TONUSDT_EQCGSC.USD trade ideas
TON opens new horizons for users and developersThe Open Network (TON) is a decentralized blockchain originally developed by the Telegram team, designed for scalable and fast transactions. TON is utilized across various sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), gaming applications (GameFi), and payment systems, providing users and developers with a reliable and efficient platform for creating and using decentralized applications.
The first two months of 2025 have been pivotal for TON: the ecosystem has demonstrated significant growth and taken strategic steps that have strengthened its position in the crypto industry. During this period, 3.1 million new wallets were activated, with daily activity ranging from 170,000 to 590,000 users. Monthly trading volume reached an impressive $500–700 million, while weekly transactions grew to 20–30 million, placing TON among the top 8 blockchains by this metric.
Another major announcement was that TON has become the exclusive blockchain infrastructure for Mini Apps on Telegram. This means that all mini-apps on Telegram will now utilize TON for tokenization, payments, and integrations, ensuring users a more convenient, secure, and faster experience with decentralized services.
A key growth factor was the partnership with LayerZero, enabling seamless USDT transfers between Ethereum, TRON, and Arbitrum , with plans to expand to over 100 different blockchains in the future. This move significantly boosts network liquidity and enhances its attractiveness for developers and users.
Toncoin – The native currency of TON. It is used for network operations, transactions, gaming, and NFTs. Key growth factors for the TONUSD crypto pair in 2025:
Deep integration with Telegram – TON’s role as the primary blockchain infrastructure for Mini Apps in Telegram grants access to a vast user base and attracts developers.
Expansion into the U.S. market – The new president of TON Foundation is actively developing strategic partnerships in the U.S., strengthening the blockchain’s global influence.
Investments in DeFi and PayFi – The TVM Ventures fund is allocating $100 million to ecosystem development, fostering growth and innovation.
Technological enhancements and integrations – Integration with LayerZero and the launch of the Omnichain Fungible Token (OFT) standard will improve TON’s compatibility with other blockchains, expanding its functionality.
With such strategic initiatives and continuous infrastructure development, 2025 is set to be a breakthrough year for TON, solidifying its position as one of the leading blockchain projects worldwide.
And at FreshForex, we proudly offer you:
1. The ability to open a trading account in TON (Toncoin).
2. The option to trade the TONUSD (Toncoin vs. US Dollar) pair and profit from price fluctuations 24/7.
TonCoin- Eliminate the useless, keep the essential.
- imo Toncoin looks bottomed, but remember, crypto moves fast, if BTC dips, altcoins usually follow harder.
- That said, for now, I don’t see altcoins dropping further; they sound to be not far from a rock bottom.
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Simple Trade Strategy :
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- Buy now around 3$
- Keep some juice to DCA more around 2.30$
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TP : 5.50$
SL : 1.95$
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Play Wisely !
Happy Tr4Ding !
TONUSD Daily Price chartLooking at this Toncoin (TON/USD) chart, I see a well-defined ascending channel pattern that's been forming since early 2022, with several key technical elements worth noting:
Channel Structure & Current Position
Price is trading at $3.5686 (+0.67%)
TON is currently near the lower boundary of the ascending channel (marked as "Buy Zone" at ~$2.6)
RSI (14) is at 27.43, indicating oversold conditions
Key Price Points
Current support at the lower channel line (~$2.6-2.7 range)
Strong horizontal support around $2.7155
Resistance zone at $12-13 (marked in blue rectangle)
In mid-term this setup suggests a potential buying opportunity with:
Entry Zone: $2.6-2.8 area (where the price meets the lower channel boundary)
Stop Loss: Below $2.2 (approximately 15% below entry to account for volatility)
Profit Targets:
First target: $6.0 (previous resistance level)
Second target: $9.0 (previous high marked as point 3)
Maximum target: $12-13 zone (upper channel projection)
in long temm in 2-3 yaers later i see a bright future for TON's holder!!
Please tell me what you think about the future of TON.
All the best
Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis for ToncoinMarket Overview:
Trend: Toncoin is in a clear downtrend, breaking below key moving averages.
Key Levels:
Resistance: ~$4.00 - $4.10
Support: ~$3.70 (weak), ~$3.50 (stronger)
Indicators:
MACD: Strongly bearish, indicating further downside potential.
RSI: At 25.2, oversold, suggesting a possible short-term bounce.
Volume: Decreasing, meaning weak buying pressure.
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Range Scalping (Short-Term Play)
Why? TON is near oversold levels, meaning a small bounce is possible.
How?
Buy near $3.70, targeting a bounce to $3.90 - $4.00.
Sell near $4.00 - $4.10, as resistance is strong.
Stop-loss below $3.65, as further breakdown risk exists.
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If Trend Resumes)
Trigger: A breakout above $4.10 or breakdown below $3.70.
Execution:
If TON breaks $4.10, scalp long targeting $4.30 - $4.50.
If TON drops below $3.70, scalp short targeting $3.50 - $3.40.
🩸 3. EMA Scalping
Why? TON is trading far below the 200 EMA ($5.37), confirming bearish momentum.
Execution:
Short near EMA 9 (~$3.90 - $4.00) if price fails to reclaim it.
Go long only if price holds above $4.10 with strong volume.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
Bias: Bearish → Neutral if $4.10 reclaims
Why?
TON is heavily oversold, but momentum is still bearish.
$3.70 must hold—if lost, a drop to $3.50 is likely.
RSI signals oversold conditions, but a bounce needs volume confirmation.
If TON reclaims $4.10, upside potential to $4.50 - $4.70 opens.
🔥 News & Market Context:
No strong bullish catalysts, so TON depends on overall market movement.
If BTC breaks down, expect further downside for TON.
Potential short squeeze if volume increases above $4.10.
🔥 Decision: Enter or Stay Out?
🩸 Short-term: Scalping is possible, but risk is high.
🩸 Mid-term: Bearish unless TON breaks and holds above $4.10.
🩸 Ideal Play: Look for a bounce from $3.70 or short rejection near $4.00.
👑 Final Verdict:
$3.70 must hold! If lost, TON heads for $3.50. If $4.10 breaks, bullish recovery possible. Play smart! 🔥
TONUSD Be ready for $12.00 this Summer.It has been almost 5 months (September 12, see chart below) since the last time we analyzed Toncoin (TONUSD) and made our bearish call:
As you can see, it successfully hit our 3.50 Target and the 0.618 Fibonacci level. With that being a direct contact with the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Up, while the 1D RSI got oversold (<30.00), we expect the new Bullish Leg to start.
All previous oversold RSI hits (with the exception of Aug 05 2024) have been bottoms and with +300% being a standard rise within this pattern, we expect to see $12.000 as the next High.
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Taking a Long Position in TONUSDTAfter thorough analysis, I’ve decided to take a long position in TONUSDT, as the market currently aligns with all my key criteria for entry.
Here’s what I see:
1. Bollinger Bands indicate a potential bounce, as the price is trading near the lower band, suggesting oversold conditions.
2. Moving Averages (MA) have provided additional confirmation, showing support at the current levels.
3. Support Lines are holding steady, and current market conditions suggest a favorable environment for a potential upward move.
Given these factors, I believe this is a good opportunity to enter the market.
Position Details:
• Margin: $30
• Leverage: Cross setup
• Total Position Size: $453
Risk Level:
This trade is classified as medium risk, considering the current market volatility and the use of cross margin.
Why TON?
The fundamentals and technicals for TON look promising. The market has shown resilience even in challenging conditions, and the alignment of indicators makes this setup particularly appealing.
As always, proper risk management is key. Let’s see how this plays out!
What’s your take on TON right now? Share your thoughts
TONUSDT: A Fresh StartAfter a challenging period with two unsuccessful short positions, I’m now entering a new phase with a long position in TONUSDT. Here’s why I see this as a promising opportunity.
Market Context: The Oversold Thesis
We seem to be back at the point where all indicators are flagging TON as oversold. This creates a potential entry point for a rebound. The market activity surrounding TRUMP coin might be partly responsible for this situation.
It seems that many traders are scrambling to buy TRUMP coin on Solana, selling off other assets—potentially including TON—in the process. While this aggressive push toward TRUMP coin has driven its market cap to an astonishing $8 billion, I’m not convinced this is a sustainable strategy. Such a frenzy often leaves room for other undervalued assets like TON to shine.
Why TON Looks Promising
Despite the wild market dynamics of yesterday, TON stands out with promising indicators signaling potential for growth. Its oversold conditions combined with strong fundamentals provide a compelling case for a rebound.
Position Details: Turning to Longs
After the pain of two short positions, it’s refreshing to find an opportunity to go long. TONUSDT offers a chance to recalibrate and capitalize on market mispricing caused by speculative hype elsewhere.
While the crypto market remains volatile and unpredictable, this position feels like a calculated risk backed by data and market context.
Duration:
This is a short-term trade.
Target:
The goal is to achieve 100% profit. The entry is made on Binance with 25x leverage, using a $30 margin, resulting in a total position size of ±$700.
Risk:
This trade is classified as medium risk in crypto.
Toncoin (TON): Key Levels for the Next Move🔥 Toncoin’s Strategy:
🩸 Long: Above $5.50, targeting $5.80 and $6.50. (Buy if price confirms support at $5.20 and breaks through $5.50)
🩸 Short: Below $5.20, targeting $4.50. (Sell if the support at $5.20 breaks and price moves down)
🔥 Toncoin’s Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $5.96 — The price needs to break this level to continue its upward movement.
🩸 Support: $5.20 — A critical support zone; if the price breaks this level, we might see further downside.
Market Context: The price is currently holding near the $5.36 range, testing the $5.20 support level. A break above $5.50 would lead to a potential target of $5.80. However, a break below $5.20 could push the price further down, possibly reaching $4.50. Keep an eye on the MACD and EMA indicators for confirmation.
👑 "Patience and precision will define the path forward—watch for the breakout above $5.50." — FinCaesar
$TONUSDT the same as SOLUSDT #LONGI believe we can take one additional trade as well. TON is showing strong support levels, and we previously had a great entry point at $5.13. That’s why it makes sense to repeat this trade.
Duration:
This trade can be either short-term or long-term, depending on your goals. Alternatively, you can approach it as an investor in the TON ecosystem, which allows you to average down costs if the trade doesn’t go as planned. The key here is to monitor funding rates, especially if you intend to hold for a longer period.
Target:
The goal is to achieve 100% profit. The entry is made on Binance with 25x leverage, using a $30 margin, creating a total position size of $766.
Risk:
This trade is considered medium risk, especially if you’re prepared to use dollar-cost averaging (DCA) to manage the position. For additional caution, I’ve set a loss limit at 60% of the deposit this time.
Toncoin (TON): 1-9 🔥 Potential Price Targets for Next Month:
🩸 Near-term Goal: $5.00
🩸 Long-term Goal: $4.20
🔥 FinCaesar's Strategy:
🩸 Short: Below $5.50, targeting $5.00 and $4.20. Bearish MACD momentum and sustained selling pressure support further declines.
🩸 Long: Above $5.95, aiming for $6.20 and $6.50. A reversal would require a significant bullish volume, which remains uncertain.
🔥 FinCaesar's Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $5.95 — The next significant hurdle for the bulls to overcome.
🩸 Support: $4.20 — A breakdown below this could signal a deeper decline.
Toncoin is struggling near resistance, with MACD showing weakening bullish momentum. If the price fails to break above $5.95, further declines toward $4.20 remain possible.
👑 "In times of uncertainty, only the swift will claim victory—make your move with precision." — FinCaesar