The End of Crypto for a Long TimeI'm being dramatic lol, but I just started going down the rabbit hole of what if the cycles don't just repeat like everyone says. I have been in crypto since 2013 and don't really think it's over, but I'm just playing devils advocate. I do think we hit a major resistnace and have at least a local top on our hands. If the cycle was ever to stop we have a major confluence of 3 resistances, even breaking of the 2013 uptrend line is not a good sight. Do I really think the cycle is over? No, but I did take enough profit in case hah, It's just really been bugging me how many people say just buy and hold and you're fine, I have never seen that many people confortable with crypto in previous cycles which is freaky to me, but this is where my contrarian side can get me in trouble. I'm just going to continue to play the charts, but if crypto were to completely hault for a long time, this would be the confluence to do it.
TOTAL trade ideas
Total Marketcap Trading at a Range High.The total market cap has tapped 1.7 Trillion 3 times recently. This 3rd tap is as BTC is trying to hold $47,000. If the market fails to push through this 1.7 Trillion level I see it as Bearish, indicating a potential correction in price. Anyway id love to hear some thoughts on this, feel free to leave a comment.
📉📈 Cryptocurrency Market Overview (TOTAL)🌐💱📆 Recent Trends:
In the past month, the total cryptocurrency market capitalization ( CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL ) has been consolidating between $1.52 trillion and $1.70 trillion.
🤔 Anticipation and Caution:
Market reflects caution and anticipation ahead of potential ETF news.
Despite being oversold, the market is expected to stay within this range until the ETF decision.
🚀 Potential Outcomes:
ETF Approval: Total market cap could surge beyond $1.70 trillion.
ETF Rejection: Downward move likely, with support levels around $1.40 trillion to $1.45 trillion.
Stay tuned for the ETF decision impact! 📰💹
#CryptoMarketUpdate #ETFDecision #MarketAnalysis 🌐📊
TOTAL IS BULLISH (Important)🔷 Before anything else, you should know that the TOTLA symbol represents the total value of the market, including Bitcoin and other altcoins.
The total is forming a large diametric on the daily time frame. It seems now that we are in wave E of this diametric and we can go up to the red zone, but a pullback is needed to the green zone.
$TOTAL - Bitcoin Halving Sparks $10 Trillion Crypto TsunamiThe cryptocurrency market is poised to grow from $1.5 trillion to $10-12 trillion in the next two years.
Key factors
Bitcoin halving in 2024,
Increasing institutional adoption,
Rise of decentralized finance (DeFi),
Integration of blockchain technology across industries,
Global economic uncertainty driving demand for alternative assets,
Ongoing technological advancements making cryptocurrencies more accessible.
These factors collectively contribute to the positive outlook for the cryptocurrency market.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
! Not an advice - DYOR !
Total RSI Pringing H&S - Lower 15%-30% I think*Ignore the cluttered chart lol, look at the RSI study.
In Sept 2023 RSI showed an IHS and now it's painting a H&S, I think the FOMO is pretty unreal. Most are worried about missing the ETF launch, I think it's ripe for a rug. I do think the EVENT is priced in, a lot say that the demand isn't which I agree but I think the launch will be a seperate event. I don't speculate just play the charts and I think it's looking bearish.
Total also broke a rising bearish wedge.
Crypto TOTAL Market Cappreviously I called for not shorting any thing right at bottom watch my tweet x.com
now from 0.25 weekly we have break out 0.5 and now its at 0.75 witch is around 1.7T
just wanned to say longing here is stupid to me and i believe you should not do it too until TOTAL reaches 476B
TOTAL market cap | Q1 2024 Will it be Red ?CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
Hi fam,
Okay, 1.65T $ was lost due to FUD from the ETF rejection report leak and the market dumped to MA50 in D1 at 1.50T $.
This was good from different perspectives. Funding rates are mostly reset. The fear and greed index cooled down a bit and dropped from 70 to 68. Today we had a good recovery in the market and the TOTAL market cap reached the broken support of 1.65T $ which acts as resistance this time.
I think of more bearish moves after such a flush dump (despite all the fuds) and as I said in my previous posts Q1 2024 is expected to be Red with the last buying chance for most of the coins.
The trend moves in a parallel channel (most likely to be the distribution phase) and swept the range high and closed below the range and flushed to the midline of the channel and bounced. This will be more like a dead cat bounce and I expect to see lows to get swept at 1.46T $ in the coming days. The final target lies at 1.3T for the coming weeks.
As always, These are my ideas and might be wrong. Please DYOR.
How 2hunt 4NEW ALTs/How 2Trade&Win no matter how big/smallUTrad the title says it all.
CAKESwap is one u can look at/>Now with these new bridges into and out of Binance Smart Chain or BSC a bunch of liquidity gets to travel cross chain so it only stands to reason the primary DEX on BSC CAKESWAP (UNISWAP code but launched on BSC just like SUSHISWAP) on BSC should see some action...
I would also keep an eye on SNX INJ and any and all Synthetics type projects that help everyone swap for cheeeeeep. My currant go to is ZKSync ERA BRIDGES but there is no wrong way to go D33p W00dz crypto exploring. just get out there and get comfortable with these new types of projects specifically bridges. This is how u get to early projects not yet listed on major exchanges. once they get listed games up so to speak and most of the big gains are done, at least with 90% plus ALT Coin projects. (Most only get one hype cycle)
Another way to hunt for ALTs is keep an eye on NEW or Exciting blockchain Developments/ like how a project on Polkadot just went bananas due to the DOT hype it self. A LOT easier to move a 900 ranked market cap coin then a top 10 or even top 100 market cap ranked project/coin.
The last bit of advice that at least worked for me was
>1. dont spread into to many ALT positions especially on multiple DEXs/Exchanges. You need to move quick sometimes 5 10 mins is all you get so good luck moving that many positions with the gun to your head as the market turns REDRUMMMMM.
>and 2. DONT B SKEEEERD TO take PROFITS. When I was new i would always get stuck dreaming of lambos and rainbows & best case not take profits per say but lock it up in some long term DeFi pool or project. NOW If I get a 15 to 30% pump I am almost always, like 99% of the time, take some serious profits. We would need a true FoMo situation for me to sit on my hands like during the OG DOGE pump....
Hope we get a small, healthy market pullback (whatever that is anymore), so we can reload on some ETH BTC & of course an ALT or 2 or 3... happy hunting all and good luck as we enter 2024
End of Year TOTAL1 AnalysisIt has been a good year. It taught a lot, and brought many large gains. Especially the last quarter was on fire. BTC, SOL, MATIC, DOT, are the ones that I can think on top of my head right now.
One thing I realized is that the greed has been improving big time. Why? Does the market need demand immediately, or does it need demand in 6 months and people are slowly starting to hear it?
If I see 5 TikTok videos in a row that saying "BTC to the moon buy now," I realize that I am too far away from the ground with no wings.
Greed makes you lose what you have, and fear makes you lose what you didn't have. Emotions create disorder, perhaps volatility in some ways.
Especially the first quarter of this year, I will constantly be waiting for a KEY reversal. Maybe it's today, maybe it's after testing the first resistance above the current price. Maybe after BTC hits 50K which is a completely different argument. Whatever the case is, I am not exiting, I am tightening my stop loss orders. These are the times that need more screen time and more calibration on patterns and lines.
Personally, I'd like to see a reversal.
I wish everyone a great trading year. I hope we will buy our dream houses and dream cars. I hope we will go on that dream vacation. I hope our parents are going to be proud of us, our siblings will brag about us, and our children feel secure with us. Long or short, whatever it is, I hope this year will bring great things to all of us.
Happy new year
Meme coin gains may signal a mainiaThe memecoin gain oscillator (soon to be published) may indicate a current mania (12/28/2023). Care should be taken in the current market. Is the ETF speculation a sell the news event? Memecoin gains have been a signal in the past that the top is near. The indicator is detecting a high level of speculation currently.
TOTAL Cryto Market Sell SignalCRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
The total crypto market has flashed a sell signal. By our estimate the entire crypto market will fall by around 33% and bottom between 1.1bn and 1.2bn. This is based on previous market cycles and the average fall per indicator. Right now only one indicator has flashed (money flow), thus our estimate is for a 33% fall. This also aligned with uptrend support.
[20-12-2023] $TOTAL & $TOTAL3 - GEOMETRY ANALYSISIn this chart, we delve into the esoteric realms of geometry to decode the cryptic movements of the market. By applying the principles of Pythagoras, we've constructed geometric shapes that align with key pivot points, revealing potential areas of support and resistance.
Left Chart Analysis (Total Market Cap): As we observe the Total Crypto Market Cap, the Pythagoras Geometry brings forth a vivid tapestry of intersecting lines. The market's ascent seems to have found resistance at the peak of the green triangle, with the potential pivot around the 1.65T mark, aligning with the base of the red triangle. A clear pattern of consolidation within the geometric confines suggests a brewing momentum, possibly awaiting a breakout or reversal as it approaches the confluence of multiple geometric boundaries.
Right Chart Analysis (Market Cap Excluding BTC and ETH): Focusing on the market excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, the geometry suggests a nuanced narrative. The recent price action has respected the diagonal support of the yellow triangle, while the overhead resistance is framed by the green and red geometrical ceilings. The convergence of these lines around the 471-475B zone may act as a crucible for the next significant move.
Traders might look for price action to breach these geometric bounds to confirm a directional bias. The key will be to watch for volume-backed movements as the price interacts with these critical lines, serving as a testament to the Pythagorean harmony that may govern the rhythms of the market.
While the mystique of Pythagoras' theorem is often confined to the realm of mathematics, in the financial markets, its application through geometric charting can provide a unique perspective on price dynamics. As always, while the patterns provide a roadmap, it is the price action, corroborated by volume and other indicators, that should guide the final trading decisions.
Crypto Total Marktcap --- suggests pullback is occuring.Shorts have been getting their pants pulled down for too long :)
We may have reached a point where a pullback may be necessary and even healthy.
(Some coins will still do well of course, but will be fighting the general tide of the market)
Included a couple zones where could correct to.
MARKETS week ahead: December 24 - 30Last week in the news
During the previous week the Western markets were preparing for the forthcoming Holiday session before the year-end. The positive market sentiment continued to prevail on the markets, as traders were preparing to book profits this year. The US equity markets were closed higher from the week before, with S&P 500 closing the week at yearly highs. Gold continued to hold above $2K level, as USD was losing some of its value. The US Treasuries continue to be in the spotlight of the market, with decreasing yields and increased prices. The crypto market finished the week also in a positive sentiment, where BTC is ending another week modestly below the $44K.
After the Fed decided to keep its interest rates unchanged in December, the markets got a new level of optimism, wondering when the first pivoting point will occur. The majority still perceive that the Q1 of next year could mark the start of Fed`s cutting interest rates. As for Powell's rhetoric, the Fed is still not thinking about this step. Certainly, by their projections, it is clear that rate cuts will occur during the course of 2024, where the expected rate at the end of the year ahead would be 4.6%. The dynamics of rate cuts would certainly depend on the inflation behavior in the coming period. During the previous week the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index was published for November, showing further relaxation in inflation in November. The index was standing at 3.2% for the year, while core PCE was up 0.1%, for the month, which was below Fed`s expectations. This is an indication to markets that the inflation will most probably continue to move within the down-road, decreasing the probability of any sort of rate increases in the coming period, while at the same time increasing the probability that the Fed might cut rates sooner than expected.
Last week in the news was an astonishing yearly result of the British fin tech company Revoult. Its revenues have increased by 45%, for the year, regardless of a drop in net profits to 6 million pounds. The company has a significant base of clients, reaching 26.2 million, and has filed with the British authorities to obtain the banking license. Revoult is by far the most valuable start-up in Britain.
As markets are still focused on a question whether the first BTC ETF will be approved or not, the SEC continues to be focused on making some order within the crypto industry. Last week, SEC Chair Gensler commented that frauds continue to be one of the main concerns for regulators within the crypto industry and its full compliance with the regulation. Last week BarnBridge DAO, a company within the crypto industry, made a settlement with SEC, in order to settle SEC`s allegations. Total agreed amount to be paid by BarnBridge is $1.7 million. The SEC accused the company for offering illegal securities in crypto to the U.S investors. This refers to their product called SMART Yield.
Crypto market cap
The year-end market optimism was holding also on the crypto market during the whole last month. Although the initial frenzy was initiated by the stories related to the first BTC ETF fund, still, during the second half of December, US macro fundamentals left their mark on the positive market sentiment. Two weeks ago, there was a small correction in this cycle, however, the last trading week brought some profit-taking season also on the crypto market. A clear slow down in the US inflation, as well as anticipation that the Fed might quite soon start with rate cuts, increased the appetite in investors to search for riskier assets in order to increase their potential for profitability in the year to come. Despite some volatility during the course of this year, the crypto market is managing to end the year 116% higher from the end of the previous year. Total crypto market capitalization was increased during the previous week by another 6%, adding a total of $88B to its market cap. Daily trading volumes continue to be at a higher level, moving around $127B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase since the beginning of this year currently stands at 116%, where it has added a total $874B to the market cap.
Regardless of a general increase in cap during the previous week, not all coins contributed to it. It was another week with domination of Bitcoin and Ether, while some other altcoins ended the week with a small decrease in value. BTC has another positive week, where it has increased its value by 3.56% on a weekly basis, followed by ETH, which managed to add 2.11% w/w.
Ethereum Classic was also in the spotlight of investors, where the coin managed to increase its value by 4.6%. Few of altcoins had excellent performance during the week, where Solana managed to increase its cap by an incredible 27.13% w/w, while Algorand was up by 17.03%. From other coins, it should be mentioned Binance Coin, with an increase in value by 9.54%, NEO was up by almost 8% on a weekly basis, while LINK added 7.92% to its cap. On a losing track were DOGE and Cardano, which both decreased their cap by more than 1% while Miota was down by 2.6% on a weekly basis. As for coins in circulation, there has not been significant changes on a weekly basis. Certainly, this does not include Tether, which continues to strongly add its circulating coins, adding new 0.14% during the previous week.
Crypto futures market
Positive market sentiment was also reflected on the crypto futures market, and this time especially in long term crypto futures. Both BTC and ETH futures gained during the previous week. BTC short term futures were traded above 3% higher, in line with the spot market. December 2024 ended the week at a price of $43.815. It was interesting to see that BTC long term futures are still trading higher, where December 2024 ended the week at $47.340, while those futures maturing in March 2025 were last traded at price $48.215 or even 2.6% higher from the week before. These are reflections of a positive sentiment for the future value of BTC, as the market is currently not expecting that the BTC`s price might return to some lower levels from current.
ETH futures were also traded higher, less than 3% compared to the week before. Futures maturing in December were closed at 2.97% higher value from the week before, closing at $2.324. Those futures maturing in December next year were last traded at $2.500, for the first time since last year. However, futures maturing in March 2025 ended the week at $2.408, expressing market insecurity whether ETH could sustain these levels on a longer run.