We start ALT Season now with 3 targets!Hello guys,
As you can see we have 3 targets🎯 green, blue, red,
which target we will reach?
It depends on the Fractal scenario on the right, So we will wait 2 clear trends,
each one has 3 tops and Clear correction between the up trends,,
Don't lose your positions and don't jump between currencies!
Also Don't burn your wallet with Future!
Spot is Enough!
TOTAL3 trade ideas
Update on TOTAL3 Just updating here about my TOTAL3 plan..
idea posted back in April had nice follow, we have finally broken out of Supply zone which should now act as support. I will be interested to see how fresh yearly pivots open, if we have some confluence in to our zone.
April 2024 -
Nov 2024 -
Today -
Price seem to be consolidating inside a downtrend parallel channel which can turn in to a bull flag as well, lets see how price develops in to new year :)
will keep this thread updated....
TOTAL3 (ALTS MARKETCAP) IDEA. Crypto Total Market Cap (Excluding BTC & ETH) - TOTAL3 Analysis
The TOTAL3 market cap is currently moving within a descending channel pattern. After testing the lower boundary, the market is showing signs of recovery, trading at $986.21B, with a notable +2.71% increase.
Channel Formation: The price action respects the descending channel boundaries, creating potential swing trading opportunities.
Potential Reversal: The recent bounce near the lower boundary suggests a possible attempt to break the midline or test the upper resistance of the channel.
Watch Levels: A break above the upper trendline could signal a bullish breakout, targeting $1.1T, while failure to hold current levels may lead to retesting the lower boundary around $900B.
TOTAL3 bull flag formation is still validhi traders
Let's make it simple.
TOTAL3 has been consolidating after an impulsive move, forming a valid bull flag formation.
We got a valid breakout but without follow-through up to now.
It looks like the price retested the previous downsloping resistance and it's trying to confirm it as support.
The RSI looks good here. It's pretty neutral now but as soon as the price rises, RSI will start an uptrend.
It's time to be bullish on altcoins now.
Sell when TOTAL3 reaches 1T.
Good luck
Accumulate now
"Altcoins: The Untold Story" Let’s break this down step by step, so it all makes sense.
Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Movement
• Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) above altcoin prices means that altcoins move up more cautiously because Bitcoin is still holding the majority of market power.
• When altcoins started picking up, we saw it happen at point A.
o Look at the ADX during that time—compare its size back then to what it is now.
o Now, ask yourself: Where did TOTAL3 fall? It fell during Bitcoin’s bull flag, and that’s what created the weakness in altcoins.
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Recovery and Current Strength
• After that, TOTAL3 regained strength as Bitcoin moved up. But here’s the key point:
o Altcoins didn’t follow.
o Even though Bitcoin surged, altcoins remained stagnant, losing momentum.
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The Impact of Bitcoin’s Bull Flag on Altcoins
• As Bitcoin formed a bull flag, traders sold off their positions as Bitcoin fell, further weakening altcoins.
• Now that Bitcoin has gained even more power, some people are claiming that alt season is over.
o But let’s be real—where’s the liquidity?
o Altcoins haven’t fully surged yet, and this is critical to understand.
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The Date Range Analysis
• Let’s look at the timeline:
o From the previous date until now, we’re looking at 147 days remaining in this period.
o However, we also need to add back the 182 days lost during Bitcoin’s bull flag when altcoins were weak.
o Together, that gives us a total of 329 days.
• These 329 days don’t fully count as part of the altcoin bull market because:
1. Altcoins were on pause while Bitcoin dominated.
2. These days only apply to the few altcoins that moved with Bitcoin, like XRP, ORCA, and BOBBA, while others didn’t.
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Altcoin Season Hasn’t Started Yet
• Altcoin season isn’t here yet, and I’ll explain why:
o Bitcoin and altcoins go hand in hand. It’s not just Bitcoin alone—it’s all part of the same package.
o Mixing Bitcoin’s bull market with altcoins is misleading. It’s like ordering a Happy Meal at McDonald’s but only getting a burger and drink—where are the fries and the toy? The full package hasn’t arrived yet.
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ADX and Smart Money Trendline
• The ADX hasn’t made its big move yet, but it’s getting ready.
• The Smart Money Directional Trendline, which I pulled from the 15-minute timeframe, is pointing upward.
o Interestingly, TOTAL3’s price fell right to where the Smart Money Trendline predicted.
o This is a strong indication that TOTAL3 will follow that upward direction soon.
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What to Expect Next
• As BTC.D starts trending downward, altcoins will explode.
o Historically, when Bitcoin dominance falls, altcoins rally hard.
o Altcoin bull markets are characterized by sustained growth, independent of Bitcoin’s short-term moves.
o TOTAL3 shows that altcoins are primed for movement but are currently held back by Bitcoin’s dominance.
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Conclusion
Altcoin season isn’t over—it hasn’t even started yet. My studies suggest that alt season could begin around January 2025 or sooner.
• We need to differentiate between altcoins that have already followed Bitcoin’s cycle and those that haven’t.
• Altcoins that were part of Bitcoin’s recent bull moves, like XRP and ORCA, have taken part of their cycle. But others still have their time to shine.
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Altcoin season is like a wave—it hasn’t arrived yet, but when it does, it’ll be unmistakable. The data shows the potential for explosive growth as Bitcoin’s dominance starts to decline. Until then, patience is key, and we’ll continue studying the patterns for confirmation before jumping in.
Total 3At the moment, I am expecting the TOTAL3 index (the total market capitalization of altcoins excluding BTC and ETH) to enter the discount zone, which usually corresponds to areas of strong oversold conditions. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is already close to the 30 level, signaling a potential reversal or at least a slowdown in the decline.
Typically, such a zone becomes attractive for purchases as it represents points where the risk is reduced, and the growth potential is high. However, it’s important to consider overall market dynamics, external macroeconomic factors, and the behavior of major players.
I am continuing to monitor the RSI level and price reactions at key support zones.
TOTAL 3 Altcoin Market CapTotal 3 has seen a significant correction after such a strong move following the Trump Election.
Total 3 has reclaimed key Macro S/R. S/R (Support and Resistance). SR levels are very common to be key inflection points in the market. Typically the biggest moves and reversals are made around SR levels. This particular SR level was previously resistance flipped into support. After the correction price broke below this level and tapped into extreme levels of liquidity. In addition this level was not only tapped but reflipped again.
This for me is very bullish as long as the SR holds as support and is reclaimed. Its quite possible to see new highs from here or atleast a run into resistance and then reject. Personally I am favoring the rejection.
TOTAL3 or $Alts Market Cap (btc & eth excluded) 👾 #TOTAL3 or NASDAQ:ALTS Market Cap (btc & eth excluded)
This correction is nothing but opportunity for to spot accumulate #altcoins for mid-term😋
Imo we are just in 4th Corrective Wave before the real #altseason takes off - the final 5th Bullish Wave📈
Accumulate #Alts Now - or Cry later🚀❗️
Total3 dumping, BTC crash. The untold reason.You'll hear it all over Twitter and YouTube: "The FED scared investors, and they decided to pull their money out, blah blah."
Let's be real—that's utter nonsense.
Investors had no real reason to pull money out of altcoins. Where would they move it to? The real story lies with the whales manipulating CRYPTOCAP:BTC to trap the ones who sold their CRYPTOCAP:BTC too early..
Here’s what really happened: we had a mini altseason, where many CRYPTOCAP:BTC holders took profits and shifted into altcoins. This caused a pump in CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 and a drop in BTC.D.
But then, to punish these moves and siphon off profits, the whales decided to crash CRYPTOCAP:BTC , conveniently using the FOMC as a cover.
If you sold CRYPTOCAP:BTC at, say, 100k and moved into riskier assets like SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:FLOKI , SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:BONK , or CRYPTOCAP:UNI , the whales made you lose 40%-50% of your capital by dumping CRYPTOCAP:BTC just 10%. Where did that lost value go? Straight into their pockets.
I know people who thought they were being clever, saying, "This is the peak; I'm moving to alts for x2 or x3 gains." Now they’ve lost 50% and are kicking themselves, wishing they’d never sold their $BTC.
This isn’t random. It’s not a coincidence. It’s a coordinated play to vacuum up the profits from anyone thinking they could outsmart the system.
DYOR.
The Multifaceted Nature of GrowthGrowth is a natural and dynamic process that exists in all aspects of life. From a biological perspective, growth means an increase in size, the number of cells, or the development of organs in living beings. In humans, physical growth begins during the fetal stage and continues until puberty, but intellectual and emotional growth can continue throughout one's entire life.
TOTAL3 - UniverseMetta - Analysis#TOTAL3 - UniverseMetta - Analysis
After reaching $1.16T, the chart formed a second peak, followed by a retest that completed a three-wave structure. The first target of the pattern has already been achieved. The next targets are $791.16B, with a worst-case scenario of $564.76B. However, the channel is still forming, and the price could remain within it.
Historical analysis of year-end movements for major assets (BTC, ETH, SOL, etc.) indicates that prices often stay in a corrective phase (ABC structure) until the end of December, followed by growth. This is not financial advice, but rather an observation of past trends.
Target levels: $791.16B - $564.76B
Altseason is cancelled for now.USDT.D shot up like a rocket during this crash, while Total3 is in freefall.
BTC only took a -4% hit, but the altcoin market? A brutal -8%.
It’s clear: CRYPTOCAP:BTC and those ETF approvers are running the show, draining liquidity from retail investors to keep pumping BTC at the expense of altcoins.
I warned you—invite these guys to your party, and they’ll clean out the buffet.
If you’re holding altcoins, all you can do is hang in there and hope BTC throws some karma their way.
TOTAL3 - Altcoin Season DelayedCryptos are currently in correction mode, which could be a good time to accumulate.
TOTAL3 has an interesting setup, with the next relevant support at 765B-800B, which was the previous high in March 2024, and coincides with the daily SMMA (red line).
If we see a positive reaction in this area, we could at least retest the bearish trend line we have formed in the last few days.
I will update this idea as the setup develops.
Reason to worry on Alts?With Bitcoins huge institutional backing seeing it far surpass $100k and reaching a new high of $108k, it's easy to say that the biggest cryptos future looks bright, but what of altcoins? Looking at the TOTAL3 chart there are a few key points I'd like to highlight, some positive and some negative:
4H 200 EMA - This moving average is so important for the short/mid term bias. In a bear market we very rarely see trading above the 4H 200 EMA and vice versa in a bullmarket. Currently TOTAL3 is retesting the MA as support, with first tap wicking below and then a move back above, this is positive so far showing that buyers are willing to step in at this level. Bullish.
Bearish structure forming? - At its core, trading is simple. You buy low and sell high, now we all know there is more to it than that but the basics are still the most important. The trend is your friend, so lets analyse the trend.
Clear Higher high and Higher lows ever since the US election result, bullish structure/trend. However, we recently got our first Lower high since then and now the question is will we get a Lower low to flip the structure bearish? So far that is not the case ass the 4H 200 EMA swooped in to save the day but if price were to dip below the Daily support we'd have a trend flip on the 4H.
Since that is an IF, lets see what is happening now, a tightening of the highs and lows would equal an accumulation phase and in this instance an accumulation phase after a strong rally is a setup for the next leg which is bullish. Just got to keep an eye on that structure for now.
The formation of a downtrend - This ties into the structure point, like how we saw 8 months of "chop" on BTC which in reality was a downtrend after a strong rally, this chart pattern is looking similar to 4H TOTAL3 we see now. If we see a new LL at the downtrend support level I will switch to trading TOTAL3 as a range until proven otherwise.
From Decline to Opportunity: Total3 Poised for RecoveryAfter breaking below the critical $1.04T support level yesterday, Total3 experienced a sharp decline, finding its footing at a key horizontal support level.
This drop coincided with many altcoins also reaching their respective support zones. For traders, this presented an attractive opportunity to enter the market at more favorable prices, effectively halting the downward momentum.
Currently, the chart shows a promising reversal forming. As long as this horizontal support level holds, there is a strong likelihood of continued upward movement, potentially paving the way for a new all-time high.
Expect Volatility for Altcoins: Key Levels to WatchTOTAL3 (Total Market Cap excluding BTC and ETH) is currently oscillating between $1 Trillion and $1.1 Trillion, presenting a tight range that traders are closely monitoring. Here’s what could happen next:
1. Range Rebound: A dip to $1 Trillion with a strong bullish rejection at this support could drive the market to test the top of the range at $1.1 Trillion.
2. Breakout Opportunity: A successful breakout above $1.1 Trillion would signal bullish momentum, potentially lifting Altcoin Market to $1.2 Trillion and marking the continuation of Altseason.
3. Bearish Scenario: Failing to hold the $1 Trillion support level would likely trigger short-term bearish sentiment, pushing Altcoin Market cap down by approximately 10%, targeting $0.9 Trillion.
Total3 - Alts Cup and Handle target met retrospective draw 50%Lessons learned: Bullish target for cup and handle for breakout of alt season in 2024 met exactly
I did spot this much earlier which allowed me to get more aggressive on alts earlier - in reality I added and this chart also with BTC making similar set up encouraged me to not dump my alts at the low when many capitulated right before the market took off.
Just sharing the draw to spread the education and a good example of a cup and handle and where do you position the target. In this case on the break out line which had a capping descending grind line acting as a signal to buyers. You can see the larger volume green candle coming in to play as confirmation that the alt season was well under way.
Also when this happened many alts made an Asc triangle confirming upside direction in the next cycle I hope this helps people know when to add into alts. I suspect some bullish chart pattern will develop and until the capping trend line is broken the volume does not really come in
So now maybe the Alt bull run may be truncated because initial targets are all ready been hit and we are no into over performance - I hope not but we must be careful to lose any money but equally careful not to leave too much on the table. A normal crypto bull alt cycle we would expect to close out late summer 2025. With equities being so over valued maybe its early this cycle, watch careful after 20 Jan when Trump takes office. Watch careful after 1st qtr as many tax returns are done then in other countries and lets hope it runs 10x until next summer and we all get rich! sounds too good and too easy to be true!
The boat with the altcoins is SINKING!I see a picture that altcoins are overheated very much both by indicator and channel. Everything is in equinox and harmony in this world. TOTAL3 is turning downward. I will be ready to buy back altcoins at the price of the middle of the channel - 167 bln. Carefully. 578-600 days are full cycles, in sum I see that the price of TOTAL3 has peaked.
If we add up the height of the 2nd red wave and the 3rd green wave, we get the height of the first green wave, so everything came to equilibrium and confirms further market reversal. 578-600 days are full cycles, in total I see that the price of TOTAL3 has peaked.