even to the world. IF/When this happens, everyone will hunt the USD once again, creating a new bullish narrative for the USD, and everyone will be forced to return to the reserve currency. Nothing in this post should be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and analysis before investing.
TVC:DXYLong
by Mr_Anonymous_Investor
1
DXY Tests Key Support – What’s Next for the Dollar? The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar’s performance against a basket of major currencies, recently broke below its 50-month moving average based on the monthly chart —a significant technical signal. After this drop, the index is now bouncing off a key support zone near 96.50. This area has acted as a pivot point in past cycles, and a sustained bounce could indicate the dollar regaining strength. If risk sentiment fades—due to weaker equity markets, geopolitical tensions, or stronger U.S. data—the dollar might find new momentum. On the flip side, failure to hold 96.50 could open the door toward the 90.00 zone, a major long-term support level. Such a move would likely reflect expectations of looser U.S. monetary policy or further deterioration in economic confidence. For now, price action near 96.50 will be decisive. A rebound could shift sentiment back in favor of the dollar, while a deeper decline may trigger broader adjustments in FX markets. Traders should closely monitor upcoming macro data and risk sentiment for cues on the next leg.
TVC:DXYLong
by fwalbaum
1
Potential bullish rise?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 50% Fibonacci resistance. Pivot: 97.81 1st Support: 97.19 1st Resistance: 99.25 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
DXY strengthens but can it break THIS key level?The US dollar has gained ground this week, with the Dollar Index rising to retest the previously broken April low near the 97.92 level—an important technical zone. The short-term bias would flip to being bullish if this area breaks. The greenback’s strength has been underpinned in part by unexpectedly strong economic data. For instance, Thursday’s weekly jobless claims came in at 227,000, below the forecast of 235,000. This marks the fourth consecutive weekly decline and the lowest reading in seven weeks, reinforcing the view that the US labour market remains tighter than anticipated. Adding to this backdrop are President Trump’s threats of higher tariffs and expansive fiscal plans—described as “big, beautiful” spending and tax initiatives. These factors increase the risk of more persistent inflation. While the Federal Reserve is still widely expected to initiate rate cuts in September, the rising inflationary pressures could slow the pace of easing thereafter. This shift would likely provide support for the dollar so long as investors don't lose trust in US monetary policy. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
TVC:DXYLong
by FOREXcom
Tariff Wars Pushing USD HigherThis is the Weekly FOREX Forecast for the week of July 14 - 18th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Index The latest headlines tell the story. The tariffs are triggering a slow run to the USD safe haven, but the inflows from investors are moving the needle. The previous week closed strong, with buyers in control. There's a good chance we'll see more of the same this coming week. Look for the strength in USD to continue to be supported by fundamental news, and outperform the other major currencies. Buy USDxxx Sell xxxUSD Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXYLong
by RT_Money
Bearish continuation?US Dollar Index (DXY) is risng towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 99.21 1st Support: 96.50 1st Resistance: 100.58 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
"DXY Bullish Setup – High Probability Trade!"🚨 "DXY DOLLAR BANK HEIST" – THIEF TRADING STYLE MASTER PLAN (HIGH-IMPACT TRADE ALERT!) 🔥 "Steal the Market Like a Pro – This DXY Heist Could Print Serious Cash!" 🔥 🌍 Greetings, Market Pirates & Profit Raiders! 🌍 🤑 "Money isn’t made… it’s TAKEN!" 💰💸 Based on the 🔥 Thief Trading Style 🔥 (a lethal mix of technical + fundamental + psychological warfare), we're executing a DXY Dollar Index Bank Heist—a high-stakes robbery where YOU get to keep the loot! 📜 THE HEIST BLUEPRINT (TRADE PLAN) 🎯 ENTRY ZONE – "BREAK THE VAULT DOOR!" 📍Key Trigger: Wait for price to SMASH through the Moving Average Wall (97.700) – then STRIKE! 🔪 Thief’s Entry Trick: Buy Stop Orders above MA (aggressive) Buy Limit Orders near recent swing low (smart pullback play) DCA/Layering Strategy for max profit extraction (real robbers scale in!) 🚨 ALERT SETUP: "Don’t miss the breakout – set an ALARM!" ⏰ 🛑 STOP LOSS – "DON’T GET CAUGHT!" "Yo, rookie! If you’re entering on a breakout, WAIT for confirmation before placing SL!" 📍Thief’s SL Zone: 97.400 (30min swing low – adjust based on your risk appetite!) ⚠️ WARNING: "Place it wrong, and the cops (market) will lock YOU up!" 🚔 🎯 TARGET – "ESCAPE WITH THE LOOT!" 🏆 Primary Target: 98.350 (Take profits before the resistance police show up!) 🔄 Scalper’s Bonus: "Trail your SL, squeeze every pip!" 💡 Pro Tip: "If you’re underfunded, ride with the swing traders – teamwork makes the dream work!" 💣 WHY THIS HEIST WILL WORK (MARKET DYNAMICS) ✅ Bullish Momentum Building (DXY showing strength!) ✅ Overbought? Maybe… but thieves don’t wait for permission! ✅ Trend Reversal Potential (Big money shifting!) ✅ Police (Resistance) Trap Ahead (Escape before they catch you!) 📡 NEWS & RISK MANAGEMENT (DON’T GET BUSTED!) 🚨 High-Impact News? AVOID new trades! (Use trailing stops to lock profits!) 📊 Check COT Reports, Macro Data, Geopolitics (Smart thieves do their homework!) 💥 BOOST THIS HEIST – LET’S GET RICH TOGETHER! 👊 "Hit the LIKE & BOOST button to fuel our next heist!" 💖 "More boosts = More robberies = More FREE money for YOU!" 🚀 ⚠️ DISCLAIMER (LEGAL SPEAK) "This ain’t financial advice – just a damn good robbery plan. Trade at your own risk, and don’t cry if you ignore the SL!" 😎 🔔 Stay tuned for the next heist… The market’s our playground! 🏴‍☠️💰 🚀 "See you at the next breakout, thief!" 🚀 🔥 #DXY #Forex #Trading #BankHeist #ThiefTrading #ProfitPirates #MakeMoney #TradingView #SmartMoney 🔥
FXOPEN:DXYLong
by Thief_Trader
The best strategies if the US dollar rebounds this summerFor several months now, the US dollar (DXY) has been under pressure against the major currencies, falling by over 11% since the start of the year. However, technical and fundamental signals suggest that a low point could be reached this summer. In this scenario, it is essential to measure the possible consequences on the markets and anticipate the best strategies to protect or boost your portfolio. At this stage, the US dollar has not confirmed a major low, but it will eventually happen, so it's important to anticipate the consequences for all asset classes, and identify the best strategies to implement at an early stage, particularly on Forex. In this new analysis in the TradingView columns, we ask a number of questions, including the impact on gold, the price of bitcoin and Forex vehicles for exposure to a possible rebound in the US dollar. 1) On the technical front, many of the bearish targets have been made The first point to watch is the technical configuration. The DXY is now evolving on long-term support levels, with divergences indicating that the downtrend is running out of steam. Indicators such as the RSI and MACD show that selling pressure is weakening on the weekly timeframe. The monthly uptrend line is still active, although the signal varies according to the scale chosen. It's still too early to say that the US dollar has made its final low, but it's worth bearing in mind that most of the bearish technical targets in Elliott waves have been made. 2) If the US dollar were to rebound this summer, what impact would this have on gold and the bitcoin price? Secondly, a rebound in the dollar would have a direct impact on other asset classes. Gold is influenced by several fundamental factors, notably its inverse correlation with the US dollar and the impact of GOLD ETFs, which are themselves closely linked to the underlying trend in the US dollar. Overall, we believe that if the US dollar were to rebound, gold would lose a good third of its bullish fundamentals. The table below summarizes the factors influencing gold's underlying trend. Crypto-currencies, and Bitcoin in particular, could also be penalized by a stronger dollar and a contraction in global liquidity (M2). The US dollar plays a very direct role in the calculation of M2 global liquidity, and the bitcoin price is highly correlated with the underlying trend in M2 global liquidity. This indicator, which aggregates the money supply of the major economies converted into US dollars, generally acts on bitcoin with an average lag of around 12 weeks. The latest statistics show a new all-time high for this global liquidity. This factor is helping to sustain the upward trend observed since April, despite a complex fundamental context marked by a Federal Reserve determined to maintain a restrictive monetary policy in the short term. The US dollar, by strengthening or weakening, directly modifies the total value of M2 expressed in dollars. This contributes to the extent of global liquidity and, consequently, to the evolution of bitcoin. Consequently, if the US dollar rebounds this summer, expect a bearish impact on BTC from this autumn onwards. 3) If the US dollar rebounds this summer, what are the best Forex strategies to consider? Finally, on a practical level, there are several strategies to consider. On Forex, a dollar rebound scenario calls for monitoring major pairs such as EUR/USD, in order to identify selling entry points if a top is confirmed. But the most direct and unleveraged way to gain exposure to the US dollar (DXY) is through ETFs. Should the US dollar rebound, then exposure to a US dollar (DXY) ETF may be a good strategy. Unlike futures and CFDs, there's no leverage, so it allows for better risk management. We also suggest that you keep a close eye on the USD/CAD, USD/JPY and GBP/USD currency pairs in the event of a summer rebound scenario for the US dollar against a basket of major currencies. We will continue to bring you regular analysis on the US dollar to determine whether or not a major low will emerge this summer. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. 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TVC:DXY
by Swissquote