TOTAL3 trade ideas
I smell Altseason.Currently the Overal Crypto Market Cap is at 1.4 Tril. I see first resistance at 1.6 Tril.
More importantly Altcoin Crypto Market Cap is at 420 Bil and nearing the 450 Bil zone. If it breaks above that i think altcoins will go nuts.
Most liekly the altcoin market bottom is in. My altcoin portfolio has been pumping nicely. Main holdings NASDAQ:ROSE $AZERO AMEX:NEAR and $DOT.
Still would like to accumulate some AI exposure, looking at JSE:GRT and also some MOEX:ASTR GPW:QNT but not a priority
TOTAL 3: One possible bullish scenario
For a true Alt season (excluding ETH) we need to break and sustain above 440 billion in Total3.
440 billion is the last top that led to the lowest low of 290 billion.
For a bullish reversal in T3, we need to break (and sustain above) that top (i.e., 440 billion) and then retrace and then continuation.
#TOTAL3 ALT SEASON WYCOFF ALIGNMENTI see there is 2 models overlaying each other. The Black text states we are in the sos stage where as the red text states we have more to go before the ALT season bull run.
Definitely in the last stages of accumulation and towards breakout.
Refer to my video stream for more indicators supporting this thesis.
regards,
S.SAri
TOTAL 3 Do you bullieve?If you are familiar with Howard Marks market cycle it's very evident this chart is following exactly along. This chart appears to be in the G phase of Howards cycle. This stage can also be categorized as "Disbelief." The tides have turned and those who watch diligently are paying attention. One thing is for sure, it will take time. Better to buy daily and have patience than trade yourself out of life changing money.
ALT Cap & BTC Cap | Happy Together Liquidity is Kinglooks like BTC has a banker of it's own to get liquidity and maintain Fear Greed
as well as ALTs uncompromised from BTCs funding
LONG story short... Alts have body guards to support fresh investors not to panic and reward towards Q4 and Q1 next year
Total 3 is still struggling if this analysis is right, so just be patient we going to see a huge move down in Atls. Don’t forget to take profit as unrealised profit is not your until we book it.
Total 3 is still in zone we may see many alts creats lower low unless it breaks up side. there are some possibilities that it can also break up side however until proven otherwise we are still bearish.
dont listen to noice of influencers, they are just making you exit liquidity. See whats going in real world
Total MC vs Total 3Total MC of crypto vs Total 3 is in completely different situation.
TOTAL MC has already broken trend but still facing resistance from 2017 however, we have been hovering in the same zone from quite a long time now so there is a tiny possibility to break out this zone
BUT
Total 3 is in completely different situation, there hasn’t been break out yet so we know that if Total MC do break we can still see alts making lower low until we break this zone.
alts short/midtermafter my previous analysis on alts , this is an update about where we can go from here in the q4 to q1 2024 .
in my opinion alts are showing strength (take a look on my alts/btc chart ) . btc could go for a parabolic run from here 50-60k . final target depends on btc and alts dominance .
the targets represent where we can go before a major correction/crash or a corrective wave .
we will update later when we have more data of where we can extend with this movement .
this is not a financial advice
thank you
Alts chartYou can build this chart your self using tradingview . Its simple total 3 - xrp - stables . I excluded xrp and eth because i am interested only is mid-small caps .
Alts for now not so negative if they stay within the range indicated. This is a short term analysis . Closing 2-3 day below the range is negative .
This is not finnacial advice.
Alts soar or dump ? This is the most reliable and important alts chart you will find in the internet , after altperp ftx alts goes down because of the ftx collapse , in this chart you can see the bear flag pattern , i think that this small alts rally will end and we will reach the bottom of the channel and then , i expect bearking down to the indicated lelel 120-110B for alts market cap excluding stables and ETH . (SAME THING IF WE INCLUDE ETH ) .
The pattern could not succed and the alts will go to the other direction of course , the pattern do not succeed every time !
There is bearish hidden divergence that would help to increase the possibilty of the rally termination
Another argument i need to point out is the stable coin dominance. :
This is not a financial advice.
Thank you
Altcoins range overviewassuming that btc started its bull run jan-2023 , altcoins still in the range indicated in the chart . the 3 red lines where the prices are in , represent the range and the mid range we are trading in for almost a year and a half . the cyan lines indicating 3 months mother and inside bar which we are trading in for 450days now with the deviations indicated in the red boxes up/below range .
if we assume that we had bottomed , you can dca using the lines/levels inside the range . if you want to be more risky and as a result more profitable ,, you can accumulate alts inside the purple box indicated in the chart . it should be the deviated of the whole range assuming that we have not bottomed yet , the purple box have confluence indicated in my previous charts , (yo) indicated the yearly open that prices tend to revisit often .
the black lines are targets in case we will have altcoins rally .
if you want to accumulate and dcaing into altcoins . this chart is key for you , you keep an eye on the levels one after one ignoring the FOMO/FEAR in the media .
this is not a financial advice .
thank you
Alts ichimokuAccording to ichimoku , we can see a clear retest of the kijun and tenkan (red and blue line ) , this idicates a further down to come , until proven otherwise, we will update . For the chikou span (green line) , has no strong support , which make the drop easier .
In the weekly time frame always with ichimoku , we see a price rejection from the cloud (strong resistance ) .
All of that suggest more drope to come.
If there would be any invalidation we will update !
Not financial advice .
Thank you
BOTTOM FOR ALTSlast time i published a potential bottom / worst case scenario for alts using cap/handle pattern and inverse bear flag .
today i used descending channel with N wave target (v) they gave the exact same bottom .
note : we can have alts rally /rallies all the way down .
this is only a possible scenario/bottom based to TA , not a financial advice
thank you
alts short term bullish /bearish scenario for alts are indicated in the chart .
no one really knows the future , markets do what they want , for bearish scenario we have inverse cup and handle pattern with bear flag , the target is indicated with the red box.
bullish scenario indicated with the green box , we have inverse head and shoulder pattern and clone channel which acts like magic .
thank you
worst case scenario for alts For alts , i see the indicated cup and handle pattern , that has a target toward the green zone , but first we need to form that flag (i guess it will be an expanded flat )
you will heard of this as a rally in the media , this would complete the formation of the handle for the whole pattern ,
if the target would not be reached which is the worst case scenario, i guess that we will at least hit the first green zone which is the target of the flag (will update it when the flag formation is complete).
the best case scenario is that the bear market is over and we will at the maximum retest the lows . for me this is not the case .
fundamentally speaking , the legs down i spoke about would logically coincide with a recession or something bad crashing in the economy or perhaps another black swan event in the crypto space , cant predict !
so these are the three probable scenario for ALTS .
this chart include alts excluding eth .(same this if we include it) .
this is not a financial advice , only something i wanted to share with you people .
thank you