The truth sometimes hurts.I was suprised, how perfectly CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL cap worked as indicator.
I commented good posts below with my POV. Please scroll to comments and find mine.
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TOTAL trade ideas
Big big warning sign for the crypto market- complimentary analysis to my last one:
- it is unusual for ATH breaks in crypto to get re-tested, let alone violated, forming a deviation
- this, so far, looks like a macro deviation/failed breakout and, pending weekly close, the most logical downside target would be erasing the entire Trump rally and taking liquidity below
- a move of that magnitude on TOTAL would likely mean Bitcoin is headed to 70k while ETH could go as low as 1200
TOTAL MARKET CAP 2016\2017TOTAL MARKET CAP 2016\2017
TotalMarketCap final shakeout process before parabolic run!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:ETH and Altcoins will accompany the parabolic run!
Don't be shaken!
Is Bitcoin dying?Is Bitcoin dying? Speculations are rising, but the future of crypto is always full of surprises. 🌐💰
Media Commentary on Trump's Connection to Bitcoin
Trump, who was the main reason for the increase in the value of Bitcoin, has now become the main reason for its fall; last month Bitcoin was $108,000 and now it has fallen to $86,000.
According to the chart, Bitcoin fell to a three-month low as concerns about Trump's tariffs undermined investor confidence. Concerns over U.S. tariffs after the theft of £1.2 billion worth of crypto from the Dubai Exchange last week further undermined investor confidence. The price of Bitcoin fell to $86,000, which was far from its peak last month, which was close to $110,000 on the same day that Donald Trump took office. His victory in the US presidential election boosted Bitcoin after he promised to make the United States the "crypto capital of the earth". However, the value of this popular cryptocurrency has fallen recently as investors anxiously watched Trump's plans to impose tariffs on their trading partners. Fears of a restart of trade wars have pushed investors away from risk assets – of which Bitcoin is among the most delicate. The main decline of European and Asian stock indices has not yet begun, and Bitcoin's decline is still early in the way.
However, at the time of the US elections, I noted that this move of Bitcoin bulls has nothing to do with Trump, and this move can be very deadly for Bitcoin, and this promise is being fulfilled.
But
what is the main reason for these events?
What is the purpose of BTC whales?
Bitcoin is facing significant challenges. The question remains: is this the end, or just another phase of evolution for the cryptocurrency networks?
Despite the recent challenges and fluctuations, declaring 'Bitcoin is dying' overlooks its resilience and the broader adoption of blockchain technology. Innovation often faces skepticism, but time will tell its true impact.
Incoming $1trillion dollar correction for crypto people... ** weeks ahead **
Is the market top in? This next move in the market will certainly convince the crypto folks that it is.
According to social media, Youtube influencers etc.. the bull run is just beginning.
That is in despite of a swathe of News article headlines “Bitcoin reaches new all time high $100k” and the janitor I have not spoken to in 10 years asking me if I'm buying Bitcoin.
The signs are there.
On the above 6 day chart, the TOTAL crypto market capitalisation, currently 3.57 trillion dollars price action has risen 46% since the November breakout. A number of reasons now exist for a bearish outlook:
1) Price action and RSI support breakdowns. Indeed the November breakouts requires confirmation of support on past resistance to allow for continuation. That's a long way down.
2) Support is exactly $1 trillion below at $2.57 trillion.
3) Price action is at a significant Fibonacci extension, look left.
4) This signal is found across the entire crypto market on both 6 day and weekly charts, in other words there is confluence across timeframes. That is important.
Is it possible speculators keep throwing good money after bad in the hope price go up? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Bulls make money.
Bears make money.
Pigs get slaughtered.
TOTAL3 - Hanging man
OTHERS total - Hanging man
Total Crypto MC 2.7T floor?The total crypto market cap has retraced 1T dollars. This is a key level as it may be a new floor for us to move higher. This was a key resistance for years. Let’s see if it holds or goes to 2T. Very rare but let’s see.
TOTALThe total crypto market index is pulling back to its previous long-term high after breaking it.
I expect the crypto market to rally after the total index reaches this area.
TOTAL is bearish (1D)The TOTAL structure is bearish. After breaking the previous high, there was no pullback to the previous high, meaning that buy order collection for the continuation of the trend has not occurred.
We are waiting for this index to reach the designated line.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
TOTAL 1WIt seems that we are completing the cup pattern, with the long-term target clearly marked in the chart.
To confirm that it will reach the 6 trillion target, the small descending channel, which I have considered as a pullback, must be broken to the upside as a trigger for the bullish move
Market Analysis for TOTAL Crypto Market Cap - Weekly Timeframe
Welcome! The current trend for the TOTAL Crypto Market Cap on the weekly timeframe is bearish, as indicated by our trading system:
MLR Crosses SMA: The Moving Regression Line (MLR) in blue is below the Simple Moving Average (SMA) in pink, signaling a bearish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center Line: Both the MLR and SMA are below the Bollinger Bands Center Line (orange), further confirming bearish momentum.
PSAR Flips: The Parabolic SAR (PSAR), indicated by black dots, is above the price, indicating a bearish trend.
Price vs. SMA 200: The price is above the 200-period Moving Average (red), indicating a long-term bullish trend despite the short-term bearish signals.
Current Strategy: Due to the bearish short-term signals (MLR below SMA, MLR and SMA below BB Center, PSAR above price), a long entry is not advisable at this time, despite the long-term bullish indication from the price being above the 200-period SMA.
Consider monitoring: Watch for a potential reversal where the MLR crosses above the SMA, the BB Center Line, and the PSAR flips below the price, aligning with the long-term bullish trend.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or for potential long entry signals.
That is it !
Thank you !
TOTAL ROADMAP (1D)By analyzing the TOTAL chart, it can be expected that the crypto market still has room to move downward. Of course, there will be fluctuations along the way, but at least TP 1 is likely to be hit.
For a trend reversal, the lower green zone is a highly significant area.
Let’s see what happens.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
TOTAL - What to Watch for This Week Here is an update to our last post (highly recommend reviewing as market structure how played out very well with these levels).
Just to review. Total marketcap was able to bounce from our green line. Then once we hit resistance again, we broke the green line and fell down to our yellow line ($3 Trillion level).
We were supported there until we ended up double topping (in the short term) around $3.24T. Yesterday, Total printed a daily doji to reverse the market and send it back down. Now we have seen over $200 Billion erased from total since that daily doji.
Now let's take a look on where we are at and see what's next. To be honest we printed a terrible daily candle. We closed at the lowest level since mid November 2024.
This means you need to pay attention to two levels. We closed today at $2.92T. Since we closed below our upper levels could act as new resistance. The first level would be our psychological $3T level and the second level is our purple line (where most daily candles closed) around $3.06-$3.08T. If we can start closing daily candles back above $3.1T then the short term momentum have flipped back bullish.
Worst case scenario, if those levels above are acting as resistance we could see a drop as low as $2.7T. This would be flipping our market high in March of 2024 that acted as a top into a new level of support to try to bounce from.
Is Crypto a Bad Girlfriend?Is Crypto a Bad Girlfriend?
Ask yourself this: Is your relationship with crypto toxic?
Lately, it feels that way:
🚩 Rugpulls every day—Libra, TRUMP, MELANIA, PENGU, PNUT... the list goes on.
💸 Staking inflation spiraling out of control in PoS projects.
🎭 Narratives changing every 6 months to make you spend more.
📉 Most altcoins down 50%+ in 2024, making the USD look like a safe haven.
🔓 Hacks everywhere, with millions stolen daily.
Just in my circle, friends are getting hacked weekly, calling me for help. It’s out of control!
Now, the biggest heist of all time on Bitget?!!
💰 $1.4B gone in seconds—probably straight to North Korea.
Meanwhile, traditional finance (TradFi) and banks are having crisis meetings today, figuring out how to avoid being the next headline.
Is Crypto Worth the Risk?
Gold can’t be hacked.
NASDAQ has never been hacked.
Why invest millions in something intangible and so vulnerable?
Today, $160B vanished from the crypto market cap (-5%)—and it’s just the beginning.
Do you really believe governments will store national reserves in crypto?
Who will control the keys?
How will they prevent hacks?
If Bitget can lose $1.4B, how can you trust anyone to manage national reserves?
Imagine This:
Stealing 14,000 tons of gold from Fort Knox? Nearly impossible without being noticed.
Stealing $1.4B in crypto? Done in a second.
Crypto is becoming a liability.
💔 She lies to you about her tokenomics.
📉 She wrecks your leverage and drains your money.
🛑 She tries to hack your wallet every chance she gets.
So why are you still with this girl?
Meanwhile, Wall Street keeps printing money for investors—without the chaos.
Investors are fed up.
🚨 Crypto is heading for its dot-com crash. Get ready for the dump.
Strategic Dollar-Cost Averaging - Long/Medium Term Valuation #1This valuation indicator moving to a negative state on the 2-day timeframe potentially indicates an oversold condition or a high-value entry point in the crypto market.
It could imply that traders might see this as an attractive opportunity to accumulate positions, anticipating a potential rebound or reversal, especially if supported by other bullish signals.
However, given the overall upward trajectory visible in the chart, this short-term oversold signal might also represent a temporary dip or consolidation phase within the long-term bullish trend.
TOTAL Crypto Long-Term Trend Probability #2This indicator shifting to a bearish outlook on the 2-day timeframe potentially points to a temporary downturn or risk-averse sentiment in the crypto market.
It could imply that traders might consider taking a defensive stance, possibly exiting positions or hedging, especially if supported by other confirming signals like declining volume or weakening price action.
However, given the overall upward trajectory evident in the chart, this short-term bearish signal might simply indicate a minor correction or consolidation phase rather than a reversal of the long-term bullish trend.
TOTAL Crypto Long-Term Trend Probability #1This indicator transitioning to a bearish stance on the 2-day timeframe potentially signals a temporary pullback or risk-off sentiment in the crypto market.
It could imply that investors might adopt a cautious approach, possibly locking in profits or reducing exposure, especially if other confirming strategies/indicators align with this shift.
Given the long-term upward trajectory visible in the chart, this short-term bearish signal might represent a minor correction or consolidation phase rather than a reversal of the broader bullish trend.
May 2025 going to be blast for AltsThis week till May 2025 hopefully alts season. The weekly golden cross between the EMA 200 and SMA 200 for TOTALMARKETCAP has been confirmed.
In 2021, this signal marked the beginning of one of the largest altseasons.
MARKETS week ahead: February 23 – March 1Last week in the news
There are currently several words which shape investors sentiment, including trade tariffs, inflation, slower economic growth. All three words are active for come time, which impact market moves during the previous week. Fears of inflation, after a release of Michigan Consumer Sentiment on Friday, pushed the US equities strongly toward the downside. The S&P 500 dropped by 1,7% within a day, after reaching the new all time highest level. The index closed the week at the level of 6. 013. Investors were looking more at the safe-haven assets, in which sense, the price of gold again reached the new highest level at 2.954, while the 10Y US Treasury benchmark sharply dropped to the level of 4,43%. The crypto market was a bit traded aside, where BTC continues to move within a channel between $ 96K-$ 98K levels.
The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index final for February was the one that shook the markets. Surprisingly lower data from estimated, were the ones which supported investors fears from future inflation. The Index level of 64,7 was lower from expected 67,8. On the other hand, inflation expectation data were the ones that surprised investors. Namely, US consumers are expecting inflation at the levels of 4,3%, while five years inflation expectations were increased to the level of 3,5% from 3,2% posted during previous releases. Investors were not at all happy with such inflation development, not even as an expectation, which showed by a significant drop in US equity indexes.
A lot of news attention during the previous week was on the earnings report of Berkshire Hathaway. The most famous investor on the market, Warren Buffet had stockpiled more cash for another quarter through sale of stocks. As per reports, its cash position currently stands at $334B. Regardless of this move, the Buffet noted that Berkshire Hathaway will always prefer stocks over cash, without too much further explanation. During his previous comments, he sort of criticized the market, calling it too expensive at this moment and only a few buying opportunities. Nevertheless, shares of Berkshire Hathaway continue to gain in value, adding 5% from the start of this year. At the same time, Reuters reported that Buffets company will most probably increase stake in five Japanese trading houses, which he currently holds in portfolio, including Itochu, Marubeni, Mitsubishi, Mitsui and Sumitomo.
As of the week-end a news hit the market that crypto exchanger Bybit was under a huge cyber attack, where estimated, $1,5 billion worth of ether was stolen. As news is reporting, an entity from North Korea was suspected. The stolen coins were then transferred into BTC. Although Bybit reacted promptly, still, the exchanger faced significant withdrawal requests from its clients.
Crypto market cap
There was another volatile week on the crypto market. After significant gains two weeks ago, the previous week was in a mood of corrections. The crypto coins were traded in a mixed manner. There were almost equal numbers of both coins which finished the week in red and in green. However, total crypto market capitalization decreased by 1% on a weekly level, losing total $30B in value. Daily trading volumes were modestly increased to the level of $239B on a daily basis, from $170B traded two weeks ago. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -2%, with $80B outflow of funds.
Despite the both winners and losers during the week, still, the crypto market ended the week with a total loss of $30B on a weekly basis. The coin with highest participation, BTC, was traded modestly down by 0,9%, losing total $17B in value. On the opposite side was ETH, who managed to gain $ 10B in value, increasing it by 3,2% w/w. Other significant movers in nominal terms were XRP, which was traded down by 6%, dropping its market cap by $9,8B. Solana was also traded lower, dropping by 10,7% w/w or $10,1B. Another coins with significant drop was DOGE, who managed to decrease its cap by $ 4B or 9,9%. Among gainers Maker should be especially mentioned, as this coin increased its value by 55% within a single week. At the same time, this coin increased the number of its coins in circulation by 1,9%. Several of other weekly winners were ZCash, with a surge of 7,9% w/w, while a portion of other smaller altcoins managed to gain below 1% on a weekly level.
When coins in circulation are in question, Maker was already mentioned with its increase of 1,9%. At the same time, ZCash decreased its circulating coins by 2,7%. Filecoin added 0,8% of new coins to the market, while IOTAs increase was 0,6%.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market was traded lower compared to the end of the previous week. BTC futures were traded around 3% lower, while ETH futures ended the week around 4% lower.
BTC futures maturing in December this year closed the week at the level of $101.875, and those maturing a year later at the level of $111.380. Despite the drop, it is still positive that investors are perceiving the BTC price at levels higher from $100K in the future period.
ETH futures maturing in December 2025 were last traded at the level of $2.807, and those maturing in December 2026 closed the trading week at $3.017.
TOTAL MARKET CHART UPDATE !!The chart shows the total cryptocurrency market capitalization trend. It shows a range-bound movement within parallel lines, indicating potential resistance and support levels.
Here are some key points you may find useful:
Current market capitalization: approximately $3.13 trillion.
Resistance and support: The upper and lower lines indicate levels where the price has historically reversed.
Trend analysis: The price seems to be consolidating, which could lead to a breakout or breakdown.
Keep an eye on the market to see if it breaks out of this range!
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Bearish Divergence?I hope I’m wrong and I hope this never happens, but the weekly RSI for now is smelling like a bearish divergence, exactly what happened last bull market before the market crash. When price makes higher highs, but RSI prints lower highs, it usually means buyers are leaving the market and sellers are taking over. Of course, this bearish divergence is not a bearish divergence until it happens and the market crashes. Price may well reverse here and the market may continue its bullish path, but if history was to rhyme, then this structure is truly scaring me and making me nervous, because if it happens to be a bearish divergence, hundreds of millions of people around the world are gonna get slaughtered by the market. I really want to ignore this signal, but I can’t. Despite seeing this scary structure I’m gonna hold for now, to see how things play out.
Weekly bull flagThis is such a beautiful sight. A massive bull flag on the total CMC chart on the weekly timeframe. I hope this pattern plays out it would be a face melting blast to 4.5 trillion in total market cap for all of crypto. S move of 44% and it could be a quick one. Bull flags break up about 2/3s of the time. NFA
Where is ALT season ? Narket Cap Data shows clear direction
It is a question that has been asked for a while now.
What on earth has happened to the Fabled ALT Season ? The Time of Quick and Fast earnings on ALT coins.
Market Cap data shows us very clearly how Bitcoin alone is responsible for the lack of ALT Season so far.
In summery we see that, using the Market Cap charts, the recent pull backs since December 2024, Bitcoin has pulled back a lot less than the others and that ETH is a big losser here also.
Pull back %'s in Crypto Market Caps
TOTAL = - 15.51%
TOTAL 2 = -25.98 % ( Excluding BTC )
TOTAL 3 = -22.61 % ( Excluding BTC % ETH )
OTHERS = - 40.57% ( Top 125 coins minus top 10 by Dominacne )
We can see from the difference between the TOTAL 2 and TOTAL 3 charts how ETH is responsible for a 3% Drop in the TOTAL market cap ...Thats a Big amount for one single coin.
We can also see how the Biggest Loosers so far this cycle are the Mid Cap ALT coins.
The Big question now is, will They recover and will we get an ALT Season ?
Lets Look at the charts to see where we are
TOTAL Crypto Market Cap
PA is above Support, back in the Green zone and with room to move before resistance needs to be broken
TOTAL 2 Crypto Market Cap
In trouble. Below Resistance in two places. There is currently a push up and PA is about to hit that line od resistance. We will know in the next few days the outcome of this.
ETH needs to show strength here to help support the idea of an ALT Season
TOTAL 3 Crypto Market Cap
The ALTS themselves are in an area that has Support below but are about to hit resistance. However, there is strength there as we can see PA broke out of the rannge at one point but the market pulled back and took them with it. this chart shows us ALL the Alts and is very likely supported by the Huge impact of the Meme craze and Solana. As was mentioned above, This was a smaller pullback than the ETH & ALT chart above.
OTHERS Crypto Market Cap
This is the chart that surprises me the most.
The well know Mid Cap Alts took the biggest hit since December 2024 - Nearly double the losses of the Total 3 ALT market - Could this also be showing us that ALTS on the ETH network were liable to bigger losses. ? Coins like AVAX, LINK etc
PA here has just bounced off support but has run straight into resistance. This really Needs to break through as Sentiment needs to be improved.
But the BIGGEST thing that needs to break, to allow an ALT SEASON is of course, Bitcoin Dominance. BTC.D
ALT seasons are in the times after Bitcoin Halving when BTC Dominance Drops and money flowed into ALTS>
But these days, Corporation and institutions are buying Bitcoin and HOLDING, as are the sensible little people like you and me. You can see this Very clearly on the chart - BTC.D just cntinues to climb.
So where is the money for ALT season going to come from ?
The proposed increase of ETF's on ALT coins could push this in a very selected way. i.e. the proposed Litecoin ( THE original ALT COIN ) has been trying to push the price of LTC higher.
XRP is another
But this is NOT the ALT Season we all expereinced in previous cycles and, infact, if you look close, you will see that ALT season has been getting smaller and smaller.
It was once said that Crpyto was a bubble that Will burst like the Dot Com bubble........and I think we may see this......the rubbish ALT coins falling away and the BTC and utility ALTs coming through.
But no ALT Season as we once knew...........OR WILL TRUMP MAKE IT HAPPEN ?
Only time will tell
Crypto Market Is Trying To Resume Its Bullish TrendBitcoin remains under intraday bullish pressure with room for more gains, especially if we consider that NASDAQ100 is still pointing higher. So, seems like risk-on sentiment is still here and we should be aware of a bigger recovery in the Crypto market, even because of the USdollar that shows strong bearish momentum. Crypto TOTAL market cap chart looks to have a completed wave (2) correction and it's actually just about to break channel resistance line which confirms that wave (3) is in progress. Can ALTcoins follow Bitcoin soon?
