This Chart Screams Strength — Are You Positioned?The total crypto market cap is currently showing a very strong technical setup. It’s holding firm at a major long-term rising trendline, which has historically acted as a launchpad for massive bullish moves across the market. Additionally, the 100 EMA is providing solid support, further reinforcing this zone as a key demand area.
We’re also seeing a bottomed-out Stochastic RSI, now starting to curl upward — a classic early signal of momentum shifting back to the bulls. Although the market is still sitting just below the long-term resistance line, this type of structure often leads to strong breakouts once confidence returns.
If this trendline support continues to hold and the market cap begins pushing back toward the $3 trillion mark, we could see a major surge in altcoin strength. Historically, this is when altcoin capital rotation picks up and narratives gain momentum. Overall, the crypto market is flashing strength — and this might just be the calm before a powerful altcoin rally.
Thanks for reading! Please do like and follow us for more updates.
TOTAL trade ideas
Crypto Euphoria Is Back, But Should It Be?📈 Bitcoin is back above 90k and the crowd is cheering again: moons, 150k by summer, non-stop hopium.
But is the overall picture that bullish? Not even close.
📊 Looking at the Total Market Cap chart :
- After that long November to late February consolidation, Total finally broke below the 3T support
- We retested the break and new local lows followed
- The recent bounce? Looks corrective, not impulsive
- And we’re still trading below 3T and with good percentages
❗ Conclusion:
I’m not buying into the hype.
In fact, I’m expecting a new leg lower – possibly all the way to 2T
📌 Trading Focus:
Shorting Solana and ETH
MARKETS week ahead: April 21 – 27 | XBTFXLast week in the news
Tariffs and inflation continue to be the major two words on the financial markets, shaping investors sentiment. The S&P 500 tried to start the week with a positive sentiment, but the two scary words spoiled the game, so the index ended the week almost flat, at the level of 5.282. On the other hand, the word “tariff” continues to strongly support the price of gold, which reached a fresh new all time highest level at $3.354. The US yields are showing a different sentiment, when it comes to potential negative impact on tariffs on the US economy, and especially, Fed's decision to make two rate cuts during the course of this year. The 10Y US benchmark yields dropped during the week, ending it at the level of 4,33%. The crypto market was left a bit behind investors' spotlight. BTC was testing the $85K resistance during the whole week, and was traded in a relatively short range.
The news of the week was that the ECB cut its reference interest rates for one more time by 25bps. In an after-the-meeting speech, ECB President Lagarde put trade tensions at the central point and that further restrictiveness of the monetary policy is meaningless. She also noted that a potential cut of 50 bps was also on the table during the ECB meeting. The high uncertainty of potential impact of trade tariffs remains a concern not only for investors on the US markets, but also for the ECB.
The ECB President Lagarde urged the introduction of the digital euro in Europe, during the press conference. She called for swift action on the legislative groundwork which will support the introduction of digital euro in the near future. She thinks that such a move is necessary in the current geopolitical environment, which will make the Euro economy more productive, competitive and resilient.
There has been a discussion in the news during the previous week, if China is offloading its holdings of US assets. It was based on the news that the largest sellers of US Treasuries two weeks ago were Japan and China. As per analysts involved in the matter, China is still holding around 50% of its foreign portfolios in the US assets. However, referring to recent Chinese sale of US Treasuries, analysts are noting that it might be rather a way to stabilize the renminbi-dollar exchange rate, then actual offloading of US assets. It is also noted that a strong sale of US assets could make renminbi quite stronger, which is not in the best interest of China at this moment.
The Canary Capital investment fund has filed with the SEC a proposal for a spot ETF which will track the price of Tron. The investment fund will also offer an extra yield through staking.
As Cointelegraph is reporting, one of the largest retailers in Europe, German Spar, is testing payments in Bitcoin at its store in Zug in Switzerland. This is by far the major crypto retail trial in Europe.
Crypto market cap
CRYPTO MARKET
The crypto market was relatively calm during the previous week. There has been a relatively smaller volatility compared to two weeks ago, which was part of markets focus on traditional markets and the word “tariffs”. There have been both weekly gainers and losers, while BTC managed to end the week flat compared to the week before. Total crypto market capitalization also remained flat on a weekly basis, with only a modest funds outflow of around $13B. Daily trading volumes were significantly decreased, to $73B from $130B traded two weeks ago. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, still holds at -18%, with $580B outflow of funds.
There have been both gainers and losers among altcoins on a weekly basis. The major coin, BTC remained relatively flat w/w, without significant changes. ETH continues to lose in value. Last week the coin lost 1,5% in value or around $3B. XRP was also on a losing side, decreasing its cap by 2,5% w/w, or $3B. Some of the significant weekly losers include Theta and ZCash with weekly losses of around 10% each, while DOGE was down by 10,6%, followed by ADA, with a drop in value of 9%. On the opposite side was Solana, with a weekly gain of 6% or $4B. Filecoin was traded higher by 3%, and Ethereum Classic ended the week higher by 2,5%.
This week Filecoin had a much stronger weekly increase in coins on the market or 1,2%, which was significantly higher from average of 0,3% w/w. DOGE, Solana and Algorand had a weekly increase of circulating coins of 0,1%.
Crypto futures market
Crypto futures were also traded in a relaxed mode during the previous week. BTC futures were traded higher by around 1,2% for all maturities. BTC futures maturing as of the end of this year reached the last price at $88.895, while those maturing in December 2026 were last traded at $94.205.
ETH short term futures price levels were increased by around 1,3% on a weekly basis, while the longer ones were traded higher by 0,9%. ETH futures maturing in December 2025 closed the week at the level of $1.667, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $1.796.
Total crypto MC - 1DThe total crypto market capitalization on the daily timeframe has formed a Falling Wedge pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern. The price has broken out above the upper resistance line of the wedge, confirming the breakout. Currently, the price is undergoing a retest of the breakout level, which now acts as support. If this support holds successfully, it is expected that the market will experience an upward move in the near term, signaling potential bullish momentum.
Crypto Total Market Cap Analysis Looking at the 2D and 6W structure, I’m noticing something significant:
On the 2D chart, price is climbing back toward the $3.73T zone, where we saw resistance previously. This could act as a major retest level — especially if momentum continues.
On the 6W excluding BTC, there’s a clear bullish channel in play. The market appears to be forming a rounded base near the 826B–721B zone, which aligns with the pullback zone I've been tracking.
If this structure holds and volume confirms, the crypto market could be setting up for a mid-cycle reversal. We’re no longer chasing — we’re observing how candles respect the structure and waiting for price to confirm the trend shift.
Discipline over hype. Structure over noise.
Let’s see how this plays out over the next few candles
Relative Strength - CryptoA comprehensive multi-asset relative strength analysis tool that visulaises the performance of sets of 40+ USDT-based crypto pairs using a custom multi-factor ranking system. This script evaluates and visualizes each asset's relative strength score based on a combination of:
📈 Sharpe Ratio – reward vs. volatility
📉 Sortino Ratio – reward vs. downside risk
📊 Omega Ratio – ratio of positive to negative returns
These metrics are calculated over a short-term lookback period (default: 5 bars) to capture recent momentum.
Starts Late, Ends Late: 2026 Bull Market?Market conditions are so different now. Everything is changing fast and radically, it has to do with the stars. The way the stars are aligned now has not happened in hundreds of years. The type changes we are seeing now have not happened in hundreds of years.
It is not only the financial markets but the whole world and the way we perceive reality is changing in so many ways. This is certain to have its effect on the Cryptocurrency market, the effect is already present and tangible, market conditions (reality) will never be the same.
The bull market is starting late. By this date in 2021, everything was up and up really strong. Some pairs had already peaked, literally, some altcoin trading pairs had already peaked by April 2021. The full cycle complete. Thousands of percentages of points of growth.
What about now? It is April 2025 and the bottom is in on many pairs. Only last week, 7-April, we had a marketwide bottom. The start of the 2025 bull market cycle and phase. A late start can translate into a late end.
Now, a full bullish cycle can be completed in 6 months. This is not necessary nor required. Also, the market is much bigger now, it wouldn't be feasible, there would be too much rush.
Think of the market as an entity that wants to survive, thrive, live and grow. Can it go through years of bearish action and only produce several months of growth? Balance is needed. The market needs a bullish cycle to keep the participants engaged or else everybody will quit forever if there is nothing to gain.
The fact that the Altcoins market hit bottom is the most bullish signal there is, but, looking at all these charts, hundreds of charts, something tells me that what is coming will be different to the past. Actually, it will be similar because the last bull market happened from March 2020 through late 2021. So we can have a bull market from April 2025 until some time in 2026. I just don't believe that everything will end too fast, within six months, because we are having a late start. It will be the other way around, the bull market will extend.
Instead of Cryptocurrency growing for 1 year, we might get continued growth for 2-3 years straight, maybe more for some pairs. Some pairs have been dropping for 4 years while others have been down for 6 years or more. When things change, these pairs will be experiencing sustained long-term growth.
Other pairs grew strong and never moved below support. These pair were supposed to drop according to classic past patterns and yet, they all remained strong and ready for more. This bull market will be out of the ordinary. Everything that is happening right now in finance and politics is not the same as always, it is a true generational change.
We are going through a phase of evolution and this is what will cause the bull market to extend. Late start, late end.
Namaste.
Total Crypto market capthe total crypto market cap look like it has completed a complete 5 wave macro cycle. considering the uncertainty of the coming trade war. it is possible the market has already topped and we should be seeing a deep correction in the coming months.
it also note worthy to consider that GOLD, nasdaq , SNP500 and dow jones are forming the same market structure. Will there be a recession coming? what will the current black swan catalyst be?
stay safe and trade with the trend. trade the chart stick to the plan and dont let emotions get the best of you.
$4.6T Peak by Dec 2025 or $1.3T Bottom Is the crypto market cap poised for a final euphoric rally to $4.6T by December 2025, or are we backtesting resistance before a brutal drop to $1.3T by January 2026? My analysis, based on major trend lines, Elliott Wave patterns, and historical price action, suggests both scenarios are in play. Let’s break it down.
Bullish Scenario: $4.6T by Dec 2025
The total market cap is riding an ascending channel from the 2022 lows (~$800B). My trend lines show resistance at $3T-$3.5T, where we’re currently testing. Historical cycles (2017, 2021) often end with an extended 5th wave, driven by altcoin mania and institutional FOMO. If we break $3.5T, the next Fibonacci extension (1.618) targets ~$4.6T, aligning with Q4 seasonality (crypto’s strongest quarter). Key support at $2.5T must hold for this to play out. A Bitcoin breakout above $100K or Ethereum hitting $5K could fuel this rally, with DeFi and Layer-2 tokens adding juice. Risk: Overbought conditions could cap the move early—watch for RSI divergence at resistance.
Bearish Scenario: $1.3T by Jan 2026
Alternatively, my wave count suggests we’re in a corrective wave 2, backtesting $3T resistance after wave 1 peaked. If rejected here, wave 3 could drive a steep correction to $1.3T, a 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and prior support from mid-2023. Historical bear markets (2018: -88%, 2022: -73%) show crypto’s vulnerability post-peak. My trend lines mark $1.5T-$2T as interim support, but a macro shock—rising yields, regulation, or recession—could push us lower. Timing Risk: Jan 2026 is aggressive; a bottom might extend to Q2 2026 absent a clear catalyst.
Why These Levels?
Trend Lines: The ascending channel and $3T resistance are clear on the weekly chart. A break above confirms bullish momentum; rejection signals bearish reversal.
Historical Action: Past cycles show parabolic tops followed by 50-80% corrections. $4.6T fits euphoria; $1.3T fits pain.
Patterns: Elliott Waves align with my markings—wave 5 for bulls, wave 3 for bears. The $1.3T level matches the 200-week MA, a cycle bottom indicator.
What to Watch:
Bullish Confirmation: Break above $3.5T with volume; Bitcoin holding $80K+.
Bearish Confirmation: Rejection at $3T, break below $2.5T support.
Invalidation: Bullish case fails below $2T; bearish case fails above $4T.
This isn’t a prediction but a map of possibilities. My drawings highlight the levels and patterns guiding my view—check them on the chart. What do you think—bullish blow-off or bearish breakdown? Let’s discuss!
TOTAL Crypto Market Cap Monthly Candle Close numbers & sequence
This is the TOTAL version of the Bitcoin chart I post every month
It is not always the same but, on average, it has the same Candle colour but not always the same Size, due to influences of ALT coins.
But what I want to draw your attention to is where that arrow is pointing.
We have just had a RED Febuary and March candle close.
This has only ever happened ONCE before.
Late 2019 - Early 2020
Infact, in 2019 we had Dec RED, Jan GREEN, Feb RED, March RED
And currently we have Dec RED, Jan GREEN, Feb RED, March RED,
The 2020 March RED was the Covid dive, that was swiftly recovered
Currently we have the "Trump Tariff Dive"
In so many ways, we are repeating the early 2020 Sequence in the TOTAL Cap
The Bitcoin Chart however, seems to be repeating the 2017 Sequence.
In 2020, TOTAL market Ca [pApril and May both closed GREEN. while en-route to a New ATH in March 2021.
A New cycle ATH in early 2026 is entirely possible though it would be Very Much out of sequence.
Things are different in many way with Crypto now...We are under new Regimes..
Discount Nothing
Interesting days indeed
MARKETS week ahead: April 13 – 18Last week in the news
Tariffs rollercoaster continued also during the previous week, with a glimpse of improved market sentiment. However, analysts are now questioning whether optimism is sustainable at this moment? The US Dollar significantly lost in value during the week, bringing the price of gold to its fresh, new all time highest level at $3.240. The US Treasuries had a strong reaction, where the 10Y benchmark yields continued to surge, ending the week at 4,49%. The US equities had another rollercoaster week. On Wednesday, the S&P 500 had an upside move of around 10%, which is extremely rarely seen on the equity markets. The index closed the week at the level of 5.363, after reaching its lowest weekly level at 4.845. The crypto market was also affected with the negative sentiment at the beginning of the week, but still, as of the week-end BTC managed to test the $85K resistance.
All macroeconomic news are put aside at this moment, as the market is looking only at word “tariffs”, which is currently the most popular word also among world leaders. The US Administration said that they will put tariffs on hold for the majority of countries for the next 90 days, except for China. Another news is related to decreased tariffs to 10% which will now be imposed on the majority of countries in the world. However a tariffs-war between the US and China continues. At this moment, the latest news is that the US is imposing tariffs of 145% to China, while China is imposing tariffs of 125% on goods imported from the US. Whether this is going to be the final tariff outcome, no one knows. As per comments from China officials, they are not ready to back up. The Chinese finance minister commented “Even if the U.S. continues to impose higher tariffs, it will no longer make economic sense and will become a joke in the history of the world economy”. Many analysts agree with the absurdity of such high tariffs, while there are few who still believe in the “Art of the deal”.
Negative effects of tariff war are already reflected on the US supply chain. Majority of goods imported from China cannot be distributed further to retail stores, as companies are not sure which tariffs to apply. On the other side are mortgage loans, which surged to the level of 7% for the period of 30 years. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment results were posted during the previous week, with surprisingly lower figures from expected one. Certainly, currently most important are inflation expectations of US consumers, which surged to the level of 6,7% from 5% expectations in March.
The recession fears are again among investors. The famous US investor and CEO of BlackRock, Larry Fink, noted during the previous week in an interview his opinion that the US is “very close, if not in, a recession now”. Regardless of the current sentiment, he thinks that “megatrends” in the US economy, like artificial intelligence, would persist.
Crypto market cap
CRYPTO MARKET
Two weeks ago the crypto market was left behind investors' view during the general sell off on traditional markets, however, the situation changed during the start of the previous week. Some optimism came at the week-end, bringing another highly volatile week on the crypto market. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 2% on a weekly basis, mostly due to the surge of BTC at Saturdays trading session, bringing additional $ 44B to the market cap. Daily trading volumes remained relatively stable compared to the week before, moving around $130B on a daily basis. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -18%, with $567B outflow of funds.
Previous week was generally the volatile one, with almost equal numbers of coins which ended the week in red, and those with a green weekly gain. BTC gained mostly at Saturday's trading session, where it managed to end the week with a 2,3% weekly gain in market capitalization, bringing almost $ 40B to its market cap. On the opposite side was ETH, which lost significantly during the week, decreasing its market cap by 8,1% or almost $18B. At the same time, XRP was traded flat during the week, same as BNB. Among significant gainers was Solana, with a surge in market cap of more than 10%, or $6,3B. Maker was up by 5,3%, while Algorand surged by 4,5%. Among weekly losers were Monero, with a drop of more than 3%, Theta was down by 2,6%, same as Stellar. This week Uniswap and Stellar also closed the week in red, with a drop of around 5%.
With respect to coins in circulation, this week, both XRP and Stellar increased their number of coins on the market by 0,2%. Solana also had an increase in the number of coins of 0,3%, while Filecoin, traditionally is increasing its circulating coins, this week by 0,4%.
Crypto futures market
The negative sentiment from the spot market was also reflected in the crypto futures. This week was different for BTC futures, as there has not been evident the same level, linear drop in the value of futures for all maturities. The short term futures had a modest weekly decrease of around 0,5%. At the same time December 2025 ended the week by 1,3% lower, at the level of $87.695. Longer maturities had a larger weekly drop in the value of futures of more than 4%. In this sense, December 2026 closed the week at $93.115, or 4,7% lower. On a positive side is that longer term maturities are still managing to hold above the $90K levels.
ETH futures had a linear decrease in the value of future contacts by more than 13% for all maturities. December 2025 ended the week at the level of $1.650, while December 2026 was last traded at $1.778.
Crypto Total Market CapCrypto is currently below significant resistance that may turn to support once price breaks above the trendline and closes above. Price is in a channel which i believe will be broken to the upside. This break can lead to a tremendous amount of activity in the crypto world. Stay tuned as price climb to a new ATH.
TOTAL Crypto Medium-Term Trend Probability #1The two indicators on the 1-day timeframe are now signalling a bullish outlook, suggesting potential short-term upside or bullish momentum in the crypto market!
This could encourage investors and traders to adopt a bullish stance, possibly entering positions, especially if reinforced by additional signals like rising volume or strong price action.
However, despite this shift, the recent downward trend raises the possibility that this bullish signal might be a brief bull trap or consolidation phase, rather than a resumption of a sustained long-term uptrend.
Market Cap in Focus— Will This Weekly Close Spark the Next wave?Total Crypto Market Cap is moving within a broadening channel that’s gradually opening to the upside — like a beautifully unfolding glass structure.
It recently tested the lower boundary of this channel and is now attempting to break above a key horizontal resistance zone and the 50-week moving average.
A weekly candle close above both levels could be a strong signal for renewed capital inflow into the crypto space.
This week’s close could set the tone for what’s ahead — keep your eyes on the chart. 🚀📈
Successful Retest Not Confirmed YetAccording to this weekly chart, an inverse H&S can be spotted. Price easily broke through previous ATH resistance and currently is being challenged to form a support replacing the ATH as resistance. Daily RSI is also pointing to a potential midiun term market reversal. In conclusion, clueless and optimisitc.