Eth capitulation to dominationEthereum Investment Thesis: A Programmable Settlement Layer for a Decentralized Financial Future
Ethereum stands at the intersection of programmable money, digital settlement infrastructure, and financial innovation. As the second-largest blockchain by market capitalization, it is not merely a platform for decentralized applications—it is evolving into the base layer for a new global financial internet. Its value proposition rests on four structural pillars: sound monetary mechanics, scalable architecture, an expanding Layer 2 (L2) ecosystem, and dominance in developer and capital gravity.
Ethereum’s transformation from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake in 2022 was more than a sustainability milestone. It fundamentally altered the asset’s economic profile. The shift slashed issuance by over 90%, while Ethereum’s unique “EIP-1559” fee burn mechanism began removing ETH from circulation with every transaction. This combination has resulted in a low-inflation—or in some market phases, deflationary—monetary system. ETH now behaves similarly to traditional "hard money" assets like gold or Bitcoin, yet offers more utility as the fuel for a vast programmable ecosystem.
Ethereum’s roadmap is methodical and long-term focused, reflecting a credible commitment to scalability and decentralization. The March 2024 Dencun upgrade introduced “blob” transactions that drastically reduced the cost of L2 data posting, enhancing user affordability across rollups. Future upgrades, particularly Pectra (expected mid-2025), will optimize validator operations and prepare the network for more advanced cryptographic improvements like Verkle trees. These upgrades align with Ethereum’s modular design philosophy: execution happens on L2s, while security and settlement remain on Ethereum’s base layer.
The Layer 2 ecosystem is a central piece of Ethereum’s long-term strategy. Rollups like Arbitrum, Optimism, Base (by Coinbase), and zkSync handle millions of daily transactions, offering high throughput and low latency while inheriting Ethereum’s security guarantees. This design mirrors the structure of the internet itself—modular, resilient, and scalable. As these L2s commoditize blockspace, Ethereum captures value through data availability fees, settlement costs, and increasingly, from restaking services that allow ETH to secure multiple protocols simultaneously.
In comparison to Bitcoin, Ethereum provides greater expressiveness and economic utility. While Bitcoin is optimized as a non-sovereign store of value, Ethereum combines that quality with the ability to run complex financial instruments, autonomous organizations, and digital identity layers. Solana, on the other hand, prioritizes raw throughput at the expense of some decentralization trade-offs. While Solana’s network architecture allows for high-frequency applications and fast consumer experiences, it has experienced multiple outages and is secured by a comparatively smaller validator set and market cap. Ethereum’s resilience, economic security, and widespread adoption give it a stronger foundation for long-term institutional confidence.
The global macroeconomic backdrop further enhances Ethereum’s relevance. Major economies including the United States, the European Union, and China are entrenched in structurally expansionary fiscal and monetary positions. The U.S. continues to run deficits near or above 6% of GDP, while interest rate normalization is constrained by political and economic pressures. These conditions erode confidence in fiat currencies and drive demand for alternative monetary instruments and decentralized financial infrastructure.
Ethereum serves as a compelling hedge against this backdrop. Its deflationary potential and capped monetary issuance mirror qualities traditionally attributed to gold or Bitcoin, yet its programmable nature opens new frontiers. Stablecoins—digital representations of dollars—have become Ethereum’s killer app, with annual settlement volumes surpassing Visa. Crucially, every transaction paid in ETH, regardless of whether it involves native assets or synthetic dollars, contributes to the scarcity of ETH through fee burns. Thus, demand for dollar-denominated assets paradoxically increases the value of ETH.
Beyond stablecoins, Ethereum is at the forefront of real-world asset tokenization. Institutions like BlackRock and Franklin Templeton are deploying tokenized money market funds and Treasury products directly onto Ethereum or Ethereum-compatible chains. This allows global investors to access yield-bearing instruments without intermediaries or banking infrastructure, especially valuable in capital-controlled or inflation-prone economies. Ethereum, therefore, is not just a blockchain—it is the settlement rail for a parallel, internet-native financial system.
The future value of ETH is tied not only to its use as a monetary asset but also to its role in securing and settling trillions in financial activity. As L2s grow, as institutions tokenize assets, and as more economic primitives move on-chain, ETH accrues utility, security demand, and monetary premium. Ethereum becomes a synthetic sovereign infrastructure: one without borders, central banks, or inflationary mandates.
That said, risks remain. Regulatory uncertainties—particularly in the U.S.—could impact staking services or the classification of ETH. Execution risk exists with Ethereum’s ambitious technical roadmap, and competition from alternative Layer 1s or modular data availability solutions may capture segments of demand. Additionally, innovations like restaking introduce new systemic risks if not carefully governed. But Ethereum’s transparent governance, broad contributor base, and deep liquidity give it a resilient edge.
In conclusion, Ethereum represents a generational investment opportunity: a digitally native, programmable, and deflationary monetary system embedded into a decentralized global financial internet. For those seeking an asymmetric hedge against fiat debasement, combined with venture-like upside on the transformation of fintech, Ethereum remains one of the most compelling assets in the digital age.
TOTAL trade ideas
Crypto Total Market Cap. Simple Signals (New All-Time High Soon)On April 22 TOTAL moved above its 3-Feb. low after trading below this level for some 50 days. Moving above this low is a major bullish development. A very strong yet simple signal.
On April 22 TOTAL moved above and two days later, on the 24, this level was tested as support and holds. The session ended with long lower wick.
The candle 30-April produced a higher low compared to 3-Feb. and this is a major bullish signal. This one here reveals that TOTAL is set to challenge the next major resistance point. This is all happening with a very strong RSI.
The strong RSI is another simple signal and cannot be denied. TOTAL is now moving towards a new All-Time High, and this ATH will happen very soon, likely mid-term (within 3 months).
The next resistance after the advance that will happen in the coming days will happen around 3.25T. This is a mild resistance and should break after some bullish pressure. This will be followed by a challenge of the previous ATH as resistance. It will be pierced right away through a wick and then a new price discovery session will develop.
» The entire Cryptocurrency market is bullish right now and set to grow. The grow is already happening since early April.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Bitcoin's projection thru TMCA push to 3.17trillion would send btc at around 100k. After that a drop to 65k during the summer would be perfect and would also kill everyone that is hoping for an altseason.
Also the BTC.d is making new highs , If btc crashes to 65k the dominance will increase and reach a top at around 70% which would create a perfect altseason in Q4 2025.
Bull Trap – The Real Drop May Just Be Starting! (Crash Ahead?)The market appears to be gaining bullish momentum, giving the impression that the bear market is over—but what if it’s just getting started?
On this CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL chart, the current price action seems to mirror the 2021–2022 bear market cycle: a rally to new highs, a sharp drop, a deceptive recovery (bull trap), followed by a deeper correction and eventual accumulation.
If this pattern plays out again, we could be in the bull trap phase—right before a significant and unexpected drop.
What do you think?
Will history repeat itself, or are we heading to new highs?
Drop your thoughts in the comments!
Please support this idea with a LIKE👍 if you find it useful🥳
Happy Trading💰🥳🤗
$TOTAL Crypto Market Cap BULL TRAP AlertBULL TRAP 🚨
New money has been coming into the market as shown on the Crypto CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap, hence why you haven’t seen “rotations” in coins, but it appears to be drying up.
There’s been major resistance at the 200DMA, which is just below the previous ATH at $3T, and PA is being squeezed between the 9DMA.
Combine this with a heated RSI, it appears to be a bear flag in the making.
The trendline from Oct. ’23 gives confluence with the 50DMA as support.
*The only savior I see at this point is price smashing through the 200DMA and flipping support into the green accumulation box.
Regardless, this move is coming to an end later this week to test support or breakout.
Again, I’ll reconfirm my stance that this is the most obvious bull trap I’ve seen all cycle. Although I hope to be wrong 🥲
Having said that, after support is confirmed on the move, we are going to VALHALLA 🚀
Bookmark this 🤓
Crypto Total Market Cap Status -- #TOTALSooner or later, #TOTAL will reach the 3 trillion level, as indicators have passed the danger zone daily and weekly.
But be careful: At this particular number, it will face fierce resistance and will only be breached with a strong bullish candle!
🔹 Therefore:
** The momentary speculator must pay attention to this level and set a stop-loss.
** The swing investor must also set a stop-loss in anticipation of any sudden, sharp decline.
** As for the long-term investor, who entered a full price cycle, #Bitcoin has not yet completed its time cycle. So continue and don't fear :)
💬 Note on the fly:
If we surpass this level and close above it steadily, be prepared to see "surface-to-air missiles" in the market! 🚀
Against all this, always be cautious and work with a clear plan far from emotions.
I wish you all the best in your trading 🥰😇
Total Market Cap: Testing the 200 MA as Resistance (Daily Chart)28.04.2025
Price is currently testing the 200 MA as resistance.
Last time we saw a similar test, price rejected and soon after, the infamous **death cross** occurred (50 MA crossing below the 200 MA).
Today, the internal structure looks better:
✅ MLR > SMA > BB Center > PSAR – positive alignment, signalling early momentum shift.
However, for a real bullish confirmation, price must flip the 200 MA from resistance into support.
Until then:
⚠️ Watch for rejection at this level.
⚠️ Patience — wait for the structure to fully align before considering heavy positioning.
Discipline first, excitement second.
MARKETS week ahead: April 28– May 4Last week in the news
The market is currently perceiving that there is sort of relaxation in the US-China trade war. This was the major premise which boosted US equity markets. The S&P 500 gained around 4,6% on a weekly level. A positive market sentiment and short relaxation on uncertainty brought the price of gold lower by 2% on Friday, ending the week at the level of $3.318. On the same premise reacted the US Treasury bond market. The 10Y US benchmark closed the week lower, at the level of 4,25%. The crypto market was also part of the positive sentiment, as BTC managed to make a break-through from previous levels and reach levels above the $95K.
The US-China trade war continues, however, with a softener rhetoric, which brought market sentiment to the positive side. Still, it remains quite confusing, where the majority of analysts are not sure what the final deal would look like. Actually, it seems that nobody knows, even the US Administration. The latest comment from the US President on the topic is that eventually tariff rates will “come down substantially, but it won't be zero”. Also, the US President commented that he has no intention of “firing Powell”.
The Financial Times posted an article in which the journal noted that Apple was planning to shift all Iphones assembly to India. Analysts, involved in the matter, reacted to this news with arguments that such a move is highly questionable, both from the logistic side and from a tariffs side.
The federal Reserve withdraws crypto guidance for banks. The Federal Reserve revoked its 2022 and 2023 guidance that required banks to notify or get approval before engaging in crypto or stablecoin activities.
As Reuters reported during the previous week, based on six sources, the ECB is considering further cutting of its policy rates at the June meeting. The relaxing inflation and drop in the economic outlook ECB members see as a good reason to further decrease their reference interest rates.
China is targeting the supremacy in the AI industry and development in comparison to its US counterparts. As news reported, the China President Xi Jinping called during the previous week for a “self-reliance and self-strengthening” in China within artificial intelligence. This now represents a key strategic area for China when it comes to their US counterparts.
JPMorgan published the results of a survey among investors over their perception of the US economy in the future period. There has been a consensus on a high potential of stagflation, while the majority of participants perceive the weak US Dollar during this year. The major risk is coming from the ongoing trade war, which will have a negative impact on the US economy, as per survey.
Crypto market cap
The crypto market is in green again. After several weeks of struggling, the crypto market finally made its final break-through and increased the value of the total market capitalization. This move was supported by the relaxation of rhetoric of the US Administration in an US-China trade war. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 10% on a weekly basis, increasing its total value by $262B. Daily trading volumes almost doubled from the week before, trading around $166B on a daily basis. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -10%, with $318B outflow of funds.
The major coins which drew the total crypto market to the higher grounds was BTC. The coin added $183B to its market cap, increasing it by more than 10% on a weekly basis. ETH also performed well, with an weekly inflow of $ 23B, which increased its market cap by 12%. Other major coins also performed well during the week. Solana added $5,4B to its market cap, which was an increase of 7,5%. DOGE surged by 14,8%, adding $3,4B to its market cap. Among higher gainers was IOTA, with a surge in value of 27,3%, LINK was traded higher by 15%, Algorand gained around 19% w/w. The majority of other coins gained above 10% on a weekly basis. This week there were almost no losers on the crypto market.
As for coins in circulation, this week Polkadot and Filecoin added 0,6% of new coins to the market, same as EOS. Maker made a significant increase of 0,8% within a single week. Stablecoin Tether increased its number of coins by 1,7%, which was one of the highest increases for this stablecoin within this year.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market also reacted on a positive sentiment caused by relaxation in rhetoric regarding trade tariffs. BTC futures were traded higher by more than 12% for all maturities. The positive development is that the long term futures returned to the levels above the $100K. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $99.770, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $105.755.
Similar situation is also with ETH futures. Positive is that the long term maturities reached levels above the $2K. In this sense December 2026 was closed at price $2.043, while futures maturing in December this year were last traded at round $1,9K.
Crypto Euphoria Is Back, But Should It Be?📈 Bitcoin is back above 90k and the crowd is cheering again: moons, 150k by summer, non-stop hopium.
But is the overall picture that bullish? Not even close.
📊 Looking at the Total Market Cap chart :
- After that long November to late February consolidation, Total finally broke below the 3T support
- We retested the break and new local lows followed
- The recent bounce? Looks corrective, not impulsive
- And we’re still trading below 3T and with good percentages
❗ Conclusion:
I’m not buying into the hype.
In fact, I’m expecting a new leg lower – possibly all the way to 2T
📌 Trading Focus:
Shorting Solana and ETH
Crypto Total Market Cap Analysis Looking at the 2D and 6W structure, I’m noticing something significant:
On the 2D chart, price is climbing back toward the $3.73T zone, where we saw resistance previously. This could act as a major retest level — especially if momentum continues.
On the 6W excluding BTC, there’s a clear bullish channel in play. The market appears to be forming a rounded base near the 826B–721B zone, which aligns with the pullback zone I've been tracking.
If this structure holds and volume confirms, the crypto market could be setting up for a mid-cycle reversal. We’re no longer chasing — we’re observing how candles respect the structure and waiting for price to confirm the trend shift.
Discipline over hype. Structure over noise.
Let’s see how this plays out over the next few candles
Crypto Total Market CapCrypto is currently below significant resistance that may turn to support once price breaks above the trendline and closes above. Price is in a channel which i believe will be broken to the upside. This break can lead to a tremendous amount of activity in the crypto world. Stay tuned as price climb to a new ATH.
Relative Strength - CryptoA comprehensive multi-asset relative strength analysis tool that visulaises the performance of sets of 40+ USDT-based crypto pairs using a custom multi-factor ranking system. This script evaluates and visualizes each asset's relative strength score based on a combination of:
📈 Sharpe Ratio – reward vs. volatility
📉 Sortino Ratio – reward vs. downside risk
📊 Omega Ratio – ratio of positive to negative returns
These metrics are calculated over a short-term lookback period (default: 5 bars) to capture recent momentum.
TOTAL Crypto Medium-Term Trend Probability #1The two indicators on the 1-day timeframe are now signalling a bullish outlook, suggesting potential short-term upside or bullish momentum in the crypto market!
This could encourage investors and traders to adopt a bullish stance, possibly entering positions, especially if reinforced by additional signals like rising volume or strong price action.
However, despite this shift, the recent downward trend raises the possibility that this bullish signal might be a brief bull trap or consolidation phase, rather than a resumption of a sustained long-term uptrend.
This Chart Screams Strength — Are You Positioned?The total crypto market cap is currently showing a very strong technical setup. It’s holding firm at a major long-term rising trendline, which has historically acted as a launchpad for massive bullish moves across the market. Additionally, the 100 EMA is providing solid support, further reinforcing this zone as a key demand area.
We’re also seeing a bottomed-out Stochastic RSI, now starting to curl upward — a classic early signal of momentum shifting back to the bulls. Although the market is still sitting just below the long-term resistance line, this type of structure often leads to strong breakouts once confidence returns.
If this trendline support continues to hold and the market cap begins pushing back toward the $3 trillion mark, we could see a major surge in altcoin strength. Historically, this is when altcoin capital rotation picks up and narratives gain momentum. Overall, the crypto market is flashing strength — and this might just be the calm before a powerful altcoin rally.
Thanks for reading! Please do like and follow us for more updates.
MARKETS week ahead: April 21 – 27 | XBTFXLast week in the news
Tariffs and inflation continue to be the major two words on the financial markets, shaping investors sentiment. The S&P 500 tried to start the week with a positive sentiment, but the two scary words spoiled the game, so the index ended the week almost flat, at the level of 5.282. On the other hand, the word “tariff” continues to strongly support the price of gold, which reached a fresh new all time highest level at $3.354. The US yields are showing a different sentiment, when it comes to potential negative impact on tariffs on the US economy, and especially, Fed's decision to make two rate cuts during the course of this year. The 10Y US benchmark yields dropped during the week, ending it at the level of 4,33%. The crypto market was left a bit behind investors' spotlight. BTC was testing the $85K resistance during the whole week, and was traded in a relatively short range.
The news of the week was that the ECB cut its reference interest rates for one more time by 25bps. In an after-the-meeting speech, ECB President Lagarde put trade tensions at the central point and that further restrictiveness of the monetary policy is meaningless. She also noted that a potential cut of 50 bps was also on the table during the ECB meeting. The high uncertainty of potential impact of trade tariffs remains a concern not only for investors on the US markets, but also for the ECB.
The ECB President Lagarde urged the introduction of the digital euro in Europe, during the press conference. She called for swift action on the legislative groundwork which will support the introduction of digital euro in the near future. She thinks that such a move is necessary in the current geopolitical environment, which will make the Euro economy more productive, competitive and resilient.
There has been a discussion in the news during the previous week, if China is offloading its holdings of US assets. It was based on the news that the largest sellers of US Treasuries two weeks ago were Japan and China. As per analysts involved in the matter, China is still holding around 50% of its foreign portfolios in the US assets. However, referring to recent Chinese sale of US Treasuries, analysts are noting that it might be rather a way to stabilize the renminbi-dollar exchange rate, then actual offloading of US assets. It is also noted that a strong sale of US assets could make renminbi quite stronger, which is not in the best interest of China at this moment.
The Canary Capital investment fund has filed with the SEC a proposal for a spot ETF which will track the price of Tron. The investment fund will also offer an extra yield through staking.
As Cointelegraph is reporting, one of the largest retailers in Europe, German Spar, is testing payments in Bitcoin at its store in Zug in Switzerland. This is by far the major crypto retail trial in Europe.
Crypto market cap
CRYPTO MARKET
The crypto market was relatively calm during the previous week. There has been a relatively smaller volatility compared to two weeks ago, which was part of markets focus on traditional markets and the word “tariffs”. There have been both weekly gainers and losers, while BTC managed to end the week flat compared to the week before. Total crypto market capitalization also remained flat on a weekly basis, with only a modest funds outflow of around $13B. Daily trading volumes were significantly decreased, to $73B from $130B traded two weeks ago. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, still holds at -18%, with $580B outflow of funds.
There have been both gainers and losers among altcoins on a weekly basis. The major coin, BTC remained relatively flat w/w, without significant changes. ETH continues to lose in value. Last week the coin lost 1,5% in value or around $3B. XRP was also on a losing side, decreasing its cap by 2,5% w/w, or $3B. Some of the significant weekly losers include Theta and ZCash with weekly losses of around 10% each, while DOGE was down by 10,6%, followed by ADA, with a drop in value of 9%. On the opposite side was Solana, with a weekly gain of 6% or $4B. Filecoin was traded higher by 3%, and Ethereum Classic ended the week higher by 2,5%.
This week Filecoin had a much stronger weekly increase in coins on the market or 1,2%, which was significantly higher from average of 0,3% w/w. DOGE, Solana and Algorand had a weekly increase of circulating coins of 0,1%.
Crypto futures market
Crypto futures were also traded in a relaxed mode during the previous week. BTC futures were traded higher by around 1,2% for all maturities. BTC futures maturing as of the end of this year reached the last price at $88.895, while those maturing in December 2026 were last traded at $94.205.
ETH short term futures price levels were increased by around 1,3% on a weekly basis, while the longer ones were traded higher by 0,9%. ETH futures maturing in December 2025 closed the week at the level of $1.667, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $1.796.
Total crypto MC - 1DThe total crypto market capitalization on the daily timeframe has formed a Falling Wedge pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern. The price has broken out above the upper resistance line of the wedge, confirming the breakout. Currently, the price is undergoing a retest of the breakout level, which now acts as support. If this support holds successfully, it is expected that the market will experience an upward move in the near term, signaling potential bullish momentum.