The Big Squeeze, on board with Bitcoin & PEPE, Alts in between!Le Bid Squeeze in on!
Shorting Bitcoin scammers, shorting in a no-supply zone.
Savvy Retail buying everything they can fast.
Walls Street's dumb money at work.
Institutions only own 10.3% of Bitcoin.
Retail is in control of holding their 18%+ share of Bitcoin and buying more. This is huge!
Please watch ''Feels Good Man'', a documentary on Matt Furie vs. the KeKers.
Trumpoo, the KeKer in Chief wishes to rule KeKistan again.
You can watch this Sundance award-winning documentary for free on the Tubi app.
The ''God and Country'' documentary, from Katherine Stewart's book, is coming out soon.
You can watch an insightful interview on YouTube. Just search the following as I can post links here: GOD & COUNTRY: Dictators, Democracy, and the New Documentary on Christian Nationalism.
The Uber Elites Bankers' Wars since the creation of the bearer bonds must end.
The fiat standard is based on plebs' debt enslavement as this K economy only favours the wealthy.
The cycle of fascism and the 57 dictatorships are rekt.
Women, Life, Freedom for all.
We are in the age of Aquarius and the world is ready for Web3 governance, like in Taiwan.
Peace on Earth,
OMS
TOTAL trade ideas
Let' see what happens hereThe purpose of this idea is neither educational neither to explain the market. It is just one perceptive to open possible discussions.
The symbol here is total market cap with dollar ( DXY) Factor removed.
Time fib suggestion is the new bullish cycle should around January 23.
What you think ?
MARKETS week ahead: January 22 - 27Last week in the news
The market optimism continues to hold on financial markets for the second trading week in a year. The S&P 500 reached new all-time highs, surpassing the highs from the year 2022, reaching level of 4.840 on Friday. As USD gained a bit in strength, the US Treasury yields followed the path, while Gold remained relatively stable during the week. The crypto market continues to slow down after the approval of the first BTC ETF, with Bitcoin ending the week above the $41K.
The most important news from the previous week is certainly a new ATH of S&P 500, reached at Friday`s trading session. The highest level reached was 4.840, still strongly supported by the tech companies. Investors continue to trade with a positive sentiment at the beginning of this year, supported by the good economic performance of the US economy and in expectation of forthcoming rate cuts. However, CNBC summarized the current market sentiment as investors "focus on good and ignore the bad, no matter how bad the bad parts might look sometimes". The “bad” part relates to the Fed`s expectations of a slow down of the US economy in the coming period, as well as currently strong geopolitical uncertainties.
The annual gathering of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, was another topic which occupied the news during the previous week. Considering that this meeting gathers all important world economic and political leaders, it is closely watched by investors. When it comes to the EU economy, the ECB President, Christine Lagarde noted that the economy will most certainly not return into a “normality” during this year, but is more positive when it comes to developments in 2025. She sees consumption, trade and inflation as topics which need to return to the “normal”, which means to the levels prior to the pandemic. However, on the opposite side was German Minister of Finance, Christian Lindner, who perceived developments in 2023 as a “new normal” in contrast to Lagarde`s “normalization”. He is supporting his standing taking into account current trends in the world, which is characterized with high geopolitical uncertainty, high oil prices, higher debt levels and low global growth perspectives, but he also noted developments around artificial intelligence.
News is reporting that JPMorgan analysts are giving the 50% chance for the first ETH ETF to be approved. Their standing is supported by the fact of currently many outstanding SEC lawsuits against crypto exchangers for their product of staking crypto coins, where majority of the staking products is related to ETH. In this sense, the Bank analysts are noting, until these are resolved the SEC might postpone its decision on Ark21Shares filing for the spot ETH ETF, which is due on 23th May this year. At the same time, ARK and its founder Cathie Wood are shorting holdings of BITO (ProShares Bitcoin ETF) and are moving funds into its own ARKB, the bitcoin ETF, as per news reports.
Crypto market cap
While stock equities are again in the spotlight of investors, pushing the S&P 500 index to its highest levels ever, the crypto market continues to slow down for the second week in a row. There is a modest transfer of funds, where speculative money, invested in expectation of the significant increase in the price of BTC after the approval of the BTC ETF, is now searching for new opportunities for a short term profits outside the crypto market. Although it seems that the fun days of BTC and ETH are over, still, the crypto futures market is showing a completely different picture. Namely, investor’s expectations for the future price of BTC are quite positive, where futures maturing in December 2025 reached the price above the $47K level within the first week of trading. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 3% on a weekly basis, with an outflow of $50B in the value of the market. Daily trading volumes also dropped to the level of around $99B on a daily basis, from $174B traded two weeks ago. Total crypto market capitalization decrease since the beginning of this year stands at 3%.
For the second week in a row, Bitcoin is the coin which is mostly dragging the crypto market to the downside. Although two weeks ago the crypto market was traded in a mixed manner, still, during the previous week the majority of crypto coins lost in value. BTC finished the week 3% lower from the week before, losing more than $25B in value. ETH followed the path of BTC, with a drop in value of almost 4% or $12,2B. Among significant weekly losers in nominal terms were XRP, with a drop in value of $1.3B or 4.3%, Cardano was down by $1.2B or 6%, Polkadot was down by 1.4B or almost 14% on a weekly basis. Among other coins which lost in value were Ethereum Classic, with a drop of 15%, Bitcoin Gold was down by 20%, while Miota and Algorand lost more than 10% in value. There were only a few coins who finished the week with a gain, like Binance Coin, which managed to attract more than SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B in value, increasing it by 2.3%, while LINK managed to increase its value by 11.4%.
Increased activity with circulating coins also continues for the second week in a row. The most significant change occurred with BNB coins, where 1.4% of circulating coins were withdrawn from the market. At the same time, Polkadot decreased the level of circulating coins by 3% within a single week. The majority of other altcoins had a modest increase in coin on the market, ranging around 0.1%, where Polygon had an surge of 0.6% while Maker`s number of coins were up by 0.2%.
Crypto futures market
In line with the spot market, the crypto futures market also slowed down during the previous week. Still, developments are showing that investors continue to be positive about the future prices of both BTC and ETH. Previous week two new maturities were listed on the CME for both coins, for June 2025 and December 2025. During the first week of trading, BTC`s December 2025 futures ended the week at price above the $47K, while ETH futures for the same maturity were closed at price $2.728.
BTC`s short term futures dropped by more than 4%, but still were trading above the $41K. Although longer term futures dropped by more than 11%, still the prices were holding above $43K. Futures maturing in December 2024 ended the week at price of $43.860, while March 2025 was last traded at $44.675.
ETH short term futures were last traded lower by more than 1% compared to the previous week, while longer term ones were down by less than 6%. Futures maturing in December this year were last traded at price $2.584, while those maturing in March 2025 closed the week at price $2.618.
TOTALMARKETCAP (Y24.P1.E1) At strong resistanceBased on fib channel and standard fibonacci, the Total market cap is at strong resistance and this could be a short term corrective wave (elliot 5 count formation). This also would align well with the BARR structure for a continuation pattern.
There is also the bearish scenario but its hard to see that coming with the SPOT ETF approval. Usually I would think based on BTC hitting the 618 fib, that we repeat something like 2018, to 2019 but the expectations on the SPOT ETF makes it hard.
Time will let us know and this one is not easy and will not get easy anymore.
Onchain data tells us that the BTC is in short supply.
All the best,
S.SAri
My total market cap price predictionJust some guessing here based on some Fibonacci lines. But if my predictions come out, then we'll have a 4 Trillion total crypto market cap around may 2025.
This could also be the top of the next bull market and a huge opprtunity to lock in profits.
For the short term I expect a pullback to the last major support. But after that...
$CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL | Unchained !Hi fam,
Hope you having a good time in crypto space.
As i promised and shared screen shot of CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL charts in the channel now I'm going to leave a chart here for easier access.
first we detected a range in our chart then followed trend action. after breaking out with high volume and making a successful S/R test it become more obvious to us that green candles are on the way.
(i will share some screen shots of the progress.)
----------------
In this chart i pointed to critical levels that may affect uptrend and make a pause in it. As a conservative trader, at these levels i will take profit and reduce my open positions to secure profits and get ready for fresh waves.
** 1.65T $ - Previously support level that lost in May 2022 - This level hasn't been tested as a resistance since that time but must be watched closely for any reversal candles in D1 or W1 time frame.
** 1.8T $ ~ 1.85T $ is a known resistance level and this level is my main target before market correction. i will absolutely minimize my open trades.
** There will be shakeouts in all charts. try not to miss the main picture.
---------------
As always, These are my ideas and can be wrong. Please DYOR.
Stay Safe,
Stay Rich,
Crypto market and my personal concernsAs of the current moment, I do not have any active trades in the cryptocurrency market.
I have closed all of my long positions, though I have not yet transitioned to short positions—at least not as of now.
The purpose of this post is to address some specific concerns:
First and foremost, considering common sense factors:
- The overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market is undeniably bullish.
- Technically, the majority of charts exhibit a bullish trend.
- Fundamentally, various factors such as ETF, halving on BTC, and the US Election contribute to a positive outlook.
- The prevailing sentiment across the internet strongly indicates the possibility of a new bull run.
However, I find it disconcerting when everything appears too clear-cut.
Secondly, from a technical standpoint:
1. Contrary to the overall bullish sentiment, the past month has not been favorable, with weekly candles showing long upper tails.
2. The 1.7-1.8 level holds historical significance as an old liquidity and support level, now acting as resistance.
3. Observing the pattern since October 2022 reveals the formation of an ascending broadening wedge, typically indicative of a reversal pattern.
In light of these observations, it is essential to exercise caution and not FOMO, at least from my perspective.
MARKETS week ahead: January 14 - 20Last week in the news
At the start of this year Bitcoin reached another important milestone in its further acceptance into the mainstream. During the previous week the US Securities and Exchange Commission approved the first spot BTC Exchange Traded Fund. Through this milestone, BTC managed to secure its future on the mainstream markets. How it will secure the destiny of other altcoins is to be seen. During the first trading week in this year, markets were traded with a positive sentiment. The US Treasury yields continue with downtrend in expectation of rate cuts during this year, while gold continues to hold above $2K, following USD recent weakness as well as Middle East tensions.
A long awaited news regarding approval of the first spot BTC ETF finally came to fruition. During the previous week the US SEC approved filings from several large Wall Street names, among which, the largest one is certainly the BlackRock asset manager. This represents a huge milestone for BTC and its wider acceptance among market participants. With this move, large institutional investors will have an approach to the crypto market, through traditional market channels. In this manner, the existence of the BTC is secured for the future period. How this will affect other altcoins is to be seen in the future. The SEC is still of opinion that the majority of these are simple securities in a digital form, which needs to be aligned with already existing law on securities in the US. This is also a relevant question when it comes to existing filings for the first ETH ETF pending SEC`s approval. Anyway, regardless of the BTC`s win at the beginning of this year, there are emerging challenges in the tech and financial industries which will compete with the BTC during the coming years. In this sense, a regulation within the crypto industry comes at the first place and is followed with the rise of AI in finance and other industries, as well as growth and innovations of alternative finance within the field of FinTech, DeFi and other non-traditional financial channels. It all implies that the BTC will have to put additional effort during the year, in order to continue to attract investor’s funds.
As investors are relieved by information that BTC ETF is approved, BlackRock`s CEO, Larry Fink, is now eyeing the approval of the first ETH ETF. In his interview to CNBC, Fink supported further tokenization, noting “I really do believe this is where we are going to be going”. It was also interesting to hear his standing that Bitcoin is an asset class that can hedge investor’s funds against geopolitical risks. BlackRock`s product iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has its debut on Thursday, after the SEC approved its product, with roughly a $1billion in trading volume.
Previous week was also the one where US banks were posting their quarterly results. The environment of significantly increased interest rates left its mark on bank earnings, as well as few takeovers which occurred during the previous year, after several bank collapses. JPMorgan was among those whose earnings slipped by 15% q/q. The bank's earnings were also hit by $743 million in investment losses due to the rescue of banks in the banking crisis during the year 2023 in the US.
Crypto market cap
A long awaited first spot BTC ETF has been approved by the SEC, but the market turned the price of crypto coins to the downside, instead to the upside. Many analysts were predicting that the price of BTC might skyrocket after the approval of the first ETF, noting some figures of even $100K, but it did not happen. Obvious question is if there is something wrong with their analysis or something else happened on the market? Well, in economic theory which relates to traditional markets, there is a topic called market efficiency. The core of this theory is that the market will always price all known information at this moment so that the current price of some asset will reflect its real price. As BTC is getting more and more involved in the traditional markets, the rules of traditional markets will more and more apply to this asset. With wider acceptance of the BTC, we can expect that its price will see more stability in the future period. This is exactly what had happened to BTC. Namely, as of the last quarter of 2023 with the first market rumor that the first spot BTC ETF could be approved, the majority of investors, but also market speculators, the price of BTC headed toward the $45K. This was a huge move to the upside, when the market reached its top. After the SEC`s approval, the balloon which was heating the market was released, so the majority of speculators could pick their profits and move their funds into some other promising asset which would provide them excess profits. At the same time, one should not forget that there is a developed derivative market for crypto assets, in which some leveraged positions were closed, supporting in this manner the spiral to the downside. At one moment, some investors will see a good purchasing opportunity, when the downtrend will be halted and BTC will start its new cycle, but this time, on much healthier grounds from the previous one. Total crypto market capitalization remained flat during the previous week, moving around $1.64 trillion. Daily trading volumes were significantly increased to the level of $174B on a daily basis, which was not recently seen on the crypto market. During the first two days since the approval of BTC, around $4.6B in volume was traded on the market, which significantly contributed to the overall trading volumes.
With the approval of the first BTC ETF, it was Ether who actually gained the most. BTC lost some of its value, around $ 20B, during the previous week, due to reasons mentioned above. At the same time, the price of ETH was up by almost 12% on a weekly basis, adding around $ 33B to its market cap. This is again sort of speculative move, considering market expectations that the first ETH ETF will soon be approved after the BTC`s fund was approved. Certainly, these are only expectations, while the certainty of it is known only to the SEC. When it comes to other altcoins, there was sort of rebalancing between different coins on the market. On one side, there were those with significant gain during the week, while on the other side, there were those with significant loss during the week. Coins like Maker, Filecoin, Polygon, Tron, Uniswap, even Binance Coin were among those who gained during the week. On the opposite side were coins like XRP, LINK, DOGE, ADA, Monero, Solana, Algorand which were among losing altcoins.
As for coins in circulation, there has been significant activity during the previous week. It seems that the approval of the BTC ETF has moved many coins which were staked somewhere to get back into the market again. There has been an increased volume of circulating coins for the majority of altcoins. Tether managed to increase its market cap and value by increasing its circulating coins by more than 4% on a weekly basis, which has not been recently seen with this coin.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market reflected developments on the spot market, but only through the short term futures. While BTC short term futures were last traded down by more than 2%, at the same time, ETH futures were up by more than 7%. Developments on BTC longer term futures were positive, and were traded by more than 5% higher from the end of the previous week. Futures maturing in December 2024 were traded at price $49.785 or 5.16% higher, while major development was with futures maturing in March 2025 where the price for the first time reached the $50K level, ending the week at $50.710. This expresses positive investors sentiment over the future price of the BTC.
Similar situation was also with ETH longer term futures. They ended the week around 13% higher from the week before, where December 2024 was last traded at price $2.743, while March 2025 ended the week at $2.782 or 15.5% higher from the week before. Regardless of the positive market movements, it is still evident that investors are a bit skeptical when ETH`s future value is in question.
TOTAL macro. These thoughts have been expressed by many traders in one way
or another, and I tend to share them.
However, I want to make my own picture. It helps my thinking.
Elliott Waves are not my base method, but this model base situation
can be really can be seen on a weekly global chart.
It's important to apply it here so that you don't get lost in the
pictures of the smaller timeframes.
Let's go back in time.
So, 5 impulse waves happened
May 2017 through November 2021.
4.5 years of growth (1652 days).
Correction that started at the end took a year and two months
to form Leg A (Nov. 21 - Jan. 23).
We are now a full year inside leg B, which is what is called a bear rally.
And this is where we need to pay attention to the trend line.
As far as I've been able to be accurate, the wick will touch this
line at about ~1.835. And then what happens?
The market should take off breaking the trend without completing
the global pattern? It's been up for 1652 days.
And correction so far is only 784 days if you look at these macro waves.
There is some disproportionality in that.
I believe correction should be aiming for at least 2/3 of the time that
the rise has amounted to.
Or if the market decides there is no time, then the execution
of the pattern should be literally rapids.
I'm not trying to convince you of anything you don't like.
If you don't like it, pass by.
I always draw my charts for myself first and foremost, and only when I have no pity,
I publish them just to make my thoughts as useful as possible.
Conclusion. The market has about 0.11 TOTAL margin for an upward move
Let's take note of the high volume bar this week.
Isn't this the final sell-off.
You see, it's very hard to see this one coming.
I'd really like to say that a new cycle has begun.
But the correction pattern is the foundation for the next impulse wave cycle.
How can you want to eat the apple without planting the apple tree?
The altcoin explosion is a liquidity spillover from bitcoin.
But bitcoin should have a margin of growth.
And be a nudge trend.
Right now, the whole market is going to hit a trend line at the bottom.
How should this correlate with the fact that the underlying global
correction pattern comparable to the 2017-2021 growth period is not complete?
I'd prefer detailed explanations.
📈 Major Crypto Market-Wide Correction | Run For Your Life!Good Sunday my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, how are you feeling today?
Can you feel it in the air?
Can you sense it?
Time is running out... All hell is about to break loose.
The Cryptocurrency market is preparing for the classic and major pre-halving event correction and while we are not yet there, it is getting close.
On this chart we can see TOTAL moving daily below EMA10 after moving out of rising wedge.
We can see the biggest increase in daily sell volume in more than a year and EMA50 being tested on a wick January 3, a preview of what is to come.
One of the whales moved first and caused this major draw-down but the big crash is yet to materialize...
The good news.
Corrections are a normal part of market action. Just as prices move up, they also move down as the market moves in waves. Cryptocurrency, aka Bitcoin, has been growing since November 2022 straight up and now it needs a break.
We normally see a correction before the halving and that's most likely what we are witnessing will start unfolding in just a few days, weeks max, this same month.
It won't be a long drawn out correction, instead it will be fast, steep and strong.
👉 After the low is in, we will get a slow recovery lasting for months... It will grow and grow and grow in 2024 and beyond.
This is just a friendly warning.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
The blockchain market cap is clearly in a strong uptrend.The total token market capitalization -the single most relevant KPI in the blockchain industry- is clearly in a stage 2 (uptrend).
Tens of trillions of dollars should join blockchain protocols if we aim to make DeFi and blockchian the baseline of our economy, so there is still a hug path ahead, but fiat spot ETFs could bring more liquidity into blockchain assets.
Nearly all of our trading models are long in blockchain assets with trend-following and break-out strategies,