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MARKETS week ahead: August 5 – 10Last week in the news Previous week was marked with a lot of news, unfortunately with a negative sentiment for investors in financial markets. The FOMC meeting brought “nearing” a rate cut, which was generally positive, however, surprisingly weak jobs data made investors to re-think their positions, fearing a potential recession in the US. The Bank of Japan also surprised markets with a rate increase of 25 bps, pushing parity of the Yen 8% higher against US Dollar. The US equity markets continued with a correction, with S&P 500 ending the week at the level of 5.346. The US Dollar and the US Treasury yields reacted strongly on weak jobs data on Friday, bringing the USD lower and 10Y Treasury benchmark at the level of 3.78%. Aside from weakening of USD, the price of gold reacted to increased geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, still ending the week at the level of $2.443, after a profit taking. The crypto market was the worst weekly performer, where BTC reached a support level at $60K. The Federal Reserve held a regular meeting on Wednesday, and held the rates unchanged for the ninth consecutive meeting. Still, the only significant change in Fed Chair Powell`s rhetoric is that the first rate cut is “nearing”. The markets are now strongly perceiving that the first rate cut will occur in September. At this moment, there are some 58% odds that the rate cut will be 50 bps, instead of previously anticipated 25 bps, considering weak July`s jobs data. There is also discussion among investors that July`s jobs data showed the potential that the US is slowly entering into the recession. However, there are also few analysts who are noting that there might be a seasonal effect in July`s weak jobs data. The Bank of Japan lifted interest rates to the levels around 0.25%, from the previous range of 0.0%-0.1% and is halving its bond-buying purchase program. The BoJ Governor Ueda did not rule out another hike of rates during this year. At the same time, Yen strengthened against the US Dollar by around 8%. A move from the BoJ is significant for the US markets due to heavy carry trade which investors are traditionally using. Namely, investors are using interest rate differentials, and through leveraged funds in Yen with low interest rates to finance investments in the US markets. Increased interest rates and strengthening of Yen will impact investors to close some positions, which might bring additional negative impact to the US financial markets. Another news that hit the US stock markets during the previous week, was that Warren Buffet`s Berkshire Hathaway cut holdings of AAPL by almost 50%. At the same time, their cash holdings reached $276 billion from $189 billion posted for the first quarter. These figures were obtained from the company's quarterly filings, but the company itself did not make any comments. The analysts are referring to Warren Buffet`s comment to shareholders made in may, where he noted that the current stocks are too expensive in order to make a solid profit for the company. Crypto market cap The previous week was a tight one for the crypto market. The week started with unconfirmed news that the US Government has transferred around $2 billion worth of BTC to the unknown address. Based on a name provided, it seems that this transfer is related to the Silk Road DoJ. A lot of investors were concerned that this might be related to a potential sale of BTC, and started closing positions, in a fear of a potential BTC price drop. The week continued with news that BoJ increased interest rates, in which sense, some decrease in a carry trade might be expected. Friday`s weak jobs data increased fears among investors over a potential for a recession in the US. All these factors had an impact for investors' re-positioning, in which sense, the crypto market suffered another losing week. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 11% on a weekly basis, whipping out around $263B from the crypto market. Daily trading volumes reached levels around $170B on a daily basis, which is significantly higher from $101B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year dropped to $ 468B, which represents a 29% surge from the beginning of this year. Almost all coins lost value during the previous week. Certainly, BTC was the one to lose the most in nominal terms. BTC decreased its market capitalization by almost $171B, which represents a 12.5% drop on a weekly basis. ETH was following the general market trend, and decreased its cap by almost 12% or $46B. Previous week Solana was the one of the coins with a significant drop in the market cap of $19.2B or 22.6% on a weekly basis. Another coin which should be mentioned in this group is Binance Coin, which decreased its cap by $8.5B or 10%. In relative terms altcoins lost a significant portion of their value, which ranges from 10% - 20%. Among higher losers in relative terms were Filecoin, with a drop of 20.5%, DOGE was down by almost 20%, Theta lost 21.2% in value. One of the rare coins which managed to actually increase its market cap on a weekly level is Zcash, which managed to add almost 2% to its market cap. There has been some increased activity when coins in circulation are in question. Polkadot was the coin which strongly increased the number of its coins on the market by 2.7%. Filecoin traditionally increased its circulating coins by 0.3% this week, while Stellar and Tether had an increase of the number of coins by 0.2% w/w. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market closed on Friday, so developments on the spot market have not been fully captured in the closing prices for the week. Nevertheless, both BTC and ETH futures closed the week more than 8% lower from the week before. BTC futures maturing in December this year were last traded at price $64.775, while those maturing a year later closed the week at $71.780. On a positive side is that the futures maturing in December 2025 are still holding above the $70K level, which is a positive sign that the market is perceiving current drop in prices as only a temporary. ETH December 2024 futures closed the week at $3.125, while those maturing in December 2025 were last traded at $3.346.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
Is TikTok FOMO the Canary in the Crypto Coal Mine? How Memes and Hype Signal a Risky Market The meteoric rise of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies has captured the imagination of investors and the public alike. But amidst the excitement, a crucial question lingers: how do we identify when the market might be overheating? Traditionally, analysts have relied on technical indicators and economic data. However, the rise of social media, particularly TikTok, presents a new wrinkle in gauging market sentiment, especially with the influx of worthless meme coins and potentially misleading influencer endorsements. The Allure of Crypto on TikTok TikTok's short-form video format is a breeding ground for viral trends, and cryptocurrencies are no exception. Endlessly scrolling users are bombarded with enthusiastic pronouncements about the "next big coin" and testimonials of life-changing gains, often featuring meme coins with dog or cat logos. These videos exploit the "fear of missing out" (FOMO) mentality, pressuring viewers to jump on the bandwagon before prices skyrocket. However, many of these meme coins have little to no underlying technology or real-world application, making them inherently risky investments. The Mania Indicator: While social media can be a valuable tool for connecting with communities and sharing information, the sheer volume of uncritical crypto hype on platforms like TikTok, especially surrounding meme coins, can be a strong warning sign. When complex financial instruments are reduced to catchy slogans and presented as a get-rich-quick scheme with cute animal mascots, it suggests a market driven by speculation rather than fundamentals. Paid Promotions and Influencer FOMO: Further complicating the issue are influencers who promote specific cryptocurrencies, often without disclosing that they're being paid to do so. These endorsements can mislead viewers into believing these meme coins or hyped projects are legitimate investments. This lack of transparency can create artificial demand and inflate prices in the short term, but can also lead to dramatic crashes when the hype bubble bursts. A Canary in the Coal Mine? Historically, periods of intense social media buzz surrounding specific stocks or asset classes have often coincided with market peaks. Social media trends are fleeting, and the frenzy surrounding meme coins on TikTok could be a sign that the crypto market is nearing a period of correction. Beyond the Hype: It's important to remember that social media trends are fleeting. While these platforms can provide a glimpse into popular sentiment, they shouldn't be the sole basis for investment decisions. Conducting thorough research, understanding the underlying technology of a project, and employing sound risk management strategies remain paramount for navigating the ever-evolving crypto landscape. The Takeaway: The proliferation of meme coin cheerleading and potentially misleading influencer endorsements on TikTok serves as a stark reminder of the importance of measured analysis in the face of market exuberance. While social media can be a tool, responsible investors should prioritize fundamental analysis, avoid meme coins with no real-world application, and be wary of paid influencer promotions. A long-term perspective is essential when navigating the exciting, yet volatile, world of cryptocurrencies.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALEducation
by ParabolicP
5
Crypto Total Market Cap: Approaching Key Support - Will It Hold?#ETH/USDT #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + The chart shows the total crypto market cap trading within a descending channel, suggesting a bearish trend in the broader market. The marketcap has recently dropped sharply, approaching the lower boundary of the channel, which aligns with a key horizontal support level around $2.09T. + The 21-Day EMA ($2.227T) and 55-Day EMA ($2.279T) are sloping downward, indicating bearish momentum. The marketcap is currently trading below these EMAs, reinforcing the overall bearish sentiment. + The critical support level at $2.09T is being tested. If this level holds, it could serve as a base for a potential bounce back towards the upper channel line and the EMAs. However, a break below this support could lead to further declines, potentially towards the psychological level of $2.00T or lower. + The RSI is currently in bearish territory, around 33, indicating that the market is oversold but could still move lower. + If the total market cap holds above the $2.09T support level and breaks back above the 21 EMA, we could see a short-term relief rally. Key resistance levels to watch are the 21 EMA ($2.227T) and the upper boundary of the descending channel. Bullish Scenario: If the total market cap holds above the $2.09T support level and breaks back above the 21 EMA, we could see a short-term relief rally. Key resistance levels to watch are the 21 EMA ($2.227T) and the upper boundary of the descending channel. Bearish Scenario: A break below the $2.09T support level could trigger further selling pressure, with the next key support levels around $2.00T and the lower boundary of the descending channel. This would confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by VectorAlgo
TOTAL CRYPTO TICKERThe auto fib retracement and auto fib extension show both indications cryptocurrency ripe to for taking in addition to a complete bottoming out of the price as a whole. Distracted by something, or too busy soaking up the second month of summer? Long orange line represents the time period when the drop happened and the price of cryptocurrency going beyond the 100 day without improving therefore falling. Looks like an opportunistic moment where the fibonacci levels appear as though cryptocurrency is flailing around underneath the resevoir of time and money.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by CryptocurrencyBlot
Crypto Market Forms A Bullish SetupCrypto market made a nice bullish setup formation with a five-wave rally in July, followed by an a-b-c flat correction. It has just came nicely into projected 2.2T – 2.1T support area within wave »c« of an a-b-c flat correction in wave (2), from where we should be aware of a bullish continuation within wave (3). However, keep in mind that we have important NFP report (US jobs data) today, so it's recommended to wait on confirmations, which is sharp or impulsive bounce back above 2.45T level.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by ew-forecast
Total Crypto Market Cap vs. Interest Rates Interest rates set by the Federal Reserve (FED) have a significant impact on the total cryptocurrency market capitalization. By analyzing the relationship between these two factors, we can observe distinct phases in the crypto market's behavior in response to changes in interest rates. FED Increasing Interest Rates : When the FED raises interest rates, it often leads to money flowing out of the crypto market. Higher interest rates make traditional investments more attractive, reducing the appeal of cryptocurrencies. This results in a downtrend across all cryptocurrencies. FED Fixing Interest Rates at the Top : Once the FED halts interest rate increases and fixes them at a peak, the crypto market typically starts to recover. Bitcoin usually sees strong upward movements, while other cryptocurrencies experience more modest gains. This phase marks the beginning of a reversal to an uptrend. FED Lowering Interest Rates : When the FED begins to lower interest rates, the crypto market undergoes a short distribution phase. Investors reassess their positions, leading to some volatility. However, this phase is quickly followed by an upward trend as lower interest rates increase the attractiveness of riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. FED Fixing Interest Rates at the Bottom : When the FED fixes interest rates at a low point, there is a significant inflow of money into the crypto market. This period is characterized by aggressive price increases across various cryptocurrencies, with substantial pumps in market values. Investors anticipate FED decisions: It's important to note that changes in crypto prices often precede the FED's official decisions . Investors tend to anticipate the FED's next moves by analyzing economic indicators and positioning themselves accordingly. This means the crypto market often reacts to expectations of interest rate changes before they are officially announced.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by Monstralian
The Crypto Market is Approaching Escape Velocity Total Crypto Market Cap - CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL ✅Tags 10 month moving average. ✅14 months into a 29 month bull run timeframe. 🎯You can see where we are now v's last two cycles (Oct 2016 & Aug 2020). The road to riches is paved with patience Donald Trump's Recent Key Statements at Bitcoin Conference in Nashville 1. Vowed to hodl the 210,000 BTC held by U.S. Government and use it as a strategic reserve to back the U.S. dollar. 2. Promised bitcoin miners that by the end of his presidency, they would enjoy access to the cheapest energy in the world (presumably to encourage miners to the U.S. and to make the U.S. key to the Bitcoin infrastructure and a main holder of the asset in the world). 3. Trump promised to protect the right to self custody and to establish an bitcoin presidential advisory council. 4. He promised there would be no U.S. Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) on his watch. 5. He vowed to free the silk road creator Ross Ulbricht who is currently serving a double life sentence in a Federal Prison for his involvement as founder of the silk road platform (which sold illegal items via CRYPTOCAP:BTC transactions and was shut down in Nov 2014). Ross was aged 30 at the time, and is now 40 and served 10 years jail time for setting up an illegal internet enterprise system. 6. Trump pledged to fire Gary Genlser on day 1 of his term.... Gary is the Chairman of the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) and has been a major obstacle to crypto acceptance and arguably illegal obstructive towards the approval ETF's, to the point an U.S. federal judge stated the following: " the SEC's reasons for denying an application by Grayscale Investments to list a bitcoin spot ETF were "arbitrary and capricious" and in violation of federal administrative law." Final Note Obviously, all of the above is incredibly bullish, however it also hinges on Donald Trump being elected. Whilst this appears to be a certainty, recent events could have altered history. Just something to keep in mind. At present, the chart looks incredibly bullish and like we are entering the most bullish period in crypto based on last cycles. Hang onto your handle bars, things look like they are about to really kick off. PUKA
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by PukaCharts
MARKETS week ahead: July 29 – August 03Last week in the news The released June PCE Index was the major driver of the sentiment on financial markets during the previous week. The US Dollar strengthened during the week, however, PCE data pushed the currency into correction. Following the correlation with the USD, the price of gold ended the week a bit higher from previous weekly levels, at $2.385. The 10Y Treasury yields were optimistic about the potential rate cut in September, pushing yields lower from 4.20% level. In light of potential rate cuts, investors are switching attention to small cap stocks, in which sense, the S&P 500 continued with a correction to the downside during the week, ending it at the level of 5.459. In a quest for riskier assets, investors pushed the price of BTC toward the levels above the $68K. The FOMC meeting is scheduled for the week ahead, hence, market nervousness might continue. The Fed's favorite inflation gauge was published on Friday, posting an increase of 0.1% for a month, bringing it to the level of 2.5% on a yearly basis in June. At the same time, core PCE, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2% for the month and 2.6% y/y. The posted results were in line with the market estimate. Current market sentiment regarding potential Fed's rate cut in September is best described by Rober Frick, economists working with Navy Federal Credit Union, who note in an interview with CNBC: “Spending is good enough to maintain the expansion, and income is good enough to maintain spending, and the level of PCE inflation is good enough to make the decision to cut rates easy for the Fed”. Apple is no longer a top smartphone seller in China, as per analysis conducted by the Canalys. The domestic Huawei took the advantage on China's market from Apple. Since the beginning of the year, Apple's sales in China are in decline by 25% on a yearly basis. In light of the US equity market correction during the previous two weeks, analysts from UBS continue to be positive on the future developments on this market. In their positive view, they are noting positive economic growth in the US. The further development within the IT industry and increased AI use, they see as a positive factor for the future development of stock prices of tech companies. The first spot ETH exchange traded fund started trading in the US, after SEC`s approval. The interest of investors was significant, reaching $1 billion during the first trading day. Black Rock`s ETH ETF saw around $800 million in inflows during the first two days. Still, the staking in the ETH would not be possible for the moment, as this product might violate several SEC`s rules and the US Law on securities. Howard Lutnick, CEO of the financial services firm Cantor Fitzerald noted at the Bitcoin Conference in Nashville that the company is planning to launch a $2 billion in bitcoin financing business. The plan of the company is to provide leverage to bitcoin holders. Crypto market cap The crypto market was traded in a relatively mixed manner during the previous week. There have generally been two major events that shaped the market sentiment. The first one is related the first to ETH ETF which was released for trading, after SEC`s approval, and the other one is related to macro data in the US, where the release of June PCE data showed slowdown in inflation, supporting market expectations that the first rate cut might occur in September this year. Namely, as expectation in an environment of decreasing interest rates is surging, the investors are of the opinion that it would be positive for the crypto market, as investors would seek riskier assets for higher returns on their investments. Certainly, the majority of crypto investors were looking at developments with ETH, as the first ETH ETF managed to collect over $ 1B in funds during the first trading day. In this sense, some re-adjustments of positions in altcoins occurred. Regardless of a surge in the price of BTC, total crypto market capitalization decreased by 1% on a weekly basis, where the market lost some $36B in value. At the same time, daily trading volumes were also modestly decreased to the level of $101B on a daily basis, from $136B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $731B, which represents a 45% surge from the beginning of this year. The crypto market was traded in a mixed manner during the previous week. BTC managed to end the week in a positive manner, adding $ 26B to its market cap, increasing it by 1.9% on a weekly basis. Still, due to the start of trading of the first ETH ETF, there has been a drop in the market cap of ETH by 7.5% w/w, where the coin lost some $ 32B in value. Among other altcoins, there has been almost an equal number of losers and gainers. On a gaining side were coins like ZCash, which added 8.5% to its market cap, Solana is still in the spotlight of investors, with a weekly gain of 5%, while Tron managed to add 2.4% value to its market cap. Among altcoins who lost in value during the week were Theta, with a drop of 7.3%, OMG Network was down by 7.5%, while Algroand dropped by almost 11%. Among coins who finished the week in red were Polkadot, with a drop of 8.1% w/w, Maker was down by 6.9%, while the majority of other altcoins lost up to 5% in value. There has been several developments when coins in circulation are in question. During the week, Tether added 0.4% new coins to the market, increasing its market capitalization by this percentage. IOTA added 0.6% of new coins, which is not so frequently seen with this coin. Filecoin, traditionally, has increased its number of coins by 0.3% on a weekly level. Interestingly, Binance Coin pulled 1.1% of its coins from the market. There are no further details publicly available at this moment, what was behind such a pull back. Crypto futures market Movements from the spot market were reflected in the spot market, in which sense, BTC and ETH futures were traded in opposite directions. BTC futures were traded higher from the week before for all maturities. However, it should be noted that the movements on the futures market were lower from the spot market. BTC short term futures were traded around 0.5% on average, higher from the week before, while the longer term ones were higher by around 1% on a weekly level. BTC futures maturing in December 2024 ended the week at the level of $70.645, and those maturing a year later, at the price of $78.155. The first trading day of the ETH ETF pushed the price of ETH to the lower grounds, as well as ETH futures which were traded around 7.3% lower from the week before. ETH futures maturing in December this year closed the market at level of $3.406, and those maturing in December 2025 were last traded at price $3.646.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
CRYPTO TOTAL MARKET CAP (BULLISH IDEA)Hello Avid reader, I would like to share my take on the possible scenario for the Crypto Market. 1 - The market has been in consolidation phase for the past 4 months , creating a Typical Bull-Flag pattern . 2 - As you can see that the lows of the channel have been tested 4 times, but the selling pressure got absorbed on each test, signaling a Strong reversal. 3 - The mid of the channel (represented by dotted white line) precisely provided resistance / support to the PA in all the previous moves which is clearly visible on the chart. But the thing which I would like to highlight here, is that this time, the Price, very comfortably broke through the mid-zone and re-tested it as Support. 4 - There is a BISI (Buy-Side Imbalance & Sell-side inefficiency) highlighted by the green box. The PA might indulge this zone to grab un-touched Liquidity. 5 - USDT's Dominance is weakening and has formed a Bear-Flag pattern. Areas of interest are market on the chart. 6 - In Summary, I expect the Crypto Market cap to rise significantly in the upcoming weeks, especially in Q4 2024 & subsequently, in Q1 2025. We are likely to face some resistance in the 2.5 T to 2.55 T area, as highlighted in the red box. Thereafter, 2.7 T and 3 T would be my areas of interest for selling. Thanks.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by shadowkh1
3
Crypto Market going into a Downtrend or Re-testing Resistance? What's up guys! We are experiencing a huge shake up in the Crypto Market atm. Specially with the BTC sell off, alts really took a hit! Some even regressed so much that all the gains startig this year were lost at this point.  The question is, do you have a plan of action? Well, I do!! Let me share two possible scenarios.  1) On the Weekly and Monthly timeframes we are at a resistance area where you are expected to take profits and sell accordingly to secure gains, unless you're a breakout trader, then that's another story.  Having said this, on the Daily chart it is re-testing a support zone that could possibly turn into resistance, and if that happens, then we'll go short. Once it finishes the re-test and it's successful, we can aim to short at the next demand zone. If you go to weekly TF you'll see it even clearer.  The zone is marked with the BUY icon over the green rectangle. Once you get to the zone, it's an awesome area to BUY! 2) Price could totally bounce from here and get back into the range. We'll need to wait for the breakout of the downward trendline along with volume. We can't aim too high here since we have a roof kind of close. I marked here with the Sell icon the zone that I believe is going to drive selling pressure or some kind of heavy reaction. So we can take profits there in the short term. Monitor closely these key levels, as they have extra added confluences from the past. I hope you found this article helpful. Don't forget to boost and follow 👽 Tip of the Day: Manage your risks, set targets in advance, and read the news! As always, keep it Shiny ⚛️ Kina, The Girly Trader
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by KinaStar
MARKETS week ahead: July 22 – 28Last week in the news There are two major events which impact the markets during the previous week. The first one was assassination attempt on the US presidential candidate Donald Trump, which occurred on Sunday, and the second one was the largest IT outrage that occurred during an update of the Microsoft systems. The ECB left interest rates unchanged, but it was somehow left behind market interest, due to previous two events. BTC rallied during the week, ending above the $ 67K during weekend trading. The US Treasury yields are weighing potential rate cuts in September, reverting a bit back toward 4.24%. Gold tested higher grounds, however, ending the week for one more time at $2.4K due to strengthening of the USDollar. Major IT outage made investors question whether tech companies reached their maximum within this economic cycle, which pushed the S&P 500 1.9% lower as of the weekend. The European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged at their meeting held on Thursday. This was in line with market expectations. In an after-the-meeting speech, ECB President Lagarde noted that the potential rate cut in September is open, considering weakening in the economy of the EuroZone, while the inflation is expected to stay at lower levels. Some policy makers are still of the opinion that the June rate cut was premature. A software update from the company CrowdStrike impacted a huge IT outrage in the western countries and Australia. Computers with Microsoft operating systems were affected, some 8.5 million as per Microsoft estimate, impacting that governments, hospitals, airports, banks, payment systems and many other important functions stop working and providing services. At the same time, Mac and Linux operating systems were not affected. Engineers from both CrowdStrike and Microsoft managed to fix the issue within a few hours, but the damage had already been done, through a significant drop in the share prices of some 10% of both companies. There is an emerging number of analysts who are warning their clients over a potential reversal in the US stock market. The latest warning came from strategists from Societe Generale Bank. They noted a recent surge in small cap companies, where investors are slowly moving their assets from the tech industry to companies which could benefit the most from upcoming rate cuts. They noted “with the US Tech sector now accounting for some 35% of the S&P 500 market cap, investors need to be on high alert for a potential bursting of the bubble”. Italy made its first digital bond issuance through the Polygon network. A state owned development bank Cassa Depositi e Prestiti SpA and Italy's largest lender, Intesa Sanpaolo, completed a bond issuance in the amount of 25 million euros with four month maturity. Crypto market cap There are generally two major events which occurred during the previous week, which impacted a strong shift in the crypto market capitalization to the upside. The first event occurred on Sunday, which was related to assassination attempt of the US Presidential candidate Donald Trump. As this unfortunate event significantly increased his odds to win the presidential elections, the investors changed the sentiment for the crypto market from neutral to positive, considering that Trump supports the crypto industry. The second event occurred on Friday, with the highest IT outage occurring due to an unfortunate Microsoft operating system update. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 14% on a weekly basis, adding $296B to its market cap. Daily trading volumes were also increased to the level of around $136B on a daily basis, from $124B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $767B, which represents a 47% surge from the beginning of this year. This was a second green week on the crypto market, however, with a stronger impact. Major coins were leading the crypto market cap increase in nominal terms. BTC surged by more than 15% on a weekly basis, adding total $175B to its market cap. ETH took the second place with a surge of almost 12% w/w, increasing its value for $44.5B. Solana had an excellent week, with an increase in market cap of $15.8B or 24.4% on a weekly basis. BNB should be also mentioned, as the coin surged by almost 13%, adding $ 10B to its cap. DOGE surged by almost 21%, increasing its cap by additional $3.3B. This week XRP also had good performance with a surge of 10.6% or $3.2B. The majority of other altcoins also had a surge of around 10% w/w. Interestingly, there has been only a few coins on a losing side, few of which are ADA, which was down by 0.6%, Tron dropped by 4.5% while Uniswap was down by 1.2%. Changes in the number of circulating coins slowed down a bit during the week. Tether generally had a good week, with a surge in coins of 1.3%, which is the percentage of increase in its market cap. Stellar added 0.3% of new coins to the market, while Filecoin increased its number by 0.2%, same as XRP. Crypto futures market Movements from the spot market were reflected also in the crypto futures market. Both BTC and ETH futures were traded on higher grounds from the week before. BTC short term futures were traded higher by more than 16%, for all maturities, while ETH futures closed the week around 13% higher from the week before. BTC futures maturing in December this year closed the week at price $69.500, while those maturing a year later were last traded at $77.440. This represents one of the highest prices of BTC futures for maturity December 2025, and expresses current strong market optimism regarding BTC`s levels in the future. ETH futures maturing in December this year were last traded at $3.674, while those maturing in December 2025 closed the week at $3.932.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: July 15 – 21Last week in the news The US CPI data for June were the major market mover during the previous week. A better than expected CPI data pushed the value of USD to the lower grounds, supporting the price of gold to test again levels modestly above $2.4K. US Treasury yields also adjusted to these results, where 10Y Treasuries dropped to the level of 4.18%. At the same time, the S & P 500 reached a fresh new all time highest level at 5.658. The only market that was not quite sure which side to trade was the crypto market. BTC was testing $58K resistance levels, but it also tested a $55K support line. Crypto market bulls and bears were not able to agree which side to trade. Fed Chair Powell had a testimony in front of the US Congress, where he provided information to the Congress members on the state of the US economy and further changes in the US banking regulations in terms of potential implementation of the Basel standards. Still, the markets were most interested to hear any news regarding potential timing of the first rate cut. Although he avoided openly discussing any timing of such a move, still he noted that inflation is not the only indicator when FOMC is deciding on the rate cuts, but they are also closely watching developments on the job market, in terms of its potential further weakening. His testimony did have some modest influence on financial markets in terms of higher volatility, however, analysts were interpreting his notes in a different manner, in which sense, consensus on the month of Fed`s pivoting is still not unified among market participants. Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan, continues to hold to his previous anticipation that the inflationary pressure could continue to hold, and in this sense, potential Fed's rate cuts should be taken with precaution. He is supporting his views with “large fiscal deficits, infrastructure needs, restructuring of trade and remilitarization of the world” which all constitute a potential threat which could set the road for another round of inflation in the US. Potential Fed's rate cuts have also been a topic for discussion within the crypto community. The question was imposed on expectations of the crypto investors and traders of how Fed`s pivoting will impact the price of BTC. The majority agree that it should be positive for BTC and other major crypto coins, as there is a general expectation that lower interest rates will boost the liquidity and in this sense support the price of BTC. Still, it should be noted that there are some investors with the opinion that the market had already priced in Fed's rate cut when BTC`s price reached $ 73K and that this time they do not expect any significant market reaction. JPMorgan, DBS and Standard Chartered banks joined forces to raise additional $60 million of funds, through series B funding, in order to support their joint project called Partior. The aim of this project is to establish an interbank payment network based on a blockchain technology for instant clearing services. Several employees of Open AI made complaints with the Securities and Exchange Commission over company`s too restrictive non-disclosure agreements made with employees, through which, they are not able to openly discuss any irregularities related to deployment of AI. This news was published by Reuters during the previous week, in which employees seek an SEC investigation over the “irresponsible deployment of AI” and its “full compliance with SEC rules”. Crypto market cap After a strong sell off on the crypto market two weeks ago, it managed to modestly recover during the previous week. However, it was evident that the recovery was relatively weak during the week, as the market was still not sure which side to trade, and whether the sell off was finally over. Just as a reminder, there has been an announcement from crypto exchange Mt Gox that the bankrupt exchanger will return to its creditors some $9 billion through Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash. During the month, the German Government sold its BTC holding worth around $2.8 billion. At the same time, BTC ETF`s became net sellers, instead of net buyers of BTC, while a combination of factors led to significant pressure on BTC and other crypto coins. During the previous week, the total crypto market managed to add 1% to its capitalization, increasing it by $28B. Daily trading volumes remained under pressure, moving around $ 90B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $471B, which represents a 29% surge from the beginning of this year. Previous week was a green week on the crypto market. Almost all coins gained in value on a weekly basis, with only a few marking a modestly red week. BTC managed to increase its market cap by 1.3%, adding $14.6B to its cap. ETH added $13.7, increasing its value by 3.75% w/w. This week XRP was the coin with a notable gain of $5.2B in value, surging by 20.8% w/w. Cardano also had a good week with a surge in cap of $2.5B or 19.3%. Some other coins with relatively good performance in relative terms were ZCash, with a 33.1% surge in value, DASH was higher by 11.1% w/w, Maker ended the week higher by 15.2%, while Filecoin was up almost 12%. Only a few coins ended the week lower from the week before, among which were Solana, who decreased its market cap by 1.5%, OMG Network was down by 2.5% and DOGE dropped by 1% w/w. There have been some developments when coins in circulation are in question. Cardano increased the number of coins on the market by 0.3%, Tether`s number of coins was up by 0.2%. This week Miota increased its circulating coins by a significant 0.6%, while Filcoin traditionally surging by 0.5%. Crypto futures market In line with reverted optimism on the spot market, the crypto futures market ended the week in green. BTC short term futures ended the week higher by some 2% on average. Still, December 2024 closed the week at the price of $60.185, which was almost 6% higher from the end of the previous week. BTC longer term futures were traded 1.8% higher from the week before, while December 2025 closed the week at level of $66.405. ETH futures had an increase in the futures prices above 4% for all maturities. ETH futures maturing in December this year were last traded at $3.251 or 4.30% higher from the end of the previous week. December 2025 closed the week at $3.478 or 4.16% higher on a weekly basis.
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by XBTFX