Wave V in PlayThe market appears to have completed a corrective wave IV, forming an ABC structure that tapped into the key demand zone around 20,025.1. This zone aligns with previous structure support, the lower boundary of the ascending channel, and a critical trendline.
🔍 Likely scenario:
If price holds above this level, we could be witnessing the beginning of wave V, with potential targets near 20,254.5.
Wave V is expected to unfold in 5 smaller internal waves and may extend further if price breaks through the mid-channel resistance.
🚨 🔺 CRUCIAL LEVEL TO WATCH: The 20,215 area is extremely important. Price reaction here will be decisive:
A strong rejection could signal a truncated wave V or the start of a deeper correction.
A clean breakout would confirm bullish continuation toward 20,254.5 and beyond.
🟢 Key Zones:
📌 Demand: 20,025 – 20,000
📌 Critical Resistance: 20,215
📌 Wave V Target: 20,254.5
📌 Invalidation level: A drop below 19,975 would invalidate the current bullish count.
📌 Trade Plan:
Look for bullish confirmation at 20,025 to consider long setups.
Watch 20,215 closely for signs of strength or rejection. If price breaks above it with momentum, continuation is likely.
USTEC trade ideas
Approaching 200SMA and long-term uptrend line, pullback expected(The following is a personal opinion and not investment advice. Please exercise independent judgment before making any decisions.)
Last week, the market remained in a consolidation phase near recent highs. The current price has broken through and is approaching the 200-day moving average, while also nearing a retest of the uptrend line that began in 2023. Considering the price has been on a 9-day upward streak, there is a high probability of a significant pullback upon reaching these key resistance levels.
At present, it is difficult to categorize the overall market trend as either bullish or bearish. With ongoing uncertainty around tariff-related policies, the market appears to be in a consolidation phase rather than a sustained uptrend, lacking fundamental support for further rallies. As such, there is a higher probability that the price will fill the lower gap at 18,264.
Next week, special attention should be given to the FOMC rate decision and the press conference on Wednesday. Recent employment data has been strong, and inflation has shown signs of rising. The Fed is expected to maintain its current stance, which could trigger a market sell off. It's also possible the pullback may begin as early as Monday or Tuesday, offering opportunities for early positioning.
From a technical perspective, if the price continues to rise, it may test the area around the 200-day moving average and previous trend resistance, roughly between 20,226 and 20,400. Should this area be tested early in the week (Monday or Tuesday), I would consider initiating short positions. Light positions can be considered above the 20,000 level, as the current price range offers a relatively favorable risk-to-reward.
To the downside, a break below the 19,000 level is required first, after which there's a higher probability of filling the price gap between 18,264 and 18,583. If supported by macro news, the market may further test lower levels in the coming weeks, including 17,589, 17,278–16,946, and potentially 16,108–16,589. These levels will require further observation as developments unfold.
US100 Locking as Bullish directionUS00 Structure Looking as strong Bullish Pattern,
Forecast from Mr Martin Date 02 May 2025,
US100 Price will looking as buy side recently price will break and catch the support after push to buy side the bullish structure continue to play out the next project would be a clean rally toward the top of the channel US100 is holding its bullish structure well,
Key Level to watch
Resistance level 20,500 / 21,000
Support Levels 19,500
you can find more details in the chart of you find this idea help or learned something new then leave comments Thanks for Regarding.
NASDAQ-100 Head & Shoulders Breakdown?I've been tracking a potential head and shoulders pattern on the NASDAQ-100, with a neckline at 17,720. If the pattern completes and breaks down convincingly, the measured move projects a target near 13,200 — a significant potential drop.
While technical patterns aren’t guarantees, they often coincide with underlying fundamentals. In this case, there are several macroeconomic headwinds that could catalyze such a decline:
Sticky Inflation and Interest Rate Uncertainty: Despite some progress, inflation remains above the Fed’s target. A “higher for longer” rate environment continues to pressure equity valuations, especially in tech-heavy indexes like the NASDAQ-100.
Weakening Consumer and Corporate Spending: Retail sales and corporate earnings revisions have shown signs of fatigue, suggesting slowing momentum in key economic drivers.
Global Tensions and Supply Chain Risks: Ongoing geopolitical instability, including issues in the Middle East and renewed U.S.–China trade rhetoric, could reignite volatility and affect global growth assumptions.
Overvaluation and Narrow Market Breadth: A small group of mega-cap tech names have driven much of the recent rally, leaving the broader market vulnerable if leadership falters.
With technical and fundamental factors aligning, this setup is worth watching closely. A confirmed break below the neckline could be more than just a chart pattern—it may reflect a broader shift in sentiment.
Nasdaq long up to 21,454.57Nasdaq is working on a strong recovery from the US tariffs.
Last Friday we saw a strong liquidity grab, respecting the current bullish trend and breaking the weak highs.
I do expect a little pullback to generate some more liquidity before pushing to higher highs at 21,454.57
US100 4HNASDAQ Analysis – Continuing the Bullish Path
As expected from the previous analysis, NASDAQ continued its bullish move and has now reached a key level.
A short-term correction is anticipated, which may provide a better buying opportunity.
The projected upside target remains at 22,600, where a new ATH could be formed.
Let’s see how the market reacts from here.
US100 SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
US100 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 21,312.4
Target Level: 19,338.7
Stop Loss: 22,625.1
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Price Outcomes"This Is For The Record"
Dealing Range(DR) -Previous day High and Low
Seeing that Wednesday sell side liquidity DR swept by Thursday London sweep.
To confirm Thursday sweep, Wednesday high broken by Thursday
Price retraced 61% of Thursday DR to AOI-"iFVG" as support to go higher
Today London open showed support to Asia Low displacing to Asia high and breaking through it
Clear 1hr OB left in London session for NY to retrace and balance price
Now that NY opened and went higher we can still be open to PDH challenged as no Session lows or major key levels PDH-PDL broken
If still bullish price will have to break PDH and sweep internal liquidity lows
If bearish previous day high- PDH to be sweep area of interest AOI in NY and show clear bearish rejection,
NY now at 30min order block -OB in premium area of dealing range-DR, if there is rejection to the OB, Price must displace NY low and respect any form of resistance made to the NY low eg. FVG or OB
I wont participate in sell unless previous day low displaced.
Sit back and wait for the market to show its hand at key levels and AOI.
Bravo Six. Badged member of the SAS. Task Force QT17
NSDQ100 INTRADAY uptrend continuationTrade Tensions – Trump’s Tariff Plans
Donald Trump said he will set new tariff rates on trading partners within the next 2–3 weeks. China tariffs may remain at 30% through late 2025, according to a Bloomberg survey.
Relevance:
Renewed tariff threats could pressure Nasdaq 100 names with global exposure, especially semiconductors and large-cap tech (e.g., Apple, Nvidia).
Heightened inflation and supply chain risks may weigh on broader risk sentiment.
Geopolitical Risks – Russia, Middle East
Trump is open to meeting Vladimir Putin, though peace talks in Istanbul remain unproductive. Meanwhile, he returns from the Middle East with $200 billion in UAE investment deals.
Relevance:
Limited direct impact on Nasdaq 100, but reinforces broader geopolitical uncertainty, which may influence market volatility and global risk appetite.
Meta Under Pressure – Competition and Regulation
ByteDance, owner of TikTok, is reportedly on track to match Meta’s revenue this year. Meta shares fell on reports of delayed AI development and increasing EU regulatory pressure around user age restrictions.
Relevance:
Meta (META) faces increasing headwinds from both competition and regulation.
Sentiment could spill into other ad-driven or AI-exposed Nasdaq 100 names.
xAI Controversy – Grok AI Glitch
Elon Musk’s xAI chatbot Grok posted controversial content due to unauthorized system tampering. The company has since corrected the issue.
Relevance:
Raises concerns about oversight and content control in the AI space.
May indirectly affect sentiment around AI-related names in the Nasdaq 100, including Tesla and other emerging AI platforms.
Conclusion – Nasdaq 100 Implications
Caution warranted around large-cap tech, especially Meta and AI-focused companies.
Trade war rhetoric and geopolitical risk could add volatility to the broader index.
Watch for market reactions to tariff announcements, regulatory headlines, and key AI developments.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 21540
Resistance Level 2: 21710
Resistance Level 3: 21900
Support Level 1: 20890
Support Level 2: 20730
Support Level 3: 20600
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NASDAQ Potential Bullish Reversal OpportunityNASDAQ price action went through a massive correction during the global tariff war.
However after potential recent developments, we may finally see a direction towards the resolution of widespread tariff based uncertainty across the macro economic landscape.
This presents us with a potential Reversal opportunity if we see the formation of a credible Higher High (given a potential proper break out) on the Daily and shorter timeframes.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 20440
Stop Loss @ 19500
TP 1 @ 21380
SHORT NAS100Updated Market Read on NAS100 Footprint
🟠 1. Trend & Price Action:
The overall short-term structure remains bearish.
The rally seen around 07:00–08:00 AM failed to hold above 21,220 and got rejected quickly.
Price has rotated back below the 21,200 key level and is currently printing at 21,194.5, below the VWAP-style center line.
🔴 2. Delta & Volume Shifts:
Look at 06:30–07:00 AM:
Strong positive delta: +290 with 11.51K total volume → Buyers were active.
However, the next few candles (07:00–08:00) show delta flipping negative again (-303) despite decent volume (13.49K).
This indicates buying effort was absorbed, and sellers regained control.
📉 3. Sell Imbalances Reappear:
From 07:30 onward, you see clear sell imbalances (left-side red/black clusters) starting to stack again.
Especially at the top of candles — typical of aggressive selling into buyer attempts.
🧊 4. Absorption Failed at Resistance:
The previous support zone at 21,220–21,240 is now acting as resistance.
Price was rejected right at this level, with sellers stepping in forcefully.
✅ Current Bias: Bearish Continuation
Key Supporting Evidence:
Failure to hold above 21,220 resistance.
Return of negative delta dominance.
Rejection after attempted bullish response (failed absorption).
Sell imbalances resuming into highs.
⚠️ Levels to Watch:
Support: 21,140 – held earlier and could still see responsive buyers.
Breakdown Level: If 21,140 breaks on heavy sell delta, next move could extend lower.
Resistance: 21,220–21,240 – current supply zone.
🔁 Trade Implication:
Short bias below 21,200, targeting 21,160 → 21,140.
Invalidate if price closes above 21,240 on strong positive delta and imbalance flip.
NAS100 | Footprint Chart UpdateKey Developments:
Price just closed above the 21,200 key level with a modest bullish footprint.
Positive delta (+18) with relatively light total volume (~110 contracts) suggests controlled buying rather than aggressive initiative buyers.
Buyers successfully absorbed the heavy selling pressure from the previous candle (delta -293) and pushed price higher — a short-term bullish signal.
📊 What This Means:
The market is showing signs of potential reversal after holding 21,160 and reclaiming 21,200.
If buyers can maintain strength above 21,200, we may see a move toward the 21,240–21,260 resistance zone.
Watch for increased buy imbalances and stronger delta on the next candles to confirm follow-through.
⚠️ Caution:
A failure to hold 21,200 and a drop back below it could signal a bull trap, leading to a re-test of 21,160 or even 21,120.
📍Levels to Watch:
Support: 21,200 → 21,160 → 21,120
Resistance: 21,240 → 21,260 → 21,300
🧩 Current Bias: Cautiously Bullish – Awaiting confirmation from next candle’s order flow.
📌 Stay disciplined. React, don’t predict.