DAX H4 | Pullback support at 38.2% Fib retracementDAX (GER30) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 21,514.06 which is a pullback support that aligns close to a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 21,080.00 which is a level that sits under swing-low support.
Take profit is at 22,033.93 which is a level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DE40 trade ideas
de30 analysisde30 analysis
Before we start talking
I would like to tell you that we have a history in the world of analysis that is trustworthy without errors in the medium and long term and everything that is here on our page and our official pages is an accurate analysis of all markets and we had an old update about the targets at the level of 20700 and 21400 and indeed we are exceeding this level and we are now at the level of 21685
Now we have this chart and I confirm that we have upcoming levels up to 22600
If your goal is to invest, you must be patient because patience is the basis of trading and your goals are certain, but with patience and not dealing with the emotions of fear
We will be with you step by step about the markets or any new updates about any market
Elliott Wave View: DAX Pullback Should Find BuyersShort Term Elliott Wave View in DAX suggests that rally from 11.19.2024 low is in progress as a 5 waves nesting impulse. Up from 11.19.2024 low, wave 1 ended at 20522.82 and wave 2 dips ended at 19649.87. The Index nested higher in wave 3. Up from wave 2, wave i ended at 20024.79 and wave ii ended at 19833.82. Wave iii higher ended at 20391.17 and wave iv ended at 20255.85. Wave v higher ended at 20480.49 which completed wave (i).
Pullback in wave (ii) ended at 20025.28. Index has resumed higher in wave (iii). Up from wave (ii), wave i ended at 20362.59 and wave ii ended at 20234.26. Wave iii higher ended at 21330.87 and wave iv ended at 21212.25. Wave v higher ended at 21491.51 which completed wave (iii). Pullback in wave (iv) ended at 21081.61. Expect wave (v) to end soon which should complete wave ((i)) in higher degree. Afterwards, wave ((ii)) pullback should correct cycle from 12.20.2024 low before the rally resumes. Near term, as far as pivot at 19648.57 low stays intact, expect dips to find buyers in 3, 7, 11 swing for more upside.
DAX Wave Analysis 29 January 2025
- DAX broke the key resistance level 21500.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 22000.00
DAX index recently broke the key resistance level 21500.00 – which stopped the previous minor impulse wave i earlier this month.
The price earlier reversed up from the upper trendline of the daily up channel from August (which is acting as the support after it was broken previously in December).
Given the powerful daily uptrend, DAX index can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 22000.00 (which is the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 5).
GER40: AMD SetupOn the chart, an AMD setup has been identified with an entry from the middle of the manipulation. The target is a take-profit beyond the ATH, as there is no reason to move lower. A slight wick touch to the lower levels is possible.
Scenario:
The price is slowly descending but is expected to deliver to the ATH during the New York session.
The current POC is at the last low, confirming the system's integrity.
This zone is also an OTE zone, serving as an ideal re-entry point, once again proving its effectiveness.
Watch for confirmations on lower timeframes to find the perfect entry moment.
DAX to turnaround?DE30EUR - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
Short term momentum is bearish.
Short term oscillators have turned negative.
Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market.
A break of the recent low at 21166 should result in a further move lower.
We look for losses to be extended today.
We look to Sell at 21249 (stop at 21351)
Our profit targets will be 20961 and 20881
Resistance: 21250 / 21370 / 21531
Support: 21166 / 21100 / 20950
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX Short 4HGood morning, TradingView friends!
I’m excited to share my latest market forecast with you. This setup uses Fibonacci and psychological levels as our key indicators.
First up, we’re looking at the 21,405 level. It's an important Fibonacci point, and I believe the price will bounce back here, heading towards the trend line. Next, I expect the ascending trend line to hold strong, guiding the price to a crucial psychological and Fibonacci level at 21,500. From there, we might see a 4-hour and daily correction.
For confirming these moves, keep an eye on the lower time frames. A good sign to watch for is an M-pattern with a Lower High on the second leg.
Can't wait to hear your thoughts and keep the conversation going!
Falling towards pullback support?DAX40 (DE40) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 20,446.03
1st Support: 19,673.96
1st Resistance: 21,471.10
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Future DAX IMOWe can see the DAX has rocketed up in the past 2 weeks with very little momentum loss until the 24/01/2025.
It made all time highs without finding a new resistant level as of yet, meaning we're most likely looking at a routine bounce from the 21500 mark and more than likely, a steep downfall until we get back to 21000.
Looking in depth at all time frames, it wouldn't surprise me if we fall all the way back to its current major resistance price (18850) and then potentially moving back even higher towards the 2nd half of the year.
#202504 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: By full bear mode I don’t mean you just short 21394 and hope for the best. You wait for selling pressure first. Friday we got some decent selling pressure to the 1h 20ema which held since Tuesday. I expect another leg up first before we break below 21300. We have left behind 4 consecutive bull gaps and on Friday we saw the first one close immediately. This buying was as climactic and unsustainable as it get’s and having those this late in a trend is more often the end than the beginning of a new leg up. Can this go to 22000 before it goes to 20000 again? 10% if you ask me but that’s just a guess and as good as anyone’s.
current market cycle: Bull trend (very climactic move last week, market needs to take a breather or will outright crumble again)
key levels: 20500 - 21800
bull case: Bulls are in full control. This has not changed since the big breakout on Wednesday. They are still trading above the 1h and higher tf 20ema and until we break below, they remain in full control. Problem for the bulls is the climactic unsustainable nature of the move, very late in a trend. Everyone know’s it’s a suckers rally/short squeeze but that does never matter and they can just continue higher. We could easily test down to 20500 with a quick 1-3 day move, so bulls need to think about taking profits. Many will exit when market begins to stall because the up move was basically down above the 1h 20ema and once we break below, that premise is gone and I doubt many want to risk 500 points in hope to print 22000.
Invalidation is below 20500.
bear case: Bears know that the dax has not been this expensive for 25 years and want blood. The odds are decent that we go down at least 2000 points over the next weeks and bigger bears begin to scale into shorts at this high because the market broke above 2 bullish patterns and the odds of that happening this late in a trend are low. Bears finally closed a gap and now they need follow-through below the 1h 20ema. First target is to retest the high of the previous gap 21162 and see if bulls want to defend it. There is also the 4h 20ema around that price and those will be 2 big magnets early next week. My preferred path forward would be a very quick move down to 20500 to retest the breakout price and the bull trend line. There I expect buyers to come around big time.
Invalidation is above 22200.
short term: Neutral if we stay above the 1h ema. Once below, I want to see 21162 and then 21000. If we stay above, I will long scalp for 21500 and maybe 21600 and will look for shorts there.
medium-long term from 2024-01-25: No more bullish talk. Full bear mode.
current swing trade: Soon.
chart update: Marked new targets for both sides.
Elliott Wave View on DAX Nesting Higher in Impulsive StructureShort Term Elliott Wave View in DAX shows that the Index breaks to new all-time high confirming the right side remains bullish. The rally from 11.19.2024 low looks to be nesting in an impulsive structure. Up from 11.19.2024 low, wave 1 ended at 20522.82 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 19649.87. The Index resumed higher from there in wave 3 in a nest.
Up from wave 2, wave i ended at 20024.79 and wave ii pullback ended at 19833.82. The Index resumed higher in wave iii which ended at 20391.17. Pullback in wave iv ended at 20255.85. The final leg wave v ended at 20480.49 which also completed wave (i) in higher degree. Index then pullback in wave (ii) which ended at 20025.28. Index has resumed higher again. Up from wave (ii), wave i ended at 20362.59 and pullback in wave ii ended at 20234.26. Wave iii higher ended at 21330.87 and pullback in wave iv ended at 21212.25. Expect wave v to end soon and this should complete wave (iii) in higher degree. Afterwards, pullback in wave (iv) should find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
2025-01-23 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bull channel continues and we are at the top again. At this point it’s possible this spikes above the channel to print 22k. Wild to live through this tbh. 21700 likely next, bears need something below 21500 and then 21380. It’s beyond climactic and overbought.
current market cycle: bull trend - blow-off top
key levels: 21200 - 21700
bull case: Bulls are in full control. No one know’s where it stops. Look for longs. Nothing new to report. Channel is holding and we are just moving higher without much resistance. Nothing changed. Again.
Invalidation is below 21300.
bear case: Bears need to start closing the gaps. This also has not changed. The bullish channel lives and until we break out of it, there isn’t much to analyse. All of my bullish targets are met and this looks just like the climactic end but who know’s where it will stop… Bears have nothing to think about here. Way too early for any short.
Invalidation is above 21700.
short term: Bullish until bears do more. Trade the channel.
medium-long term from 2024-01-23: Market hit 21600 and now it’s about being patient until we sell-off again. I won’t be picking tops again. I just wait now.
current swing trade: None.
trade of the day: Buying near the 1h 20ema as mentioned the last couple of days.
DAX 40 Remains in Strong Overbought ZoneThe German index has recorded eight consecutive sessions of gains, appreciating more than 5% in the short term. The price level of 21,400 points now stands as the all-time high barrier for the current long-term bullish trend.
Strong Trend:
The bullish momentum that emerged after the significant drop in August 2024 has been key to the continuation of the long-term uptrend. However, the accelerated pace of buying in the short term could lead to bearish corrections in the coming sessions.
RSI:
The RSI indicator shows an impressively bullish slope, currently displaying readings of 83 —well above the overbought level of 70. The current event in the DAX price indicates that recent movements have created an imbalance in bullish and bearish forces, which could trigger early bearish corrections as the price continues to advance.
Key Levels:
21,400 points: Positioned as the new resistance zone at the latest all-time high. Consistent buying pressure is necessary to maintain the bullish bias currently observed in the index.
20,300 points: The nearest support level on the chart and a potential area for bearish corrections in the short term. If the price drops below this level, sustained bearish pressure on the DAX could return.
By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
UPDATE - Target hit 20893 DAX showing sideways before the run upTarget 20,893 hit where Dax formed a Falling Wedge (broke above).
We then had some sideways motion, before the price rocketed up and hit the target of 20,893 recently.
Now, we can expect a bit of sideways motion where we will wait for another bull setup and then will most likely look to go long again.
Looking good for 2025.
GER40-SELL strategy Monthly chartThe GER40 has had a very strong run upwards, and all shorter period charts, i.e. 6-12 months, Daily and weekly, all show we have potential for a solid decline. I think we should see lower 19,000 again based on the monthly chart outlook. For short-term I see first 20,450 as a possibility coming weeks.
Strategy SELL @ 21,200-21,450 area and take profit near 20,575 for now.
Germany’s DAX 40 Stock Index Hits Record HighGermany’s DAX 40 Stock Index Hits Record High
The country’s Finance Minister, Jörg Kukies, stated in an interview with CNBC that it is crucial for Germany to enter a period of economic growth, adding that structural deficiencies need to be addressed.
“We have just received another downward revision of growth forecasts from the IMF,” he said at the World Economic Forum in Davos. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) now projects Germany’s GDP growth at 0.3% in 2025 and 1.1% in 2026, according to the January update of its World Economic Outlook. This marks a sharp decline from the October forecast of 0.8% growth in 2025.
Germany’s annual gross domestic product contracted in both 2023 and 2024. Quarterly GDP figures were also modest, although the economy has so far avoided a technical recession.
Kukies also remarked that domestic German companies are “under stress” but continue to perform “very well” on the global market, seemingly referencing the rise of the DAX 40 stock index (Germany 40 mini on FXOpen). Indeed, yesterday the index surpassed the 21,300-point level for the first time in history.
Technical analysis of the DAX 40 stock index chart (Germany 40 mini on FXOpen) indicates that the price is forming two ascending channels. While rising within the steeper purple channel, the price has exceeded the upper boundary of the blue channel.
However, given that the price has not yet reached the upper boundary of the purple channel (as indicated by the arrow), it is reasonable to suggest that bullish momentum may be waning. If so, a possible scenario could involve a correction with a bearish breakout of the lower purple line, leading the price back into the blue channel. It is also possible that there will be one more attempt to set a new record, accompanied by the formation of bearish divergence on the RSI indicator.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.