TL0 trade ideas
TSLA: Insanely Bullish - Next Key Points to Watch.In our last TSLA analysis we warned about resistance at $233 and that a breakout would take us to the next target at $245 to close the gap. Now, two weeks later, our target has not only been reached, but broken.
So I'll update you on the next key points to keep an eye on. Our last public TSLA study was done two weeks ago here on TradingView, and the link to it is below this post.
Daily Chart (Left):
Resistance at $265.13: The price is climbing toward the resistance at $265.13, which is a significant level as it marks the high from July. The price recently broke above $245.63, indicating strong upward momentum and clearing a key resistance level. Now, this previously broken resistance could act as a support.
Support at $233.09: The $233.09 level has held as a key support after the breakout in Sep 19, and the price has trended higher since bouncing off this level.
Trendline Support: The ascending purple trendline provides dynamic support, and the price has consistently respected it during this upward move. A break below this line could signal a potential change in trend, but for now, the trend is bullish.
Weekly Chart (Right):
Bullish Continuation: On the weekly chart, the price continues to show a strong bullish trend as it climbs higher after bouncing off key support at around $180. The recent price action suggests the potential for testing the $265.13 resistance.
Momentum: The 21-week EMA (blue line) continues to provide support, reinforcing the uptrend. This moving average has been well respected in the past, and the price staying above it is a positive sign for bulls.
Conclusion:
Tesla’s price action looks strong as it approaches a critical resistance at $265.13. If the price breaks and holds above this level, it could open the door for further gains. However, traders should monitor the $245.63 level, as it now acts as a support zone, while the purple trendline continues to offer a guide for the uptrend.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
TSLA rejection againTSLA has pretty much hit my 260$ price target, I have been selling covered calls against my TSLL position for this. I am prepping to short the stock as we approach this important fib. TSLA has rallied over 40% since August 5th and is due for some profit taking. I am not sure if the stock will completely retest the green fib at 220$, but I will definitely look for the EMAs to rise and meet the stock at some point. The basics here is that TSLA is simply overvalued, this is why the stock has had so many bull traps recently. Promises for the future need to be perfect and exceed expectations to justify this madness imo. I continue to have exposure to this stock simply because the cult is that strong, and I do not have any similar exposure in my accounts.
My plan:
I will start layering in TSLL long puts around 258$ TSLA price. I will place a small bet with a huge upside likely 10$ strikes a month or two out. With 3-700$ exposure I am presented the opportunity for a few thousand in profits if I am right. If I am wrong I ride my shares that arent called away. I think we see at least 234$ again soon.
TSLA ( Tesla ) BUY TF H1 TP = 248.08 Good luck!On the H1 chart the trend started on Aug. 8 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 248.08
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
TESLA will reach a new ATH?My answer to the topic is yes, but it may take some time. here are my reasons:
firstly, the price is moving in a bullish channel, and closing to the upper channel, which indicates resistance to the current price.
secondly, according to volume profile, the price is in the chips concentration area, which verified the resistance level is important.
so, the price may continue to go up after a short-term pullback.
TSLA: 100% retracement done multiple times now time to move upTSLA: 100% retracement done multiple times now time to move up to 1.618 fib level.
This is what I found in most bullish and bearish retracements , once you get 100% retracement of up or down move then next level is normally 1.618.
Fundamentals;
lower interest rates are good for heavy equipment manufacturing or durable goods like cars
Musk by associating himself with Trump just wants republicans buyers , in both cases he will win.
Tesla cars are like iPhones , once people have them cannt switch to anything else.
Tsla bulls are cult members.,,
Time to own tesla not trade it
Have fun!
TESLA Looks Unstoppable This time +13% Already in ProfitsTESLA Looks Unstoppable This time +13% Already in Profits
Since when I posted the previous analysis on September 2nd the price increased by nearly +13% and is making higher highs.
Today it looks even better after the FED supported the economy by decreasing the rates by 50bps.
You can watch the video for further details.
Thank you and Good Luck!
Previous analysis:
Telsa to $90On the above 2 week chart price action has printed two significant macro indications:
1) Broken market structure, failed support.
2) A lower high, trend reversal.
Beginning from 2023 price action entered an upward channel before a breakout in December. This move in price action created a bear flag pattern. A forecast may now be measured from the last downtrend to the support, which is a 66% correction to just under $90.
Is it possible price action continues up? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: short trade
From: $220 ideally
Stop-loss: elsewhere
Tesla Risky Entry Possibility for Buy is formed Tesla Risky Entry Possibility for Buy is formed on bigger time.
RR 1:5,
The upper dot line is first half TP point.
HEAD SHOULDER FOR ELONNNNNNice pattern head and shoulder for 1 year
wait and see for consolidate and all innnnnnnnnnn.
TSLA: Buy ideaBuy idea on TSLA as you can see on the chart if only if we have the breakout with force the RL by a big green candle follow by a large green volume...
Tesla 4 Hour - 30 Min will this market correct and when ? Good morning everyone
Today's video I am looking at to see how much higher this market will go and how deep this market will correct as well.
If you have any questions, comments let me know
MB Trader
Tesla (TSLA) on September 24, 2024For Tesla (TSLA) on September 24, 2024, the stock appears to be in a bullish phase following its 5% surge on Monday, September 23. This upward momentum is driven by positive analyst sentiment, including expectations of better-than-expected vehicle deliveries for Q3 and potential upcoming announcements related to Tesla's robotaxi event on October 10.
Key Technical Levels:
Support Levels:
Initial support lies around $225, which aligns with the gap created in July. This level will likely serve as a buffer if the price pulls back.
Stronger support can be found around $205, a level tied to previous lows and a potential entry point for bulls if further weakness is observed.
Resistance Levels:
The next resistance is near $265, a key area where sellers could emerge, capping the recent rally.
If Tesla continues its upward trajectory, an extended target could be $300, where resistance could increase significantly.
Price Action & Moving Averages:
Short-Term Moving Averages (10-50 days) suggest continued bullishness with buy signals across key periods (5, 10, 20-day MAs). Tesla’s stock price around $238.25 is above critical short- and long-term moving averages, indicating upward momentum.
The RSI is around 59.41, which implies that Tesla is not overbought, suggesting potential room for further gains before entering overbought territory.
MACD & Stochastic Indicators:
MACD (5.46) implies continued bullish momentum, though the Stochastic RSI at 84.43 signals a sell condition, suggesting caution for overextended moves in the short term.
For tomorrow's trading, watch for a continuation of today's rally if Tesla can maintain momentum above $250. On the downside, watch the $225 support, as a break below could signal a reversal. It would be prudent to monitor volume levels closely since increased volume will provide stronger confirmation of any sustained price movement.
Short TESLA, Way overvalue. 13 reasons.Bullet Points:
Automotive growth has slowed significantly.
A lot more competition in EV and hybrid market.
FSD is a scam, and it has been promise since 2016, it has improve but it is not ready (not even in the next 3 years).
Robotaxi is not ready for now and will not be for near future (3 years)
Optimus is a joke.
Huge capex in infrustacture with no end future result.
Elon may have to sell tesla stock to cover twitter loans.
Regulatory.
China is slowing down, Europe weakness and possible US recession (unlikely).
Cybertrck is having production and will have demand issues.
Semi really hard to scale production and there is not that much demand.
Elon risk in general.
Energy and other segments.(not enough)
1. Slowed Automotive Growth and deteriorating margins.
Tesla's growth in the automotive sector has significantly slowed. While the company once enjoyed rapid expansion as the leader in the EV market, this growth is tapering off as new competition emerges and demand stabilizes. With increased competition from both traditional automakers and new entrants in the EV space, Tesla's first-mover advantage is eroding. We will see if rate cuts improve sales.
2. Increasing EV and Hybrid Competition
The EV landscape is no longer Tesla's sole domain. Major automakers like Toyota, KIA, BYD, ..., have launched competitive electric and hybrid vehicles, cutting into Tesla's market share. Even luxury brands like Mercedes-Benz and BMW are entering the EV space. This increased competition pressures Tesla’s sales and pricing power, making it difficult for the company to maintain its market dominance and their 15% net profit margin.
3. Full Self-Driving (FSD) Delays and Overpromises
Tesla has been touting its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology since 2016, but it has yet to deliver a fully functional product. While improvements have been made, the system is far from achieving true autonomy. it's unlikely to be ready for widespread adoption within the next three years in my opinion, Tesla always brings the amount of data they have of all the teslas in the road but what people don´t undertand is as important to have lots of data as having cuality data and probably most of Tesla´s miles driven are low cuality data it takes time to filter thats way its not even close to ready.
4. Robotaxi
Tesla's robotaxi vision is still far from reality. The current Full Self-Driving (FSD) system remains at Level 2 autonomy, meaning it still requires human supervision. Achieving the fully autonomous capability needed for a robotaxi fleet, which requires Level 4 or 5 autonomy, is a complex challenge that Tesla has yet to solve.
In addition to technical limitations, regulatory hurdles are a major obstacle. Governments are cautious about approving fully autonomous vehicles, especially given Tesla's reliance on cameras without other sensors like LiDAR. Safety concerns and liability issues also complicate the timeline, making a near-term launch highly unlikely.
We will see what the october 10th presentations holds but I think it is just smoke like the promise Roaster. It will be a cool pruduct but with no real plan behind it.
5. Skepticism Around Optimus
Tesla’s humanoid robot project, in my opinion is stupid. It is similar to people that wanted to fly and copied bird, the human body is so complex it would be a nightmare to manufaucture, having a 300lb+ machine at home with all the batteries needed for it to last hourse doing things would be so impractical and unsave. Moreover, if you want to use it in factory you are compiting with factories around the world with much cheaper cost of labor. It is a coll concept but just that. robots are 20+ in the future.
6. Massive Capital Expenditure with Uncertain Returns
Tesla continues to invest heavily in infrastructure, including new data centers and Nvidia GPUs, in an effort to advance its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology. However, there is concern that these substantial investments may not deliver the expected returns. Tesla's current approach appears to rely on brute force—massive data processing power—to solve FSD, but this may not be the ultimate solution. It’s possible that more advanced or optimized hardware inside the cars themselves is needed to achieve true autonomy.
While Tesla has made progress in reducing the error rates of its self-driving systems, achieving near-zero or fully error-free performance remains elusive. The complexities of real-world driving conditions may limit how far current AI and machine learning models can go, no matter how much data processing power they throw at the problem. If Tesla is unable to close this gap, the massive investment in infrastructure could ultimately prove to be a waste of resources. Only time will tell whether this approach will pay off or fall short of expectations.
7. Elon Musk’s Potentially sell to Cover X (formerly Twitter) Loans
Elon Musk’s acquisition of Twitter has brought new financial pressures. To finance the deal, Musk took on significant debt (13 billion) in a high interest rate enviroment, twitter revenue keeps falling, and some analysts think that he may need to sell Tesla stock to cover these loans. Any significant sell-off of Tesla stock (1-2%)by Musk could erode investor confidence and put downward pressure on the stock price.
8. Regulatory and Legal Risks
Tesla is facing increasing regulatory scrutiny, particularly regarding its self-driving features, especially in Europe and China. While China appears poised to grant Tesla limited permission to roll out FSD in certain cities, Europe is taking a much stricter stance. European regulators are likely to impose more stringent requirements, and there’s a possibility that FSD may never be approved for widespread use if the hardware is deemed insufficient for safe driving. Tesla’s reliance solely on cameras, without additional sensors like LiDAR or radar, could be a sticking point, as European authorities may view this approach as inadequate for ensuring the safety standards required on public roads.
9. Slowing Growth in China and Economic Uncertainty in the U.S.
China, one of Tesla's largest markets, is experiencing a slowdown in economic growth. This presents a significant risk to Tesla, as China has been a key driver of the company’s expansion. Additionally, while a U.S. recession is considered unlikely by some, any economic downturn in the U.S. could negatively impact consumer demand for high-priced electric vehicles, further straining Tesla's growth prospects.
10. Cybertruck’s Production and Demand Concerns
The much-anticipated Cybertruck is facing production delays, and there are concerns about its actual demand. While the vehicle has generated significant buzz, its unconventional design may limit its appeal to a niche market. Additionally, production challenges could prevent Tesla from meeting delivery targets, further hurting investor confidence.
11. Tesla Semi Faces Scalability and Demand Issues
Tesla’s foray into heavy-duty electric trucks with the Tesla Semi faces significant challenges. Scaling production of such a vehicle is far more complex than producing passenger EVs, and there is uncertainty around demand. Many potential customers in the freight industry are hesitant to switch to electric semis due to high costs and limited infrastructure for charging and servicing.
12. The “Elon Risk” Factor
Elon Musk’s leadership style and unpredictable behavior have increasingly become a risk for Tesla. While his vision and innovation were crucial in building Tesla, Musk's erratic tweets, controversial statements, and focus on non-core projects have raised concerns among investors. His distractions, including managing X and other ventures, pose risks to Tesla's long-term stability and focus.
13.Energy and other segments.
Tesla’s energy division is growing fast but remains a small part of the business. While the demand for products like the Powerwall, Megapack, and solar panels is increasing, energy generation and storage still account for less than 6.3% of Tesla’s total revenue. The automotive segment continues to dominate the company’s financials. And other ventures like into insurance, i believe is a loss of focus with little upside.
Conclusion.
Tesla remains a pioneering company in the EV space, but its future is clouded with risks that could hinder its growth. Slowing automotive sales, increased competition, delays in key projects like FSD, and distractions from side ventures all contribute to a more bearish outlook. Furthermore, the company faces significant financial and regulatory risks that, if not managed well, could lead to a significant correction in its stock price and market value.
Thanks the atencion let me know if i missed something, thanks.(open for discussion)
@Marcos_Camacho4
TLSA beautiful set upWeekly TF show a massive trendline from ATH,
Price attempted to break once, which failed, but also formed a new Lower Low (good support)
$235 was a very strong resistance, which we broke last week, and successfully retested on Friday. This would be a good SL if entered long.
TSLA: Breakout the vwapBuy idea on TSLA as you can see on the chart because we have the breakout with force the vwap indicator by a big green candle.
Tesla UpdateLast Thursday Tesla finally raised to enter my target box. It hit the orange 1.0 I had drawn and started to consolidate lower. Rather it makes another high or two remains to be seen, but either way, we should be headed towards my next target box lower soon. Should price begin to raise again, it should ideally be contained by the 0.786 / 1.236 in the $252 area as mentioned previously. The 1.382 & 0.854 create confluence in the area of $258 should price somehow make it through the top of the box.
There are a few ways to look at the pattern before us. On the larger time frame, this is either wave (2), or potentially still within primary wave ((2)). The prior targets the grey box from $182-$167.09 while the latter targets $102-$125 (turquoise box). There is a small possibility that this is the beginning of wave (3) of ((3)) but given the corrective nature of the pattern I find that highly unlikely at this time. If that were the case, then it would normally have moved higher with equal or even greater strength than the late April move higher.
The move down from here should give us answers on where price ultimately wants to go. When we start to carve out the next part of the pattern, I should be able to give a more detailed answer to that question.
TSLA Shortlooking catch bad new from robo taxi and earnings so i will have 220 puts for the 18th and if it dips on robo taxi well make earnings trade free
Tesla Wave Analysis: Key Weekly to 30-Minute Projections to WatcHey traders, here’s a quick Tesla update! We’re sitting around $238, and here are the key scenarios I’m watching:
Scenario 1: If we hold here, we could see a move up to $250 before a deeper correction.
Scenario 2: We might break down to $235-$233, then potentially rebound from there.
Worst Case #1: If a deeper correction happens now, Tesla could drop to $222, but eventually head toward $260.
Worst Case #2: If we break below $222, then $210 is imminent. This would be a major red flag, so we need to be careful—it could lead to further breakdown in the market.
What do you think? Agree with these levels? I’d love to hear your feedback on what you like, don’t like, or any thoughts you have. Let’s stay sharp and safe out there!
MB Trader
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) short term outlookNASDAQ:TSLA The price has recently moved above the previous resistance at $235 and is trending upwards within the Bollinger Bands. A breakout beyond the current range could push the stock toward the next resistance level near $265. With rising volume and price action maintaining strength above the moving averages, this upward momentum could continue. Monitoring volume and the stock's behavior around the $245 resistance will be crucial to confirming a breakout or potential retracement. ( NASDAQ:QQQ SP:SPX AMEX:SPY )
TESLA My Opinion! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for TESLA is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 238.28
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 227.90
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Tesla, Inc _ Sep + Early _ Oct_ Distribution _ Prices: Tesla, Inc _ Sep + Early _ Oct _ Distribution _ Prices:
Mid Distribution price = $256.60
Drop to the key level of $223.48
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2nd Support confirmation = $260.79
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Retest depending on current confirmation of Retest.
Once the 2 key level of Retest is confirmed we will be expecting the following distribution prices:
$268.01 Follow by mid lower retest then the Sep ( May go to early Oct, depending on mid lower Retest if a new support confirmation is confirmed during the week when the market is open. Distribution price will be $283.93
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We will go down from Sep Distribution to the key level of to the level of $212.97 (Unless This area is corrected during the coming week)
Tesla on the Rise: Can We Hit $350Hey traders! MB Trader here—hope everyone had a great week of trading. Let's dive into Tesla and talk about two potential scenarios I'm watching closely. There are some key levels in play, so here’s a quick breakdown of what could happen next:
Scenario 1: Correct and Push Higher
-We could see a correction, but Tesla might still head upwards toward the $250 range.
-This means a short-term pullback followed by a rise to $250 before any bigger correction hits.
This is the scenario I’m leaning toward until we get more data confirming the move.
Scenario 2: Deeper Correction Before Rebound
-If the correction goes deeper, Tesla could drop to $223-$228 before rebounding.
-This range is a crucial support level to watch—if it holds, we correct back up.
But, if that level doesn’t hold, we could break down toward $200 or even lower.
What I'm Thinking:
Right now, I’m more inclined toward the idea of hitting $250 first, then seeing a deeper pullback.
However, I'm staying cautious until we get more data, as Tesla’s moves can be unpredictable.
Let’s see how this plays out—stay sharp and keep those key levels on your radar. Talk soon!
