TOTAL3Crazy to think about but something like this is on the way...
The decentralised financial system is set to consume a massive chunk of traditional finance here as we can see..
The infrastructure built (l1s) is finally reliable enough to move synthetic assets en masse imo.
this along with many other ecosystem components (defitools/ai/gamefi/privacy) will comprise a large portion of the total3 markup.
TOTAL3 trade ideas
Altcoin Market Capitalization Retesting Critical S/RAltcoin Market Capitalization currently retesting critical support/resistance around 402B.
If current area remains supported then altcoin Market Cap can look to higher resistances around 470.1B and 514.4B. Bitcoin dominance will fall...This will enable altcoins to rally. #altseason 🚀
If this critical support cannot be maintained then look for supports 332B, 287B. Altcoins will perish and Bitcoin dominance will rise higher!
ALTS full analysis short term this is an update and full analysis for alts .
firstly this is a hand made chart , total 2 except eth , and stables .you can make same on using tradingview .
you find eth analysis separated .
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as you can see in the picture we kissed the top of the accumulation range (line in green)
the 3 arrows represents all the possibilities . in the end of this analysis i will post my opinion .
green arrow represents a small correction of this big move since October , and then continue higher . orange one , represent a deviation above the accumulation range and get back inside , the black arrow represent a breakout of the range . remember , these movements are short term , once , one of them take place , we will update based on the move itself . and we give the possibilities of that particular move .
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1- green arrow : its a simple correction to continue higher , well known wycoff accumulation range . the correction coincides with 0.25 fib level .10% drop from here .a reversal is probable after the correction , to continue higher , until we break the accumulation range that we are in for 560days now !.
2-orange arrow ,represents a deviation above the range and then come back inside , its very common move to trick buyers and liquidate them , finally get back into the range to stay in for longer .this probable deviation gives 22% up from here .
3-black arrow , is simply a breakout of the range , could give a retest just after the breakout , or could soar and get far away from the upper band of the range to give that retest .
in case of the black arrow , the targets are for short term dec 2023 - feb 2024 :
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alts depend on various things : bitcoin price, bitcoin dominance ...etc
so its hard to give long term scenario without analyzing the data and make update in weekly/monthly basis .
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my opinion is :
its optimistic , and coincides with may 2021 alts high . this move could reach only the first or second green box , for me the second is possible , the third possibility is lower, but this is my opinion . as mentioned earlier , it depends on btc dominance and price .even the second or first box are nice targets , they represents : 150% and 300% from bottom .
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remember , this is not a financial advice
thank you
alts/btc alts /btc are making good progress , find acceptance and continue higher will give alts another explosion . refer to the chart . could also fall from here and get back inside the range in green .
this chart is your guide for altcoins agains btc , handmade .
this is not a financial advice
thank you
Alts testing resistance after 9 swing moveFunction: Corrective
Wave Family: Complex Zig Zag
Macro count: Primary B of ABC in Cycle IV
Invalidation points: Above 161.8% of WX
Description: TOTAL3 appears to be completing a 9 swing corrective wave and is in wave Y of WXY. In the WXY pattern W is a simple zig-zag (ABC 5-3-5), X is a triangle and Y is a simple zig-zag. The fib retracement of primary A shows the 38.2% - 50% levels clustered in the same region as the 123.6% - 161.8% trend based fib extension of WX which shows the region for a potential top of TOTAL3. If a top forms, you can expect the market cap to do at least 1:1 of wave A or 100% (measured move) in a C wave.
Alt-coins are hot! What does liquidity tell us?The alt-coin market is hot right now. This could continue alongside anticipation of halving, possibly driven by those feeling priced out of BTC and seeking faster returns. Or we could see alts cool down as speculators rotate back to BTC.
TOTAL3 is the total market cap of alt-coins (cryptocurrency less BTC and ETH), representing the most speculative opportunities in the space. The correlation between alts and central bank liquidity is among the highest that I can find among risk assets.
Liquidity (green) has been increasing since September 2023 and alts (white) have moved steeply since. It’s worth noting when the correlation coefficient deviates from liquidity, which is what we’re seeing now.
Lower correlation when the supply of funds is increasing and alt market cap is flat represents fear in the market (2020 recession)
Low correlation when market cap is increasing faster than liquidity could indicate an unsustainable euphoria (current)
This perspective doesn't tell us when sentiment will correct from being overly greedy or overly fearful, only that we're headed toward an extreme. For the time being I am keeping my alt trades relatively small and taking profits aggressively.
$BTC vs $ETH vs $TOTAL3Let's compare CRYPTOCAP:BTC vs CRYPTOCAP:ETH vs CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL 3 (= NO #BTC or #ETH)
These are all showing negative divergence on RSI & $ flow on daily.
(Showing 2b cautious, this is NOT reason for a TRADE)
#ALTCOINS have done VERY WELL, They are currently OVERSOLD & can remain that way for a very long time, just saying.
They did it from 12/2020 - 5/2021
Then peaked 11/2021 after ATH
Please see profile for more info..
Not all charts here.
total3 Daily time frame review and analysisIn examining the TOTAL 3 chart, we notice that, like the TOTAL 2 chart, HC XVTD is contrary to the movement of .ETH. BTC. TOTAL. In addition to the fact that it is not even close to the supply area, it is also failing and stabilizing above a supply level, which is an important indicator that with the recent growth of Bit and the analysis of the upward trend in the TOTAL2 chart, we should be more mindful of the occurrence of alt seasons.
Altseason Indicator. Capitalization excluding BTC ETH USDT USDCLogarithm. Time Frame 1 week. Understanding the capitalization and growth potential of altcoins without BTC ETH and top steiblcoins USDT, USDC and DAI gives a brighter and more accurate picture of the timing of the start and development of that long-awaited altcoin season of more pronounced scale than now on 16 10 2023 - at the time of publication 8 12 2023.
1) The capitalization of these assets has long been in a squeeze - consolidation, this is a direct correlation with the accumulation zones. We are conventionally in the final phase of accumulation (almost).
2) Please note that there has been no real capitulation (perhaps there will not be, and if there is, it will be V figuratively, but that is not the point). Very much emphasize your attention to the timing of the length of this phase and past late 2018 and 2020.
3) Also note to your eye that at that time 2018-2020 there was not such a big capitalization outperformance from the rest of the BTC and ETH market. Compare that to the situation now, how much other altcoins are "undervalued" speculatively. You also need to realize that there is a correlation with stablecoins and their huge portion of the overall market compared to the time before.
How to enter these parameters on tradingview? .
In order to capitalize alts from TOTAL3 (initially without capitalization of BTC and ETH) and exclude all large-capitalization stablecoins from it, you need to do the following:
In the ticker entry line in tradingview write:
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3-CRYPTOCAP:USDT-CRYPTOCAP:USDC-CRYPTOCAP:DAI .
Accordingly, a chart is created that subtracts the capitalization of the designated stablecoins (USDT, USDC, DAI) from TOTAL 3.
Total 3 altcoins indecisive I called that last total3 washout with the marked candle bodies. This allowed me to sell some of my more recently bought tokens to get a lower entry. I was able to get better DCAs on Link, PYR, ILV, and a few others. The chart now finds itself at an inflection point. Attempting to get back into the greater channel, but resistance is winning. Total3 climbs to that green fib slowly with BTC also on a heavy uptrend. We have been on a bullish supertrend since late October. Our fallback zone is this red dashed line which is a prior weekly double top. My bullish target is the green fib around 500b mcap. This is a 32% upside vs a 23% downside. Stay safe, I am not trading this as I got most of my altcoin entries nearly a year ago at this point. The market is overheated imo.
Santa Rally for Altcoins on the cardsTOTAL3, an indicator of altcoin market capitalisation excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, has made a significant move🔔.
We've breached and closed above on a weekly timeframe some serious key levels. And are above the Bear Market high.
By surpassing and maintaining above the bear market high on a weekly timeframe.
While this doesn't mean we won't see a pullback in the near future, it does set up some nice space to move leading up to the BTC halving.
It also comes at a timely point in the macro landscape, with the US monetary policymakers this week agreeing that rates will be dropping in 2024. With 3 rate cuts planned at this stage.
These tailwinds, combined with Bitcoin potentially ranging, could see a swell of liquidity returning to the #altcoin markets.
🎅 #SantaRally?