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DXY July 6 AnalysisDXY July 6 Parent Bias Bear WEEKLY ANALYSIS *Good example to witness price trend for the second week-the pull back I was anticipating did occur just not to the level I had suggested in last Sundays journal *Note Price wicked to the .70 level on the monthly *Price took key equal lows and rebalanced a FVG from Feb 22 *Monday/Tuesday Price seek lower prices *Mid week consolidation-expected *Thursday price took equal highs I was anticipating *Friday Asia *PM session of NY price retraced to close in consolidation *Thursday expansion to buy side then on Friday reversal WEEK AHEAD IDEAS *Price closes in a consolidation on the previous days range 50% *I suspect that price could seek the minor equal highs/FVG potentially reach for the gap from Thursday possible target should it really expand - this could be Sundays delivery *could price expand for higher prices beginning of the week *No news until Wednesday *Sundays delivery can affect my ideas stay open
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
DXY Potential Bullish Reversal – Target 99.456 DXY Potential Bullish Reversal – Target 99.456 🎯 Technical Analysis Overview: 🔹 Trend Structure: The chart illustrates a recent downtrend, which has been broken as price moved above the descending trendline, signaling a potential trend reversal. 🔹 Pattern Insight: A bullish harmonic pattern is visible (possibly a bullish Bat or Gartley), with the price reacting from the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), aligning with key support near 96.500. The market has respected this zone multiple times, evident from the orange highlighted circles showing price rejections. 🔹 Support & Resistance: Support Zone: ~96.500 Breakout Zone: ~96.985 (current consolidation near this resistance) Target Zone: Marked at 99.456, which aligns with previous structure and fib projection. 🔹 Market Sentiment: Price is consolidating after breaking the downtrend, forming a bullish rectangle (accumulation). The green arrows indicate bullish intent from buyers defending support levels. 🔹 Price Action Signal: Formation of higher lows. Break of structure and close above previous highs. Possible breakout pending above consolidation box. 📊 Conclusion: DXY shows bullish potential as it builds a base around strong support. A confirmed breakout above the rectangle could fuel a rally toward 99.456. Keep an eye on volume and confirmation candles for entry. ✅
TVC:DXYLong
by MrStellanSight
#Dollar / #Bitcoin correlation I've previously described the correlation, and it's clear to everyone: a weaker DXY is positive for BTC. 📝Recently, the dollar has grown significantly and seems close to a local maximum (the chart is inverted). This demonstrates the strength of Bitcoin, as it was able to rise even against a strengthening dollar. 💡Imagine its movement when the new administration plans to lower the dollar price like they did last time. I think we will see a similar scenario as in 2017, when the dollar, from a local maximum, begins to provide a tailwind to the movement of assets that trade against it.
TVC:DXY
by FeelsStrategy
Relation between DXY BTC TOTAL#📄 Analysis of three price charts and comparison between dates and movement ◀️ So far, the anticipated rise in alternative currencies has not occurred, and the rise that has happened is considered small and weak since the bottom of 2022 📄 In the first price chart, we see the movement of the US Dollar Index (DXY) 🔽 Each time the index breaks below the 100.00 level, it has a path to test 90.00, and this path has been achieved twice before during the periods of 2017 - 2018 and 2020 - 2021, with each time lasting approximately 320 days ◀️ At the moment we are in, there has been a break below the 100.00 level in DXY, and we are currently on day 84 of this break ⭕️ In the first break between 2017 - 2018, Bitcoin moved up by 2128%, and alternative currencies moved up by 3030% ⭕️ In the second break between 2020 - 2021, Bitcoin moved up by 608%, and alternative currencies moved up by 1668% ⭕️ In the current third break, which is still in its early stages, Bitcoin has moved up by 48%, and alternative currencies have moved up by 23% ⌛️ This period may extend into the first quarter of 2026, and it is essential to monitor developments closely with daily and weekly follow-ups
TVC:DXYLong
by mehmetwehbe
DXY IS BULLISH, SELL EURUSD, GBPUSD, WANNA BET?My last publish about dxy was stopped out but that doesn't invalidate the trade. We will still see a bullish dollar and bearish EURUSD AND GBPUSD. SL @ 96.775 TP 1 @ 97.620 TP 2 @ 98.285 TP 3 @ 99.420 Use this trade to learn compounding and grow your account. Dont just take 10 pips and run off, once in profit,add more at a discount prices. The TP is certain Enjoy Follow me as my trades are market order, so you will see them on time and enter on time.
TVC:DXYShort
by UGBOR
Dollar Testing The Channel Support It’s already Friday and the 4th of July, so US holidays are here, which means we could see thinner trading conditions later today. Still, the overall tone remains risk-on since yesterday, supported by better-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls data and an ISM services reading at 50.8—still in expansion territory. So, there’s some optimism in the market, and this could continue if we get a positive outcome on the tariff front ahead of the July 9th deadline. On the back of strong economic data, US yields are moving higher, but the Dollar Index is trying to come lower. It’s currently retesting the lower trendline of a corrective channel—likely due to the strong rally in US stock indexes, which are keeping the dollar under pressure. On the daily chart, the Dollar Index still looks like it could head to new lows, but that move may not come today if holiday conditions slow down the market. We might have to wait until next week for a clearer breakout. GH
TVC:DXY
by ew-forecast
DXY Short Very Soon going to $96 or lowerCorruption has broken out all over America. Nothing good can come of this. Wait for a solid Red weekly bar on DXY and short until 96 or lower. - Earthquakes - Wildfires over 600 - Floods - Riots - Epstein Files - Housing (Only for the rich) - Rental Increases - Home Insurance Price increases - Fraud for the Elite (Multiple Coins Created with withdrawals outside of US involving other Presidents) - Crypto Investigations on Politicians - Children Migrants being deported (Age 6 with Cancer) TVC:DXY FX_IDC:CADUSD ECONOMICS:USTR FRED:TREASURY
TVC:DXYShort
by MatrixBits
### **Bearish Analysis of DXY (U.S. Dollar Index)**### **Bearish Analysis of DXY (U.S. Dollar Index)** The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has recently shown a weak trend, with a prevailing bearish sentiment in the market. The primary factors driving this outlook include: ### **1. Rising Expectations of Fed Rate Cuts** - Recent weak U.S. inflation data (such as May's PPI and CPI) have reinforced market expectations that the Fed may cut rates as early as September. - Morgan Stanley predicts the Fed could implement a cumulative 175 basis points in rate cuts by 2025, further reducing the dollar's appeal. ### **2. Trade Policy Uncertainty** - The Trump administration has recently threatened new tariffs (e.g., 30% on imports) against the EU, Mexico, and other nations, escalating global trade tensions. - Wall Street institutions warn that Trump’s tariff policies could trigger capital outflows, putting additional pressure on the dollar. ### **3. Growing Recession Concerns** - Fears of a U.S. economic "hard landing" are intensifying, particularly due to deteriorating corporate orders, earnings forecasts, and capital expenditure plans, which could weaken the dollar’s safe-haven status. - The expanding U.S. fiscal deficit (reaching $1.36 trillion this fiscal year) is further eroding confidence in the dollar. ### **4. Technical Weakness** - Since the beginning of 2025, DXY has fallen by approximately **8.4%**, marking its worst annual start on record. - The index currently faces key resistance at the **97.80-98.00** range. A failure to break above this level could lead to further declines toward **96.50** or lower. - RSI and MACD indicators suggest weak short-term rebound momentum, maintaining a bearish bias. ### **5. Risk of Capital Outflows** - The U.S. "**899 Asset Tax**" proposal could increase costs for foreign investors holding dollar-denominated assets, potentially accelerating global divestment from the dollar. - Goldman Sachs estimates that the dollar remains **overvalued by ~15%**, leaving room for further depreciation. ### **Outlook** In the near term, DXY’s movement will depend on: - **June CPI Data** (A lower-than-expected reading could reinforce rate cut expectations, further weakening the dollar). - **Trade Negotiation Developments** (Escalating tensions may trigger risk-off sentiment, while easing could relieve dollar pressure). - **Fed Policy Signals** (More explicit dovish guidance could extend the dollar’s downtrend). **Conclusion:** Given multiple bearish factors, the U.S. Dollar Index is likely to remain weak in the short term. Traders should closely monitor key economic data and policy shifts.
TICKMILL:DXYShort
by trade1638
DXY Weekly Update — July 14, 2025⌛ Timeframe: . 📆 Analysis Date: July 14, 2025 . 🎯 Weekly Bias: Bearish-to-Neutral (Potential for retracement or reversal) 🔎 Market Overview: ⬇️ Persistent USD Weakness: DXY has dropped nearly 10% YTD, marking the steepest half-year decline since 1986. 📉 Rate Cut Expectations: Markets are pricing in a potential 75bps rate cut by the Fed in H2 2025, pushing yields and the dollar lower. 📦 Trade War Fears: Renewed tariff risks (targeting EU, Japan, Mexico, South Korea) aren't boosting demand for USD — a signal of lost safe-haven appeal. ⚖️ Central Bank Diversification: Global reserve managers are rotating into gold and away from USD, weakening long-term structural demand. 🌀 Sentiment & Risk Appetite: 💸 Liquidity Demand is Soft: DXY is retesting a 4H fair value gap (97.10–97.30), suggesting potential short-term consolidation or correction. 🌍 Risk-On Mood Returns: According to Goldman Sachs, the USD is trading more like a "risk asset" than a haven, aligning with rising equity appetite. 📉 Technical Landscape: 🟠 4H Structure: If DXY breaks below 97.00, next support lies at 96.37, followed by 95.50–96.00. Consolidation expected if price remains within the FVG. 🔻 Key Resistance: 97.70–98.20 zone. A break above this area could change the tone to bullish. 📌 Summary: 🔷 Fundamentals show long-term dollar weakening (rates, trade tension, reserve shifts) 🔷 Sentiment aligns with risk-on appetite and reduced USD demand 🔷 Technicals at critical level; break below 97.00 opens room for correction, break above 97.70 shifts bias bullish . . . . 🟠 Bias: Bearish to Neutral Watch Levels: 97.00 support, 97.70–98.20 resistance ⚠️ Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always apply risk management. ✅ If you like this analysis, don't forget to like 👍, follow 🧠, and share your thoughts below 💬!
TVC:DXYShort
by Apollo_Capital
DXY Bearish Setup Entry: 97.50 (current price) Target (TP): 96.500 or below Stop Loss (SL): ~97.80 (above recent swing high or resistance) Risk Management: Essential — position size based on SL distance and account size 🔍 Trade Rationale: Technical View: Price may be forming a lower high, suggesting possible downside continuation. Fundamental Pressure: Market cautious on Fed rate path Tariff uncertainty could weaken USD Upcoming FOMC minutes may add pressure if dovish signals emerge
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Harry_Megat