US30 trade ideas
uptrendIt is expected that there will be fluctuation within the current support area and then we will see a trend change and the start of an uptrend. If the support area is broken, the downtrend will likely continue.
U.S. Stock Market Hits Extreme Fear: Understanding the Decline aThe U.S. stock market has reached an extreme fear level, with the Fear and Greed Index plunging to 24, signaling heightened uncertainty and risk aversion among investors. This sharp decline coincides with a notable drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), which fell by 427.51 points (-0.99%) to 42,579.09.
Why Is the Market in Extreme Fear?
1. Concerns Over Federal Reserve Policy
Investors remain on edge about the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates. With recent economic data showing persistent inflationary pressures, the Fed might delay anticipated rate cuts. Higher interest rates for longer could hurt economic growth and corporate profits, driving fear in the markets.
2. Weak Corporate Earnings and AI Stock Sell-Off
Some major technology and AI-driven stocks, previously market leaders, have shown weaker-than-expected earnings. For example, Marvell Technology reported disappointing revenue guidance, raising concerns about a slowdown in AI infrastructure investments. This led to a broader sell-off in the tech sector.
3. Geopolitical Tensions and Trade Policy Uncertainty
The announcement of new U.S. tariffs on key imports has reignited fears of a global trade war, affecting investor sentiment. Small-cap stocks in the Russell 2000 Index have been hit particularly hard due to their reliance on domestic manufacturing and global supply chains.
4. Bond Market and Recession Signals
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has fallen from 4.8% to 4.2%, reflecting a shift towards safer assets. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow Tracker has adjusted its real GDP forecast to -2.4% for Q1 2025, reinforcing concerns about an economic downturn.
5. Technical and Psychological Market Factors
The Nasdaq Composite has entered correction territory, down more than 10% from its recent peak.
The S&P 500 is testing its 200-day moving average, a crucial technical level.
The Fear and Greed Index at 24 indicates extreme pessimism, often associated with oversold market conditions.
Investor Advice in the Current Market
1. Stay Calm and Avoid Panic Selling
Extreme fear can create attractive long-term buying opportunities. Historically, markets recover from corrections, and selling out of fear may lead to missed gains when the market rebounds.
2. Focus on Quality Stocks with Strong Fundamentals
Look for companies with durable competitive advantages, strong balance sheets, and consistent cash flows.
Defensive sectors like healthcare, utilities, and consumer staples may offer stability during market uncertainty.
3. Diversify and Hedge Risks
Consider increasing exposure to bonds or dividend-paying stocks for more stable income.
Holding gold or other safe-haven assets can provide downside protection.
4. Use a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Strategy
Instead of trying to time the market, gradually invest in tranches to reduce the impact of short-term volatility.
5. Watch Key Economic Indicators and Fed Signals
Pay attention to upcoming CPI inflation reports, job data, and Fed meeting outcomes for clues on interest rate direction.
A clear signal of rate cuts could trigger a market rebound.
Final Thoughts
While extreme fear in the market reflects investor anxiety, it also presents potential opportunities for disciplined investors. Understanding the driving factors behind the sell-off and taking a strategic, long-term approach can help investors navigate this period of uncertainty. As Warren Buffett famously said, "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."
US30 Scenario NFP day 07/03/2025English : According to our analysis, we expect the NFP to have a negative impact on the dollar, so we anticipate a Bearish scenario.
Morocan Darija : NFP kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna ayji negative l dollar hadchi 3lach kanchofo Us30 Bearish
ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
US30 Setup: 50% Fib & Imbalance in Focus for a Potential Short.The US 30 Dow Jones index is under pressure 📉 but is currently hovering around a significant previous support level. I’m watching for a retracement into a four-hour imbalance as a potential opportunity to go short. Additionally, I’m looking for the retrace to align with the equilibrium point, which is the 50% Fibonacci level of the current price swing from high to low 📊. For this trade, the price must stay within the imbalance zone and avoid breaking the high. If there’s a clear break of structure near the imbalance point of interest, I plan to sell 🔻. This is not financial advice. 🚨
Possible rise in the US30 indexHello traders
The current impulse wave is upward and the correction is over. Another impulse wave may start upward from here.
US30USDI took a long/buy on US30 because I saw an opportunity after the market made a Break of Structure (BOS) and took the minor low (L) to be a lower high (LH). This caused the market to flip and change direction after it reached the lower high (LH), making the market target the Resistance Level (R LEVEL) where there is unswept liquidity. Our major target is the Quasimodo Level (QML), and this is where we will take our sell again. The QML mitigated on the IFC. Entry price: 42389.3, Stop Loss (SL): 42253.0, Take Profit (TP): 42991.8.
US30USD Long/BuyI took a long/buy on US30 because I saw an opportunity after the market made a Break of Structure (BOS) and took the minor low (L) to be a lower high (LH). This caused the market to flip and change direction after it reached the lower high (LH), making the market target the Resistance Level (R LEVEL) where there is unswept liquidity. Our major target is the Quasimodo Level (QML), and this is where we will take our sell again. The QML mitigated on the IFC. Entry price: 42389.3, Stop Loss (SL): 42253.0, Take Profit (TP): 42991.8.
Dow Jones Projected Bull Run Analysis Current ConsolidationLooking over Long term bull trends, this current bull run from 2009 to present day, more resembles the 40's bull run vs the dot com bull run.
I placed a red dot where I believe we COULD be in the current bull run if using the 40's run as a guide.
If this is to be true, then we can expect a deep pullback into the 32,000's in a giant range, consolidation.
Using a long term trendline, currently today, price is far away from it. Price would need to rest and build up before the next rip higher.
US30 Go Short Again It created a double top and trend breakout
Do not over-trade
Follow risk Management
Once trade in 300 pips profit, move SL to Breakeven
Follow us for more trade setups
US30 BULLISH FOR 9000PIPSThe US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is a popular index that tracks 30 large, publicly-owned companies trading on the New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ. A forecast of a 9,000 pips bullish movement in the US30 would imply a significant upward trend in the index. Here's a breakdown of what this could mean and factors to consider:
US30 | Dow Jones Reversal? Bulls Defending Support!📌 Dow Jones at Critical Support – Will Bulls Step In?
🔸 The US30 has been in a downtrend, with price testing a major demand zone at 42,250 - 42,500.
🔸 Key market drivers:
✅ Bond yields rising, pressuring equities.
✅ Fears of delayed rate cuts impacting investor sentiment.
✅ NFP report & Powell’s testimony creating uncertainty.
💡 Upcoming Catalysts
🔹 Stronger-than-expected NFP data → Could delay rate cuts → Bearish for US30.
🔹 Weaker jobs data → Could increase rate cut bets → Bullish for US30.
🔍 Technical Analysis (1H Timeframe)
🚀 Key Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Demand Zone: $42,250 - $42,500 (Strong support)
🔹 Resistance Levels:
🔸 $43,600 – First upside target.
🔸 $44,704 – Major supply zone (potential reversal area).
📈 Bullish Reversal Setup?
📌 Price is testing a high-probability support zone, indicating potential buyer interest.
📌 If price breaks above $42,750, we could see a rally toward $43,600 & $44,704.
📌 Bullish confirmation if price closes above $43,000.
📊 Trade Plan
✅ Bullish Scenario
Buy near support if price shows rejection.
Target 1: $43,600
Target 2: $44,704
Stop Loss: Below $42,200.
❌ Bearish Alternative
If price breaks below $42,200, expect further downside.
🔥 Final Thoughts:
The Dow Jones is at a key support level – will bulls push back, or will sellers dominate? Comment below with your bias! 📉📈
DOW JONES Massive 1D MA200 reversal for Cup and Handle?Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up since the September 2022 market bottom. Throughout this long-term structure, Cup and Handle (C&H) patterns have emerged that were always contained above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and subsequently initiated a rebound to at least the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the next pull-back.
The 1D MA200 is right below us at the moment and the current C&H seems to be on the verge of completing its Handle. Moreover, the 1D RSI is on its usual Higher Lows trend-line that prompts to a the most optimal buy entry. We're bullish, targeting 46400 (the 1.382 Fibonacci extension).
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US30 Running Flat Pattern Spotted- Look for buysHello,
The US30, commonly referred to as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is a key benchmark index that tracks the performance of 30 of the largest blue-chip companies in the US.
Currently, the US30 is trading at the bottom of a running flat correction — a highly reliable Elliott Wave pattern that often signals the continuation of an upward trend. To further strengthen this bullish outlook, we are closely monitoring the zero crossover signal, which will serve as final confirmation that bullish momentum is about to kick in.
Additionally, bond yields remaining at their lows are providing further confluence, indicating that investors are shifting back into risk-on assets like equities.
Our first upside target is the previous February 2025 high, with potential for further gains if bullish momentum persists.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Good luck and happy trading!
US30 BIASExpecting US30 to continue the downside liquidity sweep therefore retesting the current support zone since the internal structure support zone already is now a resistance
Reading marketsTried retail, volume, order foot prints, you name the strategy and I’ve tried it however the case, I have found success in ict trading , why? Not because of order blocks or fvgs or all that, but because of context. The single most differential factor in trading between being a good trader and a mechanical average trader is context, that’s your key, that’s your answer.
Order Block @43200 | Sell SignalPrice created a break of structure and then created Inducement which was later mitigated. Waiting for price to tap order block then I enter bearish
US30 - Clean and Clear!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per my last US30 analysis attached on the chart, it rejected the upper bound of the range and has been trading lower.
What's next?
📦We will be trading the range as long as it holds.
🏹As US30 approaches the lower bound of the range around $42,000, I will start looking for bullish reversal setups.
For now, we wait! ⏱️
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CHART BREAKDOWN US30: Key Levels, Targets and Thoughts!Brief Description🖊️:
The chart provides insights into critical market levels, emphasizing an essential supply zone: low-risk sell zone spanning from 43.165 to 43.250, respectively, are highlighted.
Things I Have Seen👀:
Important Supply Zone🟢: Identified between 43.165 and 43.250 serving as a low-risk sell.
Bearish Targets📉:
43.100: Possible retracement area.
42.870: Possible retracement area.
42.770: Possible retracement area.
42.560: Possible retracement area.
42.350: Liquidity area.
What's Important Now❗
Currently, the crucial approach is to wait and observe the price action at this level. We need to assess how the market reacts before considering any decisive moves. Stay observant and responsive to real-time developments in the market.
Dow INTRADAY Key Trading Levels ahead of US OpenThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) index maintains a bullish outlook within its long-term uptrend. However, after reaching an all-time high on December 4, 2024, price action has entered a sideways consolidation phase, suggesting indecision in the market.
________________________________________
Bullish Scenario:
• The 42980 level serves as a critical support zone, aligning with the previous consolidation range and the rising trendline.
• A pullback to this level, followed by a bullish rebound, would reaffirm the uptrend and could trigger upside momentum.
• Potential upside targets include:
44240 (20-day moving average)
44660 (next resistance level)
45000 (key psychological resistance)
A strong recovery from 42980 would reinforce bullish sentiment and indicate a continuation of the broader uptrend.
________________________________________
Bearish Scenario:
• A confirmed break below 42980, with a daily close beneath this level, would signal weakness in the uptrend.
• This could lead to a deeper retracement, exposing key downside levels:
42520 (next significant support)
41920 (200-day moving average), a critical level for long-term trend validation
A sustained breakdown below 42980 could shift sentiment in favour of sellers, increasing the probability of further declines.
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Market Outlook:
The 42980 level remains pivotal—holding above this zone will keep the bullish trend intact, while a decisive break lower could trigger an extended pullback. Traders should watch for price action signals and volume confirmation at this key level to assess the market's next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Stock Markets Are Set to Follow the Dow's Warning Signs!Stock Markets Are Set to Follow the Dow's Warning Signs — Are You Watching?
The Dow Jones priced in gold has always led the way, and it's rolling over while everyone else is asleep.
This could trigger massive bull eras in gold, silver, oil, uranium, copper, and more!
US30 – Critical Support Levels & Trendline Retest
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) has been facing headwinds recently, as market sentiment shifts amid macroeconomic uncertainties. The Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates remains a key driver, with investors closely watching inflation data and employment reports. Despite a resilient labor market, concerns over persistent inflation have led to speculation about further rate hikes, which could weigh on equities.
Earnings season has been mixed, with some key industrial and financial stocks underperforming expectations, adding downward pressure on the index. Geopolitical tensions and ongoing supply chain issues continue to create volatility, making technical levels even more crucial for traders.
Technical Analysis
Timeframe: 1D
Trendline Retest: The price is currently testing a long-term ascending trendline, which has acted as a strong dynamic support since mid-2024.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zones:
42,223.71 – A strong horizontal support level, previously tested multiple times.
41,664.81 – Deeper support level, aligning with past demand zones.
Resistance Levels:
43,072.00 – A short-term resistance zone where sellers have recently stepped in.
Bearish Break Risk: If US30 closes below the trendline and breaks the 42,223.71 level, a deeper correction toward 41,664.81 could be in play.
Bullish Scenario: Holding above the trendline could trigger a bounce, with buyers targeting 43,072.00 and potentially higher levels.
Final Thoughts
The market remains at a pivotal moment. A breakdown below the trendline could accelerate bearish momentum, while a successful bounce could confirm continued bullish structure. Traders should monitor macroeconomic developments and technical confirmations closely before positioning themselves.
Happy Trading
📌 What’s Your Bias? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🚀📉
