TOTAL3 trade ideas
Total 3 Crypto Market Cap and US10YIn our ‘Daily dose of Chart’ today we are looking into Crypto and US10Y rates. We are plotting Total 3 Crypto market Cap vs US 10 Y. Total 3 Crypto Market Cap which is the sum of all the total Crypto market cap except BTC and ETH. The Total 3 was in a bearish pattern throughout 2022 and 2024 when the US10Y was making a head and shoulder pattern. After completing the head and shoulder pattern, the yields fell which gave Total 3 to break out of a 2 year base. But with the recent breakout in US10Y rates, the Total 3 is suffering a short term bearish market. We see a cup and handle forming on the weekly chart for the Total 3. But my assessment is that the handle formation will not complete until the beginning of Q2 2025 on the weekly chart. We will revisit the chart in April 2025.
BULL RUN IS ALREADY OVER?Report analysis January 13, 2024
The analysis is using the correlation of
TOTAL3 volume as the parameter aligns with the
BTC price
Findings
The first price spike, as we can see happening at 9 nov 24 until 8 dec 24 . The volume spiked from around 398-400B dollars to 560B and hit the peak at 572B . It was around 140% increase, followed by the BTC price that spiked 34.6% . At this time, as we know, tons of news is following, but the biggest news was the election of President of the United States, Mr. Trump, who's pro-crypto.
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But here's where the problem occurs. Right after 9 dec 24 until now, most of the time the volume is below the median level of the previous period marked. This is raising problems and questions.
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Does this be the end?
Does the bull already over?
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Even from the alt coin perspective, we didn't see any signs of bulls. Yes, the price does spike, but at the marked period only . Maybe, just maybe, this is it. The market is getting more efficient; filtering is already done by the market maker, which we know is the consequence if we want a mass crypto adoption. "Clean up the market session.".
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Notes
This report was conducted based on the data gathered at the tradingview only and the news surrounding the internet.
XCO IS BACK
#BTC #BULLSeason #Cryptocurrency #TOTAL3 #Altseason
TOTAL3 ready for a breakouthi Traders
This is a continuation of our previous analysis that we published in October last year:
As we can see, currently the price is consolidating inside the bullish pennant. This consolidation was necessary to cool down after reaching the previous target.
As we can see, the RSI was extremely overbought in December but now it's in pretty neutral territory and the uptrend continuation is likely.
Once we get a breakout, we should get the pump towards 1,3T which is our target 1. Don't forget to take profit.
The target 2 is around 1,55T.
The chart looks bullish and it's not time to sell alts now.
Be patient and you will get your reward in the next few months.
Good luck
All market ready for rally
In Total1, Total2, and Total3, we see the same situation: they have turned the block orders into support by breaking through them and closing above. In this case, the block orders have become support levels.
In the worst-case scenario, if the price falls below this support, it could take strength from the next block order below and continue its upward movement.
Both of these supports are major levels and should be taken into account.
Rallies are on the horizon! 🚀🚀🚀🚀
Altcoin Market on Edge: The $1.16 Trillion Breakout AwaitsRight now, the Total Market Cap (excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum) (Total 3) is hovering below its highest-ever level, after briefly surpassing it and then dropping back down.
For now, if the market stays between around $839 Billion and $1.13 Trillion, things will likely remain unpredictable and choppy.
The real excitement and potential surge in prices (what some call the "Euphoria/Mania Phase") will likely start once the market breaks through its all-time high and enters uncharted territory.
However, if the Total 3 drops below $800 Billion the Blue zone marked on the chart, I’d be more cautious. While it could still be part of a larger upward trend (forming a "higher low"), it wouldn’t be ideal for the overall market structure. If the market aims to grow significantly by 2025, it shouldn’t really fall back to that level.
Altcoins: What Comes Up Must Go Down?Giant Flat Correction could be built on the altcoins chart (less Ethereum)
Indicators:
-Collapse in three waves in 2021-2022 (wave A)
-Retest of 2021 peak in three waves in 2023-2024 (wave B)
-wave B retested the start of wave A and failed to grasp the bullish ground beyond
-first move down and small correction that keeps below all-time high could be the harbinger of new five waves down in wave C
Large wave C should at least retest the valley of wave A at 288b cap
What could be the reason?
-Altcoins could lose its shine as institutions prefer only BTC
-Some huge risk aversion in global economy
You are welcome to share your views in the comments below to enrich our outlook.
Alt Coins - one more correction likelyThis is the chart of TOTAL3 market cap - all coins excluding BTC and ETH (essentially market cap of all alt coins).
As we can see, price action is within a larger bull flag (yellow parallel channel) but within it, there is a bear flag (red parallel channel).
Market cap is currently at 950 bn. We are likely to see one more correction where market cap is likely to touch 800 bn market cap. This is because if market cap breaks down from the bear flag, on the basis of measured move, market cap is likely to touch 800 bn. This is also a fib retracement level of 50% and a strong support zone on Weekly timeframe.
Once market cap hits 800 bn zone, there is likely to be a bounce which could pierce the yellow parallel channel as it will be the 3rd hit on the upper trendline of the yellow parallel channel.
Remember technicals are all probabilities, market cap could negate bear flag to hit upper trendline of the yellow parallel channel.
TOTAL3 ChartHey,
This is really a text book chart, together with many others in the crypto atm..
A lot of fear and greed is currently in the market, you see that in the PA.
But that is old news, cuz I shared that a long time ago already.
For me more upside from this zone is very likely, if it fails...
I have to go back to the drawing board and see what is the next area of weekly or monthly demand to time when and where price is likely to move towards.
Have a good one, more charts soon.
Make sure you follow us :)
Kind regards,
Max Nieveld
bad outlook for alts very short termnext levels to hold for others3:
965 would be good to hold here (given how violent the leg down has been, seems unlikely to hold)
if not, more alts bloodbath and we go down to 905 (seems like most likely scenario)
905 must hold or else there is no altseason and bullmarket is over (extremely unlikely)
Total 3 Crypto Market Cap multi year base BreakoutTotal 3 Crypto Market Cap excluding #BTC and #ETH trying to breakout of the previous highs of Oct 2021 during the prior Alt season. Already did try a failed breakout once. Will it succeed the next time ? For this to happen the big caps #SOL , #BNB and #XRP have to outperform.
rough guide to 2025 altseasonseems like we are in the most fun part of parabolic growth of crypto.
possible pathway to growth is charted here
we may see coins making daily gains of 10-20% for many weeks
people will be tired and impatient of any coin not making double digit growth
as per this chart, if your portfolio does less than 4x by H2 2025, what are you even doing?
New Territory.I had an idea that at the peak of this cycle the entire market would
hit the $10 trillion mark with a distribution of $4 trillion Bitcoin,
$2 trillion Etherium and $4 trillion TOTAL3.
After calculating the percentages of past growth,
I transferred it to current conditions and if this is executed, it's even 5 trillion.
Altcoins Have Broken Out - In Case You Didn't Notice.Crypto Fam,
In case you didn't notice, altcoins have officially broken out of our bearish descending wedge. I am expecting 2025 to be a bull year and through April you should really see some massive pumping take place, especially with high MC memecoins.
Don't forget that my cycle theory is different this bull market but so far has proven correct. That is: BTC is bullish first often in sync with Solana, Solana Memecoins, and often accompanied by AI based alts/memecoins. The we see other memecoins pumping with continued strength from AI based coins. And finally we see the OG classic ALT follow the train. This seems to be the trend. I don't expect anything different this year.
As it pertains to ALTS on this chart, you can see I have drawn some resistance right around 1.13T MC. I would expect some pause here and maybe a slight pullback before the bulls gain enough momentum to break through. Then onward and upward we should proceed through April. I'll re-assess the macro outlook for all of crypto at this point.
✌️ Stew
TOTAL 3 Could easily triple or quadruple in market cap in 2025.The TOTAL 3 market cap is looking spectacular for the 2025 bull run and could easily triple or quadruple in 2025, based on the chart. Keep in mind that this is the logarithmic chart, but this bull run isn't like any of the previous cycles, as many have yet to realize. In fact, it could end up being a cycle that extends well into the end of the year.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss.
$TOTAL3 - Moon soon?I posted this once a few months ago, and wanted to do an update post on the pattern that is unfolding on the total3 chart. Pick the next emoji!
On tighter time frames like the 1d, total3 has just completed a beautiful breakout and retest of the downtrend that it had been in. If the bull market we've all been waiting for is ever going to happen, it has to be starting soon. What say you?