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MARKETS week ahead: January 13 – 19Last week in the news Surprisingly good US jobs data pushed the markets toward the negative sentiment. It is not the case that investors were disappointed with good developments in the US economy, but they needed to correct their previous expectations on Fed's rate cuts. The US equity markets were mostly hit, where S&P 500 ended the week at the level of 5.827. The US Treasury yields ended the week higher, with 10Y reaching 4,8%. The US Dollar continued to gain in strength, however, the price of gold was also strengthening to the level of $2.689 due to investors uncertainty regarding the decisions which will be taken by the new US Administration. The BTC was traded with lower strength during the week, testing the resistance line at $95K, after shortly reaching support level at the $90K. The major data posted during the previous week were related to the US jobs data. The surprisingly better than expected Non-farm Payrolls figures of 256K hit the market on Friday. At the same time, the unemployment rate dropped to the level of 4,1% from 4,2% posted previously. Although this is good news for the US economy, still markets reacted in a negative manner - by increasing Treasury yields and decreasing the value of major equity indices on the US market. The markets are not perceiving that the Fed would have to keep interest rates at current levels for a longer period of time. At this moment, some analysts are noting a potential first rate cut during this year in September. The sentiment among investors for the rate cut at the January FOMC meeting dropped to the lowest level. Mark Zuckerberg's recent interview on Joe Rogan show attracted attention from investors and journalists. Mark was criticizing a main rival of his company, Apple, for “a lot of rules, that I think are arbitrary” which are implemented into Apple's technology. In his opinion, these rules are diminishing all the technological effort that Apple has put in place. At the same time, it should be noted that Meta announced that it will ban their “fact checking” program introduced during the pandemic. Analysts from Bernstein are betting on the European pharmaceutical industry in 2025. As they are noting, there is currently a significant discount of EU pharma stocks, with a solid growth prospectus in 2025 of estimated 8% EPS. Another aspect that Bernstein analysts are noting is solid generation of cash by the EU pharma industry. Analysts from Bank of America downgraded Tesla shares from Buy to Neutral. The rationale behind such an action is their view on “high execution risks”. They also decreased the price target from $490 down to $400. Crypto market cap There has been a lot of volatility on the crypto market during the previous week. The majority of this volatility was driven by BTC. As this coin entered into the mainstream markets, through exchange traded funds during the previous year, its price is reacting to developments in the US macro segment. Surprisingly strong US jobs data increased the sentiment with investors that Fed will halt further decrease of interest rates, in order to cope with the heating economy, in which sense, investors had to adjust their previous expectations. Simply, the less rate cuts implying less liquidity in the economy, in which sense, less money for the crypto market. Still, during this trading week, total crypto market capitalization decreased by 5% w/w, erasing some $160B in total cap. Daily trading volumes remained redacted, moving around the level of $130B on a daily basis, a further decline from last week's $158B. Total crypto market capitalization remained flat when compared to the end of the year 2024. The majority of crypto coins were traded in red during the previous week. Bitcoin lost around $ 68B in the market cap, decreasing it by 3,5% w/w. Ether was following the sentiment, by which its market cap dropped by $ 43B or 10% on a weekly basis. Bitcoin Gold also had a negative week with a droop in value of 25%. From other major coins, DOGE was traded down by 12%, same as Solana, while BNB managed to sustain a lower drop in value of 2,4%. It is interesting that XRP had a solid week, as this is one of rare coins which ended the week on a positive territory, increasing its market cap by 6,2% w/w. Regarding coins in circulation, this week IOTA had an increase of coins in circulation by 0,5%, while Filecoins number of circulating coins was higher by 0,3% w/w. Stellar, Solana and Algorand increased the number of coins on the market by 0,2% each. Crypto futures market The sentiment from the spot market was reflected on the crypto futures market. Both BTC and ETH futures were traded lower from the end of the week before. BTC futures were traded down by 4% on average, while ETH futures were down by some 10% on average for all maturities. BTC futures maturing in December this year ended the week with the price of $103.325, and those maturing a year later, closed the market at $112.275. On a positive side is that longer term futures continue to hold above the $100K level. ETH futures maturing at the end of this year were last traded at $3.511, while those maturing in December 2026 closed the week at $3.711. For one more time ETH did not manage to sustain the futures price levels above the $4K.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
TOTAL CRYPTO MARKET CAPthe entire crypto market cap have seen a drop in the portfolio since December 2024 according to the chart on weekly. This chart is showing money moving out of the ecosystem by whales to bonds which have more protection and better security. Some whale are investing in GOLD AND SILVER . the united state 10 year bond is kicking high and could yield could touch 6% by 20205 if the fed ( federal reserve) monetary polices keep track of inflation containment and remain hawkish
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by Shavyfxhub
All market ready for rally In Total1, Total2, and Total3, we see the same situation: they have turned the block orders into support by breaking through them and closing above. In this case, the block orders have become support levels. In the worst-case scenario, if the price falls below this support, it could take strength from the next block order below and continue its upward movement. Both of these supports are major levels and should be taken into account. Rallies are on the horizon! 🚀🚀🚀🚀
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by OceanStaker
CRYPTO TOTAL MARKET CAP (TOTAL)Crypto Total on the mend. Price appears to have found support above the 50% and we see further price continuation. Volume has slowly crept back into the market with most institutional player coming back after holiday. Notice how volume has created a higher low on the 4H. Keep an eye out if this trend holds. Markets are extremely volatile so expect large moves off consolidation areas. Expecting a potential bounce off the lower time frame 50%. Price must hold the short-term trend line otherwise we could see a liquidity sweep. If the higher time frame 50% is turned into resistance, we could see a price drop to the lower levels. Take note of recent divergence found on the MACD and RSI. Price continues to move higher with high lows, while we see lower lows forming on the indicators. This typically indicates that the buyers are absorbing all the selling pressure in the market. Once sellers are unable to maintain pressure the buyers will prevail. Expect price continuation until otherwise proven.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by postmandan79
MARKETS week ahead: January 6 – 12Last week in the news Markets used the first trading week in this year to slowly gear up for the coming period. The US equity markets had a copy-paste from the last week of December, where the week started in a negative sentiment, but Friday brought optimism. The S&P gained on Friday, ending the week at the level of 5.942. The US Dollar continues to gain in strength, bringing some volatility to the price of gold, which ended the week at $2.638. The US Treasuries are still digesting US macro data in expectation of the January FOMC meeting, bringing the 10Y US benchmark to the level of 4,62%. The crypto market started the new year in an optimistic manner, bringing BTC back to levels of $98K. Previous week was relatively calm when it comes to the release of currently significant macro data in the US. However, the largest US companies started to release their business plans for the year 2025. One of the most important news came from Microsoft, which noted that the company plans to spend at least $80 billion on construction of data centers which could be able to sustain a heady workload of AI-powered systems. For some time now, analysts have been noting that AI is the next “big thing” and that companies involved in the AI ecosystem would gain the most funds from investors. After this news the US equity market regained optimism bringing tech-heavy indexes to the higher grounds on Friday. CNBC made an interesting analysis based on officially published data in China, related to imports of phones into this country. Namely, as per CNBC, foreign mobile phone shipments in China dropped by 47% y/y in November. Considering that the majority of foreign phone shipments in China comes from Apple, CNBC is noting that Apple's market share in China might be under pressure in the coming period, considering strong competition from local smartphone producers. Interesting news published by Reuters at the beginning of the previous week, states that a local group of Swiss cryptocurrency advocates started an initiative proposing to the Swiss National Bank to hold Bitcoin, in a sense of national reserves. The initiators now have the task to collect 100.000 signatures in order for the initiative to reach a public referendum in Switzerland. At the start of the new year, analysts from investment company Goldman Sachs published their view and forecasts on the economic developments in the US, EU and China. The economic growth is expected to continue in the US, around 2,7%, while the EU should accelerate at a modest pace of 0,8%. The EU economy will continue to stand a hit from higher energy prices and also from high competition from China. Their expectations are that the EU will further cut interest rates to the level of 1,75%. Analysts from Goldman are noting geopolitical risks as ones to prevail in the 2025, as well as risks for the US economy if a new US administration imposes tariffs on goods from China. Crypto market cap The crypto market used the first trading week in a year to gear up for the rest of the year, and set the sentiment for the future. Major event that is ahead relates to the inauguration of the new US administration on January 20th, which was generally crypto-friendly during the pre-election period. The market expects positive developments for the crypto industry in the next four years. Whether there will be challenges on that road, is to be seen. After a bumpy year-end, the market set the positive sentiment during the previous week, where total crypto market capitalization gained 5% during the week, adding $160B to its market cap. Due to holidays, daily trading volumes remained relatively lower, moving around $158B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization during the year 2024 was increased by 97%, while during the first trading week in 2025 the market gained 5%, or $160B. Majority of crypto coins gained during the previous week. BTC, the leader of the market, increased its market cap by 3,5% or $65B. Ether was also on a winning side, adding $ 29B to its market cap, increasing it by 7,3% w/w. Some other notable gainers were DOGE, with an increase in the market cap of 19,3%. ADA also significantly gained, a 21% increase w/w. Market favorite Solana was up by “only” 11%, while Algorand was traded higher by 20% w/w. Stellar should also be mentioned, as the coin managed to gain a significant 26% in value. Only a few coins ended the week in red, among which were ZCash, with a weekly decrease in value of 4%, while Tether decreased its coins in circulation and its market cap by 1,2%. As for coins in circulation this week Solana managed to increase the number of its coins on the market by 0,7%, followed by Filecoin`s increase by 0,5% of circulating coins. In line with its significant increase in the value, Stellar managed also to increase the number of circulating coins by 0,2%. Crypto futures market The market optimism is back not only on a spot market, but also on the crypto futures market. The long term futures prices are expressing currently strong sentiment for BTC of investors. BTC futures were traded higher by more than 4% for all maturities. The major development is with longer term futures which are holding at levels above the $100K. In this sense, futures maturing in December 2025 ended the week with the price of $107.460, while futures maturing in December 2026 reached for the first time the level of $116.750. The ETH futures were traded higher around 8% on average. It is important for ETH that longer term futures crossed for one more time the level of $4K. Futures maturing in December 2025 were last traded at $3.885, while those maturing in December 2026 closed the week at $4.172.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
2025 Crypto is Starting Strong On the 2W timeframe (left), the chart shows a bullish structure holding, with the market previously breaking above significant levels, such as the 21' High at 3.02T and the previous high at 3.45T. The next target appears to be 3.73T, marked as "waiting for retest." The 8M timeframe (right) reflects a broader, cleaner perspective, indicating that the market has consistently broken higher highs since 2021. The structure is bullish as long as it holds above the 21' High. Key Levels: 3.73T: A crucial resistance level and target for retesting in the bullish cycle. 3.45T: Current support where the market has recently retested. 3.02T: Strong support from 2021, providing a critical foundation for bullish momentum. Analysis: The market looks to consolidate above 3.45T and aim for the 3.73T level. If momentum continues, the next significant target is the 4.44T level, aligning with the higher-timeframe bullish cycle. Any pullback should ideally hold above 3.45T to maintain the bullish trend. If it fails, the 3.02T level is critical for structural support. Conclusion: This chart is solid evidence of a bullish market. It highlights the importance of respecting higher timeframe structures, focusing on previous highs as targets, and watching for confirmation around significant levels like 3.45T and 3.73T.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by MoNi_MoN